Darran

I'm wondering if in future we maybe have separate threads for the big Festivals so chat can be had in advance should people wish and then have day of race runs for the other meetings. Think it would be good to get the chat going earlier as well. 

Maybe we have ante post threads for Cheltenham and Ascot and then individual ones for big races like the classics and the grand national where there is little ante post betting apart from the big race. Then come actual race day all tips are in the normal thread like today.

Maybe we have ante post threads for Cheltenham and Ascot and then individual ones for big races like the classics and the grand national where there is little ante post betting apart from the big race. Then come actual race day all tips are in the normal thread like today.

I'm wondering if in future we maybe have separate threads for the big Festivals so chat can be had in advance should people wish and then have day of race runs for the other meetings. Think it would be good to get the chat going earlier as well. 

I'm wondering if in future we maybe have separate threads for the big Festivals so chat can be had in advance should people wish and then have day of race runs for the other meetings. Think it would be good to get the chat going earlier as well. 

I'm wondering if in future we maybe have separate threads for the big Festivals so chat can be had in advance should people wish and then have day of race runs for the other meetings. Think it would be good to get the chat going earlier as well. 

I'm wondering if in future we maybe have separate threads for the big Festivals so chat can be had in advance should people wish and then have day of race runs for the other meetings. Think it would be good to get the chat going earlier as well. 

I'm wondering if in future we maybe have separate threads for the big Festivals so chat can be had in advance should people wish and then have day of race runs for the other meetings. Think it would be good to get the chat going earlier as well. 

I'm wondering if in future we maybe have separate threads for the big Festivals so chat can be had in advance should people wish and then have day of race runs for the other meetings. Think it would be good to get the chat going earlier as well. 

Had to be put down sadly according to a Tweet I have seen.

Had to be put down sadly according to a Tweet I have seen.

Had to be put down sadly according to a Tweet I have seen.

I happened to be in Australia in January 2018 when Nature Strip first announced himself as a possible superstar so I have followed him for a long time now. He used to be all about going as fast as he could from the stalls and you wouldn't have given him a chance of staying 6f, but he is much more settled now and he can win over 5f or 6f which is crucial as Ascot's 5f is a much stiffer test then any 5f in Australia. I think he sits behind Golden Pal and then pounces once that one tires having gone hard from the start. On his best form he's the best horse in the race and if he runs up to it then he wins. The only doubt I have is that he has run below par in the past especially 1st up, but Waller knows exactly what he's doing and I suspect he has got him ready to peak here. The home team shouldn't get anywhere near him if he runs up to form.

I happened to be in Australia in January 2018 when Nature Strip first announced himself as a possible superstar so I have followed him for a long time now. He used to be all about going as fast as he could from the stalls and you wouldn't have given him a chance of staying 6f, but he is much more settled now and he can win over 5f or 6f which is crucial as Ascot's 5f is a much stiffer test then any 5f in Australia. I think he sits behind Golden Pal and then pounces once that one tires having gone hard from the start. On his best form he's the best horse in the race and if he runs up to it then he wins. The only doubt I have is that he has run below par in the past especially 1st up, but Waller knows exactly what he's doing and I suspect he has got him ready to peak here. The home team shouldn't get anywhere near him if he runs up to form.

Nature Strip beating the home team in exactly the fashion I thought he would. Shame the American blew the start as wasn't a fair race with him, but he beats him anyway in my view. Best horse in the world never mind best sprinter.

I happened to be in Australia in January 2018 when Nature Strip first announced himself as a possible superstar so I have followed him for a long time now. He used to be all about going as fast as he could from the stalls and you wouldn't have given him a chance of staying 6f, but he is much more settled now and he can win over 5f or 6f which is crucial as Ascot's 5f is a much stiffer test then any 5f in Australia. I think he sits behind Golden Pal and then pounces once that one tires having gone hard from the start. On his best form he's the best horse in the race and if he runs up to it then he wins. The only doubt I have is that he has run below par in the past especially 1st up, but Waller knows exactly what he's doing and I suspect he has got him ready to peak here. The home team shouldn't get anywhere near him if he runs up to form.

I happened to be in Australia in January 2018 when Nature Strip first announced himself as a possible superstar so I have followed him for a long time now. He used to be all about going as fast as he could from the stalls and you wouldn't have given him a chance of staying 6f, but he is much more settled now and he can win over 5f or 6f which is crucial as Ascot's 5f is a much stiffer test then any 5f in Australia. I think he sits behind Golden Pal and then pounces once that one tires having gone hard from the start. On his best form he's the best horse in the race and if he runs up to it then he wins. The only doubt I have is that he has run below par in the past especially 1st up, but Waller knows exactly what he's doing and I suspect he has got him ready to peak here. The home team shouldn't get anywhere near him if he runs up to form.

I happened to be in Australia in January 2018 when Nature Strip first announced himself as a possible superstar so I have followed him for a long time now. He used to be all about going as fast as he could from the stalls and you wouldn't have given him a chance of staying 6f, but he is much more settled now and he can win over 5f or 6f which is crucial as Ascot's 5f is a much stiffer test then any 5f in Australia. I think he sits behind Golden Pal and then pounces once that one tires having gone hard from the start. On his best form he's the best horse in the race and if he runs up to it then he wins. The only doubt I have is that he has run below par in the past especially 1st up, but Waller knows exactly what he's doing and I suspect he has got him ready to peak here. The home team shouldn't get anywhere near him if he runs up to form.

I happened to be in Australia in January 2018 when Nature Strip first announced himself as a possible superstar so I have followed him for a long time now. He used to be all about going as fast as he could from the stalls and you wouldn't have given him a chance of staying 6f, but he is much more settled now and he can win over 5f or 6f which is crucial as Ascot's 5f is a much stiffer test then any 5f in Australia. I think he sits behind Golden Pal and then pounces once that one tires having gone hard from the start. On his best form he's the best horse in the race and if he runs up to it then he wins. The only doubt I have is that he has run below par in the past especially 1st up, but Waller knows exactly what he's doing and I suspect he has got him ready to peak here. The home team shouldn't get anywhere near him if he runs up to form.

I happened to be in Australia in January 2018 when Nature Strip first announced himself as a possible superstar so I have followed him for a long time now. He used to be all about going as fast as he could from the stalls and you wouldn't have given him a chance of staying 6f, but he is much more settled now and he can win over 5f or 6f which is crucial as Ascot's 5f is a much stiffer test then any 5f in Australia. I think he sits behind Golden Pal and then pounces once that one tires having gone hard from the start. On his best form he's the best horse in the race and if he runs up to it then he wins. The only doubt I have is that he has run below par in the past especially 1st up, but Waller knows exactly what he's doing and I suspect he has got him ready to peak here. The home team shouldn't get anywhere near him if he runs up to form.

I happened to be in Australia in January 2018 when Nature Strip first announced himself as a possible superstar so I have followed him for a long time now. He used to be all about going as fast as he could from the stalls and you wouldn't have given him a chance of staying 6f, but he is much more settled now and he can win over 5f or 6f which is crucial as Ascot's 5f is a much stiffer test then any 5f in Australia. I think he sits behind Golden Pal and then pounces once that one tires having gone hard from the start. On his best form he's the best horse in the race and if he runs up to it then he wins. The only doubt I have is that he has run below par in the past especially 1st up, but Waller knows exactly what he's doing and I suspect he has got him ready to peak here. The home team shouldn't get anywhere near him if he runs up to form.

I happened to be in Australia in January 2018 when Nature Strip first announced himself as a possible superstar so I have followed him for a long time now. He used to be all about going as fast as he could from the stalls and you wouldn't have given him a chance of staying 6f, but he is much more settled now and he can win over 5f or 6f which is crucial as Ascot's 5f is a much stiffer test then any 5f in Australia. I think he sits behind Golden Pal and then pounces once that one tires having gone hard from the start. On his best form he's the best horse in the race and if he runs up to it then he wins. The only doubt I have is that he has run below par in the past especially 1st up, but Waller knows exactly what he's doing and I suspect he has got him ready to peak here. The home team shouldn't get anywhere near him if he runs up to form.

3 jumps race at Sale tomorrow morning and here are my thoughts on them.   Race 1 Don't think this is a very strong contest. Twin Spinner is favourite at the time of writing and he has had two hurdle runs in New Zealand the 2nd of which he finished 2nd. He's had 3 flat runs here and a couple of trials and he hasn't shown a great deal it has to be said. Like I say its not a strong race and he might be good enough, but I am happy enough to look elsewhere. 5 of these ran in the maiden hurdle contests at Hamilton last week and I imagine one of those will get their head in front. I Arize was favourite last week when I wrote my preview, but was a huge drifter and he went off $11. He ran no sort of race though and I couldn't back him here. Heroic Fighter was well beaten in 5th and I didn't see too much promise in that run. Dr Dependable has had 6 goes over hurdles now and has only placed once although the two 4ths at Casterton and Hamilton were decent enough efforts. The issue is Gravistas (ex Mark Johnson) was 3L and a place in front of him last week and I think he will uphold that form. It was just his 2nd run over hurdles after finishing 5th at Warrnambool which was a fair enough debut. I thought he travelled well into the race last week and just couldn't live with the first 2 late on. I don't think there is anything as good as either of those two in this so he has a good chance here. I also have to have a saver on Chairman's List who looks overpriced. He had two flat runs before the 4th at Hamilton and I think he will be fitter again here. He was a bit keen and just faded late on into 4th place. If he builds on that here then he has a better chance of winning than his odds suggest.   Gravistas 1pt @ 16/5 with Betfair and Paddy Power Chairman's List 0.5pts @ 7/1 with Bet365, Betfair, Paddy Power and William Hill   Race 2 Hey Happy is favourite for this at the time of writing which is a bit surprising as he was pulled up last week at Hamilton. His jockey reported to the stewards that he was under pressure from some way out and that he may have not backed up his recent jump starts at Casterton and Sandown. He also had a slower than normal recovery. Because of that I'm surprised that they are going again with him so soon and I am happy to take him on. Onset and Cernan were 3rd and 4th in that contest, which was won easily by Big Blue. They carried the same weight that day, but here Onset gets 1kg from Cernan and he was 4.5L in front of him at Hamilton. Onset had the better form for me going into that race and she should uphold that form. That could mean she wins the race, but the unknown runner is Yulong Rising who is easily the best of these on the flat and makes his hurdles debut. He's had a couple of trials and jumps well enough and he had a run on the flat last week at Sandown which was his first race since October. No doubt that was a prep for this and the fact they have decided to go the handicap route rather than the maiden route suggests they think he can win this. I'm happy to back both him and Onset as they look the two most likely winners to me and Hey Happy is helping make the market.   Yulong Rising 1pt @ 9/4 with everyone apart from Bet365 Onset 1pt @ 16/5 with Paddy Power and Betfair   Race 3 Some of these ran at Hamilton last week. Flying Pierro and Cheners were 3rd and 4th in the open steeplechase behind Historic. Flying Pierro didn't jump well so if he improved on that he wouldn't be out of this, whilst Cheners was a little disappointing. Looking Around was 3rd in the 0-114 chase which was a weak affair and he was beaten 28L. Joshua Reynolds failed to finish in one of the maiden hurdles and he has certainly becoming disappointing over hurdles having started off this year with a very promising 2nd at Hamilton in April. He trialled over fences 4 days after the run last week and I was impressed with his jumping so maybe the larger obstacles will spark him back to life. Ultimately though I want to see how he gets on in a race first so I suspect the race will be between Runaway and Valac. Runaway made his steeple debut at Warrnambool last month and he was running well enough until he got hampered at the last by a faller and he ended up basically pulling up. It's hard to know where he would have finished, but probably 3rd in front of Cheners. He then ran in a BM120 Hurdle at Sandown when 3rd behind Blandford Lad and Constantinople which was a fair effort.    Runaway just seems to have become a bit frustrating though and I think Valac can win this. He's never actually run on a heavy track before so that is an unknown, but if connections are happy to run him on it then I am happy to back him. This race is much weaker than the two chases he has run in. First of all he won a BM125 on his chasing debut at Pakenham and then he was running a huge race in the Brierly at Warrnambool when falling at 2 out. Again hard to know where he would have finished but he was travelling every bit as well as the winner. He had a trial last week where he finished last but it was clearly being used as a school round for him. He jumped well apart from one mistake. This looks a good race to get him back on track and I must admit I think he only has to jump round safely to collect.   Valac 2.5pts @ 7/4 with William Hill

3 jumps race at Sale tomorrow morning and here are my thoughts on them.   Race 1 Don't think this is a very strong contest. Twin Spinner is favourite at the time of writing and he has had two hurdle runs in New Zealand the 2nd of which he finished 2nd. He's had 3 flat runs here and a couple of trials and he hasn't shown a great deal it has to be said. Like I say its not a strong race and he might be good enough, but I am happy enough to look elsewhere. 5 of these ran in the maiden hurdle contests at Hamilton last week and I imagine one of those will get their head in front. I Arize was favourite last week when I wrote my preview, but was a huge drifter and he went off $11. He ran no sort of race though and I couldn't back him here. Heroic Fighter was well beaten in 5th and I didn't see too much promise in that run. Dr Dependable has had 6 goes over hurdles now and has only placed once although the two 4ths at Casterton and Hamilton were decent enough efforts. The issue is Gravistas (ex Mark Johnson) was 3L and a place in front of him last week and I think he will uphold that form. It was just his 2nd run over hurdles after finishing 5th at Warrnambool which was a fair enough debut. I thought he travelled well into the race last week and just couldn't live with the first 2 late on. I don't think there is anything as good as either of those two in this so he has a good chance here. I also have to have a saver on Chairman's List who looks overpriced. He had two flat runs before the 4th at Hamilton and I think he will be fitter again here. He was a bit keen and just faded late on into 4th place. If he builds on that here then he has a better chance of winning than his odds suggest.   Gravistas 1pt @ 16/5 with Betfair and Paddy Power Chairman's List 0.5pts @ 7/1 with Bet365, Betfair, Paddy Power and William Hill   Race 2 Hey Happy is favourite for this at the time of writing which is a bit surprising as he was pulled up last week at Hamilton. His jockey reported to the stewards that he was under pressure from some way out and that he may have not backed up his recent jump starts at Casterton and Sandown. He also had a slower than normal recovery. Because of that I'm surprised that they are going again with him so soon and I am happy to take him on. Onset and Cernan were 3rd and 4th in that contest, which was won easily by Big Blue. They carried the same weight that day, but here Onset gets 1kg from Cernan and he was 4.5L in front of him at Hamilton. Onset had the better form for me going into that race and she should uphold that form. That could mean she wins the race, but the unknown runner is Yulong Rising who is easily the best of these on the flat and makes his hurdles debut. He's had a couple of trials and jumps well enough and he had a run on the flat last week at Sandown which was his first race since October. No doubt that was a prep for this and the fact they have decided to go the handicap route rather than the maiden route suggests they think he can win this. I'm happy to back both him and Onset as they look the two most likely winners to me and Hey Happy is helping make the market.   Yulong Rising 1pt @ 9/4 with everyone apart from Bet365 Onset 1pt @ 16/5 with Paddy Power and Betfair   Race 3 Some of these ran at Hamilton last week. Flying Pierro and Cheners were 3rd and 4th in the open steeplechase behind Historic. Flying Pierro didn't jump well so if he improved on that he wouldn't be out of this, whilst Cheners was a little disappointing. Looking Around was 3rd in the 0-114 chase which was a weak affair and he was beaten 28L. Joshua Reynolds failed to finish in one of the maiden hurdles and he has certainly becoming disappointing over hurdles having started off this year with a very promising 2nd at Hamilton in April. He trialled over fences 4 days after the run last week and I was impressed with his jumping so maybe the larger obstacles will spark him back to life. Ultimately though I want to see how he gets on in a race first so I suspect the race will be between Runaway and Valac. Runaway made his steeple debut at Warrnambool last month and he was running well enough until he got hampered at the last by a faller and he ended up basically pulling up. It's hard to know where he would have finished, but probably 3rd in front of Cheners. He then ran in a BM120 Hurdle at Sandown when 3rd behind Blandford Lad and Constantinople which was a fair effort.    Runaway just seems to have become a bit frustrating though and I think Valac can win this. He's never actually run on a heavy track before so that is an unknown, but if connections are happy to run him on it then I am happy to back him. This race is much weaker than the two chases he has run in. First of all he won a BM125 on his chasing debut at Pakenham and then he was running a huge race in the Brierly at Warrnambool when falling at 2 out. Again hard to know where he would have finished but he was travelling every bit as well as the winner. He had a trial last week where he finished last but it was clearly being used as a school round for him. He jumped well apart from one mistake. This looks a good race to get him back on track and I must admit I think he only has to jump round safely to collect.   Valac 2.5pts @ 7/4 with William Hill

3 jumps race at Sale tomorrow morning and here are my thoughts on them.   Race 1 Don't think this is a very strong contest. Twin Spinner is favourite at the time of writing and he has had two hurdle runs in New Zealand the 2nd of which he finished 2nd. He's had 3 flat runs here and a couple of trials and he hasn't shown a great deal it has to be said. Like I say its not a strong race and he might be good enough, but I am happy enough to look elsewhere. 5 of these ran in the maiden hurdle contests at Hamilton last week and I imagine one of those will get their head in front. I Arize was favourite last week when I wrote my preview, but was a huge drifter and he went off $11. He ran no sort of race though and I couldn't back him here. Heroic Fighter was well beaten in 5th and I didn't see too much promise in that run. Dr Dependable has had 6 goes over hurdles now and has only placed once although the two 4ths at Casterton and Hamilton were decent enough efforts. The issue is Gravistas (ex Mark Johnson) was 3L and a place in front of him last week and I think he will uphold that form. It was just his 2nd run over hurdles after finishing 5th at Warrnambool which was a fair enough debut. I thought he travelled well into the race last week and just couldn't live with the first 2 late on. I don't think there is anything as good as either of those two in this so he has a good chance here. I also have to have a saver on Chairman's List who looks overpriced. He had two flat runs before the 4th at Hamilton and I think he will be fitter again here. He was a bit keen and just faded late on into 4th place. If he builds on that here then he has a better chance of winning than his odds suggest.   Gravistas 1pt @ 16/5 with Betfair and Paddy Power Chairman's List 0.5pts @ 7/1 with Bet365, Betfair, Paddy Power and William Hill   Race 2 Hey Happy is favourite for this at the time of writing which is a bit surprising as he was pulled up last week at Hamilton. His jockey reported to the stewards that he was under pressure from some way out and that he may have not backed up his recent jump starts at Casterton and Sandown. He also had a slower than normal recovery. Because of that I'm surprised that they are going again with him so soon and I am happy to take him on. Onset and Cernan were 3rd and 4th in that contest, which was won easily by Big Blue. They carried the same weight that day, but here Onset gets 1kg from Cernan and he was 4.5L in front of him at Hamilton. Onset had the better form for me going into that race and she should uphold that form. That could mean she wins the race, but the unknown runner is Yulong Rising who is easily the best of these on the flat and makes his hurdles debut. He's had a couple of trials and jumps well enough and he had a run on the flat last week at Sandown which was his first race since October. No doubt that was a prep for this and the fact they have decided to go the handicap route rather than the maiden route suggests they think he can win this. I'm happy to back both him and Onset as they look the two most likely winners to me and Hey Happy is helping make the market.   Yulong Rising 1pt @ 9/4 with everyone apart from Bet365 Onset 1pt @ 16/5 with Paddy Power and Betfair   Race 3 Some of these ran at Hamilton last week. Flying Pierro and Cheners were 3rd and 4th in the open steeplechase behind Historic. Flying Pierro didn't jump well so if he improved on that he wouldn't be out of this, whilst Cheners was a little disappointing. Looking Around was 3rd in the 0-114 chase which was a weak affair and he was beaten 28L. Joshua Reynolds failed to finish in one of the maiden hurdles and he has certainly becoming disappointing over hurdles having started off this year with a very promising 2nd at Hamilton in April. He trialled over fences 4 days after the run last week and I was impressed with his jumping so maybe the larger obstacles will spark him back to life. Ultimately though I want to see how he gets on in a race first so I suspect the race will be between Runaway and Valac. Runaway made his steeple debut at Warrnambool last month and he was running well enough until he got hampered at the last by a faller and he ended up basically pulling up. It's hard to know where he would have finished, but probably 3rd in front of Cheners. He then ran in a BM120 Hurdle at Sandown when 3rd behind Blandford Lad and Constantinople which was a fair effort.    Runaway just seems to have become a bit frustrating though and I think Valac can win this. He's never actually run on a heavy track before so that is an unknown, but if connections are happy to run him on it then I am happy to back him. This race is much weaker than the two chases he has run in. First of all he won a BM125 on his chasing debut at Pakenham and then he was running a huge race in the Brierly at Warrnambool when falling at 2 out. Again hard to know where he would have finished but he was travelling every bit as well as the winner. He had a trial last week where he finished last but it was clearly being used as a school round for him. He jumped well apart from one mistake. This looks a good race to get him back on track and I must admit I think he only has to jump round safely to collect.   Valac 2.5pts @ 7/4 with William Hill