Trotter
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Posts posted by Trotter
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The non runner is my horse...............
oh well, at least it can't finish 3rd
I suppose after doing all that work I ought to make another selection so I'll just go for the favourite as the one most likely to give his running in what might be a weak race for the top level ............
Cloth of Stars - win at 9/4 bog PP
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First Group One race of the season in Europe today with the Prix Ganay at St Cloud at 3.00
Favourite is Fabre's Cloth of Stars, a son of Sea The Stars, who has won both prep races this season including the traditional 'trial' for this, the group 2 Prix D'Harcourt. He's won group 2 and 3 races but failed to win in three previous attempts at the top level and he had to be driven to narrowly win group 2 last time. He's race fit and in form so is probably the right favourite though might be vulnerable if there is a proper group one horse in the field
Speaking of which we have Hawkbill who won the Eclipse last year having come up through handicap, listed and group 3 wins. Hasn't been in the same form since and the fear is that he just had a golden few months and he'll never reach those heights again
Zarak has had 7 runs in group races and only managed one win in a group 3
Potemkin is a German raider who won a group 2 in France last year and has several group wins in Germany and Italy. He's a 6yo making his seasonal debut and you'd expect he might need the run even tho' he won first time out last year. That was a German group 3 race and this should be a lot tougher
Guignol is another German horse who was the surprise winner of a group one at Munich last year. He';s a front runner and perhaps slipped the field at Munich and the race fell inti his hands. Unlikely to be good enough today
Erupt usually runs over further and makes his seasonal debut ..........things might happen too quickly for him today. Similar comments apply to Silverware
Maniaco is a stable-mate of the favourite and finished 3rd to him in the D'Harcourt. Cloth of Stars had already had a run prior to that and I think there's a fair chance he could get a lot closer today, although like a few of these he looks 12 furlongs would be a more suitable trip. He's unexposed with just 6 career runs
Probably the safest bet would be Cloth of Stars as he's race fit, in form and could be a group one horse in the making whereas some of the more exposed horses with group one wins to their names are older and might need a run on seasonal debuts
I'm tempted by the bigger priced unexposed Maniaco ..........with Guignol expected to force the pab=ce it should be run at a decent clip and with some cut in the ground he should be running on late.
Maniaco - EW at 20/1 bog wm hill
Of course with a field of 8 there's bound to be a non runner and my selection will finish 3rd.............
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Windsor 3.45 - Medburn Dream - win at 14/1 bog bet365
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Sals 3.00 - Shesgotthelot - EW at 66/1 bog Ladbrokes
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Well done to the winners !
cheers for the comp BH ...........
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Rip 2.10 - Revenge - win at 25/1 bog wm hill
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2.35 P: Ballyboker Bridge
3.10 P: Courtown Oscar
3.50 P: Apples Jade
4.25 P: Mega Fortune
5.00 P: The Crafty Butcher
5.35 P: Scoir Mear
6.10 P: The Shearers Wife
6.40 P: Daisy's Gift
good luck everyone !
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4.05 Sand - Queen In Waiting - win at 5/2 bog PP
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3.40: Das Mooser
4.20: Woodland Opera
4.55: Definite Ruby
5.30: Arctic Fire
6.05: Bacardys
6.40: Minella for Value
7.10: Montalbano
7.45: Warthoggood luck all !
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Bev 3.15 - Our Charlie brown - win at 6/1 bog PP
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3.40 Sweet Company
4.20 Tully East
4.50 Cantlow
5.30 Nicholls Canyon
6.05 Minella Awards
6.40 Great Field
7.15 Barra
7.45 Next Destination
good luck everyone !
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Ling 4.45 - Sans Souci bay - win at 2/1 bog bet365
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3.40: Close Shave
4.20: Burghas
4.55: Al Boum Photo
5.30: Champagne West
6.05: Paloma Blue
6.40: Vintage Vinnie
7.15: Half The Oddsgood luck all !
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Punch 3.40 - Treo Eile - win at 7/2 bog Boyles
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3.40: Blue Templar
4.20: Pingshou
4.55: Adreamstillalive
5.30: Ballycasey
6.05: Hollowgraphic
6.40: Acapella Bourgeois
7.15: Atheniangood luck all !
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4.40 Ponty - Twentysvnthlancers - ew at 18/1 bog bet365
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Weth 2.10 - Alfredandnobell - win at 5/1 bog bet365
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Ayr 2.10 - Clan des Obeaux - win at 5/2 bog bet365
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Had a look last night and quickly skimmed the field deleting horses based on weight, age, adverse Spotlight comments about trip and current form, instinct and whim, and the two I was left with were both Henderson runners
Premier Bond
Sugar Baron
The last 2 I eliminated were Dawson City and Trustan Times
So there's your first 4 ..............
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3.50 Ayr - Katgary - win at 8/1 bog bet365
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Newm 3.00 - Brando - win at 11/8 bog bet365
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2.25 Newm - Majeste - win at 7/1 bog bet365
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2.45 Sou - Tatting - win at 4/1 bog PP
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Craven meeting and Greenham meeting this week seems like the start of the Flat Season Proper
looking forward to watching some Flat action
Racing Chat - Monday May 1st
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
Just flicked over for the race and Cloth of Stars has been backed as though defeat was out of the question .............. he's now odds-on !