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Oeste vs Avai
Hosts are walking a relegation tight-rope, being first out of the relegation zone and three points away from the team below. Oeste has under-performed in this second phase of the championship but Coach Fernando Diniz has stuck to his style and set out a team that has not been winning of recent - but hard to beat with five straight draws now. While staving off relegation, Diniz is also building the team for next season, especially the Sao Paulo State championship (where he was runner-up this season).
Promotion-chasing Avai comes into this game after an important 1-0 home win against Parana and gaining 3rd spot in the table; and is now paying particular attention to the next home game against direct promotion rival Nautico. To this end, Captain and key attacking midfielder Marquinhos has been saved from this game against Oeste; while the game-plan is also tailored to reduce physical wear, possible injury and risk of cards or suspension - ahead of that important game. With a 4-point cushion over Nautico, the key objective for Avai is to avoid defeat against Oeste.
With both teams keen to avoid defeat in this encounter, Oeste Coach Diniz is likely to deploy his favored 3-4-3 formation to stifle the opponent. Avai Coach Claudine Oliveira will likely deploy an ultra-conservative scheme to foil the hosts, while conserving his players for the next game. Under 1.5 goals.
Nautico vs Goias
Promotion-chasing Nautico is coming from a disappointing 0-1 away loss to CRB, and is seeking an immediate reaction to recover points in this home tie. Hosts have a full squad with the return from suspension of three key players ie Left-back Gaston Filgeira, Midfielder Rodrigo Souza and striker Bergson.
Goias is coming from a disastrous 4-2 derby loss to Atletico-Go; in which they got three players injured and another two suspended for this game. Home win.

Gomez - Londero 2.65 Boyles
 
Londero has a new opponent, but I still think that his form will not be enough to win the match. Gomez is in very nice shape. He won two features in a row on clay and lost in the last round of qualifications. He has a win over Londero last year and seems in better shape.

Right the bets I have had are Oxford -1, Lincoln -1, Yeovil and Walsall double, Dartford , spennymoor and a treble on Oxford , Lincoln and barrow. 

Adding a Chalky play:
Cilic +5.5 1.400 Pinnacle (Played it for 5U)
Djoker has barely been able to beat a spread this size. Last time he did it was against Fognini in the first round at Shanghai. This is a big spread on Hard court for him especially against a hot Cilic.

Klizan/Mahut O22.5 1.957

Lorenzi/Paire O22.5 -1962

Robert/ARV O22 -1.855
Marchenko +4.5/Simon ML/Karlovic ML 3.000
 
Personally I think Lorenzi as a dog makes no sense but maybe PAire's got a new girlfriend he wants to impress? Or boyfriend? He's French... They're cool with either way there. But I'm taking the over.
 

Five bets for me. York, Bromley, Macclesfield, Bradford park avenue and the naps are Hemel Hempstead. 

No time for a write up but in the conf south there look like  home wins at Eastbourne, Dartford,tSt Albans and whitehawk imo
Ive done trebles and a four fold
Eastbourne 8-13
Dartford 8-11
St Albans 4-6
Whitehawk 4-9
 
 

Another Small Parlay for me:
Raonic 2-0/Tsonga 2-0 1.801

Here's my bet card:
Mahut/Lorenzi O22 1.909
Sousa/Cuevas O22.5 1.917
Sousa -1 2.030
Short parley - Thiem 2-0/Murray 2-0 1.728
Really liking Sousa here. He's been playing well on hard court this year. All those dudes hit the O22 on a regular basis. Should see a fair amount of breaks in Sousa/Cuevas and a fair amount of holds in Mahut/Lorenzi. Good chance for TB in that match.

One more parlay. These lines are too big for these guys but you never know at this time of year if they're gonna go for it or not. Considering their ranks and current form, I think all these guys want to make the next round if they can and their opposition is definitely beatable. Let alone cover a 1 break spread per set.
Delbonis +4.5/Baghdatis 4.5/Lorenzi 4.5 +3.050

Hey Punters. Been betting tennis for a while. Usually take short parlays, Game spreads or O/U. Rarely Dogs or straight up ML. Mostly just looking for reasonable bets. Been on Covers for a bit but the tennis chat is full of flamers so thought I'd check out a new forum.
Small Parlay
Delpotro ML/Zverev 2-0 @ -104
Don't think Karlovic or Kamke have the groundgame to compete with their opponents in Stockholm tomorrow.

Back Marcos Baghdatis to beat Marcel Granollers at 1.44 with Skybet
I reckon that it's important to take this at a bookie that doesn't void retirements, as Granollers retired from his previous match due to an injury, but the bottom line is that Baghdatis should be winning this much more often than not given the fast conditions and the season he's having. Still a chance for him to improve his rankings and he had a very good showing in the US Open, while Granollers has been pretty poor all year long really.
Back Shuai Zhang to beat Alison Riske at 1.70 with BetVictor
Both with surprising wins in the previous round, but Zhang with the more impressive one probably. She's the better player hands down imo and the home conditions should provide her with a decent boost as well, so I'm not convinced that Zhang should be priced above, say, 1.50 here.

Back Lucas Pouille to beat Yen-hsun Lu at 1.53 with Skybet
Perhaps I'm missing something here and Lu obviously tends to be above his par in Asia, but let's treat Pouille with respect I would say. He had a massive US Open and he's already backed that up with a big tournament win, so I think that he should be ready to push on against a weaker opponent. Fatigue shouldn't be an issue either, as he didn't play last week.
Back Kyle Edmund to beat Guillermo Garcia-Lopez at 1.62 with Skybet
GGL is one of my favourite players, but he's been in such a rot lately that I'm not sure that he will recover until the end of this season. He's playing without much confidence and that's what's pulling him down, while Edmund seems to be on the opposite trajectory really. He had some bad matches in the Davis Cup, but he's already put that behind himself by qualifying for the main draw here, so I very much fancy his chances against the out-of-form Spaniard.
 
 

Back Francesca Schiavone to beat Sorana Cirstea at 2.50 with Bet365
A big price for Schiavone, too big in my opinion really. Cirstea might've already overtaken the Italian in the rankings, but Schiavone is still a bad match-up for her due to tenacity and mental endurance. The Romanian is on the verge of self-destructing pretty much all the time, so I'm not sure what makes her a 1.50 favourite here. Their last match (in Miami in March) finished 6-4 6-2 in Schiavone's favour.

Back Grega Zemlja to beat Marko Tepavac at 1.95 with BetVictor
To be honest, I'm not sure what makes Zemlja the underdog here. Not only is he the better player of the two, but he's also playing at home and this is arguably his best chance to get a Challenger title this year, with a fairly soft draw and good conditions. He won this thing in 2013 and he was the finalist in 2015 (his only two appearances), so I fancy him to beat Tepavac - who's never been a top 100 player - at these odds.

Bet won! Sampaio 1-0 Criciuma

Bets won! Paysandu 1-3 Nautico ; Goias 0-2 Bahia
 

Paysandu vs Nautico
Home-side is coming from a 3-0 away loss to Bahia.  On top of recent absences due to injury, the team seems to be having a dressing room crisis as well; forcing the club management on monday to suspend three players for the rest of the season. Meanwhile Nautico seems to be gaining momentum and Coach Aexandre Gallo has a full squad against Paysandu. Away win.
Goias vs Bahia
Hosts finally return to their home stadium (Serra Dourada) but Coach Enderson Moreira still cannot field a stable 11due to persistent absences. They come up against a confident, attacking Bahia team that creates and converts its chances; and appears to have worked on its defence following the 4-3 away loss to Vasco Da Gama. Meanwhile hosts struggle to score (from set-pieces and counter-attacks). Away win.

Macclesfield v Cheltenham
Fair play to Cheltenham on winning the league this season. It wasn't something I thought they were capable of doing at the start of the season, but Gary Johnson has proven what a top class manager he is and he was a massive factor behind the reason they are going straight back to the Football League. Last week in the National League North Soliull were crowned Champions and in their next game last Saturday they lost to Hednesford who are essentially relegated. That was obviously an unexpected result, but what it shows is that teams who have won the title can ease up once their job has been done and Solihull certainly weren't the first team to have that happen to them. Macclesfield have been in really good form of late and are unbeaten in their last 9 games now and are finishing the season off nicely having initially looking like they had given up for the campaign. I'd have been tempted by the 16/5 anyway, but with the fact Cheltenham have nothing to play for now that price certainly makes plenty of appeal.   Concord Rangers v Havant & Waterlooville Havant were a single figure price to win the league at the start of the season as they had done well to get to the play-offs last term and had spent money over the summer. The season has been a disaster though and they are in real danger of going down. They have only won one away game all season and were thumped 6-0 by St Albans last weekend. Concord have lost two of their last three and that has meant they can't reach the play-offs any more, and I suspect that is why they are as big as they are here as Havant obviously need the points. The problem is I am not sure Havant have it in them to get the points here and I think Concord are a backable price.   Eastbourne v Gosport Eastbourne still need points to survive and although on the face of it they aren't in great form, that is mainly down to their away efforts as at home they have been strong of late. They have only lost twice in their last ten home games and they get three points here and then they will be playing National League South football next season. I don't really need to explain that they have a great chance of doing that against Gosport who I have been opposing for ages now. Chelmsford thumped them 6-1 last week and I can't believe Eastbourne are odds against. Bookies really seem to have missed the troubles at Gosport. Bookies have caught up with Margate though and Hemel are 1/3 to beat them on Saturday. It would be amazing if they didn't and Hemel can go in any accas you are doing this weekend. Grays have been another team we have been taking on, but bookies have been even more wary here as no one has priced their game up at the time of me writing this.   Hyde v Halesowen I don't bet all that often in the Evo-Stik Northern Premier but it has been a very profitable league in the last few weeks. To be fair to Ilkeston they have bounced back of late and I was going to tip them up this weekend as they face bottom side Ramsbottom who haven't won since the beginning of January. The problem is they sacked their manager on Wednesday night and that muddy's the water a bit and given you couldn't trust Ramsbottom to take advantage I will leave the game alone. I won't be leaving Hyde alone though and they lost yet again on Monday. That night Nantwich were amazingly odds against and I can't believe that Halesowen are even bigger to beat a Hyde side, who let me remind you have only won twice since October. Darren Kelly has been in charge for 6 games now and Hyde have conceded 20 goals in that time. Halseowen did lose 3-0 on Tuesday night, but that was to an Ashton side who need points to get into the play-offs. They had won their two games before that and they will surely see this game as perfect opportunity to end the season on a high. As for Hyde it is their 3rd relegation on the bounce and I'm not sure we will be seeing them back at this level any time soon.   Eastbourne and Halesowen the Naps

Gosport v Bishops Stortford
Hemel may have only won 1-0 against Gosport last Saturday and the goal may have only been a penalty, but that scoreline doesn't really reflect their dominance over Gosport. It should have really been more and I can't understand why yet again the bookies seem to have paid no attention to the issues at Gosport. I thought after they lost again last weekend that the bookies might have caught on, but they haven't and we get to back their opponents at bigger than 2/1! Stortford are in decent form at the moment having only lost once in their last six and they had a good 3-0 win over Oxford City last weekend. Their away form does worry a little as they have only won once away in their last 6 games on the road, but that almost doesn't matter too much given the situation at Gosport and it looks a cracking bet.   Margate v Sutton and Grays v Needham Margate and Grays are two more sides that I have been opposing of late and it looks worth doing their opponents in a double. Sutton may be deducted points at some stage, but as it stands they hold the upper hand in the National League South title race and it would be a massive shock if they lost at woeful Margate on Saturday. Bookies have seemingly cottoned onto the Grays situation and their opponents Needham are 4/7 even though they are in a relegation battle and 12 points behind Grays. They won in mid-week and given they still have something to play for they should be beating Grays. The double pays 6/4 with Marathon. I will not be taking on Ilkeston this week as they play another side in a mess in Hyde and if anything Ilkeston might well win that given their last two efforts have been much improved. I also had Welling and Wrexham on my short-list in the National League but the prices look about right to me.

I have had a look at the other games as well and Stalybridge tempted me as Harrogate are in awful form at the moment. Had three teams in the National League on my shortlist, but didn't think any of them offer value so left them alone. The bets above look so good as well that I am more than happy to just stick with them. Hemel are the Naps although had more money on Blyth via the various bets.

Hemel Hempstead v Gosport
I must admit my previews could become rather boring to read until the end of the season as I get the feeling I could be opposing the same three or four teams until the rest of the season. That however has been very profitable in the last couple of weeks and I believe it will continue to be profitable until the end of the season. To recap the Gosport story they have had all sorts of off the field issues where players weren't paid their wages and the club were put under a transfer embargo. That embargo lasted until after the transfer window closed which means they are down to the bare bones. They have 13 pros signed on and two of those are injured. They have lost their last four games and if you take out Hemel's 6-0 defeat to Ebbsfleet, then they are also facing a team in pretty good form at the moment. I can't believe the home side are nearly even money to win this game and that is a staggering price.   Weston-Super-Mare v Margate It feels odd to think not that long ago I was backing Margate and thinking they might reach the play-offs. Things have turned sour there though and their chairman has said he is leaving and will stop funding them. That has lead to players leaving and manager Nikki Bull saying he won't be there next season. Indeed I expect hardly any of the players will still be there next season. They are also not totally safe from relegation, but their best player signed for Crystal Palace this week and they have lost 7 on the bounce now. Weston aren't in great form themselves as they have only picked up 4 points in their last six, but the win was against Ebbsfleet. You would hope the Weston players are more up for it than the Margate ones and they have to be backed.   Ilkeston v Blyth Spartans How on earth Blyth aren't at least 1/4 to win this game I don't know. They are top of the Evo-Stik Northern Premier and face a team in Ilkeston which is full of youngsters. Indeed I saw one of their fans say the average of the team is 17! Bookies seem to have been very slow in reacting to Ilkeston's team and thus plenty of money has been made. I wouldn't put anyone of lumping on a Blyth win, but I think at bigger prices it is worth backing them on the ht/ft at 6/4 and also on the -1 and -2 handicaps.   Enfield v Grays For some reason bookies seem to have caught up with the issues at Grays and Enfield are very short for this game. I think Enfield can clear the -2 handicap and although it is a little short at 7/5 I think it has to be taken.

Leaving the National League alone again tomorrow although Aldershot and Dover were on the shortlist.
Gosport v Basingstoke
I really hope this game goes ahead as Basingstoke look a fantastic price at a massive 19/4 with BetVictor. Gosport are in a right mess and I really wish I had backed Whitehawk to beat them at the weekend, but I was put off as the home side hadn't been in great form. It turns out Gosport players had gone unpaid although apparently that was sorted on Thursday. They have had a transfer embargo on them and although it looks like they can still reach the play-offs it is hard to see them doing so as clearly things aren't right at the club and they have lost 4 on the bounce. Basingstoke might be bottom, but getting Terry Brown in as manager could be a good move and they beat Oxford City 2-0 on Saturday. The price on an away win has already come in, but I would make it way shorter than it is and fancy them strongly.
Margate v Concord
Concord look a cracking bet as they bounced back on Saturday after a couple of defeats and they go to a Margate side who have lost 7 on the bounce now. Their money man is leaving the club so it would be fair to say most if not all the current players wont be their next season. That is clearly showing in their performances and they conceded 4 on Saturday which makes it 15 conceded in their last five games. Concord should be shorter than they are.
Bradford Park Avenue v Harrogate
Harrogate's form is hit a dip and they might struggle here after playing most of their game on Saturday with 10 men and then failing to beat Curzon who had gone down to 9 men. That effort would have taken a lot out of them and Bradford have the extra advantage of having played less than 30 minutes on Saturday as their game against Fylde was called off. Like Basingstoke they have changed their manager and it could well pay off against a struggling Harrogate side.
Curzon v FCUM
As I mention above Curzon ended up with just 9 men on the pitch on Saturday and although they won it will be tough on those players to go again just 48 hours later. FCUM have struggled at times in their first season in this league, but they have won three on the bounce now and they look a spot of value to make that four on Monday.
Ilkeston v Mickleover
I think it is worth opposing Ilkeston until the season ends and I certainly wasn't expecting to see them as odds on favourites again, which makes Mickleover a cracking bet. Ilkeston may have only lost 2-1 on Saturday, but by all accounts it was a very easy win for Ashton and it was only Ilkeston's keeper which kept the scores down. Mickleover are in the relegation zone, but they have been putting in good performances of late and they got three points against Hyde on Saturday. The fact they have something to play for should also work in our favour here and I am amazed they are 11/5 to get the three points.
East Thurrock United v Grays
Grays like Margate have had their chairman leave which meant their top scorer and vice captain left the club, which helps explain their dreadful form at the moment. It paid off opposing them on Saturday when they lost 3-1 and given this will be their 3rd game in such a short space of time they look almost certain to lose again. East Thurrock are going for the title so are very short, but I think it is worth chucking a few quid on the -3 handicap. Goal difference could be crucial at the top and so even if they get a comfortable advantage they will want to score as many as possible and it is easy to see this turning into a heafty scoreline.
Basingtoke and Concord are the Naps with Mickleover just behind them