Striker

Cheers Harry
Always in my opinion best more times that not to close out after round 3 in the above case...as you were guaranteed 28pts profit compared to a possible maximum loss of 24pts which as I found out today anything can happen in a final pressure round of golf!

So pity that Senden made a poor front nine in the second round. The cut line was 4 over long time on T71, but finally was 3 over. Spieth survived somehow and I think he will finis in the first ten at least. Another poor performance from G-mac. I expected at least to make the cut.

Cheers, FP sell at 49 is appealing enough for me.

FP sold at 46 with SPIN (the only firm quoting him in that market). Be rude not to have a small bet on the top 20 double along with Senden in the Valspar Champioship!

Top 20 Finish
Rikard Karlberg @ 3-1 [Bet 365]
Not done a lot so far this year, but the Swede does live on the course and knows the layout like the back of his hand. Indeed he finished 2nd here two years ago
 

Top 20 Finish
John Senden @ 9-2 [Bet 365]
The Australian loves this course, winning 2 years ago and has been runner up twice. Comes into this week with a top 10 finish in his last tournament.

T11th
Good effort to bounce back as he had looked to have undone all his hard work after dropping outside the T20 with a 77 on Saturday

The least said about my bet on Hend the better but Dufner more than made up for it and the fixed odds bet was a better option than my usual FP sell. Cheers.

Have simply followed on the Dufner bet as I can't quite get my head round the implications of the smaller field and no cut on the FP market. I haven't decided what my price point would be yet, compared to the usual full field events. One player who definitely does meet my "sell high" brief is Scott Hend and I've sold him at 46 with SPIN.
That's on the back of a recommendation to back him for a top 20 finish at 8/1, something that does appear to be shortening in a few places.

Good luck
At least with no cut this week, my bet will play all 4 days!
Top 20 Finish
Jason Dufner @ 11-4 [Coral]
Class act who was 9th here 2 years ago and is already a winner this season
 
 
 

3.50 Leicester-Abracadabra Sivola @ 4-1 [Bet 365] BOG

Congrats to Jimmy

I feel your pain, literally! If they were going to finish outside the top 20 they could, at least, have had the decency to beat their FP quotes! 
It's an inevitable part of betting more on outsiders than favourites and one I've just about learnt to take in my stride over the years. The last 2 weeks I've managed to show a profit despite 3 out of my 6 FP sells missing the cut. With 4 out of 5 doing so this week it's easily going to be the worst week of my recent foray into golf betting. I'll still be back next week though.

2.20 Newcastle-Vendor @ 4-1 [Skybet]
3.55 Lingfield-Si Senor @ 10-3 [Stan James]
4.10 Kempton-Vicenzo Mio @ 10-1 [Ladbrokes]...each way
Reserve
1.55 Navan-Unyielding @ 11-8 [William Hill]

Sold his FP at 55 and, as stated in the Perth International thread, done the T20 double of him and J.B. Hansen.

Good luck Aidy
Top 20 Finish
Zac Blair @ 8-1 [William Hill]
Love the way this guy plays his golf. Can bit hit and miss but when he is on he is hot. Played this hard course well last year

Top 20 Finish
Joachim B Hansen @ 11-2 [Betfred]
Good course record [7th in 2013], and after poor start to the year has played better recently
 
 

Like ^^^^ that Zac Blair. Has a good shout this week. 
PGA National is a brute of a par-70 and the start of the Florida swing. We often see a change here as 'unfancied players' spring from no-where to take the price on the Bermudagrass greens in Florida.  Harrington (400/1), Henley (300/1) and Michael Thompson (300/1) have all scored in the past 3 renewals pretty-much with no form whatsoever. High winds, tough rough and water everywhere, can make the Champions Course a true challenge when the Florida wind howls and scoring is sure to be high across Thursday and Friday. Saturday and Sunday should see slightly easier conditions, but winners from off the pace here are pretty much unheard of. 
I'm going for a mixed price bag this week with the average winning price here in the past 6 renewals working out at 187/1. At the elite end Patrick Reed (22), supported by Jason Dufner (80) and Webb Simpson (80). Bigger prices are formed by Camilo Villegas (150), Sean O'Hair (150) and Geoff Ogilvy (250).

Congrats Striker best of luck.

Well done Striker  keep forgetting you like the heavy going 
Best of luck in next weeks final Sir.

4.10 Ascot-Billy Dutton @ 12-1 [Betway]...each way
4.20 Lingfield-Autumn Tonic @ 9-4 [Betfred]
5.05 Wincanton-Black Corton @ 10-3 [Skybet]
Reserve
1.25 Lingfield-Shirataki @ 9-2 [Paddy Power]

Can't pass up a sell of his FP at 52. Followed someone in on him last week and took the hit of the missed cut. Hopefully he'll "do a Blixt" and have a good week after missing the cut, the difference being I'll have stuck with him on this occasion!

Good luck boys
Top 20 Finish
Bryce Molder @ 11-2 [Bet 365]
Though missed the cut last week, has had a couple of decent tournaments this year. Also this course is more suited to his A game of straight driving and an elite short game having finished 6th here 2 years ago
 

Good luck boys
Top 20 Finish
Bryce Molder @ 11-2 [Bet 365]
Though missed the cut last week, has had a couple of decent tournaments this year. Also this course is more suited to his A game of straight driving and an elite short game having finished 6th here 2 years ago
 

Not the worst finishing position play I've ever made either.