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richard-westwood

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Everything posted by richard-westwood

  1. 335 chelt Take no chances. 540 total 1101 Endless escape. 527 total 1094 Royal Margaux. 517 total 1088 Joyeuse. 515 total 1080 Joyeuse is 5/2...but looks very poor value to me .....top two are priced 7/1 and 12/1 so I'll play them..5pt ewboth....and doubles top 2 both races
  2. Been up to my eyeballs in Xmas party organising and huge deliveries etc so haven't had much chance to rate but I've finally got a chance 😁..... December gold cup Ga law. 667 total 1307 13/2 Stage star. 649 total 1289 7/1 Fugitif. 642 total 1279 Hard to separate these three as each has it's merits but ga law has run well in these types of races so should run well and stage star represents nicholls who's doing well in these big races so dangerous .......wouldn't put anyone off fugitif though ....very competitive race 5 PT Ew ga and stage
  3. No aintree ...shame I really thought I had a good chance today .......I'm not keen on betting in this weather ....I wouldn't wanna run my best race in this or run at all tbh 😂.....so I'm happy to keep my money 💰
  4. Becher chase Arizona cardinal. 1067. 12/1 King turgeon. 1062 4/1 Chianti classico. 1044 5/1 These 3 are clear of rest ......value bet is Arizona cardinal .....the last race was too bad to be true ..something definitely must have been amiss as previously looked a horse on the serious upgrade . .....chianti is no pushover but has to shoulder top weight over the national fences ...never a good thing .....top 2 for me ....8pt win king ...5 PT Ew Arizona I'll try and rate another race in the morning .....pushed for time 😁
  5. Sam brown is going for this surprisingly as he was half the price for the other race ,.......I'm happy to take the 33 /1 4 places ...5 PT Ew
  6. Rehearsal chase Marble sands 1080 6/1 Kinondo kwetu. 1075 25/1 Jetplane. 1068 Black magic. 1067 There is a link between this and the above race .....marble sands destroyed colonel harry so if that one runs a good race it would Frank his chances .....question over distance like above race . Kinondo kwetu looks the value bet ....5 PT Ew top 2
  7. Coral gold cup Sam brown (if runs) ..1115 25/1 Victorrino. 1110 13/2 Kandoo kid. 1100 Colonel harry. 1100 I asked my friends to look at this race and everyone came up with a diff horse lol 😂.....so the computer has had a go ......Sam brown is the value bet if runs here( ran bravemansgame to a length and if that one was entered for this he would be like 5/2 fav) but is entered for another race too ......victorrino looks an ideal type and Venetia is holding a 33% s r recently .....colonel harry is dangerous if he gets the distance ...questionable ......I'm Def backing victorrino 5pt Ew ....I'll wait on Sam brown to see if runs .....if not I might take a chance on colonel .....good luck if you play in this hard race 😁
  8. Bet 365 paid on 4th other was non runner
  9. I thought the same thing this morning ......I've seen the ante post but has he stopped he's weekend writeups or on holiday ?
  10. 205 ascot Fortescue 1210 9/1 Duke of deception. 1201 9/1 Oliver travels 1193 5 PT Ew top 2 ......
  11. 115 hay Kamsinas. 1013 6/1 Anyharmasking 1013 16/1 Joss the boss 1001 13/2 Top two Ew are my interest ....especially anyharmasking who has value bet status 5 PT Ew both
  12. I was thinking the same thing ...the 13/8 and 3/1 double could be fantastic value 😁
  13. https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2024/nov/19/constitution-hill-gallops-workout-prompts-mixed-messages-before-return-nicky-henderson-racing
  14. Go Dante 1013 12/1 Black poppy. 1003 33/1 Burdeett road 994 5/1 Fiercely proud. 987 20/1 Lots of value in top 2 especially black poppy the overall value bet ....I'll try 5pt Ew both
  15. 110 chelt Risky one this .....I wasn't going to bother because there's lots of unbeaten horses in here and any one of them could bounce forward and win ......computer has these 3 top ... Whatuowithyou 10.0 Fosterisland 50/1 Stayifuwanto 23.0 I don't have much confidence as the jockeys are novices and crap but good prices so I'll try 3pt wins all 3 and hope fosters springs a surprise 🫢
  16. Ga law. 979 9/1 Ginny's destiny. 973 3/1 Stage star. 962 Protektoret. 961 Il ridoto 955 As you'd expect ...a ridiculously hard race to rate .....not that much between the top 5 overall ...each horse has it's merits .....bookies really favour Ginny's destiny and I can see why but I think overall there's better value in ga law who will come with a fitness advantage and is 3x the price so warrants the value bet badge ..... .....this looks a strong renewal so I don't think I'll ridoto is good enough and protektoret has a huge weight to carry .....likewise stage star who won this last year but will have to shoulder more weight this time against unexposed types .... For me it's 8pt win ginny .....4 PT ga law .......that feels a strong hand to play in a classy race Edit ...nicholks is talking about Ginny's running in the king George !!.......so he'd have to annilate these if that's the case ....🤔
  17. Brilliant ....whatever your doing keep it up 😊
  18. Well I was expecting about 6 or 7 horses bunched and that happens ......I can't believe it's that easy with 24 runners but hey it's Saturday let's have some fun 😂
  19. I've had 5pt Ew both .....and Ew doubles on both races selection
  20. November handicap Well my friend was laughing saying 24 runner pin sticker ....you've not a prayer 🙏....but I rated it and surprisingly the computer put 2 clear Chillingham ......10/1 Lord Melbourne. 14/1 It's an unbelievably hard race but I'm happy to play Ew with 6 places .....5 PT Ew both
  21. Only authorised and outlaw stood their ground .....went Ew at 33/1 and 10/1 in the end as only .....would have bet again had they drifted again but everything is shortening so I'll just let them run now
  22. Form and class Outlaw Peter. 604 total 1445 12.0 Authorised art. 568 total 1433 33/1 Arizona cardinal. 576 total 1425 12.0 Sure touch. 567 total 1413 7/1 King turgeon 559 total 1399 10.0 Brigadiers king turgeonev is rated top 5 and has been well backed all week into single figures ....could be a touch .....low rating comes from stepping up markedly in class ...unknown .... Top 3 represent value in a tricky race .....hard to rate authorised art because can run stinkers but then puts in fantastic performances in between so you never know who your gonna get ... If it's a good day then 33/1 is vastly overpriced Currently I'd be 5pts win top 3 ....I'll monitor and watch entries
  23. Very very difficult to rate because of lots of unknowns .....can't say I have a degree of confidence as a result but I've input as much as I can and computer has rated Onesmoothioperator. 1215 9.6 Land legend. 1200 18.0 Okita sushi. 1189 5 PT wins top 2 for a bit of fun 😊
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