richard-westwood

3.00 plumpton. jabite en France 3/1 bet365

Right ....finally finished the final rating of the ultima Tuesday as follows The changing man 885 9.4 Victorrino 882 32.0 Grandeur dame. 880 40/1 Katate dori 874 9.0 These four a a bit clear of rest and some fab prices on Betfair compared to bookies .as day one I'm only interested in a couple of races ...let's go for a big payout ...10 PT wins all 4 and forecasts and tricasts all 4 ....its Cheltenham ...time to shoot for the big one 🥳

It's Cheltenham !!....do or die ....lol 😆....I'm getting rating tonight ...it's blast off time 😁

I'm gutted for ya ...if you stuck them in lucky 15 31 you'd be looking at decent payout and huge one if that last one wins ...jeez

310 naas King in love win 9/1 will h

Impressive ...we'll done

225 sand Lump sum win 10/1 will h

One I like in supreme is Tripoli flyer .....he trounced Miami magic 7 lengths ...a 139 rated horse....arguably rating 146 and the 3rd horse was trounced 13 lengths ..a 133 horse seemingly backing up the 146 performance ....if that's true then the 16/1 Ew is the definite Ew value of the race I've just taken 20s will h

Hehe ....I thought I'd see how the other half lives lol

410 Ayr Reforme win 8/1 will h and pp

Yeah I used to love the supreme ....you used to be able to get 4/1 the fav and all sorts of prices the rest ...but now I think the mullins bandwagon is ruining chelt ....a lot of people feel the same and I've noticed the ticket sales are down too

450 winc Jongleur detoiles win 4/1 bet365

Ordinarily I love the champion hurdle but zero value nowadays ....gone are the days when you had 14 runners and 5/2 the field but I've rated it fully and will watch with interest Burdett road. 811 934 Constitution hill. 803 981 King of kings. 760 680 Stare man. 914 848 Winter fog. 806 824 Brighter days 969 935 Golden ace. 782 830 Lossiemouth. Fell (poss 920)? 965 These are fully rated last two runs for each horse ....both ratings and class and hcap ratings .......very interesting reading .....lossiemouth was on a par with top 3 but after that horrible fall surely you can't be confident of an all out 100% run when they are flying at full pelt ?....I think they will pull her out personally ..... Constitution hill sets the standard on 985 .....although lto only ran to 803....yes did it easy but has been slowly diminishing with age ....is this horse as good now one year older ?....against potential young superstars ??.. Brighterdaysahead is definitely the most consistent with 935 then improving to 969 in an absolute canter so that can upgraded to 980 which puts her on a par with constitution .. ..but she will receive 7lbs from that horse on the day ....will that be the deciding factor ????...... This could be a very close race .... Brighter is the up and coming superstar ...could be anything now....constitution is a battle hardened Cheltenham specialist . Big factor . . Epic looking race 😂

I have the changing man clear top....followed by Broadway boy and whistle stop

Got to be honest it's one of the hardest races I've rated for a bit ....there's question marks and exposed horses everywhere ....afadil just looks an Interesting horse ....nic holls is very fond of him and he will sneak in here off bottom weight most likely ....he is also still entered in Fridays county I think so maybe he's got his eye on the bonus ???....good luck everyone ...a nice race to distract us before the roar of.chelt 😃

Apologies if already on I can't see thread Just rated the weekend imperial cup and as you'd expect it's exceptionally hard .....two horses stand out ....afadil and ooh Betty ....so I've taken 5pts Ew both at 10/1 12/1 and forecasts .....

Over the jumps horses can hold form for up to 42 days I've found after that I deduct points up to 55 days then after that they get zero On the flat below 28 days is optimum ...then reduced up to 42 days then zero after .....I've always found that works well With a jumps horse you'd like at least two weeks rest ...preferably 3 .....on the flat a horse can win after 4 days if it's good enough but preferably you'd like 7 to 10 days off I've always said they are like us .....if you run your guts out over 400m...you'll be aching for days after so you need time to recover .....for a horse it's multiplied by a factor of two

350 leopard A wave of sea. 461 220 115 total 796 7/2 Harvey's quay 428 220 109 total 757 8/1 Interesting race. ...these two are clear of rest and top rated is clear of 2nd ....priced at 7/2 with the 2nd rated 8/1 I'll try 7pt win top rated and 3 PT saver Harvey's

Unlucky .....two Ew at 14/1 and an Ew double .....nearly a good win ...it's coming 😁

Always nice doing business 😊

335 ling Ferrous is a full 27pts in front of rohaan . Has questions to answer after a big break but tom marquand is up .....will be interesting to see what happens 10pt win 3.4 Betfair

More battle kelso Alnilam 560. 260 total 820 14/1 6p Wilful. 558 255 total 813 11/1 5p Tellherthename 550 250 total 800 Top two look value bets in this very tough looking race . 5 PT Ew both and Ew doubles top 2 two all three races

Grimthorpe Doncaster Weveallbeencaught 550 280. Total 830 7/1 4p Erne river. 545 283 total 828 14/1 5p Some scope. 540 275. Total 815 Under supervision. 535 260 total 795 Erne river looks the value bet if race with 14/1 5 places ... But it's close between top 2 ...5 PTS Ew both

Greatwood gold cup Newbury Iroko 910 310. Total 1220 5/1 Scarface. 875 269 total 1144 10/1 Tedley. 875 265 total 1140 33/1 If iroko is declared for this race he would be a very strong vet on ratings ....but this is his 2nd choice currently ....I personally think this race suits him better so we shall see .....the other two are currently value bets especially tedley who at 33/1 looks way overpriced Ew. I'll try 4 PTS Ew scarface and tedley and add iroko if he comes here 😃

Deeper blue 40/1 5th and choisethenews 5th lands the Ew part of double with 5 places both ....consolation prize