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Darran
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Darran got a reaction from yossa6133 in Road to the Cheltenham Festival Hunter Chase 2022
Verdict - I think Bob And Co has to be the bet. I was of the belief last year that he was the horse that should have been favourite in the race and I still think he looks the classiest horse in the contest. Obviously he has to get round safely, but it was a slightly unfortunate unseat last year so I am confident he will do so. With Maxwell riding much better this season I'm not so worried about him being on top. Clearly he is no James King or Gina Andrews, but if the horse is good enough then he can get the job done. At the prices and the enhanced place terms he looks a cracking e/w bet. I want some coverage on Dubai Quest because I think he is the most progressive horse in the race. Yes I am concerned about his jumping and that might stop him from winning, but a stronger gallop might actually help on that front and he has a serious engine. Overworkdunderpaid looks the best of those at big odds. The way the race was run at Haydock didn't suit him at all as he is all about stamina. The rain on Wednesday was exactly what he wanted as he is at his best in testing conditions and whilst it will dry out a bit by race time it should still be ideal for him. He looks an improved horse this season based on his pointing and Haydock runs. Clearly Billaway is going to be a leading contender again, but I can let him win at the price he is as he's way too short for me. If Pont Aven stays then he might well be involved in the finish, but for me that's a fairly big if and I'm not sure Winged Leader can uphold the Thurles form with Billaway let alone win. Bob And Co 2pts e/w @ 7/1 with Paddy Power, Betfair, BetVictor and Betfred all to 4 places. Bet365 are 13/2 to 5 places (take up to 5/1 e/w and then 2.5pts win up to 7/2) Dubai Quest 1pt e/w @ 14/1 with Paddy Power, Betfair, BetVictor and Betfred all to 4 places. Ladbrokes and Coral are 11/1 for 5 places (take up to 8/1) Overworkdunderpaid 1pt e/w @ 33/1 with Coral and Ladbrokes to 5 places and Betfred to 4 places (take up to 16/1) Fakenham preview I am not surprised at all to see Not That Fuisse become favourite over Actival. I thought he ran really well in his first hunter chase at Ludlow when staying on well to finish 3rd behind Hogans Height. He came from behind and I think they rode him to get the trip which given the way he finished his race off wasn't an issue in the end. Last time at Ludlow he was just creeping into contention when unfortunately a horse fell right in front of him and he had nowhere to go. Pont Aven won very easily in the end so I doubt he would have won, but I like to think he would have at least finished 2nd. He is at his best on decent ground and whilst the rain on Wednesday wouldn't have helped, Fakenham rarely gets testing and two drying days since then should mean the ground will be fine and it was soft when he was 3rd at Ludlow anyway. I can only see him getting shorter in the betting and he looks to have an excellent chance. When Actival ran ahead of Southwell last week I wrote that his pointing form so far this season left him with a lot to find with the other leading fancies in the race. It was probably a personal best so far this season when finishing 2nd, but that race fell apart big time. Global Racing went at the first and Salvatore clearly didn't run his race. The fact that serial loser Deau Vivant ended up winning the race says a lot for me about the form going forward. I certainly would have backed Not That Fuisse to have won that Southwell contest and with Amy being by far the worse jockey out of the 3 leading contenders I think he will need something to happen at least to Not That Fuisse and probably Peacocks Secret as well if he is going to win. Peacocks Secret is a course and distance winner which is always a big plus round here after he won here last March. That race fell apart a bit as well, but he followed that up with a very good 3rd at Cheltenham. The 3rd at Duncombe Park on his seasonal debut was a fair effort and I thought he ran well enough at Leicester last time with 2 good horses in front of him. He handles any ground so that doesn't matter and he is likely to make the running under his very good jockey. I think he is certainly capable of beating Actival and if something happens to the favourite he can take advantage. I'm really confident about the chances of Not That Fuisse here as I think he is currently running to a higher level of form than Actival. Given I don't fancy Actival at all I thought it was worth having a saver on Peacocks Secret as he is also over priced and he could well get an time of things out in front. Dale is very good at judging the pace so that does make him dangerous. If Actival wins then I have either got very unlucky or I have got the race badly wrong! Not That Fuisse 4pts @ Evs with Bet365, William Hill, BetVictor and Betfred (take up to 8/11)Peacock Secret 1pt @ 5/1 with most firms (take up to 3/1) -
Darran got a reaction from The Brigadier in Road to the Cheltenham Festival Hunter Chase 2022
23 horses are still in the Cheltenham Hunters Chase at the 6 day stage and here are my thoughts on all the runners. I am going to hold off on putting any bets up at the moment as I think it is worth waiting until after the final decs as there will be extra places on offer for e/w bets. Back Bar - Managed to beat Cousin Pascal in a point at Charing on his seasonal return which on the face of it is obviously a strong piece of form, but Cousin Pascal didn't give his true running that day. He followed that up by pulling up on his next start at Ampton and then was 2nd at Milborne St Andrew. He did manage to win a hunter chase at Leicester last time, but it wasn't a strong affair especially in the context of this race and it is hard to see him being anywhere near good enough. Billaway - Will be a big surprise if he doesn't go off favourite for the 3rd year running, but will he finish 2nd for the 3rd year running? He was a bit unfortunate to bump into Porlock Bay last year because the pair finished well clear of the rest and after not really enjoying Aintree he then bounced back to push Bob and Co all the way to the line at Punchestown. This season he had an early season setback and we didn't see him until January where his trainer said he would need the run and he certainly ran like it finishing a 12L 2nd to Winged Leader. He was much better last time at Naas though when won with ease jumping well apart from one error. He wore cheekpieces for the first time and he did seem to travel much better in them. The big problem is he essentially beat little as his stablemate Good Bye Sam is still a maiden and was beaten in a very weak Maiden Hunters' Chase last week at long odds on. In recent years you have wanted to be 10 or 11 to win this race and he is now 10. A repeat of last year's run might well be good enough, but does he really deserve to be such a short priced favourite given Bob And Co beat him at Punchestown and he hasn't actually achieved a great deal in either of his runs this season? I don't think so personally and whilst I can obviously see him being good enough to win, I just couldn't be backing him at the price he is Bob And Co - David Maxwell wasn't able to ride in this race last year and he ended up unseating Sean Bowen at 3 out when he was still going very well. Obviously it is impossible to know where he would have finished, but I think he would have been in the first 3 given how he travelled and obviously the fact he won at Punchestown proves he has the ability to win this. If you were following my hunter chase previews last season then you will know that opposing David Maxwell horses was a great way to make money as he was riding poorly. He got injured in a fall which meant he didn't ride for a while and then Covid rules stopped him from riding. To start with he didn't look fit enough and then his decision making was shocking and he was getting beaten on horses that really should have been winning. Indeed he only rode 3 winners one of which was Bob And Co beating trees at Hexham, one was Dolphin Square winning a match at Kelso and the other was Bob And Co at Punchestown. This current jumps season though he has been riding as well as he ever has and he might not get a better chance of winning this race than he will this year. I know Bob And Co got beat at Haydock, but they went a crawl in very bad ground and Cousin Pascal was just able to do the him and the 3rd for speed. Paul Nicholls said before and after the race that he was being trained to peak for Cheltenham and he would come on for the run at Haydock. I also think that the reason Maxwell didn't make it more of a stamina test was because he knew the horse needed the run and I reckon Paul would have told him to mind him in the bad ground so he didn't leave his race behind. If there is one negative about him then his jumping isn't always foot perfect, as he showed a year ago, but otherwise I don't see how he wont be involved in the finish. Cousin Pascal - A slightly surprising runner as all the vibes were he was going to go to Aintree to try and hold onto his crown there. Connections though have decided to come here first and I don't really blame them for having a go given they have already won at Aintree they may as well try and win this. As his trainer said in an article last week the owner might never get a horse good enough to go to Cheltenham again. He has had two disappointing runs since coming to this country one was at Alnwick last season and the other at Charing this season when he was only 2nd to Back Bar. His trainer has mentioned that he travels badly and that is why he disappointed on those occasions and you would have that in the back of your mind here as it wouldn't be a really close journey for him. After Charing he was 2nd to Wagner at Hereford in a race which has worked out very well given Wagner won at Wincanton, albeit in fortunate circumstances and the 3rd has also won since. His trainer thought he idled that day and the reason he got beat was because Marcle Ridge wasn't able to take him further into the race. I'm not really buying that though because he didn't look to me as if he idled at Aintree. Joe also said he idled at Haydock, but Bob And Co and Overworkdunderpaid seemed to close up on him without being ridden all that hard. He certainly had fitness on his side over Bob And Co and I think the form will be reversed especially over a much stiffer stamina test. As I said above they went a crawl and that played into James Kings hands as he had more speed than the others. If they had made it more of a stamina test I reckon you might have got a different result and I'm not sure 3m2f round Cheltenham run in a race likely to be run at a strong pace is going to play to his strengths. What he does have on his side is one of the best jockey's in the race and he's clearly a very good horse so if he did happen to stay then he probably won't be far away. Desire De Joie - Won a very weak Mens Open at Charing on his debut for new connections, but did manage to follow that up with a superb performance at Doncaster when just getting caught by Dolphin Square late on. He beat Le Breuil by further than Dubai Quest did at Wetherby so on the Doncaster run you have to give him some sort of chance, but that effort does stick out like a sore thumb compared to the rest of his form and I would be a bit surprised if he was capable of reaching the frame. Don Bersy - In 2020 he refused to race in a point and then at Ludlow. He then went back pointing and did win on his first start, but then he was reluctant to race and downed tools at the 2nd. He's not been seen this season and even if he did decide to go with the others I couldn't fancy him at all. Dubai Quest - Won 7 on the bounce in points and hunter chases after falling at Larkhill on his first start over here for the Ellis'. He is a very progressive horse and clearly you have to have something about you to win 7 straight. He's had two starts this season to get him prepped for this. I was at Chaddesley Corbett over Christmas to see him win a Ladies Open and it was a very strong contest and will probably be the hottest Ladies Open we see all season. He beat Tango De Juilley that day and some people reckon if you swapped the jockeys around you would have had a different result and it's certainly true that Gina was more vigorous in the finish than the inexperienced jockey on the 2nd, but the 2nd had set a strong gallop and I'm not sure he would have had too much left anyway. Whichever side of the fence you are on it was still a very good return. He then went to Wetherby where he again showed off the engine he has by winning well from Le Breuil. Obviously you would have like that horse to have done better at Doncaster next time to frank the form, but he looked to have plenty in hand at the finish. I think he has a really good chance of giving Gina a first win in the race, but I have one big issue and that is his jumping. When he won at Fakenham last season he made a really bad mistake which caused Gina's sister Bridget to lose her irons. He wasn't completely foot perfect at Chaddesley and although he never looked like falling at Wetherby I thought his jumping left a lot to be desired at times. I'd be amazed if he gets round Cheltenham without making errors so then it boils down to how much those mistakes harm his chances. I think he's good enough to win, but if he was mine I would have given him more experience over rules fences in preparation for this and I just wonder if his jumping will stop him from winning. Fumet D'Oudaires - Both the Ellis runners are around the same price, but for me this horse is very much the second string. Don't get me wrong he has been one of the best buys in a long time given they paid just £800 for him and he's won 8 out of 10 starts including 2 hunter chases at Leicester and Cheltenham. The Cheltenham win came over 2m at the hunter chase night and he then went to Stratford for the John Corbet Cup where he was beaten nearly 3L by Vaucelet. My feeling was he was outstayed that night and if you have enough pace to win over 2m round here I also have doubts about having enough stamina to win this. He's had a couple of runs at Horseheath this season and won both although he made hard work of beating one other finisher last time. I certainly don't blame connections for having a go at this contest, but he could have a better chance in future years as he might stay better then. It Came To Pass - The impressive 2020 winner was a well beaten 7th last year although he did have a bit of a rushed preparation so you can understand why he wasn't at the same level. He was a well beaten 5th behind Bob And Co at Punchestown after that. This season he's just been kept pointing having had 4 starts winning his penultimate one. He was well beaten though when falling last time and I'd be slightly surprised if he was able to beat last year's 7th let alone regain his crown. Lord Schnitzel - He ran at the Festival in 2020 in the handicap novices' chase which doesn't exist anymore and he didn't jump well when pulling up. What he has been though is in good form since going pointing this season. He was 2nd in his first point, but then won 3 before landing a Maiden Hunter Chase in very easy style at Limerick over Christmas. He was then surprisingly beaten in a point at the start of February at 1/2 before winning at the end of the month at 1/8. We don't know if he is going to stay and this will easily be the toughest race he has been in for some time. The other concern is the ground as his best form has been on testing ground. His trainer mentioned he might go for Aintree rather than Cheltenham and that would look to be the better option for me. Mighty Stowaway - Was 6th in this last year and then 10th at Aintree. This season he dead heated with Winged Leader on his seasonal return in November, but I don't think he's shown as much progression as that horse since then. He's been kept busy as well as he's had 5 more starts. He did manage to win a couple, but last time he was very disappointing when pulling up. He's not really looked good enough to be capable of winning this and nothing he has done this season has changed my mind on that front. Monbeg Chit Chat - The bare form of his two wins in points this season is nothing to write home about at all. The winning time at Alnwick last time was good, but the 2nd has been stuffed twice since and was well behind Overworkdunderpaid the time before. On the plus side he won over course and distance on hunter chase night last season and he then went on to finish a very respectable 3rd in the Stratford Foxhunters. He got better as the season went on last year so there is hope that he will improve again here. It's hard to see him being good enough to win, but he does look capable of a very respectable effort. Overworkdunderpaid - On ratings he has little chance in this given the highest mark he won off when under rules before was 113, but based on his pointing and hunter chase run at Haydock he looks an improved horse. He unseated on his first start at Charing, but then was really impressive at Alnwick in December clocking a very fast time and a high pace rating in point to point form book. Given then fact he was carrying 12-10 it was even more impressive that the time was so good. He won at the same venue in January again doing it well. I've no idea why his jockey didn't make it more of a stamina test at Haydock because he clearly stays very well and Cousin Pascal did him for pace whilst Bob And Co just pipped him on the line for 2nd. 3m2f looks much more suitable especially given it is likely to be a decent pace. Kelly Morgan trained him in points, but he has gone back to Laura for hunter chases and the yard have obviously been doing very well in recent weeks. The one issue with him is he does seem to be at his best on testing ground and it doesn't look like he is going to get that on Friday. Even so for me he makes the most appeal of those at big prices. Point The Way - Won a couple of hunter chases at Perth and Kelso last season although they weren't exactly strong affairs. He was a 20L 4th to Overworkdunderpaid on his seasonal return, but he has won both races since including over 3m4f at Charm Park last weekend. He can probably run well enough, but he looks unlikely to have the class to trouble the judge here. Pont Aven - Connections paid £30k for him last year after he left Willie Mullins and after falling on his seasonal debut he was had two very comfortable success' since then. His jockey thought he would have won at Horseheath, but I thought his fall looked a bit of a tired one and I wasn't as certain as his jockey was. After that he has bolted up in an easy race at Higham and won just as easily at Ludlow in a hunter chase. Neither event was particularly strong but he couldn't have been more impressive. There are two concerns for me though. The first has to be the trip. I know he won over 3m in his younger days, but Mullins kept him to 2m4f and shorter after that so he obviously thought that was his best trip. You can't get two flatter tracks than Higham and Ludlow so this test will be totally different. Horseheath is actually more like Cheltenham so if he had stayed on his feet there it would have told us more. Speaking of staying on his feet his jumping has to be a concern as well. He often made mistakes in Ireland and he wasn't always great at Ludlow. He clearly has an engine, but will that engine see him stay 3m2f round Cheltenham? I'm not so sure myself. Premier Magic - The Bradley Gibbs super-sub as he was due to miss Cheltenham and head to Aintree whilst his stablemate Highway Jewel was set to run here, but she has had a setback so plans have been reversed. He was 3rd behind two of these in the John Corbet Cup, but I don't think he was suited by the slow pace round a sharp track and this test ought to be more suitable. I do think he has also improved this season and he beat Porlock Bay on his seasonal return at Chaddesley Corbett over Christmas. Now I suspect Premier Magic might have been nearer peak fitness, but his trainer did say after the race that he thought he had improved since last season. He ran at Milborne St Andrew last time and had a very easy success. The main concern is probably the fact that he wasn't originally going to be running in the race, but that doesn't mean he isn't capable of a big run and I certainly think he will do the best of the John Corbett Cup trio. Rewritetherules - Has shown very little in two starts for his new connections having been a useful enough horse in Ireland. Impossible to fancy. Senor Lombardy - Was trained by Brian Harding last season, but is now running in his wife's name Kelly. The 2nd to The Galloping Bear at Carlisle last March is obviously looking a very strong piece of form although I wouldn't want to be taking that at face value as The Galloping Bear has improved since then. This year he's been kept pointing and was impressive in his two wins at Alnwick whilst finishing 2nd at 4/9 in between them. He is certainly capable of winning a hunter chase, but I think this is more about giving connections a day and anything better than mid-division would be a very good effort. Winged Leader - Given he is only 8 he has had a lot of racing and has already run in 14 hunter chases. He was 2nd in the 2019 John Corbett Cup and won his first hunter chase 2 years ago at Down Royal. He then couldn't get his head in front under rules. He was behind Billaway three times last season and then fell at Thurles when in with a winning chance at the last. There were a couple of 2nds before he finally won again at Tramore in April. He followed that up with a win at Listowel in June. He's found winning points easier and he's 9 from 15 there which includes a dead heat with Mighty Stowaway on his seasonal return. His only other run this season was the 12L victory over Billaway at Thurles which he fully deserved on the day, but as we know the 2nd wasn't fully fit. The big question is has he really improved enough to be a better horse than Billway and thus have a chance of winning this, or was it just a case of he benefitted by a weakened rival the last day because the rest of his form wouldn't be good enough to win this. My feeling is the latter and as much as I could understand if you do think the former and thus think he is value to beat him again, for me I have to take him on. Zamparelli - Won a Ludlow hunter chase last season, but after a promising enough effort on his return at Larkhill he was well beaten back at Ludlow the next time. He was 2nd to Southfield Theatre last time back at Larkhill which was a step back in the right direction, but is easily opposed in a race like this. -
Darran got a reaction from kensland in Racing Chat- Monday 14th March.
Onto Stratford and we have the biggest field of the season yet most of them look rather poor. If Tangoed could repeat his 2019 form which included a good 3rd over course and distance he wouldn't be out of this, but the only problem is he has mainly been out of form since then. Streets Of London's 3rd at Fakenham last year was also in a poor contest although his 2nd last time in a point would give him a squeak of hitting the frame. Sparkleandshine clearly isn't staying in points so the drop down in trip is going to suit and he was 2nd over slightly shorter here in June off a mark of 112. The problem is he ran poorly off the same mark a month later. I'm guessing he will try and make the running and Izzie Marshall did do that at Warwick one a stablemate in January, but chances are he isn't going to get an easy lead. Diable De Sivola got up to a mark of 136 yet the only time he has won a race is when he made a winning debut in a bumper. He ran OK off 112 when 3rd at Musselburgh on New Years Day and he was 3rd in a point at Alnwick last month. It could be he's just one paced which is why he doesn't win, but it certainly looks to me like this test will be too sharp for him based on how he runs. As a reminder this is what I said about Drakes Well ahead of his Leicester run. Fred Hustby trained him when he first came over from Ireland and bolted up on his debut at Larkhill over 2m4f in December 2018. His other two runs that season were decent efforts but 2020 wasn't quite as good and it looked like he wasn't really staying 3m. He then went under rules last year for David Bridgewater and showed some solid form whilst being rated between 115 and 119. He only won once at Fontwell last May over hurdles and finished 2nd both starts over fences. He went back to Fred's ahead of this season and was a well beaten 5th in a Mixed Open at Larkhill last month. He made a few mistakes that day and he's going to have to come on a fair bit from that effort to win this. What I will say though is his rules form gives him a chance. I thought he ran well at Leicester to finish 3rd in a race which is certainly no worse than this. The better ground and slighter shorter trip should help him although he has unseated since at Didmarton last weekend when only reaching the 3rd. He will probably need to jump better round here than he has the last twice. He has been the one for money this morning. We then come to the 2 horses who both ran in the Welsh Foxhunters at Ffos Las, Jaunty Flyer, who was 2nd and Envoye Special, who was 4th. Jaunty Flyer was possibly a bit unlucky not to win as he pecked on landing after jumping the last. That was his first start since July 2019 so there has to be a concern if he will back it up or not. Also the winner didn't exactly do anything for the form at Leicester on his next start. Turning for home at Ffos Las it looked like Envoye Special would win, but for some reason given the conditions James King gave him an aggressive ride. He was on a suspect stayer so it seemed an odd move and he faded very badly on the run-in. I think he can reverse the form under a very different set of circumstances. He actually ran in this race last year when 4th, but the ground was soft then as well and since then he's got some very strong form even when getting beaten. I can see him sitting just behind the pace here and then pouncing in the home straight. The ground should be ideal as it should dry out even more come race time and this really does look like a good opportunity for him to land a first hunter chase. Envoye Special 2pts @ 9/4 with most bookies (take up to 6/4) -
Darran got a reaction from black rabbit in Racing Chat- Monday 14th March.
Onto Stratford and we have the biggest field of the season yet most of them look rather poor. If Tangoed could repeat his 2019 form which included a good 3rd over course and distance he wouldn't be out of this, but the only problem is he has mainly been out of form since then. Streets Of London's 3rd at Fakenham last year was also in a poor contest although his 2nd last time in a point would give him a squeak of hitting the frame. Sparkleandshine clearly isn't staying in points so the drop down in trip is going to suit and he was 2nd over slightly shorter here in June off a mark of 112. The problem is he ran poorly off the same mark a month later. I'm guessing he will try and make the running and Izzie Marshall did do that at Warwick one a stablemate in January, but chances are he isn't going to get an easy lead. Diable De Sivola got up to a mark of 136 yet the only time he has won a race is when he made a winning debut in a bumper. He ran OK off 112 when 3rd at Musselburgh on New Years Day and he was 3rd in a point at Alnwick last month. It could be he's just one paced which is why he doesn't win, but it certainly looks to me like this test will be too sharp for him based on how he runs. As a reminder this is what I said about Drakes Well ahead of his Leicester run. Fred Hustby trained him when he first came over from Ireland and bolted up on his debut at Larkhill over 2m4f in December 2018. His other two runs that season were decent efforts but 2020 wasn't quite as good and it looked like he wasn't really staying 3m. He then went under rules last year for David Bridgewater and showed some solid form whilst being rated between 115 and 119. He only won once at Fontwell last May over hurdles and finished 2nd both starts over fences. He went back to Fred's ahead of this season and was a well beaten 5th in a Mixed Open at Larkhill last month. He made a few mistakes that day and he's going to have to come on a fair bit from that effort to win this. What I will say though is his rules form gives him a chance. I thought he ran well at Leicester to finish 3rd in a race which is certainly no worse than this. The better ground and slighter shorter trip should help him although he has unseated since at Didmarton last weekend when only reaching the 3rd. He will probably need to jump better round here than he has the last twice. He has been the one for money this morning. We then come to the 2 horses who both ran in the Welsh Foxhunters at Ffos Las, Jaunty Flyer, who was 2nd and Envoye Special, who was 4th. Jaunty Flyer was possibly a bit unlucky not to win as he pecked on landing after jumping the last. That was his first start since July 2019 so there has to be a concern if he will back it up or not. Also the winner didn't exactly do anything for the form at Leicester on his next start. Turning for home at Ffos Las it looked like Envoye Special would win, but for some reason given the conditions James King gave him an aggressive ride. He was on a suspect stayer so it seemed an odd move and he faded very badly on the run-in. I think he can reverse the form under a very different set of circumstances. He actually ran in this race last year when 4th, but the ground was soft then as well and since then he's got some very strong form even when getting beaten. I can see him sitting just behind the pace here and then pouncing in the home straight. The ground should be ideal as it should dry out even more come race time and this really does look like a good opportunity for him to land a first hunter chase. Envoye Special 2pts @ 9/4 with most bookies (take up to 6/4) -
Darran got a reaction from yossa6133 in Road to the Cheltenham Festival Hunter Chase 2022
23 horses are still in the Cheltenham Hunters Chase at the 6 day stage and here are my thoughts on all the runners. I am going to hold off on putting any bets up at the moment as I think it is worth waiting until after the final decs as there will be extra places on offer for e/w bets. Back Bar - Managed to beat Cousin Pascal in a point at Charing on his seasonal return which on the face of it is obviously a strong piece of form, but Cousin Pascal didn't give his true running that day. He followed that up by pulling up on his next start at Ampton and then was 2nd at Milborne St Andrew. He did manage to win a hunter chase at Leicester last time, but it wasn't a strong affair especially in the context of this race and it is hard to see him being anywhere near good enough. Billaway - Will be a big surprise if he doesn't go off favourite for the 3rd year running, but will he finish 2nd for the 3rd year running? He was a bit unfortunate to bump into Porlock Bay last year because the pair finished well clear of the rest and after not really enjoying Aintree he then bounced back to push Bob and Co all the way to the line at Punchestown. This season he had an early season setback and we didn't see him until January where his trainer said he would need the run and he certainly ran like it finishing a 12L 2nd to Winged Leader. He was much better last time at Naas though when won with ease jumping well apart from one error. He wore cheekpieces for the first time and he did seem to travel much better in them. The big problem is he essentially beat little as his stablemate Good Bye Sam is still a maiden and was beaten in a very weak Maiden Hunters' Chase last week at long odds on. In recent years you have wanted to be 10 or 11 to win this race and he is now 10. A repeat of last year's run might well be good enough, but does he really deserve to be such a short priced favourite given Bob And Co beat him at Punchestown and he hasn't actually achieved a great deal in either of his runs this season? I don't think so personally and whilst I can obviously see him being good enough to win, I just couldn't be backing him at the price he is Bob And Co - David Maxwell wasn't able to ride in this race last year and he ended up unseating Sean Bowen at 3 out when he was still going very well. Obviously it is impossible to know where he would have finished, but I think he would have been in the first 3 given how he travelled and obviously the fact he won at Punchestown proves he has the ability to win this. If you were following my hunter chase previews last season then you will know that opposing David Maxwell horses was a great way to make money as he was riding poorly. He got injured in a fall which meant he didn't ride for a while and then Covid rules stopped him from riding. To start with he didn't look fit enough and then his decision making was shocking and he was getting beaten on horses that really should have been winning. Indeed he only rode 3 winners one of which was Bob And Co beating trees at Hexham, one was Dolphin Square winning a match at Kelso and the other was Bob And Co at Punchestown. This current jumps season though he has been riding as well as he ever has and he might not get a better chance of winning this race than he will this year. I know Bob And Co got beat at Haydock, but they went a crawl in very bad ground and Cousin Pascal was just able to do the him and the 3rd for speed. Paul Nicholls said before and after the race that he was being trained to peak for Cheltenham and he would come on for the run at Haydock. I also think that the reason Maxwell didn't make it more of a stamina test was because he knew the horse needed the run and I reckon Paul would have told him to mind him in the bad ground so he didn't leave his race behind. If there is one negative about him then his jumping isn't always foot perfect, as he showed a year ago, but otherwise I don't see how he wont be involved in the finish. Cousin Pascal - A slightly surprising runner as all the vibes were he was going to go to Aintree to try and hold onto his crown there. Connections though have decided to come here first and I don't really blame them for having a go given they have already won at Aintree they may as well try and win this. As his trainer said in an article last week the owner might never get a horse good enough to go to Cheltenham again. He has had two disappointing runs since coming to this country one was at Alnwick last season and the other at Charing this season when he was only 2nd to Back Bar. His trainer has mentioned that he travels badly and that is why he disappointed on those occasions and you would have that in the back of your mind here as it wouldn't be a really close journey for him. After Charing he was 2nd to Wagner at Hereford in a race which has worked out very well given Wagner won at Wincanton, albeit in fortunate circumstances and the 3rd has also won since. His trainer thought he idled that day and the reason he got beat was because Marcle Ridge wasn't able to take him further into the race. I'm not really buying that though because he didn't look to me as if he idled at Aintree. Joe also said he idled at Haydock, but Bob And Co and Overworkdunderpaid seemed to close up on him without being ridden all that hard. He certainly had fitness on his side over Bob And Co and I think the form will be reversed especially over a much stiffer stamina test. As I said above they went a crawl and that played into James Kings hands as he had more speed than the others. If they had made it more of a stamina test I reckon you might have got a different result and I'm not sure 3m2f round Cheltenham run in a race likely to be run at a strong pace is going to play to his strengths. What he does have on his side is one of the best jockey's in the race and he's clearly a very good horse so if he did happen to stay then he probably won't be far away. Desire De Joie - Won a very weak Mens Open at Charing on his debut for new connections, but did manage to follow that up with a superb performance at Doncaster when just getting caught by Dolphin Square late on. He beat Le Breuil by further than Dubai Quest did at Wetherby so on the Doncaster run you have to give him some sort of chance, but that effort does stick out like a sore thumb compared to the rest of his form and I would be a bit surprised if he was capable of reaching the frame. Don Bersy - In 2020 he refused to race in a point and then at Ludlow. He then went back pointing and did win on his first start, but then he was reluctant to race and downed tools at the 2nd. He's not been seen this season and even if he did decide to go with the others I couldn't fancy him at all. Dubai Quest - Won 7 on the bounce in points and hunter chases after falling at Larkhill on his first start over here for the Ellis'. He is a very progressive horse and clearly you have to have something about you to win 7 straight. He's had two starts this season to get him prepped for this. I was at Chaddesley Corbett over Christmas to see him win a Ladies Open and it was a very strong contest and will probably be the hottest Ladies Open we see all season. He beat Tango De Juilley that day and some people reckon if you swapped the jockeys around you would have had a different result and it's certainly true that Gina was more vigorous in the finish than the inexperienced jockey on the 2nd, but the 2nd had set a strong gallop and I'm not sure he would have had too much left anyway. Whichever side of the fence you are on it was still a very good return. He then went to Wetherby where he again showed off the engine he has by winning well from Le Breuil. Obviously you would have like that horse to have done better at Doncaster next time to frank the form, but he looked to have plenty in hand at the finish. I think he has a really good chance of giving Gina a first win in the race, but I have one big issue and that is his jumping. When he won at Fakenham last season he made a really bad mistake which caused Gina's sister Bridget to lose her irons. He wasn't completely foot perfect at Chaddesley and although he never looked like falling at Wetherby I thought his jumping left a lot to be desired at times. I'd be amazed if he gets round Cheltenham without making errors so then it boils down to how much those mistakes harm his chances. I think he's good enough to win, but if he was mine I would have given him more experience over rules fences in preparation for this and I just wonder if his jumping will stop him from winning. Fumet D'Oudaires - Both the Ellis runners are around the same price, but for me this horse is very much the second string. Don't get me wrong he has been one of the best buys in a long time given they paid just £800 for him and he's won 8 out of 10 starts including 2 hunter chases at Leicester and Cheltenham. The Cheltenham win came over 2m at the hunter chase night and he then went to Stratford for the John Corbet Cup where he was beaten nearly 3L by Vaucelet. My feeling was he was outstayed that night and if you have enough pace to win over 2m round here I also have doubts about having enough stamina to win this. He's had a couple of runs at Horseheath this season and won both although he made hard work of beating one other finisher last time. I certainly don't blame connections for having a go at this contest, but he could have a better chance in future years as he might stay better then. It Came To Pass - The impressive 2020 winner was a well beaten 7th last year although he did have a bit of a rushed preparation so you can understand why he wasn't at the same level. He was a well beaten 5th behind Bob And Co at Punchestown after that. This season he's just been kept pointing having had 4 starts winning his penultimate one. He was well beaten though when falling last time and I'd be slightly surprised if he was able to beat last year's 7th let alone regain his crown. Lord Schnitzel - He ran at the Festival in 2020 in the handicap novices' chase which doesn't exist anymore and he didn't jump well when pulling up. What he has been though is in good form since going pointing this season. He was 2nd in his first point, but then won 3 before landing a Maiden Hunter Chase in very easy style at Limerick over Christmas. He was then surprisingly beaten in a point at the start of February at 1/2 before winning at the end of the month at 1/8. We don't know if he is going to stay and this will easily be the toughest race he has been in for some time. The other concern is the ground as his best form has been on testing ground. His trainer mentioned he might go for Aintree rather than Cheltenham and that would look to be the better option for me. Mighty Stowaway - Was 6th in this last year and then 10th at Aintree. This season he dead heated with Winged Leader on his seasonal return in November, but I don't think he's shown as much progression as that horse since then. He's been kept busy as well as he's had 5 more starts. He did manage to win a couple, but last time he was very disappointing when pulling up. He's not really looked good enough to be capable of winning this and nothing he has done this season has changed my mind on that front. Monbeg Chit Chat - The bare form of his two wins in points this season is nothing to write home about at all. The winning time at Alnwick last time was good, but the 2nd has been stuffed twice since and was well behind Overworkdunderpaid the time before. On the plus side he won over course and distance on hunter chase night last season and he then went on to finish a very respectable 3rd in the Stratford Foxhunters. He got better as the season went on last year so there is hope that he will improve again here. It's hard to see him being good enough to win, but he does look capable of a very respectable effort. Overworkdunderpaid - On ratings he has little chance in this given the highest mark he won off when under rules before was 113, but based on his pointing and hunter chase run at Haydock he looks an improved horse. He unseated on his first start at Charing, but then was really impressive at Alnwick in December clocking a very fast time and a high pace rating in point to point form book. Given then fact he was carrying 12-10 it was even more impressive that the time was so good. He won at the same venue in January again doing it well. I've no idea why his jockey didn't make it more of a stamina test at Haydock because he clearly stays very well and Cousin Pascal did him for pace whilst Bob And Co just pipped him on the line for 2nd. 3m2f looks much more suitable especially given it is likely to be a decent pace. Kelly Morgan trained him in points, but he has gone back to Laura for hunter chases and the yard have obviously been doing very well in recent weeks. The one issue with him is he does seem to be at his best on testing ground and it doesn't look like he is going to get that on Friday. Even so for me he makes the most appeal of those at big prices. Point The Way - Won a couple of hunter chases at Perth and Kelso last season although they weren't exactly strong affairs. He was a 20L 4th to Overworkdunderpaid on his seasonal return, but he has won both races since including over 3m4f at Charm Park last weekend. He can probably run well enough, but he looks unlikely to have the class to trouble the judge here. Pont Aven - Connections paid £30k for him last year after he left Willie Mullins and after falling on his seasonal debut he was had two very comfortable success' since then. His jockey thought he would have won at Horseheath, but I thought his fall looked a bit of a tired one and I wasn't as certain as his jockey was. After that he has bolted up in an easy race at Higham and won just as easily at Ludlow in a hunter chase. Neither event was particularly strong but he couldn't have been more impressive. There are two concerns for me though. The first has to be the trip. I know he won over 3m in his younger days, but Mullins kept him to 2m4f and shorter after that so he obviously thought that was his best trip. You can't get two flatter tracks than Higham and Ludlow so this test will be totally different. Horseheath is actually more like Cheltenham so if he had stayed on his feet there it would have told us more. Speaking of staying on his feet his jumping has to be a concern as well. He often made mistakes in Ireland and he wasn't always great at Ludlow. He clearly has an engine, but will that engine see him stay 3m2f round Cheltenham? I'm not so sure myself. Premier Magic - The Bradley Gibbs super-sub as he was due to miss Cheltenham and head to Aintree whilst his stablemate Highway Jewel was set to run here, but she has had a setback so plans have been reversed. He was 3rd behind two of these in the John Corbet Cup, but I don't think he was suited by the slow pace round a sharp track and this test ought to be more suitable. I do think he has also improved this season and he beat Porlock Bay on his seasonal return at Chaddesley Corbett over Christmas. Now I suspect Premier Magic might have been nearer peak fitness, but his trainer did say after the race that he thought he had improved since last season. He ran at Milborne St Andrew last time and had a very easy success. The main concern is probably the fact that he wasn't originally going to be running in the race, but that doesn't mean he isn't capable of a big run and I certainly think he will do the best of the John Corbett Cup trio. Rewritetherules - Has shown very little in two starts for his new connections having been a useful enough horse in Ireland. Impossible to fancy. Senor Lombardy - Was trained by Brian Harding last season, but is now running in his wife's name Kelly. The 2nd to The Galloping Bear at Carlisle last March is obviously looking a very strong piece of form although I wouldn't want to be taking that at face value as The Galloping Bear has improved since then. This year he's been kept pointing and was impressive in his two wins at Alnwick whilst finishing 2nd at 4/9 in between them. He is certainly capable of winning a hunter chase, but I think this is more about giving connections a day and anything better than mid-division would be a very good effort. Winged Leader - Given he is only 8 he has had a lot of racing and has already run in 14 hunter chases. He was 2nd in the 2019 John Corbett Cup and won his first hunter chase 2 years ago at Down Royal. He then couldn't get his head in front under rules. He was behind Billaway three times last season and then fell at Thurles when in with a winning chance at the last. There were a couple of 2nds before he finally won again at Tramore in April. He followed that up with a win at Listowel in June. He's found winning points easier and he's 9 from 15 there which includes a dead heat with Mighty Stowaway on his seasonal return. His only other run this season was the 12L victory over Billaway at Thurles which he fully deserved on the day, but as we know the 2nd wasn't fully fit. The big question is has he really improved enough to be a better horse than Billway and thus have a chance of winning this, or was it just a case of he benefitted by a weakened rival the last day because the rest of his form wouldn't be good enough to win this. My feeling is the latter and as much as I could understand if you do think the former and thus think he is value to beat him again, for me I have to take him on. Zamparelli - Won a Ludlow hunter chase last season, but after a promising enough effort on his return at Larkhill he was well beaten back at Ludlow the next time. He was 2nd to Southfield Theatre last time back at Larkhill which was a step back in the right direction, but is easily opposed in a race like this. -
Darran got a reaction from MCLARKE in Road to the Cheltenham Festival Hunter Chase 2022
23 horses are still in the Cheltenham Hunters Chase at the 6 day stage and here are my thoughts on all the runners. I am going to hold off on putting any bets up at the moment as I think it is worth waiting until after the final decs as there will be extra places on offer for e/w bets. Back Bar - Managed to beat Cousin Pascal in a point at Charing on his seasonal return which on the face of it is obviously a strong piece of form, but Cousin Pascal didn't give his true running that day. He followed that up by pulling up on his next start at Ampton and then was 2nd at Milborne St Andrew. He did manage to win a hunter chase at Leicester last time, but it wasn't a strong affair especially in the context of this race and it is hard to see him being anywhere near good enough. Billaway - Will be a big surprise if he doesn't go off favourite for the 3rd year running, but will he finish 2nd for the 3rd year running? He was a bit unfortunate to bump into Porlock Bay last year because the pair finished well clear of the rest and after not really enjoying Aintree he then bounced back to push Bob and Co all the way to the line at Punchestown. This season he had an early season setback and we didn't see him until January where his trainer said he would need the run and he certainly ran like it finishing a 12L 2nd to Winged Leader. He was much better last time at Naas though when won with ease jumping well apart from one error. He wore cheekpieces for the first time and he did seem to travel much better in them. The big problem is he essentially beat little as his stablemate Good Bye Sam is still a maiden and was beaten in a very weak Maiden Hunters' Chase last week at long odds on. In recent years you have wanted to be 10 or 11 to win this race and he is now 10. A repeat of last year's run might well be good enough, but does he really deserve to be such a short priced favourite given Bob And Co beat him at Punchestown and he hasn't actually achieved a great deal in either of his runs this season? I don't think so personally and whilst I can obviously see him being good enough to win, I just couldn't be backing him at the price he is Bob And Co - David Maxwell wasn't able to ride in this race last year and he ended up unseating Sean Bowen at 3 out when he was still going very well. Obviously it is impossible to know where he would have finished, but I think he would have been in the first 3 given how he travelled and obviously the fact he won at Punchestown proves he has the ability to win this. If you were following my hunter chase previews last season then you will know that opposing David Maxwell horses was a great way to make money as he was riding poorly. He got injured in a fall which meant he didn't ride for a while and then Covid rules stopped him from riding. To start with he didn't look fit enough and then his decision making was shocking and he was getting beaten on horses that really should have been winning. Indeed he only rode 3 winners one of which was Bob And Co beating trees at Hexham, one was Dolphin Square winning a match at Kelso and the other was Bob And Co at Punchestown. This current jumps season though he has been riding as well as he ever has and he might not get a better chance of winning this race than he will this year. I know Bob And Co got beat at Haydock, but they went a crawl in very bad ground and Cousin Pascal was just able to do the him and the 3rd for speed. Paul Nicholls said before and after the race that he was being trained to peak for Cheltenham and he would come on for the run at Haydock. I also think that the reason Maxwell didn't make it more of a stamina test was because he knew the horse needed the run and I reckon Paul would have told him to mind him in the bad ground so he didn't leave his race behind. If there is one negative about him then his jumping isn't always foot perfect, as he showed a year ago, but otherwise I don't see how he wont be involved in the finish. Cousin Pascal - A slightly surprising runner as all the vibes were he was going to go to Aintree to try and hold onto his crown there. Connections though have decided to come here first and I don't really blame them for having a go given they have already won at Aintree they may as well try and win this. As his trainer said in an article last week the owner might never get a horse good enough to go to Cheltenham again. He has had two disappointing runs since coming to this country one was at Alnwick last season and the other at Charing this season when he was only 2nd to Back Bar. His trainer has mentioned that he travels badly and that is why he disappointed on those occasions and you would have that in the back of your mind here as it wouldn't be a really close journey for him. After Charing he was 2nd to Wagner at Hereford in a race which has worked out very well given Wagner won at Wincanton, albeit in fortunate circumstances and the 3rd has also won since. His trainer thought he idled that day and the reason he got beat was because Marcle Ridge wasn't able to take him further into the race. I'm not really buying that though because he didn't look to me as if he idled at Aintree. Joe also said he idled at Haydock, but Bob And Co and Overworkdunderpaid seemed to close up on him without being ridden all that hard. He certainly had fitness on his side over Bob And Co and I think the form will be reversed especially over a much stiffer stamina test. As I said above they went a crawl and that played into James Kings hands as he had more speed than the others. If they had made it more of a stamina test I reckon you might have got a different result and I'm not sure 3m2f round Cheltenham run in a race likely to be run at a strong pace is going to play to his strengths. What he does have on his side is one of the best jockey's in the race and he's clearly a very good horse so if he did happen to stay then he probably won't be far away. Desire De Joie - Won a very weak Mens Open at Charing on his debut for new connections, but did manage to follow that up with a superb performance at Doncaster when just getting caught by Dolphin Square late on. He beat Le Breuil by further than Dubai Quest did at Wetherby so on the Doncaster run you have to give him some sort of chance, but that effort does stick out like a sore thumb compared to the rest of his form and I would be a bit surprised if he was capable of reaching the frame. Don Bersy - In 2020 he refused to race in a point and then at Ludlow. He then went back pointing and did win on his first start, but then he was reluctant to race and downed tools at the 2nd. He's not been seen this season and even if he did decide to go with the others I couldn't fancy him at all. Dubai Quest - Won 7 on the bounce in points and hunter chases after falling at Larkhill on his first start over here for the Ellis'. He is a very progressive horse and clearly you have to have something about you to win 7 straight. He's had two starts this season to get him prepped for this. I was at Chaddesley Corbett over Christmas to see him win a Ladies Open and it was a very strong contest and will probably be the hottest Ladies Open we see all season. He beat Tango De Juilley that day and some people reckon if you swapped the jockeys around you would have had a different result and it's certainly true that Gina was more vigorous in the finish than the inexperienced jockey on the 2nd, but the 2nd had set a strong gallop and I'm not sure he would have had too much left anyway. Whichever side of the fence you are on it was still a very good return. He then went to Wetherby where he again showed off the engine he has by winning well from Le Breuil. Obviously you would have like that horse to have done better at Doncaster next time to frank the form, but he looked to have plenty in hand at the finish. I think he has a really good chance of giving Gina a first win in the race, but I have one big issue and that is his jumping. When he won at Fakenham last season he made a really bad mistake which caused Gina's sister Bridget to lose her irons. He wasn't completely foot perfect at Chaddesley and although he never looked like falling at Wetherby I thought his jumping left a lot to be desired at times. I'd be amazed if he gets round Cheltenham without making errors so then it boils down to how much those mistakes harm his chances. I think he's good enough to win, but if he was mine I would have given him more experience over rules fences in preparation for this and I just wonder if his jumping will stop him from winning. Fumet D'Oudaires - Both the Ellis runners are around the same price, but for me this horse is very much the second string. Don't get me wrong he has been one of the best buys in a long time given they paid just £800 for him and he's won 8 out of 10 starts including 2 hunter chases at Leicester and Cheltenham. The Cheltenham win came over 2m at the hunter chase night and he then went to Stratford for the John Corbet Cup where he was beaten nearly 3L by Vaucelet. My feeling was he was outstayed that night and if you have enough pace to win over 2m round here I also have doubts about having enough stamina to win this. He's had a couple of runs at Horseheath this season and won both although he made hard work of beating one other finisher last time. I certainly don't blame connections for having a go at this contest, but he could have a better chance in future years as he might stay better then. It Came To Pass - The impressive 2020 winner was a well beaten 7th last year although he did have a bit of a rushed preparation so you can understand why he wasn't at the same level. He was a well beaten 5th behind Bob And Co at Punchestown after that. This season he's just been kept pointing having had 4 starts winning his penultimate one. He was well beaten though when falling last time and I'd be slightly surprised if he was able to beat last year's 7th let alone regain his crown. Lord Schnitzel - He ran at the Festival in 2020 in the handicap novices' chase which doesn't exist anymore and he didn't jump well when pulling up. What he has been though is in good form since going pointing this season. He was 2nd in his first point, but then won 3 before landing a Maiden Hunter Chase in very easy style at Limerick over Christmas. He was then surprisingly beaten in a point at the start of February at 1/2 before winning at the end of the month at 1/8. We don't know if he is going to stay and this will easily be the toughest race he has been in for some time. The other concern is the ground as his best form has been on testing ground. His trainer mentioned he might go for Aintree rather than Cheltenham and that would look to be the better option for me. Mighty Stowaway - Was 6th in this last year and then 10th at Aintree. This season he dead heated with Winged Leader on his seasonal return in November, but I don't think he's shown as much progression as that horse since then. He's been kept busy as well as he's had 5 more starts. He did manage to win a couple, but last time he was very disappointing when pulling up. He's not really looked good enough to be capable of winning this and nothing he has done this season has changed my mind on that front. Monbeg Chit Chat - The bare form of his two wins in points this season is nothing to write home about at all. The winning time at Alnwick last time was good, but the 2nd has been stuffed twice since and was well behind Overworkdunderpaid the time before. On the plus side he won over course and distance on hunter chase night last season and he then went on to finish a very respectable 3rd in the Stratford Foxhunters. He got better as the season went on last year so there is hope that he will improve again here. It's hard to see him being good enough to win, but he does look capable of a very respectable effort. Overworkdunderpaid - On ratings he has little chance in this given the highest mark he won off when under rules before was 113, but based on his pointing and hunter chase run at Haydock he looks an improved horse. He unseated on his first start at Charing, but then was really impressive at Alnwick in December clocking a very fast time and a high pace rating in point to point form book. Given then fact he was carrying 12-10 it was even more impressive that the time was so good. He won at the same venue in January again doing it well. I've no idea why his jockey didn't make it more of a stamina test at Haydock because he clearly stays very well and Cousin Pascal did him for pace whilst Bob And Co just pipped him on the line for 2nd. 3m2f looks much more suitable especially given it is likely to be a decent pace. Kelly Morgan trained him in points, but he has gone back to Laura for hunter chases and the yard have obviously been doing very well in recent weeks. The one issue with him is he does seem to be at his best on testing ground and it doesn't look like he is going to get that on Friday. Even so for me he makes the most appeal of those at big prices. Point The Way - Won a couple of hunter chases at Perth and Kelso last season although they weren't exactly strong affairs. He was a 20L 4th to Overworkdunderpaid on his seasonal return, but he has won both races since including over 3m4f at Charm Park last weekend. He can probably run well enough, but he looks unlikely to have the class to trouble the judge here. Pont Aven - Connections paid £30k for him last year after he left Willie Mullins and after falling on his seasonal debut he was had two very comfortable success' since then. His jockey thought he would have won at Horseheath, but I thought his fall looked a bit of a tired one and I wasn't as certain as his jockey was. After that he has bolted up in an easy race at Higham and won just as easily at Ludlow in a hunter chase. Neither event was particularly strong but he couldn't have been more impressive. There are two concerns for me though. The first has to be the trip. I know he won over 3m in his younger days, but Mullins kept him to 2m4f and shorter after that so he obviously thought that was his best trip. You can't get two flatter tracks than Higham and Ludlow so this test will be totally different. Horseheath is actually more like Cheltenham so if he had stayed on his feet there it would have told us more. Speaking of staying on his feet his jumping has to be a concern as well. He often made mistakes in Ireland and he wasn't always great at Ludlow. He clearly has an engine, but will that engine see him stay 3m2f round Cheltenham? I'm not so sure myself. Premier Magic - The Bradley Gibbs super-sub as he was due to miss Cheltenham and head to Aintree whilst his stablemate Highway Jewel was set to run here, but she has had a setback so plans have been reversed. He was 3rd behind two of these in the John Corbet Cup, but I don't think he was suited by the slow pace round a sharp track and this test ought to be more suitable. I do think he has also improved this season and he beat Porlock Bay on his seasonal return at Chaddesley Corbett over Christmas. Now I suspect Premier Magic might have been nearer peak fitness, but his trainer did say after the race that he thought he had improved since last season. He ran at Milborne St Andrew last time and had a very easy success. The main concern is probably the fact that he wasn't originally going to be running in the race, but that doesn't mean he isn't capable of a big run and I certainly think he will do the best of the John Corbett Cup trio. Rewritetherules - Has shown very little in two starts for his new connections having been a useful enough horse in Ireland. Impossible to fancy. Senor Lombardy - Was trained by Brian Harding last season, but is now running in his wife's name Kelly. The 2nd to The Galloping Bear at Carlisle last March is obviously looking a very strong piece of form although I wouldn't want to be taking that at face value as The Galloping Bear has improved since then. This year he's been kept pointing and was impressive in his two wins at Alnwick whilst finishing 2nd at 4/9 in between them. He is certainly capable of winning a hunter chase, but I think this is more about giving connections a day and anything better than mid-division would be a very good effort. Winged Leader - Given he is only 8 he has had a lot of racing and has already run in 14 hunter chases. He was 2nd in the 2019 John Corbett Cup and won his first hunter chase 2 years ago at Down Royal. He then couldn't get his head in front under rules. He was behind Billaway three times last season and then fell at Thurles when in with a winning chance at the last. There were a couple of 2nds before he finally won again at Tramore in April. He followed that up with a win at Listowel in June. He's found winning points easier and he's 9 from 15 there which includes a dead heat with Mighty Stowaway on his seasonal return. His only other run this season was the 12L victory over Billaway at Thurles which he fully deserved on the day, but as we know the 2nd wasn't fully fit. The big question is has he really improved enough to be a better horse than Billway and thus have a chance of winning this, or was it just a case of he benefitted by a weakened rival the last day because the rest of his form wouldn't be good enough to win this. My feeling is the latter and as much as I could understand if you do think the former and thus think he is value to beat him again, for me I have to take him on. Zamparelli - Won a Ludlow hunter chase last season, but after a promising enough effort on his return at Larkhill he was well beaten back at Ludlow the next time. He was 2nd to Southfield Theatre last time back at Larkhill which was a step back in the right direction, but is easily opposed in a race like this. -
Darran got a reaction from blueboy199 in Road to the Cheltenham Festival Hunter Chase 2022
23 horses are still in the Cheltenham Hunters Chase at the 6 day stage and here are my thoughts on all the runners. I am going to hold off on putting any bets up at the moment as I think it is worth waiting until after the final decs as there will be extra places on offer for e/w bets. Back Bar - Managed to beat Cousin Pascal in a point at Charing on his seasonal return which on the face of it is obviously a strong piece of form, but Cousin Pascal didn't give his true running that day. He followed that up by pulling up on his next start at Ampton and then was 2nd at Milborne St Andrew. He did manage to win a hunter chase at Leicester last time, but it wasn't a strong affair especially in the context of this race and it is hard to see him being anywhere near good enough. Billaway - Will be a big surprise if he doesn't go off favourite for the 3rd year running, but will he finish 2nd for the 3rd year running? He was a bit unfortunate to bump into Porlock Bay last year because the pair finished well clear of the rest and after not really enjoying Aintree he then bounced back to push Bob and Co all the way to the line at Punchestown. This season he had an early season setback and we didn't see him until January where his trainer said he would need the run and he certainly ran like it finishing a 12L 2nd to Winged Leader. He was much better last time at Naas though when won with ease jumping well apart from one error. He wore cheekpieces for the first time and he did seem to travel much better in them. The big problem is he essentially beat little as his stablemate Good Bye Sam is still a maiden and was beaten in a very weak Maiden Hunters' Chase last week at long odds on. In recent years you have wanted to be 10 or 11 to win this race and he is now 10. A repeat of last year's run might well be good enough, but does he really deserve to be such a short priced favourite given Bob And Co beat him at Punchestown and he hasn't actually achieved a great deal in either of his runs this season? I don't think so personally and whilst I can obviously see him being good enough to win, I just couldn't be backing him at the price he is Bob And Co - David Maxwell wasn't able to ride in this race last year and he ended up unseating Sean Bowen at 3 out when he was still going very well. Obviously it is impossible to know where he would have finished, but I think he would have been in the first 3 given how he travelled and obviously the fact he won at Punchestown proves he has the ability to win this. If you were following my hunter chase previews last season then you will know that opposing David Maxwell horses was a great way to make money as he was riding poorly. He got injured in a fall which meant he didn't ride for a while and then Covid rules stopped him from riding. To start with he didn't look fit enough and then his decision making was shocking and he was getting beaten on horses that really should have been winning. Indeed he only rode 3 winners one of which was Bob And Co beating trees at Hexham, one was Dolphin Square winning a match at Kelso and the other was Bob And Co at Punchestown. This current jumps season though he has been riding as well as he ever has and he might not get a better chance of winning this race than he will this year. I know Bob And Co got beat at Haydock, but they went a crawl in very bad ground and Cousin Pascal was just able to do the him and the 3rd for speed. Paul Nicholls said before and after the race that he was being trained to peak for Cheltenham and he would come on for the run at Haydock. I also think that the reason Maxwell didn't make it more of a stamina test was because he knew the horse needed the run and I reckon Paul would have told him to mind him in the bad ground so he didn't leave his race behind. If there is one negative about him then his jumping isn't always foot perfect, as he showed a year ago, but otherwise I don't see how he wont be involved in the finish. Cousin Pascal - A slightly surprising runner as all the vibes were he was going to go to Aintree to try and hold onto his crown there. Connections though have decided to come here first and I don't really blame them for having a go given they have already won at Aintree they may as well try and win this. As his trainer said in an article last week the owner might never get a horse good enough to go to Cheltenham again. He has had two disappointing runs since coming to this country one was at Alnwick last season and the other at Charing this season when he was only 2nd to Back Bar. His trainer has mentioned that he travels badly and that is why he disappointed on those occasions and you would have that in the back of your mind here as it wouldn't be a really close journey for him. After Charing he was 2nd to Wagner at Hereford in a race which has worked out very well given Wagner won at Wincanton, albeit in fortunate circumstances and the 3rd has also won since. His trainer thought he idled that day and the reason he got beat was because Marcle Ridge wasn't able to take him further into the race. I'm not really buying that though because he didn't look to me as if he idled at Aintree. Joe also said he idled at Haydock, but Bob And Co and Overworkdunderpaid seemed to close up on him without being ridden all that hard. He certainly had fitness on his side over Bob And Co and I think the form will be reversed especially over a much stiffer stamina test. As I said above they went a crawl and that played into James Kings hands as he had more speed than the others. If they had made it more of a stamina test I reckon you might have got a different result and I'm not sure 3m2f round Cheltenham run in a race likely to be run at a strong pace is going to play to his strengths. What he does have on his side is one of the best jockey's in the race and he's clearly a very good horse so if he did happen to stay then he probably won't be far away. Desire De Joie - Won a very weak Mens Open at Charing on his debut for new connections, but did manage to follow that up with a superb performance at Doncaster when just getting caught by Dolphin Square late on. He beat Le Breuil by further than Dubai Quest did at Wetherby so on the Doncaster run you have to give him some sort of chance, but that effort does stick out like a sore thumb compared to the rest of his form and I would be a bit surprised if he was capable of reaching the frame. Don Bersy - In 2020 he refused to race in a point and then at Ludlow. He then went back pointing and did win on his first start, but then he was reluctant to race and downed tools at the 2nd. He's not been seen this season and even if he did decide to go with the others I couldn't fancy him at all. Dubai Quest - Won 7 on the bounce in points and hunter chases after falling at Larkhill on his first start over here for the Ellis'. He is a very progressive horse and clearly you have to have something about you to win 7 straight. He's had two starts this season to get him prepped for this. I was at Chaddesley Corbett over Christmas to see him win a Ladies Open and it was a very strong contest and will probably be the hottest Ladies Open we see all season. He beat Tango De Juilley that day and some people reckon if you swapped the jockeys around you would have had a different result and it's certainly true that Gina was more vigorous in the finish than the inexperienced jockey on the 2nd, but the 2nd had set a strong gallop and I'm not sure he would have had too much left anyway. Whichever side of the fence you are on it was still a very good return. He then went to Wetherby where he again showed off the engine he has by winning well from Le Breuil. Obviously you would have like that horse to have done better at Doncaster next time to frank the form, but he looked to have plenty in hand at the finish. I think he has a really good chance of giving Gina a first win in the race, but I have one big issue and that is his jumping. When he won at Fakenham last season he made a really bad mistake which caused Gina's sister Bridget to lose her irons. He wasn't completely foot perfect at Chaddesley and although he never looked like falling at Wetherby I thought his jumping left a lot to be desired at times. I'd be amazed if he gets round Cheltenham without making errors so then it boils down to how much those mistakes harm his chances. I think he's good enough to win, but if he was mine I would have given him more experience over rules fences in preparation for this and I just wonder if his jumping will stop him from winning. Fumet D'Oudaires - Both the Ellis runners are around the same price, but for me this horse is very much the second string. Don't get me wrong he has been one of the best buys in a long time given they paid just £800 for him and he's won 8 out of 10 starts including 2 hunter chases at Leicester and Cheltenham. The Cheltenham win came over 2m at the hunter chase night and he then went to Stratford for the John Corbet Cup where he was beaten nearly 3L by Vaucelet. My feeling was he was outstayed that night and if you have enough pace to win over 2m round here I also have doubts about having enough stamina to win this. He's had a couple of runs at Horseheath this season and won both although he made hard work of beating one other finisher last time. I certainly don't blame connections for having a go at this contest, but he could have a better chance in future years as he might stay better then. It Came To Pass - The impressive 2020 winner was a well beaten 7th last year although he did have a bit of a rushed preparation so you can understand why he wasn't at the same level. He was a well beaten 5th behind Bob And Co at Punchestown after that. This season he's just been kept pointing having had 4 starts winning his penultimate one. He was well beaten though when falling last time and I'd be slightly surprised if he was able to beat last year's 7th let alone regain his crown. Lord Schnitzel - He ran at the Festival in 2020 in the handicap novices' chase which doesn't exist anymore and he didn't jump well when pulling up. What he has been though is in good form since going pointing this season. He was 2nd in his first point, but then won 3 before landing a Maiden Hunter Chase in very easy style at Limerick over Christmas. He was then surprisingly beaten in a point at the start of February at 1/2 before winning at the end of the month at 1/8. We don't know if he is going to stay and this will easily be the toughest race he has been in for some time. The other concern is the ground as his best form has been on testing ground. His trainer mentioned he might go for Aintree rather than Cheltenham and that would look to be the better option for me. Mighty Stowaway - Was 6th in this last year and then 10th at Aintree. This season he dead heated with Winged Leader on his seasonal return in November, but I don't think he's shown as much progression as that horse since then. He's been kept busy as well as he's had 5 more starts. He did manage to win a couple, but last time he was very disappointing when pulling up. He's not really looked good enough to be capable of winning this and nothing he has done this season has changed my mind on that front. Monbeg Chit Chat - The bare form of his two wins in points this season is nothing to write home about at all. The winning time at Alnwick last time was good, but the 2nd has been stuffed twice since and was well behind Overworkdunderpaid the time before. On the plus side he won over course and distance on hunter chase night last season and he then went on to finish a very respectable 3rd in the Stratford Foxhunters. He got better as the season went on last year so there is hope that he will improve again here. It's hard to see him being good enough to win, but he does look capable of a very respectable effort. Overworkdunderpaid - On ratings he has little chance in this given the highest mark he won off when under rules before was 113, but based on his pointing and hunter chase run at Haydock he looks an improved horse. He unseated on his first start at Charing, but then was really impressive at Alnwick in December clocking a very fast time and a high pace rating in point to point form book. Given then fact he was carrying 12-10 it was even more impressive that the time was so good. He won at the same venue in January again doing it well. I've no idea why his jockey didn't make it more of a stamina test at Haydock because he clearly stays very well and Cousin Pascal did him for pace whilst Bob And Co just pipped him on the line for 2nd. 3m2f looks much more suitable especially given it is likely to be a decent pace. Kelly Morgan trained him in points, but he has gone back to Laura for hunter chases and the yard have obviously been doing very well in recent weeks. The one issue with him is he does seem to be at his best on testing ground and it doesn't look like he is going to get that on Friday. Even so for me he makes the most appeal of those at big prices. Point The Way - Won a couple of hunter chases at Perth and Kelso last season although they weren't exactly strong affairs. He was a 20L 4th to Overworkdunderpaid on his seasonal return, but he has won both races since including over 3m4f at Charm Park last weekend. He can probably run well enough, but he looks unlikely to have the class to trouble the judge here. Pont Aven - Connections paid £30k for him last year after he left Willie Mullins and after falling on his seasonal debut he was had two very comfortable success' since then. His jockey thought he would have won at Horseheath, but I thought his fall looked a bit of a tired one and I wasn't as certain as his jockey was. After that he has bolted up in an easy race at Higham and won just as easily at Ludlow in a hunter chase. Neither event was particularly strong but he couldn't have been more impressive. There are two concerns for me though. The first has to be the trip. I know he won over 3m in his younger days, but Mullins kept him to 2m4f and shorter after that so he obviously thought that was his best trip. You can't get two flatter tracks than Higham and Ludlow so this test will be totally different. Horseheath is actually more like Cheltenham so if he had stayed on his feet there it would have told us more. Speaking of staying on his feet his jumping has to be a concern as well. He often made mistakes in Ireland and he wasn't always great at Ludlow. He clearly has an engine, but will that engine see him stay 3m2f round Cheltenham? I'm not so sure myself. Premier Magic - The Bradley Gibbs super-sub as he was due to miss Cheltenham and head to Aintree whilst his stablemate Highway Jewel was set to run here, but she has had a setback so plans have been reversed. He was 3rd behind two of these in the John Corbet Cup, but I don't think he was suited by the slow pace round a sharp track and this test ought to be more suitable. I do think he has also improved this season and he beat Porlock Bay on his seasonal return at Chaddesley Corbett over Christmas. Now I suspect Premier Magic might have been nearer peak fitness, but his trainer did say after the race that he thought he had improved since last season. He ran at Milborne St Andrew last time and had a very easy success. The main concern is probably the fact that he wasn't originally going to be running in the race, but that doesn't mean he isn't capable of a big run and I certainly think he will do the best of the John Corbett Cup trio. Rewritetherules - Has shown very little in two starts for his new connections having been a useful enough horse in Ireland. Impossible to fancy. Senor Lombardy - Was trained by Brian Harding last season, but is now running in his wife's name Kelly. The 2nd to The Galloping Bear at Carlisle last March is obviously looking a very strong piece of form although I wouldn't want to be taking that at face value as The Galloping Bear has improved since then. This year he's been kept pointing and was impressive in his two wins at Alnwick whilst finishing 2nd at 4/9 in between them. He is certainly capable of winning a hunter chase, but I think this is more about giving connections a day and anything better than mid-division would be a very good effort. Winged Leader - Given he is only 8 he has had a lot of racing and has already run in 14 hunter chases. He was 2nd in the 2019 John Corbett Cup and won his first hunter chase 2 years ago at Down Royal. He then couldn't get his head in front under rules. He was behind Billaway three times last season and then fell at Thurles when in with a winning chance at the last. There were a couple of 2nds before he finally won again at Tramore in April. He followed that up with a win at Listowel in June. He's found winning points easier and he's 9 from 15 there which includes a dead heat with Mighty Stowaway on his seasonal return. His only other run this season was the 12L victory over Billaway at Thurles which he fully deserved on the day, but as we know the 2nd wasn't fully fit. The big question is has he really improved enough to be a better horse than Billway and thus have a chance of winning this, or was it just a case of he benefitted by a weakened rival the last day because the rest of his form wouldn't be good enough to win this. My feeling is the latter and as much as I could understand if you do think the former and thus think he is value to beat him again, for me I have to take him on. Zamparelli - Won a Ludlow hunter chase last season, but after a promising enough effort on his return at Larkhill he was well beaten back at Ludlow the next time. He was 2nd to Southfield Theatre last time back at Larkhill which was a step back in the right direction, but is easily opposed in a race like this. -
Darran got a reaction from MCLARKE in Racing Chat - Wednesday 9th March
After a few years of having some good horses win the Catterick race this afternoon, including Cousin Pascal last year, we are back to this being one of the poorest races of the season. Indeed I will be a tad surprise if we see worse than this quality wise for the rest of the year. Having said all that I actually would love to see Absainte get her head in front under rules and surely she will never get a better chance to. Since going to current connections she has run in 7 points and won 4 of them. She didn't win either of the ones she ran in last year, but the 2nd to Royal Chant is decent enough form and she was just a bit disappointing on her final start of the season. Interestingly on her seasonal debut for current connections she has won twice and then was running a stormer at Musselburgh last year when coming down at the last. She would have finished 2nd to Captain Buck's that afternoon and that is strong form in the context of this race. 2 years ago she finished a 25L 2nd in this race to Wishing And Hoping and whilst normally being stuffed 25L wouldn't be a good thing, Wishing And Hoping would be long odds on to win this and she beat the rest of her rivals that day with ease. I never thought she would be favourite for a hunter chase, but she has every right to be on her best form. We have another Syd Hosie horse as he seems to be entering his horses all over the place. This time we have Lucky Lara who has had 2 starts this season. In January she finished 4th at Taunton on her first start over fences off a mark of 105. She got an RPR off 105 on that run as well, but it was over 2m5f and she ran like she didn't stay and she has often weakened at the end of her races. She then ran at Wincanton last month and was a well beaten 8th back over hurdles. Given she finishes her races off weakly it could be she has a wind issue and the tongue-tie does go on for the first time. Given the small field this might not be that much of a stamina test which should help her as well. She didn't jump great at Taunton though and that would be a worry again here. Clancypantz is coming a long way for this from South Wales which is interesting, but on form she is pretty hard to fancy. She was 0-16 under Rules in Ireland and was then only 4th in a maiden at Larkhill on her debut for new connections. She got a very low point rating on the back of that and it came just 10 days ago. The Welsh aren't afraid of backing one so if she does get well backed then she would be of interest, but she would have to have improved a fair bit in 10 days to take this in my view. The outsider of the field is Mr Pepperpot and he is also the only gelding in the race. Given his age he actually hasn't run all that much having only seen a racecourse 23 times. Pointing he has won 3 times the last of which came just before Covid hit in March 2020. He has had 4 runs in hunter chases two in 2019 and two last year and there hasn't been a great deal of promise in them although the 5th at Wetherby last year wasn't awful albeit in a weak contest. He ran in this contest after that and was pulled up. This season he has run 4 times 3 times poorly and the other time he was beaten by a short head by My Liege in the exact same race at Friars Haugh that the two horses were 1st and 2nd with a short head between them in 2020! The time was good this year and if he can show that form then he's not out of this. His best form does seem to be on better ground so maybe he will run up to his best. I wrote all the above last night, but this morning there has been money for Lucky Lara so she has become favourite. She might be good enough to win and I was half tempted by Mr Pepperpot but I think Absainte is the most solid option. She is proven to run well after a long layoff and if she runs to her best then she is more than good enough to win this. I don't think there is a huge amount in the price, but I do think she deserves to be favourite so there is enough value there to have a bet. Absainte 1pt @ 2/1 with everyone except Bet365 (take up to 11/8) -
Darran got a reaction from Villa Chris in Racing Chat - Wednesday 9th March
After a few years of having some good horses win the Catterick race this afternoon, including Cousin Pascal last year, we are back to this being one of the poorest races of the season. Indeed I will be a tad surprise if we see worse than this quality wise for the rest of the year. Having said all that I actually would love to see Absainte get her head in front under rules and surely she will never get a better chance to. Since going to current connections she has run in 7 points and won 4 of them. She didn't win either of the ones she ran in last year, but the 2nd to Royal Chant is decent enough form and she was just a bit disappointing on her final start of the season. Interestingly on her seasonal debut for current connections she has won twice and then was running a stormer at Musselburgh last year when coming down at the last. She would have finished 2nd to Captain Buck's that afternoon and that is strong form in the context of this race. 2 years ago she finished a 25L 2nd in this race to Wishing And Hoping and whilst normally being stuffed 25L wouldn't be a good thing, Wishing And Hoping would be long odds on to win this and she beat the rest of her rivals that day with ease. I never thought she would be favourite for a hunter chase, but she has every right to be on her best form. We have another Syd Hosie horse as he seems to be entering his horses all over the place. This time we have Lucky Lara who has had 2 starts this season. In January she finished 4th at Taunton on her first start over fences off a mark of 105. She got an RPR off 105 on that run as well, but it was over 2m5f and she ran like she didn't stay and she has often weakened at the end of her races. She then ran at Wincanton last month and was a well beaten 8th back over hurdles. Given she finishes her races off weakly it could be she has a wind issue and the tongue-tie does go on for the first time. Given the small field this might not be that much of a stamina test which should help her as well. She didn't jump great at Taunton though and that would be a worry again here. Clancypantz is coming a long way for this from South Wales which is interesting, but on form she is pretty hard to fancy. She was 0-16 under Rules in Ireland and was then only 4th in a maiden at Larkhill on her debut for new connections. She got a very low point rating on the back of that and it came just 10 days ago. The Welsh aren't afraid of backing one so if she does get well backed then she would be of interest, but she would have to have improved a fair bit in 10 days to take this in my view. The outsider of the field is Mr Pepperpot and he is also the only gelding in the race. Given his age he actually hasn't run all that much having only seen a racecourse 23 times. Pointing he has won 3 times the last of which came just before Covid hit in March 2020. He has had 4 runs in hunter chases two in 2019 and two last year and there hasn't been a great deal of promise in them although the 5th at Wetherby last year wasn't awful albeit in a weak contest. He ran in this contest after that and was pulled up. This season he has run 4 times 3 times poorly and the other time he was beaten by a short head by My Liege in the exact same race at Friars Haugh that the two horses were 1st and 2nd with a short head between them in 2020! The time was good this year and if he can show that form then he's not out of this. His best form does seem to be on better ground so maybe he will run up to his best. I wrote all the above last night, but this morning there has been money for Lucky Lara so she has become favourite. She might be good enough to win and I was half tempted by Mr Pepperpot but I think Absainte is the most solid option. She is proven to run well after a long layoff and if she runs to her best then she is more than good enough to win this. I don't think there is a huge amount in the price, but I do think she deserves to be favourite so there is enough value there to have a bet. Absainte 1pt @ 2/1 with everyone except Bet365 (take up to 11/8) -
Darran got a reaction from yossa6133 in Racing Chat - Wednesday 9th March
After a few years of having some good horses win the Catterick race this afternoon, including Cousin Pascal last year, we are back to this being one of the poorest races of the season. Indeed I will be a tad surprise if we see worse than this quality wise for the rest of the year. Having said all that I actually would love to see Absainte get her head in front under rules and surely she will never get a better chance to. Since going to current connections she has run in 7 points and won 4 of them. She didn't win either of the ones she ran in last year, but the 2nd to Royal Chant is decent enough form and she was just a bit disappointing on her final start of the season. Interestingly on her seasonal debut for current connections she has won twice and then was running a stormer at Musselburgh last year when coming down at the last. She would have finished 2nd to Captain Buck's that afternoon and that is strong form in the context of this race. 2 years ago she finished a 25L 2nd in this race to Wishing And Hoping and whilst normally being stuffed 25L wouldn't be a good thing, Wishing And Hoping would be long odds on to win this and she beat the rest of her rivals that day with ease. I never thought she would be favourite for a hunter chase, but she has every right to be on her best form. We have another Syd Hosie horse as he seems to be entering his horses all over the place. This time we have Lucky Lara who has had 2 starts this season. In January she finished 4th at Taunton on her first start over fences off a mark of 105. She got an RPR off 105 on that run as well, but it was over 2m5f and she ran like she didn't stay and she has often weakened at the end of her races. She then ran at Wincanton last month and was a well beaten 8th back over hurdles. Given she finishes her races off weakly it could be she has a wind issue and the tongue-tie does go on for the first time. Given the small field this might not be that much of a stamina test which should help her as well. She didn't jump great at Taunton though and that would be a worry again here. Clancypantz is coming a long way for this from South Wales which is interesting, but on form she is pretty hard to fancy. She was 0-16 under Rules in Ireland and was then only 4th in a maiden at Larkhill on her debut for new connections. She got a very low point rating on the back of that and it came just 10 days ago. The Welsh aren't afraid of backing one so if she does get well backed then she would be of interest, but she would have to have improved a fair bit in 10 days to take this in my view. The outsider of the field is Mr Pepperpot and he is also the only gelding in the race. Given his age he actually hasn't run all that much having only seen a racecourse 23 times. Pointing he has won 3 times the last of which came just before Covid hit in March 2020. He has had 4 runs in hunter chases two in 2019 and two last year and there hasn't been a great deal of promise in them although the 5th at Wetherby last year wasn't awful albeit in a weak contest. He ran in this contest after that and was pulled up. This season he has run 4 times 3 times poorly and the other time he was beaten by a short head by My Liege in the exact same race at Friars Haugh that the two horses were 1st and 2nd with a short head between them in 2020! The time was good this year and if he can show that form then he's not out of this. His best form does seem to be on better ground so maybe he will run up to his best. I wrote all the above last night, but this morning there has been money for Lucky Lara so she has become favourite. She might be good enough to win and I was half tempted by Mr Pepperpot but I think Absainte is the most solid option. She is proven to run well after a long layoff and if she runs to her best then she is more than good enough to win this. I don't think there is a huge amount in the price, but I do think she deserves to be favourite so there is enough value there to have a bet. Absainte 1pt @ 2/1 with everyone except Bet365 (take up to 11/8) -
Darran got a reaction from alexcaruso808 in Racing Chat - Wednesday 9th March
After a few years of having some good horses win the Catterick race this afternoon, including Cousin Pascal last year, we are back to this being one of the poorest races of the season. Indeed I will be a tad surprise if we see worse than this quality wise for the rest of the year. Having said all that I actually would love to see Absainte get her head in front under rules and surely she will never get a better chance to. Since going to current connections she has run in 7 points and won 4 of them. She didn't win either of the ones she ran in last year, but the 2nd to Royal Chant is decent enough form and she was just a bit disappointing on her final start of the season. Interestingly on her seasonal debut for current connections she has won twice and then was running a stormer at Musselburgh last year when coming down at the last. She would have finished 2nd to Captain Buck's that afternoon and that is strong form in the context of this race. 2 years ago she finished a 25L 2nd in this race to Wishing And Hoping and whilst normally being stuffed 25L wouldn't be a good thing, Wishing And Hoping would be long odds on to win this and she beat the rest of her rivals that day with ease. I never thought she would be favourite for a hunter chase, but she has every right to be on her best form. We have another Syd Hosie horse as he seems to be entering his horses all over the place. This time we have Lucky Lara who has had 2 starts this season. In January she finished 4th at Taunton on her first start over fences off a mark of 105. She got an RPR off 105 on that run as well, but it was over 2m5f and she ran like she didn't stay and she has often weakened at the end of her races. She then ran at Wincanton last month and was a well beaten 8th back over hurdles. Given she finishes her races off weakly it could be she has a wind issue and the tongue-tie does go on for the first time. Given the small field this might not be that much of a stamina test which should help her as well. She didn't jump great at Taunton though and that would be a worry again here. Clancypantz is coming a long way for this from South Wales which is interesting, but on form she is pretty hard to fancy. She was 0-16 under Rules in Ireland and was then only 4th in a maiden at Larkhill on her debut for new connections. She got a very low point rating on the back of that and it came just 10 days ago. The Welsh aren't afraid of backing one so if she does get well backed then she would be of interest, but she would have to have improved a fair bit in 10 days to take this in my view. The outsider of the field is Mr Pepperpot and he is also the only gelding in the race. Given his age he actually hasn't run all that much having only seen a racecourse 23 times. Pointing he has won 3 times the last of which came just before Covid hit in March 2020. He has had 4 runs in hunter chases two in 2019 and two last year and there hasn't been a great deal of promise in them although the 5th at Wetherby last year wasn't awful albeit in a weak contest. He ran in this contest after that and was pulled up. This season he has run 4 times 3 times poorly and the other time he was beaten by a short head by My Liege in the exact same race at Friars Haugh that the two horses were 1st and 2nd with a short head between them in 2020! The time was good this year and if he can show that form then he's not out of this. His best form does seem to be on better ground so maybe he will run up to his best. I wrote all the above last night, but this morning there has been money for Lucky Lara so she has become favourite. She might be good enough to win and I was half tempted by Mr Pepperpot but I think Absainte is the most solid option. She is proven to run well after a long layoff and if she runs to her best then she is more than good enough to win this. I don't think there is a huge amount in the price, but I do think she deserves to be favourite so there is enough value there to have a bet. Absainte 1pt @ 2/1 with everyone except Bet365 (take up to 11/8) -
Darran got a reaction from Bedlam in Racing Chat - Wednesday 2nd March
4.35 Musselburgh
Let's start with the race at Musselburgh first where we have a short price favourite in Rio Des Echanault. He won a poor hunter chase at Kelso last season and I said after the race that he would really have to improve to win another one as he found one of the weakest races he possibly could. The fact he was given a handicap rating of 89 after it proves how bad it was. However he does seem to have improved since then and he fully deserves to be a short price favourite for this race. He's won two races this season both at Friars Haugh. The first was a match, but the win last month had much more substance to it. The 2nd won a point on Sunday and the 3rd finished a close 3rd off 115 at Carlisle on Monday. He's only 8 so there obviously is scope for improvement and to be honest if he was mine I would have been tempted to have kept him pointing and then attacked a few handicaps off his mark because he would be so well handicapped off 89. I'm sure though connections will be hoping to win the final to this series at Kelso in May which is a decent pot to be fair. Ravished clearly has the best recent form in the race having finished 2nd to Hazel Hill last January and he was 6th in the Aintree Foxhunters. The problem is he is now 14 and he has also moved yards. His jockey also trains him and the only time he has trained horses is when he had a couple back in 2015. It's his first run of the season and if he was till with Joe O'Shea then you would give him a chance, but I'd be amazed if he is fit enough first time out at the age of 14. I thought Ferocious looked like he wasn't going to finish 2nd behind Jett at Kelso as he wasn't travelling as well as Wonderoftheworld when that one unseated. It's hard to know what he achieved there though and the 3rd at Alnwick wasn't a bad effort so he might be capable of better. I was a bit surprised Wonderoftheworld was going better because I didn't think he would be able to beat Ferocious although there was long enough left off the race that you couldn't be fully certain what was going to happen. Nine Altars was 2nd in this race in 2020 to Virak when he flew late to not actually be that far away in the end. He was also a decent 2nd in the final of this series at Kelso last season and in 2019. The problem is he comes here on the back of finishing last of 3 in a point back in November and the jockey isn't the best. He's 13 now and as much as he is clearly capable of running well it would be disappointing if he was able to beat the favourite. Not often you get a horse who was pretty useful on the flat end up in hunter chases, but Now Children got into the 90s on the level. He wasn't great when he went jumping though. To be fair to him he was still travelling well enough last time when he was brought down, but then we don't know if he would have stayed 3m which has to be a doubt. I just find it hard to see anything other than a win for the favourite. He looks progressive unlike the rest and whilst if he was coming her just on the back of the Kelso win then I might have been dubious he showed last time that he has clearly improved since then and is better than that bare form. Rio Des Echanault 4pts @ 11/10 with William Hill (take up to 4/6) -
Darran got a reaction from gbettle in Racing Chat - Wednesday 2nd March
4.35 Musselburgh
Let's start with the race at Musselburgh first where we have a short price favourite in Rio Des Echanault. He won a poor hunter chase at Kelso last season and I said after the race that he would really have to improve to win another one as he found one of the weakest races he possibly could. The fact he was given a handicap rating of 89 after it proves how bad it was. However he does seem to have improved since then and he fully deserves to be a short price favourite for this race. He's won two races this season both at Friars Haugh. The first was a match, but the win last month had much more substance to it. The 2nd won a point on Sunday and the 3rd finished a close 3rd off 115 at Carlisle on Monday. He's only 8 so there obviously is scope for improvement and to be honest if he was mine I would have been tempted to have kept him pointing and then attacked a few handicaps off his mark because he would be so well handicapped off 89. I'm sure though connections will be hoping to win the final to this series at Kelso in May which is a decent pot to be fair. Ravished clearly has the best recent form in the race having finished 2nd to Hazel Hill last January and he was 6th in the Aintree Foxhunters. The problem is he is now 14 and he has also moved yards. His jockey also trains him and the only time he has trained horses is when he had a couple back in 2015. It's his first run of the season and if he was till with Joe O'Shea then you would give him a chance, but I'd be amazed if he is fit enough first time out at the age of 14. I thought Ferocious looked like he wasn't going to finish 2nd behind Jett at Kelso as he wasn't travelling as well as Wonderoftheworld when that one unseated. It's hard to know what he achieved there though and the 3rd at Alnwick wasn't a bad effort so he might be capable of better. I was a bit surprised Wonderoftheworld was going better because I didn't think he would be able to beat Ferocious although there was long enough left off the race that you couldn't be fully certain what was going to happen. Nine Altars was 2nd in this race in 2020 to Virak when he flew late to not actually be that far away in the end. He was also a decent 2nd in the final of this series at Kelso last season and in 2019. The problem is he comes here on the back of finishing last of 3 in a point back in November and the jockey isn't the best. He's 13 now and as much as he is clearly capable of running well it would be disappointing if he was able to beat the favourite. Not often you get a horse who was pretty useful on the flat end up in hunter chases, but Now Children got into the 90s on the level. He wasn't great when he went jumping though. To be fair to him he was still travelling well enough last time when he was brought down, but then we don't know if he would have stayed 3m which has to be a doubt. I just find it hard to see anything other than a win for the favourite. He looks progressive unlike the rest and whilst if he was coming her just on the back of the Kelso win then I might have been dubious he showed last time that he has clearly improved since then and is better than that bare form. Rio Des Echanault 4pts @ 11/10 with William Hill (take up to 4/6) -
Darran got a reaction from alexcaruso808 in Racing Chat - Wednesday 2nd March
4.35 Musselburgh
Let's start with the race at Musselburgh first where we have a short price favourite in Rio Des Echanault. He won a poor hunter chase at Kelso last season and I said after the race that he would really have to improve to win another one as he found one of the weakest races he possibly could. The fact he was given a handicap rating of 89 after it proves how bad it was. However he does seem to have improved since then and he fully deserves to be a short price favourite for this race. He's won two races this season both at Friars Haugh. The first was a match, but the win last month had much more substance to it. The 2nd won a point on Sunday and the 3rd finished a close 3rd off 115 at Carlisle on Monday. He's only 8 so there obviously is scope for improvement and to be honest if he was mine I would have been tempted to have kept him pointing and then attacked a few handicaps off his mark because he would be so well handicapped off 89. I'm sure though connections will be hoping to win the final to this series at Kelso in May which is a decent pot to be fair. Ravished clearly has the best recent form in the race having finished 2nd to Hazel Hill last January and he was 6th in the Aintree Foxhunters. The problem is he is now 14 and he has also moved yards. His jockey also trains him and the only time he has trained horses is when he had a couple back in 2015. It's his first run of the season and if he was till with Joe O'Shea then you would give him a chance, but I'd be amazed if he is fit enough first time out at the age of 14. I thought Ferocious looked like he wasn't going to finish 2nd behind Jett at Kelso as he wasn't travelling as well as Wonderoftheworld when that one unseated. It's hard to know what he achieved there though and the 3rd at Alnwick wasn't a bad effort so he might be capable of better. I was a bit surprised Wonderoftheworld was going better because I didn't think he would be able to beat Ferocious although there was long enough left off the race that you couldn't be fully certain what was going to happen. Nine Altars was 2nd in this race in 2020 to Virak when he flew late to not actually be that far away in the end. He was also a decent 2nd in the final of this series at Kelso last season and in 2019. The problem is he comes here on the back of finishing last of 3 in a point back in November and the jockey isn't the best. He's 13 now and as much as he is clearly capable of running well it would be disappointing if he was able to beat the favourite. Not often you get a horse who was pretty useful on the flat end up in hunter chases, but Now Children got into the 90s on the level. He wasn't great when he went jumping though. To be fair to him he was still travelling well enough last time when he was brought down, but then we don't know if he would have stayed 3m which has to be a doubt. I just find it hard to see anything other than a win for the favourite. He looks progressive unlike the rest and whilst if he was coming her just on the back of the Kelso win then I might have been dubious he showed last time that he has clearly improved since then and is better than that bare form. Rio Des Echanault 4pts @ 11/10 with William Hill (take up to 4/6) -
Darran got a reaction from yossa6133 in Racing Chat - Wednesday 2nd March
4.35 Musselburgh
Let's start with the race at Musselburgh first where we have a short price favourite in Rio Des Echanault. He won a poor hunter chase at Kelso last season and I said after the race that he would really have to improve to win another one as he found one of the weakest races he possibly could. The fact he was given a handicap rating of 89 after it proves how bad it was. However he does seem to have improved since then and he fully deserves to be a short price favourite for this race. He's won two races this season both at Friars Haugh. The first was a match, but the win last month had much more substance to it. The 2nd won a point on Sunday and the 3rd finished a close 3rd off 115 at Carlisle on Monday. He's only 8 so there obviously is scope for improvement and to be honest if he was mine I would have been tempted to have kept him pointing and then attacked a few handicaps off his mark because he would be so well handicapped off 89. I'm sure though connections will be hoping to win the final to this series at Kelso in May which is a decent pot to be fair. Ravished clearly has the best recent form in the race having finished 2nd to Hazel Hill last January and he was 6th in the Aintree Foxhunters. The problem is he is now 14 and he has also moved yards. His jockey also trains him and the only time he has trained horses is when he had a couple back in 2015. It's his first run of the season and if he was till with Joe O'Shea then you would give him a chance, but I'd be amazed if he is fit enough first time out at the age of 14. I thought Ferocious looked like he wasn't going to finish 2nd behind Jett at Kelso as he wasn't travelling as well as Wonderoftheworld when that one unseated. It's hard to know what he achieved there though and the 3rd at Alnwick wasn't a bad effort so he might be capable of better. I was a bit surprised Wonderoftheworld was going better because I didn't think he would be able to beat Ferocious although there was long enough left off the race that you couldn't be fully certain what was going to happen. Nine Altars was 2nd in this race in 2020 to Virak when he flew late to not actually be that far away in the end. He was also a decent 2nd in the final of this series at Kelso last season and in 2019. The problem is he comes here on the back of finishing last of 3 in a point back in November and the jockey isn't the best. He's 13 now and as much as he is clearly capable of running well it would be disappointing if he was able to beat the favourite. Not often you get a horse who was pretty useful on the flat end up in hunter chases, but Now Children got into the 90s on the level. He wasn't great when he went jumping though. To be fair to him he was still travelling well enough last time when he was brought down, but then we don't know if he would have stayed 3m which has to be a doubt. I just find it hard to see anything other than a win for the favourite. He looks progressive unlike the rest and whilst if he was coming her just on the back of the Kelso win then I might have been dubious he showed last time that he has clearly improved since then and is better than that bare form. Rio Des Echanault 4pts @ 11/10 with William Hill (take up to 4/6) -
Darran got a reaction from Villa Chris in Racing Chat - Wednesday 2nd March
4.35 Musselburgh
Let's start with the race at Musselburgh first where we have a short price favourite in Rio Des Echanault. He won a poor hunter chase at Kelso last season and I said after the race that he would really have to improve to win another one as he found one of the weakest races he possibly could. The fact he was given a handicap rating of 89 after it proves how bad it was. However he does seem to have improved since then and he fully deserves to be a short price favourite for this race. He's won two races this season both at Friars Haugh. The first was a match, but the win last month had much more substance to it. The 2nd won a point on Sunday and the 3rd finished a close 3rd off 115 at Carlisle on Monday. He's only 8 so there obviously is scope for improvement and to be honest if he was mine I would have been tempted to have kept him pointing and then attacked a few handicaps off his mark because he would be so well handicapped off 89. I'm sure though connections will be hoping to win the final to this series at Kelso in May which is a decent pot to be fair. Ravished clearly has the best recent form in the race having finished 2nd to Hazel Hill last January and he was 6th in the Aintree Foxhunters. The problem is he is now 14 and he has also moved yards. His jockey also trains him and the only time he has trained horses is when he had a couple back in 2015. It's his first run of the season and if he was till with Joe O'Shea then you would give him a chance, but I'd be amazed if he is fit enough first time out at the age of 14. I thought Ferocious looked like he wasn't going to finish 2nd behind Jett at Kelso as he wasn't travelling as well as Wonderoftheworld when that one unseated. It's hard to know what he achieved there though and the 3rd at Alnwick wasn't a bad effort so he might be capable of better. I was a bit surprised Wonderoftheworld was going better because I didn't think he would be able to beat Ferocious although there was long enough left off the race that you couldn't be fully certain what was going to happen. Nine Altars was 2nd in this race in 2020 to Virak when he flew late to not actually be that far away in the end. He was also a decent 2nd in the final of this series at Kelso last season and in 2019. The problem is he comes here on the back of finishing last of 3 in a point back in November and the jockey isn't the best. He's 13 now and as much as he is clearly capable of running well it would be disappointing if he was able to beat the favourite. Not often you get a horse who was pretty useful on the flat end up in hunter chases, but Now Children got into the 90s on the level. He wasn't great when he went jumping though. To be fair to him he was still travelling well enough last time when he was brought down, but then we don't know if he would have stayed 3m which has to be a doubt. I just find it hard to see anything other than a win for the favourite. He looks progressive unlike the rest and whilst if he was coming her just on the back of the Kelso win then I might have been dubious he showed last time that he has clearly improved since then and is better than that bare form. Rio Des Echanault 4pts @ 11/10 with William Hill (take up to 4/6) -
Darran got a reaction from MCLARKE in Racing Chat - Wednesday 2nd March
4.35 Musselburgh
Let's start with the race at Musselburgh first where we have a short price favourite in Rio Des Echanault. He won a poor hunter chase at Kelso last season and I said after the race that he would really have to improve to win another one as he found one of the weakest races he possibly could. The fact he was given a handicap rating of 89 after it proves how bad it was. However he does seem to have improved since then and he fully deserves to be a short price favourite for this race. He's won two races this season both at Friars Haugh. The first was a match, but the win last month had much more substance to it. The 2nd won a point on Sunday and the 3rd finished a close 3rd off 115 at Carlisle on Monday. He's only 8 so there obviously is scope for improvement and to be honest if he was mine I would have been tempted to have kept him pointing and then attacked a few handicaps off his mark because he would be so well handicapped off 89. I'm sure though connections will be hoping to win the final to this series at Kelso in May which is a decent pot to be fair. Ravished clearly has the best recent form in the race having finished 2nd to Hazel Hill last January and he was 6th in the Aintree Foxhunters. The problem is he is now 14 and he has also moved yards. His jockey also trains him and the only time he has trained horses is when he had a couple back in 2015. It's his first run of the season and if he was till with Joe O'Shea then you would give him a chance, but I'd be amazed if he is fit enough first time out at the age of 14. I thought Ferocious looked like he wasn't going to finish 2nd behind Jett at Kelso as he wasn't travelling as well as Wonderoftheworld when that one unseated. It's hard to know what he achieved there though and the 3rd at Alnwick wasn't a bad effort so he might be capable of better. I was a bit surprised Wonderoftheworld was going better because I didn't think he would be able to beat Ferocious although there was long enough left off the race that you couldn't be fully certain what was going to happen. Nine Altars was 2nd in this race in 2020 to Virak when he flew late to not actually be that far away in the end. He was also a decent 2nd in the final of this series at Kelso last season and in 2019. The problem is he comes here on the back of finishing last of 3 in a point back in November and the jockey isn't the best. He's 13 now and as much as he is clearly capable of running well it would be disappointing if he was able to beat the favourite. Not often you get a horse who was pretty useful on the flat end up in hunter chases, but Now Children got into the 90s on the level. He wasn't great when he went jumping though. To be fair to him he was still travelling well enough last time when he was brought down, but then we don't know if he would have stayed 3m which has to be a doubt. I just find it hard to see anything other than a win for the favourite. He looks progressive unlike the rest and whilst if he was coming her just on the back of the Kelso win then I might have been dubious he showed last time that he has clearly improved since then and is better than that bare form. Rio Des Echanault 4pts @ 11/10 with William Hill (take up to 4/6) -
Darran got a reaction from gbettle in Road to the Cheltenham Festival Hunter Chase 2022
Surprisingly I have seen the entries already. There are 31 of them and no surprise that Stake Wallace isn't entered, but a surprise to see Highway Jewel and Cat Tiger among them.
Back Bar
Billaway Bob And Co Cat Tiger Cousin Pascal Desire de Joie Don Bersy Dubai Quest Fumet d'Oudairies Highway Jewel I'm Wiser Now It Came To Pass Its All Guesswork Jett Latenightpass Lord Schnitzel Mighty Stowaway Monbeg Chit Chat Moratorium Overworkdunderpaid Point The Way Poli Roi Pont Aven Premier Magic Rewritetherules Senor Lombardy Shantou Flyer Tango de Juilley Vaucelet Winged Leader Zamparelli -
Darran got a reaction from gbettle in Road to the Cheltenham Festival Hunter Chase 2022
It has been confirmed that Porlock Bay is going to miss Cheltenham and hasn't been entered. He was found to have a lung condition after a scope and wont be ready for Cheltenham but should be ready for Aintree. At least we now know why he ran below par at Bangor.
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Darran got a reaction from blueboy199 in Road to the Cheltenham Festival Hunter Chase 2022
So final update before the entries close today. Dolphin Square was cut in the betting after he won at Doncaster, but he wont be running at Cheltenham. They ended up skipping Doncaster with Jett and instead head to Fontwell for an easier task. Whilst he did qualify for Cheltenham you have to say he was rather disappointing. Shantou Flyer is clearly a good horse still and capable of performing to a high level. Whilst I'm sure Sam didn't want to give Jett too hard a race with Cheltenham in mind, but he just look very laboured in finishing 2nd. He hit the front and I thought he was going to go on and win the race, but he seemed to not really want to go through with his effort and it allowed the winner to go back in front. I had Jett on my shortlist prior to Fontwell as that Doncaster effort looked really good, but it's hard to fancy him for the race after Sunday. Meanwhile Shantou Flyer will get a Cheltenham entry as a super sub in case something happens to Bob And Co. Certainly not a bad horse to have in reserve especially as he loves Cheltenham and if he did end up running in the race he would surely have place claims, but as for winning it I can't really see it. For me he's had better chances of winning this in the past and I don't see where the improvement would come from for him to go and win it.
Slightly surprisingly Pure Vision skipped Fontwell and instead runs at Leicester today, but that means he won't be going to Cheltenham in a couple of weeks as he isn't qualified. Maybe we will see him at Aintree instead.
Usually we don't see the entries until the day after they close so I will post them on here as soon as I see them.
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Darran got a reaction from yossa6133 in Road to the Cheltenham Festival Hunter Chase 2022
So final update before the entries close today. Dolphin Square was cut in the betting after he won at Doncaster, but he wont be running at Cheltenham. They ended up skipping Doncaster with Jett and instead head to Fontwell for an easier task. Whilst he did qualify for Cheltenham you have to say he was rather disappointing. Shantou Flyer is clearly a good horse still and capable of performing to a high level. Whilst I'm sure Sam didn't want to give Jett too hard a race with Cheltenham in mind, but he just look very laboured in finishing 2nd. He hit the front and I thought he was going to go on and win the race, but he seemed to not really want to go through with his effort and it allowed the winner to go back in front. I had Jett on my shortlist prior to Fontwell as that Doncaster effort looked really good, but it's hard to fancy him for the race after Sunday. Meanwhile Shantou Flyer will get a Cheltenham entry as a super sub in case something happens to Bob And Co. Certainly not a bad horse to have in reserve especially as he loves Cheltenham and if he did end up running in the race he would surely have place claims, but as for winning it I can't really see it. For me he's had better chances of winning this in the past and I don't see where the improvement would come from for him to go and win it.
Slightly surprisingly Pure Vision skipped Fontwell and instead runs at Leicester today, but that means he won't be going to Cheltenham in a couple of weeks as he isn't qualified. Maybe we will see him at Aintree instead.
Usually we don't see the entries until the day after they close so I will post them on here as soon as I see them.
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Darran got a reaction from gbettle in Road to the Cheltenham Festival Hunter Chase 2022
So final update before the entries close today. Dolphin Square was cut in the betting after he won at Doncaster, but he wont be running at Cheltenham. They ended up skipping Doncaster with Jett and instead head to Fontwell for an easier task. Whilst he did qualify for Cheltenham you have to say he was rather disappointing. Shantou Flyer is clearly a good horse still and capable of performing to a high level. Whilst I'm sure Sam didn't want to give Jett too hard a race with Cheltenham in mind, but he just look very laboured in finishing 2nd. He hit the front and I thought he was going to go on and win the race, but he seemed to not really want to go through with his effort and it allowed the winner to go back in front. I had Jett on my shortlist prior to Fontwell as that Doncaster effort looked really good, but it's hard to fancy him for the race after Sunday. Meanwhile Shantou Flyer will get a Cheltenham entry as a super sub in case something happens to Bob And Co. Certainly not a bad horse to have in reserve especially as he loves Cheltenham and if he did end up running in the race he would surely have place claims, but as for winning it I can't really see it. For me he's had better chances of winning this in the past and I don't see where the improvement would come from for him to go and win it.
Slightly surprisingly Pure Vision skipped Fontwell and instead runs at Leicester today, but that means he won't be going to Cheltenham in a couple of weeks as he isn't qualified. Maybe we will see him at Aintree instead.
Usually we don't see the entries until the day after they close so I will post them on here as soon as I see them.
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Darran got a reaction from black rabbit in Road to the Cheltenham Festival Hunter Chase 2022
So final update before the entries close today. Dolphin Square was cut in the betting after he won at Doncaster, but he wont be running at Cheltenham. They ended up skipping Doncaster with Jett and instead head to Fontwell for an easier task. Whilst he did qualify for Cheltenham you have to say he was rather disappointing. Shantou Flyer is clearly a good horse still and capable of performing to a high level. Whilst I'm sure Sam didn't want to give Jett too hard a race with Cheltenham in mind, but he just look very laboured in finishing 2nd. He hit the front and I thought he was going to go on and win the race, but he seemed to not really want to go through with his effort and it allowed the winner to go back in front. I had Jett on my shortlist prior to Fontwell as that Doncaster effort looked really good, but it's hard to fancy him for the race after Sunday. Meanwhile Shantou Flyer will get a Cheltenham entry as a super sub in case something happens to Bob And Co. Certainly not a bad horse to have in reserve especially as he loves Cheltenham and if he did end up running in the race he would surely have place claims, but as for winning it I can't really see it. For me he's had better chances of winning this in the past and I don't see where the improvement would come from for him to go and win it.
Slightly surprisingly Pure Vision skipped Fontwell and instead runs at Leicester today, but that means he won't be going to Cheltenham in a couple of weeks as he isn't qualified. Maybe we will see him at Aintree instead.
Usually we don't see the entries until the day after they close so I will post them on here as soon as I see them.
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Darran got a reaction from MCLARKE in Road to the Cheltenham Festival Hunter Chase 2022
So final update before the entries close today. Dolphin Square was cut in the betting after he won at Doncaster, but he wont be running at Cheltenham. They ended up skipping Doncaster with Jett and instead head to Fontwell for an easier task. Whilst he did qualify for Cheltenham you have to say he was rather disappointing. Shantou Flyer is clearly a good horse still and capable of performing to a high level. Whilst I'm sure Sam didn't want to give Jett too hard a race with Cheltenham in mind, but he just look very laboured in finishing 2nd. He hit the front and I thought he was going to go on and win the race, but he seemed to not really want to go through with his effort and it allowed the winner to go back in front. I had Jett on my shortlist prior to Fontwell as that Doncaster effort looked really good, but it's hard to fancy him for the race after Sunday. Meanwhile Shantou Flyer will get a Cheltenham entry as a super sub in case something happens to Bob And Co. Certainly not a bad horse to have in reserve especially as he loves Cheltenham and if he did end up running in the race he would surely have place claims, but as for winning it I can't really see it. For me he's had better chances of winning this in the past and I don't see where the improvement would come from for him to go and win it.
Slightly surprisingly Pure Vision skipped Fontwell and instead runs at Leicester today, but that means he won't be going to Cheltenham in a couple of weeks as he isn't qualified. Maybe we will see him at Aintree instead.
Usually we don't see the entries until the day after they close so I will post them on here as soon as I see them.
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Darran got a reaction from Bedlam in Road to the Cheltenham Festival Hunter Chase 2022
It was good to see Salvatore bounce back to form at Bangor on Friday and he travelled and jump the best he has for a year. I thought he was given a good ride by Darren and he used his incitive to get the ride in the first place when he phoned up the trainer on Tuesday night when he realised Will would be riding Porlock Bay. He clearly loves testing ground as well and I suggest connections keep him to that now. He might have half a chance at Cheltenham if it did come up testing, but even then I am not sure Unibet's quote of 12/1 makes any appeal. I suspect he would only go if it was soft or worse anyway and William Hill go a best price of 20/1. Not surprisingly Porlock Bay was pushed out for Cheltenham after finishing 2nd. Now he was giving weight to the winner and clearly Will has left a bit to work on, but for me it was a disappointing effort. I think it was a worse run than his Chaddesley effort so it means he has gone backwards since then. I know he was beaten at Wincanton last year, but he should have won that and the front two pulled miles clear of the rest that day so I think it was a better run. His price ranges from 8/1 to 16/1 with Bet365 and whilst I probably wouldn't go as big as 16s at the moment I really think he has a question mark over his Cheltenham chances now. Will really needs to hope he has left a lot to work on. The thing that worries me about the strength of the form is the closeness of the 3rd Dieu Vivant because he was proven himself to be a pretty average horse who struggles to get his head in front. Another Venture looks unlikely to qualify for Cheltenham now and although he wasn't given the best of rides here it was still a lesser effort than his Ludlow one. Whilst Porlock Bay was beaten Billaway looked really impressive at Naas yesterday. Apart from one mistake at 5 out he's jumped really well and he has also travelled equally as well and didn't hit the flat spot he can sometimes do. It was hard not to be impressed although I will add that you would expect him to beat that field in the way that he did. He shortened up at the head of the market for Cheltenham and 7/2 with Betfair and Betfred is the best on offer at the moment. I certainly think he is the right favourite at the moment although we should get to see what Bob And Co has to offer this week as he is entered at Kelso and no doubt will be entered at Haydock on Saturday as well. He beat his stablemate Good Bye Sam into 2nd and that is one of his qualifying runs for Cheltenham ticked off, but surely he is just going to look to win a maiden next time rather than bid to qualify for Cheltenham. He is still as short as 10/1 with Paddy Power and as big as 20/1, but I still don't see how he even lines up in the race and he clearly isn't as good as Billaway at the moment. Cloudy Tuesday is still in the betting with some bookies, but he was well beaten here. If the weather allows then Bob And Co will either be heading to Kelso or more likely Haydock later on in the week. West Approach will be looking to qualify at Lingfield on Tuesday. Pure Vision has also been entered at Haydock so he could be looking to qualify there.