richard-westwood

I wasn't going to back at york namely because the form seems to go out the window there ....but ivevbeen doing some research and I think I may have found the reason why .....there seems to be a very prominent low draw development at york ....in fact in one sprint race I looked at 5 of the first 6 home were all drawn low ......so I'm going to try and use that as a weapon this time by rating the bottom 1/3 draw only and seeing whether that improves things this time ....worth a try as last couple of meets there it was chucking money down toilet....results were a joke but this might explain why ......only 2 qualifiers in 1st race ...these 2 way ahead in low draws 
150 york 
Korker   8.7 10/1  
Intrinsic bond   8.6 11.5 
10pt wins both 

Weirdly enough computer has Dapper 6lb over starlust but if you look at previous race starlust is carrying 9.0 a drop of 4lb ....and Dapper dropped from 9lb 7 to 8-11..10lb ...so a diff of 6lb .....I think that makes him a fab bet .....bit of a weird one when you look at o.r 

The Ebor festival is one of the major meetings of the flat season and features the Ebor Handicap, the most valuable flat handicap in Europe.
The key statistics from the last 9 years are :-
1. Horses that have had a win in the last 37 days have recorded 91 wins from 746 runs with a profit of 98 points. The AE is 1.22.
2. Horses running over the same distance have 147 wins from 1,594 runs with a profit of 165 points and an AE of 1.13.
3. As mentioned elsewhere the draw is a significant factor. Those drawn in stall 2 have recorded 34 wins from 217 runs with a profit of 134 points. The AE is 1.74.
4. Good recent form is beneficial. Those that had a good run last time have recorded 164 wins from 1,481 runs with a profit of 156 points and an AE of 1.09.
5. On a similar theme, horses that finished 1st or 2nd last time have 146 runs from 1,265 runs with a profit of 61 points and an AE of 1.09.

we followed you with lowish draw horses, so backed both EW as paying 6 places b365.......also Copper Knight as had winners today ( monday) with Easterby / carroll 👍....... a Gosden double @ 6/1 with Gregory /Mostahdaf ( free £10 bonus bet ).........2.25 Ballymount Boy 5/2 

Yep i also checked and got same result, thing is i checked last week to go to the cotswolds and it said fine and sunny ish. it pissed down 4 for days. 🤣 my comment was info only.

Weather looks good next couple days at least ....I reckon it will be good.... poss edge of gd sft 

520 york low draws
Dapper Valley  8.8 10/1 
Starlust     8.6  11/2 
Zavriskie point   8.2 
10pt win top 2 

445 york low draws only 
Pinafore   8.4 7/2 
Pillow talk  8.2  10/1 
12pt win pinafore 8pt win pillow 
2pt win doubles all 4 above races

The draw bias only looks at 5f 6f 8f .....less prominent at longer dist and none so much at 7f strangely 

I wasn't going to back at york namely because the form seems to go out the window there ....but ivevbeen doing some research and I think I may have found the reason why .....there seems to be a very prominent low draw development at york ....in fact in one sprint race I looked at 5 of the first 6 home were all drawn low ......so I'm going to try and use that as a weapon this time by rating the bottom 1/3 draw only and seeing whether that improves things this time ....worth a try as last couple of meets there it was chucking money down toilet....results were a joke but this might explain why ......only 2 qualifiers in 1st race ...these 2 way ahead in low draws 
150 york 
Korker   8.7 10/1  
Intrinsic bond   8.6 11.5 
10pt wins both 

Weather looks good next couple days at least ....I reckon it will be good.... poss edge of gd sft 

520 york low draws
Dapper Valley  8.8 10/1 
Starlust     8.6  11/2 
Zavriskie point   8.2 
10pt win top 2 

445 york low draws only 
Pinafore   8.4 7/2 
Pillow talk  8.2  10/1 
12pt win pinafore 8pt win pillow 
2pt win doubles all 4 above races

The draw bias only looks at 5f 6f 8f .....less prominent at longer dist and none so much at 7f strangely 

I wasn't going to back at york namely because the form seems to go out the window there ....but ivevbeen doing some research and I think I may have found the reason why .....there seems to be a very prominent low draw development at york ....in fact in one sprint race I looked at 5 of the first 6 home were all drawn low ......so I'm going to try and use that as a weapon this time by rating the bottom 1/3 draw only and seeing whether that improves things this time ....worth a try as last couple of meets there it was chucking money down toilet....results were a joke but this might explain why ......only 2 qualifiers in 1st race ...these 2 way ahead in low draws 
150 york 
Korker   8.7 10/1  
Intrinsic bond   8.6 11.5 
10pt wins both 

Weather looks good next couple days at least ....I reckon it will be good.... poss edge of gd sft 

Weather looks good next couple days at least ....I reckon it will be good.... poss edge of gd sft 

Stall 2 is profitable at every distance, at 7 furlongs there have been 2 wins from 16 with a profit of 27 points
The best record is at 5 furlongs with 5 wins from 18 and a profit of 51 points
Grade 1 races show a loss with 1 win from 11. I suppose the logic is that in these classier races the horses can probably overcome any draw disadvantage

The draw bias only looks at 5f 6f 8f .....less prominent at longer dist and none so much at 7f strangely 

I wasn't going to back at york namely because the form seems to go out the window there ....but ivevbeen doing some research and I think I may have found the reason why .....there seems to be a very prominent low draw development at york ....in fact in one sprint race I looked at 5 of the first 6 home were all drawn low ......so I'm going to try and use that as a weapon this time by rating the bottom 1/3 draw only and seeing whether that improves things this time ....worth a try as last couple of meets there it was chucking money down toilet....results were a joke but this might explain why ......only 2 qualifiers in 1st race ...these 2 way ahead in low draws 
150 york 
Korker   8.7 10/1  
Intrinsic bond   8.6 11.5 
10pt wins both 

520 york low draws
Dapper Valley  8.8 10/1 
Starlust     8.6  11/2 
Zavriskie point   8.2 
10pt win top 2 

445 york low draws only 
Pinafore   8.4 7/2 
Pillow talk  8.2  10/1 
12pt win pinafore 8pt win pillow 
2pt win doubles all 4 above races

The draw bias only looks at 5f 6f 8f .....less prominent at longer dist and none so much at 7f strangely 

The draw bias only looks at 5f 6f 8f .....less prominent at longer dist and none so much at 7f strangely 

445 york low draws only 
Pinafore   8.4 7/2 
Pillow talk  8.2  10/1 
12pt win pinafore 8pt win pillow 
2pt win doubles all 4 above races