Blazing Bailey
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Posts posted by Blazing Bailey
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Re: BBOTD Sunday 8th of April Towcester 340 - Ruby Crown 9/2 BetVictor 1pt Win BOG Ruby Crown looks to have the best chance and heads the market. He has C&D form off 2lb lower and his profile suggest he has more to offer in my eyes.
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Re: Jumps - Sunday 8th April Towcester 240 – Thorseby 8/1 1pt Win Bet365 & Cecily Parsely This race looks set to be dominated by the two favourites of which I think Cecily Parsley looks the best treated and is the one I think will win although given the price of 6/4 at the moment I will look elsewhere. The other favourite Rivermouth doesn’t look one to trust IMO and even though the 2nd of his previous race has won NTO, off such a lowly mark it should have been expected somewhat. Of the others Thorseby catches my eye the most. His previous 3rd came in similar conditions to today and the form looks solid. With the stiffer track & extra distance looking as if they will suit, there might just be more to come. Witchs Hat ran well LTo but given his overall profile Im not sure he will back that up while Midnight Charmer could potentially run a big race as the form of his 2nd on soft at Fontwell looks good with the 3rd & 4th winning next time. However, I have come to distrust all form on softer ground at Fontwell as form seems to go out of the window in those conditions so I will pass on this occasion. Towcester 340 – Ruby Crown 1pt Win 9/2 BetVictor & King Ozzy 10/1 1pt WinBet365 This looks quite a competitive race and cases can be made for a few of these. Giant of Murchu looks to have solid form claims although might be too high in the weights now, Swiss Guard is interesting on good ground but looks as if further will suit and Midnight Spirit might run well despite the trainer claiming he want it softer after pulling up on his previous run (considering he has won in the past on GF!?) Of my selections Ruby Crown looks to have the best chance and heads the market. He has C&D form off 2lb lower and his profile suggest he has more to offer in my eyes. King Ozzy could be interesting have been refreshed by a break, considering he won a class 3 handicap on his return last spring. He possibly looks as though he wants a stiff 2miles which he will get here. His runs since his last win have mainly been in conditions that haven’t fully suited and whilst I would have expected him to perform better on a couple of them occasions I wouldn’t be surprised to see him bounce back here. Another one I almost forgot is Samizdat who's previous run suggests he may be returning to form. Currently around 14/1 I may look to have a small EW bet if the price drifts a little.
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Plumpton 405 – Colins Desire 10/1 1pt Win Bet365 & Carriglea Wood 4/1 1pt Win Bet365 There are two shortish price favourites and while they look to have a decent chance, the 5/2 currently on offer for Ballyoneen and 2/1 for Sieglande don’t represent any value whatsoever in my eyes especially when the former isn’t the greatest of jumpers & the latter has been off the track for a bit. Of my two selections, Colins Desire looks to have a workable mark with the proposition of more to come. The ground & distance will suit and this slight drop in class will help. 10/1 looks too big for me to leave alone. Carriglea Wood is an interesting one as the form of his Leicester 5th looks very strong those finishing ahead all going on to win again since, suggesting he might have more to offer. He looks very much a stayer so the increased trip will help, but he may want longer or just simply not have enough speed to win many races. Time will tell and while 4/1 looks about right with these conditions to suit. Plumpton 435 – James Pollard 12/1 1pt Win Ladbrokes & Double Handful 7/2 1pt Win Ladbrokes Again this is a race with a short price favourite that I am looking to take on. Ladbrokes have Ugo at 5/4 with the rest of the firms a bit longer and the James Pollard is half the price with the other main firms which suggest those at Ladbrokes have either priced it up wrong or know something we don’t! Ugo won really well LTO and it is no surprise to see him as the favourite but like the others he has question marks to answer. Firstly he seems to need genuinely quick ground and with potential showers forecast for tomorrow he might not get that here. Secondly looking through the form of his previous win in novice company, the 2nd place was OR 121 however by my reckoning that looks very harsh on what he has achieved and a mark of around the 100 mark and similarly the 3rd place in that race doesn’t look worthy of their rating which raises questions about what he really beat. Off 107 himself today, judging on my comment above, it still wouldn’t have him weighted out of it, but with the combination of the potential ground & it only being 4 days since that run makes me think he is vulnerable. So that leaves the question of who I should back. James Pollard’s form from LTO looks very strong with the 1st, 2nd & 4th all winning NTO! That should leave him with some room for manoeuvre and with him already having C&D form as well as proven on both good and good to soft ground I think he is a massive price. Of the others, Double Handful also looks to possibly have a little in hand. Judging purely on his last run where he was 5L behind a 130+ winner (NTO) he could do well off of his current mark of 120. My worry with him is that the form before that amounts to very little and the 3rd place of his previous race doesn’t help his case either. I probably should leave this one alone but with conditions to suit again, I am willing to gamble that there he does have more to offer, albeit at small stakes. Rajamead is another who could turn up with a shout tomorrow. He needs softer ground which he may or may not get, but I get the feeling he may be weighted up to his best for the time being so I will pass. Oasis Knight has been off the track for a while and also races with out his normal headgear so I will pass & Silver Lily has also been off but does look like a market mover.
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Re: BBOTD Saturday 7th of April Carlisle - 215 - Rupert Bear 8/1 1pt Win Bet365 BOG By my figures this horses previous form leaves him with a few pounds in hand and his last run was a bit of an eye catcher. He should be better today and 8/1 is a great price and far to big against an average field where I think a couple of the favourite's form has been exagerated or where conditions wont suit as well today.
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Re: BBOTD Thursday 5th of April
So it was you that cursed mine then! :p hahaGood to see Blazing Bailey and Robertob have backed the same horses as I have with small stakes, hope they run well lads :ok For BBOTD though I will go for something different to keep it interesting: EVENINGOFELEGANCE in the 17.25 at Clonmel, currently best priced @ 7/1 with PADDYPOWER (BOG) In its last run at Fairyhouse (which it finished 7th) Ruby Walsh rode the winner and today he saddles EveningOfElegance to hopefully change its fortunes. Today it makes its handicap debut and is already backed in from 9/1, no doubt from the 'Ruby Factor'. If I absolutely had to pick it a horse in this field it would be between this and Pretty Happy which started off 7/2 with Paddypower but can be taken now at 6/1 with Boylesports, (Ah sorry BH for naming another horse) but to be honest there isn't much to go on. It is its run at Naas which leads me to the 7/1 shot. It can manage the distance and Ruby will bring out the best. -
Re: Jumps - Thursday 5th April
Got these two completely wrong as both were never travelling and got pulled up. Not quite what happened there really. I still think that Material Boy is really well handicapped and providing there isnt some sort of problem I will be looking to back him again. Well played Aidymac, that was a great shout!Ludlow 450 - Material Boy 8/1 3pt Win Bet365 & Hoare Abbey 7/1 1pt Win bet365 -
Re: Saturday 14th April - Race 5 - John Smith's Grand National Right then finally gone through them all and come up with my list of bets. There are quite a few at the moment which I will probably whittle down a little or look to lay off closer to the time but anyway here is goes: Any Ground Killyglen - W&EW - My best chance I think already stated in the post above by Jinxy. Ballabriggs - W&EW - I still think he has a great chance even with the extra burden. I may look to lay the win part of the bet in running (as he is likely to be towards the front) but will certainly be on EW. According To Pete - EW - Not sure on this one but fits all the main trends. Junior - W - The price is too short for me in the National for an EW as well but if he manages to stay upright then he has a chance. Cappa Bleu - EW - I have already put a line through this one but re-instated it as I cant quite decide whether he has a chance or not. Softer Ground Giles Cross - W&EW - I also think this horse has a great shout and I have backed it already but I will be topping up if it comes out soft. West End Rocker - W&EW - This one will only be on if the ground is properly soft. I dont like the long lay off for this horse which suggests something might have affected his preperation but he won his last race really well and wouldnt want to miss out on a hunch. Good or Firmer Only Alpha Beat - EW - Not sure on this one either but Im struggling to rule it out. Planet of Sound - W&EW - I already have a little backed & layed on this but may top up. Again not entirely convinced but not comfortable in putting a line through it just yet. Shakalakaboomboom - EW - This breaks one of the major trends in only have 9 chase starts and I might still not have a bet on it because of that. He jumps & he stays all day but and while I want to cross him off but gut instict is to keep him for the time being. Always Right - W&EW - Seems to hate soft ground and I putting a line through his previous runs on that surface as he was impressive before that. Even his last run on soft he was cruising into contention before being pulled up a couple out. A couple more I might re-instate are Sea Bass & BecauseIcouldntsee. Im not convinced the former will stay just yet but need to go through all of them and check the ratings. Ballabriggs, Killyglen & Giles Cross are my three to be on at the moment, with the always solid State Of Play as a EW only contender!
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Re: Flat Racing 5th April (Folkestone)
Im on this one too, for more or less the same reason although I think the favourite is a worthy one if he can overcome the layoff. I will probably look to do them both in a small RF as well depending on the prices although I wouldnt be surprised to see the favourite drift in the morning.3.10 Folkestone Seeking Magic could be a little better than some of these but became very frustrating last year and although did win on last start and did win comfortably 7lb rise might be a little harsh on that form it was a standard big field race at Bath but might be better for the run and not one to take at a short price. A chance is taken on Roodee Queen who hasnt been at her best on the AW, handicapper a little slow to cut some slack but is now on same winning mark at the top of her winning spell last year, a CD winner who might get a soft lead in this race wouldnt mind a small amount of rain over night. 3 runs should atleast set her up nicely for a summer campaign and looks a ad overpriced and worth taking a risk on. 1pt win Roodee Queen 9/1 bet365 -
Re: BBotD - Wed 4th April 2012
Cheers Jimmy! My first ever BBOTD to come in! Fingers crossed for more to come!Cracking Post' date= and well done. -
Re: Jumps - Weds April 4th
Winnnerrrssss & a place! :nana I always thought George Woolf had a great chance and just a little disappointed I didnt trust my judgement a little more. Same can be said fo Tallulah Mai who well and truly bolted up. I thought she had a great chance but wasnt expecting that! Must admit after posting on here I thought the selection of Sulpius was a bit of a stinker and upon reflection would get anywhere near, so to finish 3rd was a little bit of a surprise, although I still lost my money as I didnt have it EW (SP was 14-1 as well!).Exeter 420 – George Woolf 1pt Win 7/1 Bet365 Dukes Art is a worthy favourite in this after his last run but Im not sure the step down in trip will suit him and therefore I will look to take him on. The selection’s last run of last season was fairly impressive having beaten a currently 120 rated rival by 1 length giving him 2llbs. That entitles him to have some manoeuvre of this mark, and his last run (back from a break) saw him seemingly lacking for fitness at the business end and it is hoped he will come on for that. The race doesn’t look bad, with the 3rd place winning & the 2nd place placing NTO. If there is a market for it I might look to back this one w/out the favourite and see what price I can get. Of the other runners, the on fire McCain & Maguire partnership horse is to be feared as they seem to improve from nowhere at the moment but aside from that there isn’t too much else. Hereford 240 Tallulah Mai 1pt Win 5/1 Bet365 This horses previous third actually looks like quite strong form which should give this mare a chance. I don’t normally like backing horses after a lay off but it seems like she might prefer to be best as most of her better form appears to be after a break. 410 Sulpius – 1pt Win 10/1 Bet365 I think a few horses here have a sniff but Im hoping conditions will suit this one the most. He likes decent ground so hopefully the rain stays away but like the previous horse seemed to do well after a break and a previous 3rd could give him a chance tomorrow. -
Ludlow 450 - Material Boy 8/1 3pt Win Bet365 & Hoare Abbey 7/1 1pt Win bet365 Material Boy's form against some decent rivals when a promising third to Swing Bowler which makes him around 10lb well in on my ratings and he prefers the firmer surface and should appreciate the step up in trip. He is up against some unexposed rivals but for me he is by far the pick of the bunch and if I am right he should win doing cartwheels. Although just in case im not right :eek, I think Hoare Abbey also is a few pounds ahead of the handicapper and will have a decent chance now back on a better surface. Of the others I think Caminero is over rated with the form is his 3rd to Il De Re not doing to well & while Rowlestone Lad looks on a decent mark the trainer has previously said that 2m4f would stretch him (albeit on a softer surface) and that he would be aimed at handicaps up to 2m4f. This is only slightly further but im not sure how much this step up in trip will suit and I think the handicapper has overrated him slightly as well.
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Re: BBOTD Thursday 5th of April Ludlow 450 - Material Boy 8/1 Bet365 BOG 1pt Win This horses form against some decent rivals makes him around 10lb well in on my ratings and he prefers the firmer surface and should appreciate the step up in trip. He is up against some unexposed rivals but for me he is by far the pick of the bunch and if I am right he should win doing cartwheels.
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Re: Saturday 14th April - Race 5 - John Smith's Grand National
Ive had an each way wager on Killyglen with Bet365 (NRNB). He races off 10st 4lb and recently won over 3m2f in good style. He has been campaigned over hurdles from his run in the grand national last year to protect his mark and was travelling and jumping upsides Ballabrigs in last years race before he fell 3 or 4 out off a 5lb higher mark. He has only fell once in his career and is usually a sound jumper. Most firms shortened up from 33 to 20's but he is generally available at 25' date='s.[/quote'] He is one of my main fancies as well. Fits all the major trends as far as I can see and I like to have a horse that has experienced it all before. -
Re: BBotD - Wed 4th April 2012 EXE 420 – George Woolf 1pt Win 7/1 Bet365 Dukes Art is a worthy favourite in this after his last run but Im not sure the step down in trip will suit him and therefore I will look to take him on. The selection’s last run of last season was fairly impressive having beaten a currently 120 rated rival by 1 length giving him 2llbs. That entitles him to have some manoeuvre of this mark, and his last run (back from a break) saw him seemingly lacking for fitness at the business end and it is hoped he will come on for that. The race doesn’t look bad, with the 3rd place winning & the 2nd place placing NTO. If there is a market for it I might look to back this one w/out the favourite and see what price I can get. Of the other runners, the on fire McCain & Maguire partnership horse is to be feared as they seem to improve from nowhere at the moment but aside from that there isn’t too much else. EDIT - forgot to put where the race was!
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Exeter 420 – George Woolf 1pt Win 7/1 Bet365 Dukes Art is a worthy favourite in this after his last run but Im not sure the step down in trip will suit him and therefore I will look to take him on. The selection’s last run of last season was fairly impressive having beaten a currently 120 rated rival by 1 length giving him 2llbs. That entitles him to have some manoeuvre of this mark, and his last run (back from a break) saw him seemingly lacking for fitness at the business end and it is hoped he will come on for that. The race doesn’t look bad, with the 3rd place winning & the 2nd place placing NTO. If there is a market for it I might look to back this one w/out the favourite and see what price I can get. Of the other runners, the on fire McCain & Maguire partnership horse is to be feared as they seem to improve from nowhere at the moment but aside from that there isn’t too much else. Hereford 240 Tallulah Mai 1pt Win 5/1 Bet365 This horses previous third actually looks like quite strong form which should give this mare a chance. I don’t normally like backing horses after a lay off but it seems like she might prefer to be best as most of her better form appears to be after a break. 410 Sulpius – 1pt Win 10/1 Bet365 I think a few horses here have a sniff but Im hoping conditions will suit this one the most. He likes decent ground so hopefully the rain stays away but like the previous horse seemed to do well after a break and a previous 3rd could give him a chance tomorrow.
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Re: Jumps - Tuesday April 3rd
A win & place for me today. The more I thought about the first one the more i liked and it duly hosed up. I did top up a little more but feel it was a bit of a missed opportunity! A couple of the fancied horses dropped out of the 2nd race so didnt get much back on the EW but something is better than nothing. I did also have Kealigolane so quite sure where my write up of that disappeared to?! Overall though it sounds like Sedgefield was a bit of a wash out in the end so was probably a bit lucky to get my returns back on them! Its hard enough trying to decipher form, let alone be a bloody weatherman as well!Fontwell 310 – River D’Or 1pt Win 13/2 Paddy Power Having looked through the card there are a few that seem well out of form and can (hopefully) be scratched from my list. I have whittled it down to four, but realistically I think it is down to two horses. Firstly the favourite (Salut Honore 13/8) looks to be a decent horse who is showing steady improvement but I don’t think its particularly easy to judge the form of his races and from my eye he might find it a little tough of his new mark. My selection looks to be on a good mark judged by his head 2nd at Catterick where the winner has since been placed off 114, and the race at Doncaster where he fell at the last where he would have beaten horses rated 5-10lbs better. His recent runs have been less encouraging but they were both tough asks and they look to have helped create a bit of value. He also has the aid of a 7lb claimer to ease the burden from top weight. Others I am slightly wary of are Double Chocolate who won off a slightly lower mark over 22f here at Fontwell but that race looked very weak with the 2nd & 3rd placed horses coming back off of long lay offs and tiring up the hill, and at 7/2 I think he is too short. The other one is El Diego who isn’t a great jumper and has been in poor form for his last couple of runs, but seems to prefer this trip and also the sounder surface. Sedgefield 300 – Sam Patch .5pts EW 8/1 Bet365 & Mister Bloom 1pt Win 5/1 Bet365 Of my selections Sam Patch is an interesting one. His run at Musselbrough was encouraging as he split 90 rated rivals. He was disappointing NTO which has be questioning how valid that form us, but with only 3 chase starts to his name, I am willing to have a speculative punt that he may improve. He is currently 8-1 but that feels a little short and will probably drift in the morning so may be worth waiting for. -
Re: A Question & Idea Not sure if anything like this has been mentioned, but on one of the main races at the weekend, maybe we could have some sort of vote facility (like they do on the RP) so for that one race everyone could nominate which horse they think will win (or a 1-2-3 points based) and then by the theory of large numbers (or small educated numbers :D) we as a group could potentially pick the winner or 1-3? Might not exactly be ground breaking but could be interesting nevertheless and could help market how knowledgeable we are as a group of punters (or how useless we all are!)?
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Re: BBOTD Tuesday 3rd of April Also quite fancy Abi Scarlet myself, so its bound to lose now! Sedgefield 300 – Mister Bloom 1pt Win 5/1 Bet365 BOG Mister Bloom is my main shout and like a couple of the others be has been placed amongst better horses and having lost by ½ length to a 90 rated rival (who has placed off the mark twice after). LTO was his first run on good ground and he seemed to improve for it, so I am hoping for more of the same tomorrow.
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Fontwell 310 – River D’Or 1pt Win 13/2 Paddy Power Having looked through the card there are a few that seem well out of form and can (hopefully) be scratched from my list. I have whittled it down to four, but realistically I think it is down to two horses. Firstly the favourite (Salut Honore 13/8) looks to be a decent horse who is showing steady improvement but I don’t think its particularly easy to judge the form of his races and from my eye he might find it a little tough of his new mark. My selection looks to be on a good mark judged by his head 2nd at Catterick where the winner has since been placed off 114, and the race at Doncaster where he fell at the last where he would have beaten horses rated 5-10lbs better. His recent runs have been less encouraging but they were both tough asks and they look to have helped create a bit of value. He also has the aid of a 7lb claimer to ease the burden from top weight. Others I am slightly wary of are Double Chocolate who won off a slightly lower mark over 22f here at Fontwell but that race looked very weak with the 2nd & 3rd placed horses coming back off of long lay offs and tiring up the hill, and at 7/2 I think he is too short. The other one is El Diego who isn’t a great jumper and has been in poor form for his last couple of runs, but seems to prefer this trip and also the sounder surface. Sedgefield 300 – Sam Patch .5pts EW 8/1 Bet365 & Mister Bloom 1pt Win 5/1 Bet365 This is an interesting looking race with a few horses that could win. Oh Right is a worth favourite on form splitting 80-90 rated rivals the last couple of times over fences but this is his 3rd race in 10 days and also a step up in trip (best form is at shorter) and because of that I will look elsewhere. Frosty Lad is the 2nd favourite and improved from nowhere to win his last race. Im not sure what to make of that race (although he did beat Mister Bloom) but the trainer says that the horse is difficult to catch right which is enough for me to not have a bet until the day horses learn to talk and can tell me they are up for it. Barr Head is one with potential improvement in him and 10/1 could look massive tomorrow, but he has a tendency to jump right and I don’t know what the form amounts to. Of my selections Sam Patch is an interesting one. His run at Musselbrough was encouraging as he split 90 rated rivals. He was disappointing NTO which has be questioning how valid that form us, but with only 3 chase starts to his name, I am willing to have a speculative punt that he may improve. He is currently 8-1 but that feels a little short and will probably drift in the morning so may be worth waiting for. Mister Bloom is my main shout and like a couple of the others be has been placed amongst better horses and having lost by ½ length to a 90 rated rival (who has placed off the mark twice after). LTO was his first run on good ground and he seemed to improve for it, so I am hoping for more of the same tomorrow. 430 – Rey Nacardo 7/2 & Belleflower Boy 9/4 3pt Win Bet365 Both of these look ahead of their marks and should have the quality to win this race. Im not a fan of short prices but these look warranted. One that might intrigue me in the morning is Esme Rides A Gaine who is ahead of his mark but has to shoulder being 19lb wrong. Might be worth an EW but probably not. 500 – Plunkett 1pt Win Looks on a good mark based on last season’s good ground form and hopefully the surface will bring the best out of him having been below par on soft more recently.
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Re: Monday 2nd April - Jumps Racing Disappointing day for me! Soul Magic was outpaced at a key stage by Kai Broon was a class apart and should be able to win again soon. Rudemeister was unlucky to bump into Malin Bay who had finally remembered how to jump after UR the last twice and not being at all fluent before that. He beat the rest though but thats not really any consolation if you didnt bet EW! Stick Together never really travelled like I expected and despite rallying a couple of times (before fading or ploughing through a fence) she was no match for the front two.
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Re: Best Bet of The Day Monday 2nd of April Kelso 330 – Soul Magic 5/1 1pt Win Bet365 BOG This is only a 5 runner chase but I think the first two in the market are plenty short enough which has created some value for my selection who I think has a bit in hand judged on the form of a couple of his previous wins and slightly more recent 2nd. He finished 5th back from his winter break LTO and should be spot on for this. He has won at the class & distance and while the favourite (The Thirsty Bricky) is on an upward curve, he is up 10lb and all his form has been on softer ground. The 2nd favourite (Kai Broon) is only making his second chase start and is certainly unexposed in this sphere but its hard to know how good he is judged on his debut in a 3 runner field. If that form is taken at face value then he should be well in here but at the prices I am happy to take him on.
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Kelso 330 – Soul Magic 5/1 2pt Win Bet365 This is only a 5 runner chase but I think the first two in the market are plenty short enough which has created some value for my selection who I think has a bit in hand judged on the form of a couple of his previous wins and slightly more recent 2nd. He finished 5th back from his winter break LTO and should be spot on for this. He has won at the class & distance and while the favourite (The Thirsty Bricky) is on an upward curve, he is up 10lb and all his form has been on softer ground. The 2nd favourite (Kai Broon) is only making his second chase start and is certainly unexposed in this sphere but its hard to know how good he is judged on his debut in a 3 runner field. If that form is taken at face value then he should be well in here but at the prices I am happy to take him on. 500 – Rudemeister 4/1 1pt Win Boylesports Quite simply this is an average contest where several runners have question marks either over current form on the race conditions. I think this fellow is probably on a decent mark, and while the step down in trip probably isn’t ideal, he is also down in grade and could get his neck in front. 530 – Stick Together 4/1 1pt Win – Boylesports Again this is another average contest with question marks over several runners. While the selection’s overall record isn’t inspiring this distance will probably suit her down to the ground (Staying on over shorter & tiring over further) and because of that we will probably see some improvement. I think her mark is fair for what she has achieved but hopefully the anticipated improvement at this distance will make the difference, although I am a little wary that this is a rise in class for her.
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Re: Sunday 1st April Flat Racing
Don't let that put you off Blazing Bailey' date=' your ideas on why a horse will go well will certainly help people become more confident if they see different reasons for the same animal. Get involved :ok[/quote'] To be honest its probably a good job I didnt. I did have Penitent but that was about it. This is my first season of paying attention to flat form at the start of the season (if that makes sense) but it seems a bit of a lottery at the moment, although I find any big handicap is! -
Re: Jumps - April 1st
Winner! Although only just! Drifted to 9-1 as well which is always a pleasant surprise and gives me a small profit for the day. Got the first horribly wrong and although I havent seen the race it sounds liek Lexis Boy was a comfortable winner. I am a little disappointed Clarion Call didnt get a little closer. Should have really left the 4.05 alone but couldnt help myself. :spank515 – Joseph Lister 16/1 0.5pt EW BetVictor, Imperial Circus 13/2 1pt Win Stan James & Kasbaldi 15/2 1pt Win BetVictor.Kasabaldi looks to have a couple of pounds in hand from my workings. He only just beat Whispering Jack who re-opposes today over a shorter trip, but while my selection has improved since then, the latter has gone backwards (albeit possibly down to ground etc). Obviously that means that WJ is much better weighted now BUT his 24f form isn’t as good as Kasabaldi’s and while I notice WJ has been well back over night, I still think my selection has the better chance.
Flat Racing Sunday 8th of April
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
Re: Flat Racing Sunday 8th of April Musselburgh 530 - Here Now & Why 11/2 1pt Win Betvictor & Green Warrior 20/1 .5pt EW Bet365 Here Now & Why is a C&D winner who has won at a higher grade than today. Conditions should be in his favour and Im hoping he can match his TS rating of his Hamilton win. New trainer seems to have rejuvinated him as well lately and all depends on whether he needs in the run. Green Warrior is a bit of a long shot and the price rightly reflects that. He seems to have lost his way a little and he doesnt seem to get on with the all weather so I would scratch off them runs. Back on the turf he has run around this current mark with his TS figures on this ground and he has won at this course (albeit in a weak race). His recent run at Redcar will have hopefully blown away any cobwebs (8th of 8) and although its a shot in the dark, I have my fingers crossed that he can show his true form.