Grass Cash
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Posts posted by Grass Cash
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ok let me know your decision soon as you can please .. thanks if you decide to play
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23 hours ago, Sm0k3rZ said:
great to see the tennis thread active
The match i am intrigued by is the Kerber vs Osaka match. I saw both of their first round matches. While both lost, really do feel Osaka was worse. Kerber vs bertens in the third set was break after break so it could have gone either way. Osaka struggled big time against Sloane, and the 6-1 third set score reflects that. I dont understand how she is the fav. So i'm gonna be backing Kerber at 2.03. BOL
Good pick .. I was leaning Kerber but I didn't want to give my opinion on the match.. Kerber has let me down so many times.. I also prefer Kerber in the next round vs stephens as well.. Does anyone have thoughts on this ?
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Kei Nishikori to beat Karen Khachanov @ 1.87 with William Hill
I watched Karen's match yesterday, and I don't like the way he was playing.. Nishikori can expose him on the ground, and advance past him to the next round
- yossa6133 and CzechPunter
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should be working now .. I wasn't following the thread.. thats much easier
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Is there a setting where I receive a notification when someone posts on this thread? because I haven't been getting notified. I tried to adust my notifications , but maybe it won't work
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ok great .. also , I feel the same way about Fucsovics.. I found a tip this morning after I submitted here. I'm not sure if we are allowed to post outside links here.. just let me know, and i won't do it again.. This tipster seems to be really good.. but the truth is that I feel Novak has just a good as chance to win, and the odds are much better.. So I'm deciding what I'll do in this moment..
So I will remove the link also no problem if you mention something... I will have to back Novak in live betting because its off on my book now.. but should be better sense of the match anyways. Because Laaksonen also playing late match in Basel probably will have massive crowd support vs Fritz. I might wait for this one if Karen looks fit live betting. h2h with Fritz is 1-1 with Laaksonen winning last match indoors 4-6, 6-2, 6-2
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CzechPunter - As the minutes pass here.. I am becoming more and more confident that we see a win from Dennis Novak today in Austria. I want to know what your opinion or anyone else about this if they have some analysis. I really like the odds quite a bit, and Novak had a impressive showing last year in Vienna. If Khachanov is even the slightest bit tired from winning in moscow.. I think thats going to hurt his serve, and in general Khachanov's game is about his fantastic movement for a big man, and no doubt will create errors if his footwork is not 100%. I've already listed this play two days ago. I believe very much in Karen as a player, and grandslam potential also, but this maybe is not a good spot for him to win the match..
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If i had to guess Struff will cover the games handicap in that match.. Hard to believe Federer is not tired from going to the distance against krajinovic.. Struff has been serving and rallying much better recently. He's very fast player in the prime of his career that can hold his serve vs Fed who is just not playing at an elite level right now.
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PL TENNIS STATS 5-5, +10.45 units, roi 104.5%(1 unit)
Marius Copil to beat Marin Cilic @ 4.5 with William Hill
Marton Fucsovics to beat Fabio Fognini @ 2.5 with William Hill
Sam Querrey to beat Dominic Thiem @2.75 with 5dimes
Henri Laaksonen to beat Taylor Fritz @ 3.55 with 5dimes
Jurgen Melzer to beat Kevin Anderson @ 4.6 with 5dimes
CzechPunter, forgot to mention.. Thank you my friend.. you did save on Krajinovic. Surprised he put up so much of a fight (did not watch the match) I did go back and track all my official posts here. All picks are listed in order of how much i like them, but the unit price will always remain the same stake size, and you guys can use your own discretion. I personally believe flat stakes on all picks is the best money management for betting otherwise it gets out of control. Good luck.. these are fun tournaments to bet. I got so frustrated when I can't see the matches on streams during some of the major tournaments this year, and the tennis channel here sometimes is terrible with coverage. They are sitting in a loung talking and making jokes with each other instead of showing the matches, and the announcers comments start to bother me.. I have to mute the telivision to listen the ignorant egotistical americans. << from usa also ( :
- Capone07, TheEdge and CzechPunter
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CzechPunter if Melzer does win tomorrow.. I do believe there is a chance for it, but not sure if I will take that action. But, if this is the case then I believe we will see a win from either Querrey, Gulbis, Fucsovics, or Pouille to accompany the Melzer win. Is there any preference of these 4 players winning between punters here.
Verdasco played one of the sloppiest tennis matches I've seen in a while today, but he looks fit and motivated. In my opinion he played down to the level of Herbert who was not superb, but atleast average. I can see him advancing far in this tournament, but he is definitely a hard player to trust betting for me.
Opole Congrats on Lima.. I just saw the scoreline for that one.. This is atleast 3 underdogs for you in a row, and I believe that you will reach #4 also with the doubles selection above. I am working now on submitting something for tomorrow.
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Hello opole - I watched the match, and I agree that it was a lucky win but still the tip for some reason was destined to win, and the analysis behind it was sound.
The market I don't like today either very much.. I've leveraged the vukic bet with some other plays in Vienna.. I won't mention those at this time, and then recently leveraged two more tennis matches in Challenger tour that I do not feel confidently about.. Luca Vanni, and Gerald Melzer. You mentioned Marterer for the upset. I looked at that match also, and the slump that Marterer is in .. I agree with, and I made a clear decision that it was not a bettable match for me. Of course we know there's always a chance for anything to happen. This will be the first match between the two players, and Medvedev playing as an elite rising star for the future should be able to take him down. I am not convinced who will have the brighter career Medvedev or Zverev.. This is something I've considered for awhile, Medvedev has been one of the most profitable banker bet in all of tennis for the past couple years, so that logic alone(maybe not wise to go against him). I think is much more likely that we see Copil bash some more forehands/serves and overpower Cilic with impressive indoor play. Cilic struggled a little bit with a terrible Shapovalov.. Copil will be much less generous with his errors, and we can see Cilic hitting balls into the net all match as he sometimes tends to do.. Really not Cilic's finest hour at the moment losing first round last two tournaments, and then struggling with a very tired player who is handing him points. So you could hold out for this one if everything rings true for me today.. I will post it officially tomorrow if the matches play out today as I'm expecting.
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18 hours ago, opole said:
Challenger Traralgon
Aleksandar Vukic vs. Tung-Lin Wu
=> Aleksandar Vukic @ 2.16 Sbobet stake: 5/10
I do rate Vukic actually as a pretty decent player. He is playing his best tennis obviously in Australia at those home tournaments. He played college tennis for Illinois and finished his senior year in 2018, i fully expect him to have breakthrough season in 2019 as i think he has all the strengths to reach a solid Top 200/150 ranking. I watched him at the beginning of the season in Sydney and he played some decent stuff there vs. quality opponents like Berankis, Lajovic or Feli Lopez. He should have beaten Lopez there but lost due to lacking of experience and showing some nerves. Tomorrow he will face a decent prospect but i really think he should go past Wu with a good performance. Wu is very inconsistent with making many many errors from time to time and Vukic is playing at home, he should add some extra % on his performance. For me he is definitely the favorite.
One of the sharpest tips I've come across on the internet.. I've been extremely impressed your tennis knowledge, just reading some of your writing today. This is a special place with very talented ppl, and I hope we can form an alliance to win alot of money from sportsbooks.
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OK - I have made a decision to respect your knowledge and advice CzechPunter.
I have also seen more updated form of Rogers practice with Stan, and is definitely improved. I will not be betting on Krajinovic, and I am very comofortable with that decision whether he wins or loses.. Appreciate your help no matter what happens.
In terms of the larger size underdogs heading into the next rounds of Basel and Vienna.. I've posted Novak officially as a back in case Melzer lost.. I am struggling to pull the trigger on this one, but I see it as a possibility. Then we have Bemelmans, and finally Copil. I am thinking about waiting to place on Copil, because I watched match vs Shapovalov, and Canadian was terrible... i didn't see much of the Copil match but he looked fine, and I was not very impressed with Cilic. So I'm probably going to hold off for now on betting, and when I place something then I will post it, and I look forward to seeing your guys bets also for tomorrow..
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I don't believe its true CP .. because Krajinovic made round of 16 in 2 notable indoor tournaments, and QF in two indoor tournaments also beating simon/sousa, and taking in form pouille to the full extension 7-6(5),3-6,6-4. Krajinovic will have a week of rest coming out of an indoor tournament which he had a reasonable performance and probably will put more effort to a prestigious event as Basel. This is a clear advantage for Krajinovic with 2 indoor matches under his belt coming in to this match similar to how Copil dismantled Harrison. Not quite the same in a different tournament but definitely applies.
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Czech Punter , you have a point, and I think there's a good chance you are correct.. I am rating the match as 20 % minimum for Krajinovic wins. Roger is really slowing down, and I think he wants to play London, Paris, Australian open one more time, and retire after Australian open.. Im not familiar with players retiring after the first major, but Roger is an exceptional person and could go against that trend. I also think that Roger is going to have decent showings in atleast 2 of those tournaments.
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CzechPunter - I do not trust him either at the same rate as you.. He's not a player I have a history of betting alot of even winning on .. but this is almost a strictly fade of Roger's poor form, and at that price... I want to discuss the possibility of it happening.. This is also Rogers first match indoors, which adds a variable such as bad weather in other sports that can neutralize the playing field.
I will say that I believe there is a chance Krajinovic plays an excellent match in phenomenal form, and then gets tired next round and loses, or possibly advances to the third round if he does win... Krajinovic had a really slow year, but he has steadily been coming back into physical condition in my opinion.
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CzechPunter - I do not trust him either at the same rate as you.. He's not a player I have a history of betting alot of even winning on .. but this is almost a strictly fade of Roger's poor form, and at that price... I want to discuss the possibility of it happening.. This is also Rogers first match indoors, which adds a variable such as bad weather in other sports that can neutralize the playing field.
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I know I said I was leaving, but i do have something else to say, and it looks like I will clear profit today because Raonic in medical timeout and hitting amateur backhands all match.
CzechPunter, Opole, and everyone else here, Milos doesn't look good, and all three of us picked against him.
Melzer was my top bet coming in today before I even saw your guys post.. Now here is my question for you: at some point I considered a parlay with Melzer and Krajinovic(two players big payout) I could not bet against Roger for some reason in Basel, but he looks really worn down vs Coric in Shanghai. I think Krajinovic may want a chance to beat Roger before he retires.. I am now seriously considering Krajinovic for a large straight bet.. I saw one of Rogers practice sessions on Basel yesterday, and he looked awful. I assumed he's going to improve in a couple days indoors before his match, but maybe thats not true. Krajinovic has some very impressive results indoors the last couple of years.. And I believe that he is easily the second best Serbian, and its not even close. Could really use your guys opinion here, and I think we are all gonna make alot of money on this play.. I will post it official when and if my bet is placed
Congrats to All Melzer bettors and tennis writers here .. It was a fantastic collaboration, and a clear choice.. Milos playing on tour for 50 years, and never learned how to hit a backhand better than a highschool player
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I make mistake betting with atp men's underdogs here .. I really hope Melzer wins to save. Womens tennis always a safer play for underdog as we can see in Singapore .. Yes, I will not be surprised at all if Copil wins at this point..
I am done for this year .. Sorry if anybody lose money on my tips .. I'm very dissapointed in poor betting .. Shapovalov clearly out of form, and tired from long season.. See you guys next year, and good luck on Melzer either way..
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Jurgen Melzer to beat Milos Raonic @ 5.6 with Heritage
Marton Fucsovics to beat Felix Auger Alliasime @ 1.65 with Heritage
Denis Shapovalov to beat Marin Cilic @ 2.8 with Heritage
Ryan Harrison to beat Marius Copil @ 2.4 with Heritage
Dennis Novak to beat Karen Khachanov @ 4.75 with Heritage (backup Austrian underdog if Melzer fails us)
Best of luck Gentleman and Ladies .. I have positive units on official plays listed with Punters Lounge tennis.. I am not tracking them, but all plays are valued at the same unit price.
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Ok Darko , I look forward to working with you and CzechPunter next year on predictions.. I respect both of your knowledge.. The value yes its on Coric..
He wants to beat Djokovic for the first time: so its definitely a possibility my friend .. I am watching match, and I think he has excellent chance to win still at huge odds.. worth a small punt
- CzechPunter and darko08
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Borna Coric to beat Novak Djokovic @ 6.5 with William Hill
Storm may still thrashing here. Courts are taking Borna's shots really well, and he is blistering the ball from the baseline harder than any player we've seen yet. Service is his finest moments during his career now in this tournament. Only question mark is fitness level, but if its there.. We are looking at massive value in a dog fight with Baltic friends and Legends. I'll take Coric if the fitness holds up to win because I think Novak will struggle somewhat with shots blasted extremely hard at him. Similar to what we saw at the French open final with Stan.
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Borna Coric @ 3.35 to beat Roger Federer with Heritage
Ride the lightning
- darko08 and CzechPunter
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Tennis Tips - October 22 - October 28
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
Opinions on Monfils - Isner match, or Simon - Gulbis ?