Bronxie

Finally 🤣

Purely based on the maths you are better going for longer odds when using free bets, I've found that 13/2 to 10/1 is the best range

As im working ...just having a n early look at the weekend racing .....big race of weekend is bet365 gold cup 
Kinindo kwetu. 9.0 16/1 
Amirite. 8.9. 10/1 
Sam brown 8.4 33/1 
Le Milos. 8.3 8/1 
Does he know. 8.0 28/1 
A very difficult race to rate tbh as a lot of these have only ran on soft since Xmas and now the ground has changed dramatically it's difficult to know where they will be on the tree ........so I've changed tack slightly... with this race .....I've rated as normal .....then historically it's been very difficult for horses over say 11-5 in this race so that cuts out the bottom 3 .....leaving the top 2 again so that's good enough for me .....I'm not saying the others can't win .....in fact I think Sam brown and does he know look overpriced on select form and I could see them placing at big prices but for me I'm looking for value and the top 2 tick the boxes 
5pt Ew top 2
 

I'm having a small punt on these two horses (obviously).
14:10 at Epsom Downs 
Reverse forecast 
LOOKING FOR LYNDA
&
LIHOU.
I'm betting that both horses finish in the first 4.

Good Morning.
Little tip today (or the one to avoid lol, not brave enough to put it on the "£20.00 Daily Challenge"). 3.20 Epsom, Qitaal. Justin. 

Wow...the fun lasted long 😂 

The distance angle depends on the age of a horse. EG this time of year most of last years 2yo horses are stepping up in distance, but lets say you have a moderate 5 year old that has never won over the distance that is stepping up in trip it is usually a desperate attempt by the trainer to try something new, we see this at all levels including group races. With speed figures you basically have 2 choices 1. Use the pure figure or 2. Try to chip away using a list of criteria that you have to decide which one to back in a tight handicap. Big problem i have identified is that you can end up with too many variables thus end up throwing the baby out with the bath water. Think of all the variables/considerations you can come up with and list them to see what i mean and then post them on here. Others will quickly point out which ones you missed off your list.

Morning all 👋🏼
Best of luck today 🐎💷
Two plays for me...

Wow 
..that was a bit of a head scratcher race ....no where to be seen .... 1.5 PT profit on the day ....it's still more than I started 🤣

Would you believe that's the hat trick! 
Had a fiver with a 50% odds boost. Shame I didn't roll them over as a treble! 

Just for a bit of interest on the TV races
Newbury 2.40 BALLYMOUNT BOY 6/1 - Ladbrokes
Newbury 3.15 REVICH 45/1 - Ladbrokes EW (5 places)

150 A Donny Boy 14/1 ew  1/5 4 places bet365
Racingpost Top speed 
First time cheek pieces:  Alexander 1/4 ( 25%) p1 this year. 
Alexander is 21% at track this year +24
56% in getting a place ( inc. 4 places ) in all handicaps this year. 
 

Re The Brigadier's summary of the Greenham, the reason Zoum Zoum does not have a Guineas entry is because as a gelding he is barred from the race.

225 Ayr champion hurdle 
Favour and fortune. 9.0 11/2 
First street.  8.9 12.0 Betfair 
These two are a bit clear clear of rest ...I'll try 5pt wins both 😁

Percy's lad 2nd ...good run 

Newb 315 
Lattam 8.9 10/1 
Navagio. 8.9 10/1 
Real gain. 8.9 14/1 
3 wAy tie ....prices are bet365 are great currently compared to others ...so posted early ......and forecasts all 3 

5/1 2nd by a nostril hair, the racing gods aren't with me. Joined on the line and has lost by nose at most. 
Still money back as had it e/w but so frustrating. 
Both suggested bets today have gone off 5/1 and placed so no damage done but could have been a lovely day with a little more luck. 

"dark thirty " to brighten the day

It's all profit ......another +35.00 in the kitty 

445 Newmarket 
Bolsena... has shown enough to suggest he could take a weakish looking race like this ....interesting that Ryan Moore takes the ride ....I'll try 5pts Ew 5/1 b365 (generally 7/2)

525 Newmarket 
Carrytheone  8.9 20/1 bet365
Percy's lad. 8.9 16/1 bet365 
Northern express. 8.5 
Pearle dor.  8.5 
Pearle dor sets the standard at 9/2 so the top 2 rated look very good value .....they've not had a run so hard to know where they are fitness wise so I'll keep bets small .....2pts Ew top 2 .... And 0.5 PT rev forecast ...total 9 PTS 

2nd to a 20/1 shot....cursed 🤣

Brilliant Richard. Have you rated tonight’s Euromillions by any chance?!

Wow ....photo between hafeet Alain and Dutch decoy ...gutted I didn't get the winner but forecast and Ew ....I'm actually shocked how the computer found that .....forecast has paid 182.88 ....plus around 20 from Dutch that's 202.88 ....making a total of +437.00 on last three weeks ...jeez 
 

255 Newmarket 
Bopedro. 8.8 10/1 
Dutch decoy.  8.8 16/1 
Hafeet Alain. 8.5 14/1 
Tricky race this one ....I'm not a huge fan of backing older horses and all these are of the older generation but computer is saying to back these even though they haven't got brill form .....gonna be an interesting one ....5pt Ew top 2 .....forecasts all 3