CzechPunter

I was kinda a fan of Errani back in the day, but now her serves are just puffballs, she was honestly serving just sitters for Noha a couple of days ago, and Noha just errored or put them back at Errani to start a rally. If you'd have a top player there, it'd be easy, she would struggle to get games against the top players nowadays, unfortunately. On this level, though, she can still do some damage, but mainly not through her own good play, but through her opponents' bad play.

Miriam Bulgaru to beat Marina Bassols at 1.90 with Bet365 Both have been playing really well so far this week, but Bulgaru has had to face much tougher opponents than Bassols, and that practice/experience should help her here. There's not a great deal between the two quality-wise, I'd say, but, on evidence from the last couple of days, I see no reason not to back Bulgaru here.

It's certainly baffling, and I agree with you @Swami on that Jabeur is one of the very most talented players around, she really can produce some astonishing shots and her touch is just incredible at times, something that Sabalenka, for example, can only dream of. But that's possibly the problem, as you say, she's never had to work that extremely hard to get where she is, and that can lead to some issues with her game that aren't easy to fix. In the finals against Vondrousova, who's also insanely talented, you just knew she was going to lose from one point, her body language changed and her intensity dropped.

Caroline Garcia (+1.5 sets) to beat Danielle Collins at 1.58 with Unibet I don't trust Garcia to be able to play well for a full match, but she was able to play in two superb bursts against Stephens, and I think that she'll be able to produce at least one tonight. Collins can have dips herself, and it wouldn't surprise me one bit for this one to go to a decider.

Well, she didn't look all that bad in the US Open, but I don't trust her personally. The odds look fair to me. Elise Mertens to beat Sloane Stephens at 1.76 with Unibet Mertens has been way better than Stephens in recent times imo, and she will draw confidence from the fact that Gauff won the US Open, as she almost beat her there. You also know that she'll at last fight, while Stephens can be quite disinterested these days.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich (+1.5 sets) to beat Belinda Bencic at 2.00 with Bet365 We're back to the regular grind, and Sasnovich is one of those players that doesn't mind trying her luck at smaller tournaments. She's already made it past the qualifier rounds here, beating Lepchenko in straight sets, and I think it's safe to say that she'll be more motivated than Bencic, who has been quite suspect lately, dropping sets against players like Parks, Bucsa, and Zhu. With no match practice for her here, I think there's value in backing Sasnovich to grab a set at evens.

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Well, that certainly was something... N.Djokovic/D.Medvedev - Over 3.5 sets at 1.52 with Unibet This is the most obvious bet of them all, but I can't really resist. Medvedev was tremendous against Alcaraz, and Djokovic was pumped up against Shelton, surprisingly even. Hoping for it to be interesting!

Congrats to all Medvedev backers btw!

Aryna Sabalenka to beat Cori Gauff at 1.84 with Unibet I'm certainly going with Sabalenka in the finals. She had a bit of a horror against Keys, but she recovered well, tightening up her game and also physically outlasting Keys in the end, she really seemed to have the upper hand from her break-back in set two, and, even when she got broken in the decider, she managed to break straight back. I've seen a few of Gauff's matches, and, despite the scorelines, she looked quite shaky in many of them.

@sterziyskii Post them here for the rest of the week.

I don't really have a strong opinion on Medvedev Alcaraz, so can't say much there, but I do think that Shelton Djokovic could be a much better watch than it looks on paper. Shelton is seriously enjoying himself, he also had a good run in the mixed doubles, he's just bubbling with energy. Sure, we have Djokovic on the other side of the net, and he's been good, but not crushingly good imo. B.Shelton/N.Djokovic - Over 31.5 games at 1.84 with Unibet

I don't see any value in today's matches. Muchova was pretty suspect at the start of the tournament, but she's improved since then, and she has variety that could put Gauff off. Sabalenka should enjoy a good match-up against Keys, but the odds are set the right way for that as well, this will be all about big hitting, and she can hit bigger than Keys.

Daniil Medvedev (-1.5 sets) to beat Andrey Rublev at 1.78 with Unibet I'm looking forward to this match, and I think that Medvedev will be able to take it relatively cleanly more often than not. Draper started to look tired against Rublev near the end of the third set, while Medvedev had a tougher test against De Minaur and was able to improve his level to come through, and he's certainly been the better player of the two for quite some time now. The H2H is 6-2 in Medvedev's favour, 2-0 in Grand Slams (3-0 and 3-0).

Jelena Ostapenko (+1.5 sets) to beat Cori Cauff at 1.77 with Unibet Gauff certainly doesn't look unbeatable to me here, she's had her fair share of struggles, and she wasn't particularly clinical in the match against Wozniacki. Ostapenko managed to beat the American 2-0 in the Australian Open earlier this season, and I'm sure she can trouble her again here, she just has that match practice in her now to do so. Good odds for the set handicap imo.

Aryna Sabalenka (-1.5 sets) to beat Daria Kasatkina at 1.84 with Unibet Sabalenka now doesn't have much pressure on herself anymore with Swiatek out already, and her playing style gives her a massive advantage over Kasatkina, as she can bash returns for winners without many difficulties. Kasatkina hasn't been at her best lately either, so I like the odds for the 2-0 scoreline here.

Jelena Ostapenko (+6.5) to beat Iga Swiatek at 1.80 with Bet365 So, Ostapenko has been struggling so far, while Swiatek seems to be as dominant as ever. And yet, +6.5, with Ostapenko leading the H2H record 3-0? And yes, that does include a reasonably recent 2022 win in Dubai, so it's not just about some old matches. Ostapenko has a playing style that can take anyone - even Swiatek - out of the comfort zone, and I think that this line should be covered most of the time.

Face-palm level of badness there. Peyton Stearns to beat Katie Boulter at 1.73 with Bet365 Stearns looked good against Tauson, though that result shouldn't be overestimated due to Tauson falling away physically in set two. Still, Stearns was pumping herself up, she's beaten Boulter already in this season, and she's going to have the same or even better crowd support as against Tauson.

Jakub Mensik (+7.5) to beat Taylor Fritz at 1.63 with Unibet Fritz has been strolling through his matches so far, but I'm going to oppose him and back Mensik today. Johnson and Varillas were two very different opponents - one an aging force, the other one a clay court specialist that had a good draw luck in round one, facing the under-performing Kecmanovic. Mensik is the top young player on the scene at the moment, and he's serving out of his skin in this US Open, which could be enough to cover this line on its own, as Fritz isn't the best returner out there. The young Czech is free-rolling at this stage, he has absolutely nothing to lose and everything to win, while the crowd will expect perfection from Fritz. I don't see an upset happening, but I do believe that the American will finally be tested.

All those come with an asterisk for me @sterziyskii!

Daria Kasatkina (-3.5) to beat Sofia Kenin at 1.83 with Bet365 Yafan Wang (-2.5) to beat Katie Boulter at 1.86 with Unibet Two favorites that I trust a lot here. Kasatkina has been much better than Kenin all year long, and Bogdan could've easily taken Kenin out in the last round were it not for nerves. Kasatkina should have no such problems, and I also expect Wang, who is on an incredible winning streak at the moment, to beat the ever-shaky Boulter.

Kaja Juvan to beat Lauren Davis at 2.10 with Bet365 I saw both Juvan and Davis in round one, and I'm not quite sure why Juvan should be the underdog in this one. She looked better, fit, and confident from the qualifying, while Davis looked a bit unfit and struggled to get going against Kovinic, she also seemed to be limited by some sort of a niggle, with her arm being covered in a bandage. I like Juvan at odds against.

Ana Bogdan to beat Sofia Kenin at 2.43 with Unibet It's Sofia, not Sonja, @four-leaf, but otherwise I agree :). Clara Burel to beat Caroline Dolehide at 1.60 with Unibet Dolehide has been underperforming all season long, really, while Burel is basically at her career-best rankings-wise, which tells a story. The recent form book is also on Burel's side here. Vera Zvonareva to beat Yanina Wickmayer at 2.55 with Unibet Ideally you'd take this with a one-ball bookie, but a one-set bookie will have to do for me here. Wickmayer has a chronic back issue, and she was crying with pain in the final qualifying round, getting through only as a lucky loser after retiring in set one of that showdown. Zvonareva looked fair enough on her own as well, so I'm quite surprised by the odds here.

Alize Cornet to beat Elina Avanesyan at 1.62 with Bet365 Avanesyan has been rather impressive in the first half of the season, but she's been falling apart lately, and she struggled to get anything going against Lepchenko last week. She also might have some injury worries carried over from her antics in the Swiss league, so I'd much prefer Cornet here, who has at least some sort of form on her side, alongside all the experience in the world. Emma Navarro to beat Magdalena Frech at 1.65 with Unibet This is a massive mis-match as far as the talent levels of the two are concerned, and I'm convinced that Navarro will knock on the doors of like top 30 very soon. She's been playing on a higher level than Frech all year long. Sara Sorribes Tormo to beat Anhelina Kalinina at 1.67 with William Hill Kalinina has been a mess since Rome, where she made it all the way to the finals after beating some incredibly strong opposition. She hasn't managed to win two matches in a row since then, however, and the issue might be both physical and mental at this point. Tormo is coming into this on the back of a tournament victory in Cleveland, and she's had enough time to recover and take this. Christopher Eubanks (-1.5 sets) to beat Soon Woo Kwon at 1.52 with Unibet Kwon hasn't played a competitive match since February, and one gets the feeling that he might very well be here to just pick up the tasty cheque, since you'd assume that he'd at least play a Challenger or something ahead of the US Open otherwise. Eubanks doesn't have all that many wins recently, but he did take sets against players like Shelton and Monfils, and he's bound to play his heart out at home.

Men's: https://www.usopen.org/en_US/scores/draws/2023_MS_draw.pdf Womens': https://www.usopen.org/en_US/scores/draws/2023_WS_draw.pdf