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ogii55

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  1. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from Fader in February 8 - February 14   
    Masterful prediction! Very good, congratulations!
  2. Like
    ogii55 reacted to Fader in February 8 - February 14   
    Well that worked out well :=) 
  3. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in February 8 - February 14   
    Klizan - Monfis 4.1 Pinnacle
     
    Klizan is very strong in the finals. He is 3 out of 3 on singles and 3 out of 3 in doubles in matches titles. He made very strong tournament and beat opponents, who are in far better form than those of Monfis. The Frenchman is just with 5 wins out of 23 finals. He has big problems as a favorite in those kind of clashes. Superb odds.
     
    Fritz - Nishikori 6.6 Matchbook
     
    Taylor Fritz is making amazing tournament. He showed not only his qualities, but also a fighting spirit. The kid has guts and I am sure he is ready to prove it once again. The audience is giving him force. Nishikori is three times winner here. He trained together with Fritz and for sure knows him well. But it was the same with Steve Johnson, who is training buddy with Fritz. Taylor said in interview after Johnson's match that he never was able to beat in a training set Johnson, but he did it in the match. Nishikori for sure is favorite, but in the range of 4.00 - 4.50 in my opinion. 6 plus is a value
  4. Like
    ogii55 reacted to CzechPunter in February 8 - February 14   
    Back Martin Klizan to beat Gael Monfils for a 5/10 stake at 3.75 with Bet365
    3.75? Are you kidding me? That's the only thing that I can say here really. I don't particularly trust Klizan in this particular match-up, but this price is just too good for me to ignore it.
    Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/tennis/atp-rotterdam-day-seven-2016021302
  5. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in February 8 - February 14   
    If Klizan has a day with his shots, he may beat most of Top 10 players. He is very fast, hitting real hard, but his problem is that he don't have patience and his second serve is awful in important moments. This is why guys like him need a good coaching mentor to repair their mentality.
  6. Like
    ogii55 reacted to CzechPunter in February 8 - February 14   
    Back Martin Klizan to beat Roberto Bautista-Agut for a 7/10 stake at 3.40 with Bet365
    Back Viktor Troicki (-3.5) to beat Nicolas Mahut for a 7/10 stake at 2.10 with Paddy Power
    Good day today with Zverev winning and I'll go with these two tomorrow. Bautista-Agut seems to be getting tired and Klizan has troubled him a lot in nearly all of their previous matches, so he does look worth a shot at 3.40, while Troicki really should have too much for Mahut. The Serb actually looked surprisingly fresh against Chung, while I'd say that Mahut is quite lucky to still be here, so I'll be taking the better player on the games handicap in this one.
    Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/tennis/atp-rotterdam-day-five-2016021109
  7. Like
    ogii55 reacted to CzechPunter in February 8 - February 14   
    Back Marcos Baghdatis to beat David Goffin for a 7/10 stake at 2.85 with Unibet
    Too big a price for Baghdatis in my opinion. He's got a great 3-1 record against Goffin, which includes two victories from last year, and the conditions are bound to help him more than they will help the Belgian. The handicaps don't look appealing given that possible Goffin's victories are likely to be easy, so the outright will be my choice for Tuesday.
    Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/tennis/atp-rotterdam-day-two-2016020805
  8. Like
    ogii55 reacted to CzechPunter in February 8 - February 14   
    Back Joao Sousa (+1.5 sets) to beat Roberto Bautista-Agut for a 7/10 stake at 1.72 with Unibet
    Back Robin Haase (+1.5 sets) to beat Gilles Simon for a 7/10 stake at 2.10 with Paddy Power
    Back Marcos Baghdatis to win ATP Rotterdam for a 1/10 stake at 17.00 with Bet365
    A small outright bet on Baghdatis for me, he still has what it takes, as well as plus set handicaps on Sousa and Haase. Sousa beat Bautista-Agut in their previous two matches and he should be more ready for this fight given that the Spaniard had a long week in Sofia, so a set should be fully within his reach, while Haase should also win a set if Simon plays like he did in Montpellier, as he was simply awful there.
    Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/tennis/atp-rotterdam-day-three-2016020904
  9. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in February 8 - February 14   
    Dodig – Kohlsreiber 2.5 Pinnacle
     
    Dodig showed great form in his matches here. He loves indoor hard and when his serve is working, he may do some big surprises. The German wasn’t impressive last week in Sofia.
     
    Nishioka – Marchenko 2.86 Matchbook
     
    Nishioka was very strong in his three matches in Memphis. Marchenko is playing mainly in indoor tournaments, but he is very vulnerable to lose from players, who are not ahead of him in the ranks. Marchenko needed two tiebreaks against Sam Groth, who is not in so good form.
     
    Babos – Niculescu 2.16 Pinnacle
     
    Babos is 1:3 in H2H, but won convincingly their last match earlier in the year. She is serving very strong and this may cause some problems to Niculescu. The Romanian gave it all physically and mentally in Fed Cup derby during the weekend and I am not so sure if she will be able to recover so well.
     
    Vekic – Sevastova 2.54 Pinnacle
     
    When Vekic starts to beat favorites she is always dangerous. Donna is playing well here and will have against her Sevastova, who played three sets with two tiebreaks.
  10. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from TheBeast in February 8 - February 14   
    Czechpunter had it 2:0 for Garcia-Lopez at his picks. I also think that Chung is not in his best form, while Garcia-Lopez is a solid player on ih.
     
     
     
  11. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in February 8 - February 14   
    Jose Fernandez – Alexandro Gonzales 2.47 Pinnacle
     
    This one is from Santo Domingo’s challenger. Fernandez is playing at home. He is in better form. Two weeks ago he lost from Burgos in a 3-set match. The H2H is 2:1 for Gonzales, but last time Fernandez won convincingly their match up in 2015. Gonzales is 0:2 on clay since the start of the season. I am not sure if he will be able to improve here.
     
    O’Hare/Salsbury – Daniel/Sitak 3.47
     
    Daniel and Sitak are the big favorites here. They are strong team with good results and nice rankings. O’Hare and Salsbury formed their team last year. They did it pretty well and won several tournaments on futures level. They did it very well in November, where they were able to beat very strong teams like Brunstrom/Nielsen and Krajcek/Monroe.
    The season didn’t start very well for Daniel/Sitak and they are 2/4. They are coming to USA from France so the time difference also will be a factor.
     
     
  12. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in February 1 - February 7   
    Lykina - Panova 5,17 Pinnacle
     
    Panova is favorite because f her ranks, but in fact she is very vulnerable to lost from outsiders. This is not her favorite surface and she is not impressive so far this season. Lykina already stunned one favorite in St. Petersburg. She is very fresh, because this is her first tournament for the season and she didn't travel to Australia like Panova did.
  13. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in February 1 - February 7   
    Burgos  - Belluci 2.70 Matchbook
     
    Burgos beat Belluci in the last year final after being once again the outsider. Now the champ is doing very good tournament. He is serving solidly and will be fresher than Belluci. who played second third setter in a row on singles and for a third consecutive day had two matches for 24 hours. The Brazilian is playing attacking tennis that may have some problems by Burgos's spin and slice tennis.
     
    Troicki - Agut 2.75 Matchbook
     
    Agut was very strong against Muller, but Gilles made a lot of UE and his serve wasn't so constant. Troicki had tough match against Klizan, this was his worst presentation in Sofia, but I am positive that he may improve, specially on his serving game. The Serbian is defensive type of player, who is solid from the baseline. I expect long match here with very close chances. In my opinion Agut is slight favorite, but 2.75 for Troicki is a value. Once again there will be many Serbians who will be for Troicki.
     
    I wish good luck to Paul-Henry Mathieu against Gasquet. He is one of my favorite players to watch and to cheer. I hope that he will win against Gasquet.
     
     
  14. Like
    ogii55 reacted to Simeon Borisof in February 1 - February 7   
  15. Like
    ogii55 reacted to CzechPunter in February 1 - February 7   
    Back Paul-Henri Mathieu to beat Richard Gasquet for a 5/10 stake at 3.80 with BetVictor
    Too big a price, simple as that, so I'll take Mathieu at smaller stakes. He's been playing excellent tennis all week long and this might even be his very last chance to win an ATP title on home ground, so I'm sure that he's going to play his heart out. Anything above 3.25 is value here in my opinion.
    Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/tennis/atp-montpellier-day-seven-2016020603
  16. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in February 1 - February 7   
    Muller - Agut 2.75 Betvictor
     
    Muller is showing very good tennis against decent opponents in Sofia. Now he will meet the tournament favorite, but will have the advantage of beating him twice on faster courts. Agut played only one match in Sofia. This could be a problem for him, because he is now meeting his first serious opponent. I wasn't impressed by today's performance of Agut.
  17. Like
    ogii55 reacted to CzechPunter in February 1 - February 7   
    Back Paul-Henri Mathieu to beat Alexander Zverev for a 7/10 stake at 2.33 with Unibet
    Back Dustin Brown to beat Richard Gasquet for a 7/10 stake at 3.20 with Paddy Power
    Going with both of the underdogs tomorrow. Mathieu is playing superb tennis in Montpellier and he's going to play his heart out against Zverev, so that match essential looks like a coin-flip to me. Brown is also playing his best tennis this week, while Gasquet was starting to feel his back again against Baghdatis - the painkillers worked against the Cypriot, as he only needed them for a couple of games, but the task will be much tougher tomorrow in my opinion.
    Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/tennis/atp-montpellier-day-six-2016020505
  18. Like
    ogii55 reacted to four-leaf in February 1 - February 7   
    Back Victor Estrella Burgos (-1.5 sets) to beat Renzo Olivo for a 8/10 stake at 2.79 with Pinnaclesports
    A bit of a no brainer for me actually since Olivo is still a quite inexperienced player and VEB is having a good time again in Quito. He's come well prepared for his favourite tournament. Took out qualifier Martin without mutch of a tussle and should do the same to Olivo. He played very good against Martin, his serve was working great and also his baseline game. He's on top of his game since that's what it looked like in his last match. VEB also beat Olivo last season in Quito by 7-6 6-4.
  19. Like
    ogii55 reacted to Fader in February 1 - February 7   
    4pts R.Gasquet to beat M.Baghdatis 2-0 11/10 Skybet
    Head to heads mean nothing when they are 3 years ago really. Gasquet is now a top 10 player and he wasn't back then. I fancy him to win this in straight sets. Just enough value for me to bet on it. Gasquet looks good since his break and he beat Gulbis pretty easily who on his day can cause problems. He has beaten the likes of Nishikori, Karlovic and Berdych on the hard last year and I think he is a better level to Bagdatis
  20. Like
    ogii55 reacted to Fader in February 1 - February 7   
    5pts Troicki to beat Kohlschreiber 11/10 Skybet
    Troicki in the best form of his career really at the moment coming off of the win at Sydney. You can forgive him to losing against Raonic and then he has come here and beat Brands. In the last 5 tournaments he has only lost to 3 players. Raonic, Wawrinka and Dimitrov (who he beat the next tournament final) so yeah, Troicki all day long 
  21. Like
    ogii55 reacted to four-leaf in February 1 - February 7   
    Back Alexander Zverev to beat Michael Berrer for a 9/10 stake at 1.59 with Pinnaclesports
    I have some big trouble seeing an upset in this one. Berrer may serve well but still what does Zverev do if not serve well too. Since Zverev is the bigger talent and will be coming big time this season as it looks like this week this may be his chance to make his first semifinal in an ATP tournament. I don't think he will underperform after beating a better player then Berrer since he showed that he could take out Vanni although it was a hard fought victory then. I think Zverev wins again and I'm happy with the straight win instead of taking a chance on any handicap.
    Edit: Zverevs first semifinal in an indoor hard ATP tournament because he was in the semi of Hamburg 2014 and Bastad last season but those are on clay where Zverev is obviously better but still I have a lot of faith in him although he's lost before in straight sets to Berrer in Beijing qualifiers last season.
  22. Like
    ogii55 reacted to four-leaf in February 1 - February 7   
    Back Marcos Baghdatis (+3.0) to beat Richard Gasquet for a 8/10 stake at 1.97 with Pinnaclesports
    Fader about your outright on Gasquet it's not looking so good for tomorrow since he is trailing against Baghdatis 0-3 in the head-2-head. I think we might see a pretty good match between Baghdatis and Gasquet but keep in mind that Gasquet has failed to take a set from Baghdatis in 3 attempts so I find it strange to see the standard game handicap price on Baggy being the outsider bet since it should be more likely that we may see an even match between them or even a shock result making Baggy the winner in straight sets like Muller against Simon tonight.
  23. Like
    ogii55 reacted to four-leaf in February 1 - February 7   
    Back Edouard Roger-Vasselin/John Millman over 22.5 games for a 7/10 stake at 1.98 with Pinnaclesports
    I've seen both players in action this week and I know they serve very well both of them. Roger-Vasselin did well to take out Monfils in straight sets with solid serving and Monfils had some really bad off day that made the match result in an easy straight sets victory for Roger-Vasselin but he will have more trouble coming his way this time around. I feel very sure about that. The match against Monfils did go over 22.5 games and Roger-Vasselin is favourite to win this match so I don't get the odds for the over 22.5 line because Millman is playing better then Monfils did.
  24. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from four-leaf in February 1 - February 7   
    Bemelmans - Struff 2.85 Matchbook
     
    Bemelmans made one of the biggest surprises here beating Sousa. He is a guy, who is capable to follow his good form in few matches in a row. Struff didn't start very well the season. The match is pretty equal, but the odds are too sweet to be missed.
  25. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in February 1 - February 7   
    Bemelmans - Struff 2.85 Matchbook
     
    Bemelmans made one of the biggest surprises here beating Sousa. He is a guy, who is capable to follow his good form in few matches in a row. Struff didn't start very well the season. The match is pretty equal, but the odds are too sweet to be missed.
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