PL_Crewman
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Posts posted by PL_Crewman
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Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Southwell 3:50 Proud Killer 3pts ew @ 18-1 Blue Square Unplaced: 4 of 8 [-6.00] dwelt and towards rear, soon chased along, effort over 2f out, stayed on final furlong Southwell 4:55 Tobouggornotobougg 3pts ew @ 16-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 7 of 7 [-6.00] broke well from stalls and led briefly, headed and held up, ridden along halfway, soon weakened opened Wolverhampton 6:50 Miss Deeds 3pts ew @ 12-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 7 of 8 [-6.00] prominent, ridden 2f out, hung left and weakened entering final furlong Wolverhampton 7:50 Terminate 5pts ew @ 9-1 Boylesports 3rd of 10 [+4.00] held up in rear, pushed along briefly 6f out, ridden well over 2f out, headway over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong, nearest finish Unofficial Results.. Through | 02 14 08 Total Runs | 172 Wins | 16 | 9.30% Places | 60 | 34.88% Profit | -505.72 Stakes | 1466.00 Average Back Price | 11.66 Lay Price | n/a Finish | 4.70 | Win & EW DNF | 0 | 0.00% Strike Rate | 18.02% Yield | -34.50%
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Re: PL_Crewman @ Aqueduct Race# Selection # 1 Golden Tablet 1 2nd [-2.00] 3.05 SP 2 Two Turn Halo 4 3rd [-2.00] 5.10 SP 6 Rinella Storm 8 1st [+4.50] 3.25 SP 8 Staid 1 2nd [-2.00] 3.70 SP 9 Nightime Appeal 11 2nd [-2.00] 4.20 SP On a losing streak so there is an addition of stats for "Place" and "Show" results. Today: 5 bets Win: 1 Place: 3 Show: 4 -3.50, +5.50, +4.40 Total: 47 bets Win: 10 Place: 23 Show: 26 -13.80, +30.30, -4.85 Last 10: Win: 1 Place: 6 Show: 8 -13.50, +35.50, +20.40
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Re: PL_Crewman @ Aqueduct Race# Selection # 1 Golden Tablet 1 Posted a front-running victory at the expense of several of these Jan. 4, for his second straight score on a fast inner track; may rebound quickly after wide trip in the slop. -By Dave Litfin 2 Two Turn Halo 4 Highest Speed Figure at Today's Distance. Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today's starters. May improve with blinkers and retrun to sprint. Early Speed running style helps chances. High % Trainer. 6 Rinella Storm 8 Eligible to improve in 2nd start since layoff. Trainer with runnners on their 2nd after layoff has at 18% strike rate (39% in the money). Jockey has 20% strike rate lifetime with horses that has a running style of Earl/Presser - 50% in the money - 272 races. 8 Staid 1 High % Trainer. Won LTO - course and distance. Rail post is winning 22% from the last 178 runs since 12.26.07. 9 Nightime Appeal 11 Hot Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days, 3 wins and 1 third from 5 runs. Sharp 3f workout (Feb06), 0:36s. Ran 3rd vs tougher in last race.
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Re: PL_Crewman @ Aqueduct NYRA Awarded 25-Year State Racing Franchise :cow
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Re: Best Bet Of The Day - Thu 14/02/08 Southwell 3:50 Proud Killer Has been inconsistent throughout his career but still worth a gamble for today. Trainer J R Jenkins has only 1 win from 34 all weather runs this year but current form has been good. Jenkins since February 2nd on the all weather has 9 runs with 6 ending up placed - 2-2-2-2-6-9-3-2. Jockey booked is Chris Catlin. Catlin and his 5f runs has a form of 5-4-2-2-1-1-5-2-8-2-3-2-2-1 the past 30 days - 2-3-2-2-1 the past 10 days. 3pts ew @ 18-1 Blue Square
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Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist
I've been taking a closer look when it comes to filtering. I never thought they could be too much but it has happened to me. I do now avoid many of the stakes races - maiden, caliming, classifieds. I find that handicap races tend to be more honest with their form. But Selling Stakes also brings many big priced winners so I'm trying to find some old trend from there but Massey's Custom Report is not usable at the moment. Short priced runners are also bad for me but I am not sure why yet..Finally I though I had the night racing down until the last two meetings bringing just one win from thirteen but three finished second and one third so it's not worth to avoid all night races. Sticking with high prices today! :hopejust noticed the 28/1 winner yesterday Crewman, well done, :clap I see you are still undeterred by the loss, which is an excellent attitude. Keep the methods if they bring in winners, however always worth taking a look to see if there is a filter you can add to contain some of the losses. :ok -
Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Southwell 3:50 Proud Killer Has been inconsistent throughout his career but still worth a gamble for today. Trainer J R Jenkins has only 1 win from 34 all weather runs this year but current form has been good. Jenkins since February 2nd on the all weather has 9 runs with 6 ending up placed - 2-2-2-2-6-9-3-2. Jockey booked is Chris Catlin. Catlin and his 5f runs has a form of 5-4-2-2-1-1-5-2-8-2-3-2-2-1 the past 30 days - 2-3-2-2-1 the past 10 days. 3pts ew @ 18-1 Blue Square Southwell 4:55 Tobouggornotobougg Has been showing his best since Tolley Dean took the saddle - last two runs. 6th of 9 (Beaten 2.25 lengths) at Wolverhampton, Handicap - 1m1f110y - January 24th. 4th of 13 (Beaten 5.25) at C&D 9 days ago, Maiden Handicap - finished ahead of runners from M Johnson (two ran), Jane Chapple-Hyam and J Noseda. Hawa Khana won that race by 3 lengths. Second was Coral Shores and Anabaa's Secret. His previus form before the last two was 10-5-10-6-9-10. If he continues to improve today he can pass all rivals at the end. 3pts ew @ 16-1 Bet365 BOG Wolverhampton 6:50 Miss Deeds Reported to have run too freeley last time but still ended just 2.75 lengths behind the winner, Wynberg. Her lifetime form going in was 18 of 20, 12 of 12, 9 of 9 and 11 of 11 so that run looks very good to be a pick today. Last time had Wynberg as the winner, 2nd was Little Finch (already on 19th race), and 3rd Whitcombe Flyer is sired by Fusaichi Pegasus. Jockey that was on board alst time is back for today - Richard Thomas. Trainer N P LIttmoden is having a good month - 2 wins and 2 second from that last 6 - total of 7 ran this month. 3pts ew @ 12-1 Bet365 BOG Wolverhampton 7:50 Terminate Last two winners of the Class6 at 1m1f103y here had the an SP of 18-1 and 7-1. Terminate comes in from having raced his last three over hurdles but his all weather form includes two wins, one second, and one third from ten runs. Trainer Ian Williams has only 1 win from 13 all weather runs this year but a total of 8 finished 3rd or better - 1-2-2-3 (W-2-3-4). Events like this have produced some big priced winners so Terminate is not a bad choice who comes from a trainer that has been able to get them close. 5pts ew @ 9-1 Boylesports
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Re: Nad Al Sheba 14/02
UAE 2000 GUINEAS Saeed Bin Suroor, who has won this race three times, also has a strong hand and his ETCHED gets the nod. The Kentucky Derby hopeful thrashed a subsequent Grade 2 winner on his second and final start for Kiaran McLaughlin at Aqueduct over this trip in October and he's ideally berthed for one that races up with the pace. £15 @ 2-1 is still available from Betfair :okEtched Wide margin debut US winner (6f, dirt) who posted better effort when thrashing subsequent Grade 2 winner in Grade 3 over extended 1m at Aqueduct on last run in November (blinkered both starts); highly regarded type who has always been regarded as new yard´s main UAE Guineas hope; style of racing suited to this track and very interesting for UAE debut.
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Re: Nad Al Sheba 14/02 UAE 2000 GUINEAS Saeed Bin Suroor, who has won this race three times, also has a strong hand and his ETCHED gets the nod. The Kentucky Derby hopeful thrashed a subsequent Grade 2 winner on his second and final start for Kiaran McLaughlin at Aqueduct over this trip in October and he's ideally berthed for one that races up with the pace. £15 @ 2-1 is still available from Betfair :ok
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Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Kempton 6:20 Maraagel 10pts win @ 11-4 Betfred Unplaced: 5 of 9 [-10.00] took keen hold, in touch, not clear run inside final 2f, no impression when clear final furlong Kempton 7:50 Bertbrand 5pts ew @ 5-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 4 of 5 [-10.00] disputed 2nd, effort over 1f out, not quicken and faded well inside final furlong Kempton 7:50 Liberty Valance 10pts win @ 9-4 Betfred 2nd of 5 [-10.00] disputed 2nd, ridden to lead over 1f out, hard pressed inside final furlong, caught final stride Kempton 8:20 Star Strider 5pts ew @ 8-1 Ladbrokes Unplaced: 5 of 11 [-10.00] chased leaders, effort over 1f out, no extra and weakening when chased leader inside final furlong Kempton 9:20 Siena Star 3pts ew @ 16-1 Bet365 BOG 3rd of 11 [+6.60] tracked leader, ridden and led 2f out, headed over 1f out, lost 2nd inside final furlong Unofficial Results.. Through | 02 13 08 Total Runs | 168 Wins | 16 | 9.52% Places | 59 | 35.12% Profit | -491.72 Stakes | 1438.00 Average Back Price | 11.59 Lay Price | n/a Finish | 4.68 | Win & EW DNF | 0 | 0.00% Strike Rate | 17.86% Yield | -34.19%
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Re: PL_Crewman @ Aqueduct
Void. No Racing today.2.13.08 - Race 9th Final Resolution #3 Name looks to be a good fit for this race. Other than that, nothing else was used to come up with this selection. -
Re: Best Bet Of The Day - 13/2/08 Kempton 8:20 Star Strider Has some decent efforts this year - one win, third and fourth from three runs. The only run here from those three was the last, 3rd of 9 - It was identical to the race today, same Class, Distance, and Rating. The raced finished 0.18s faster than RP Standard and there should be alot of good lessons taken from that into tonight. Jockey George Baker was on board the first run this year, 1st of 7 at Wolverhampton (5f) - defeated 4-11 favorite Chivola by 1 length. Baker for trainer Miss Gay Kelleway has 3 wins from 5 all weather runs - 2 from 4 this year. Kelleway also has one of the better record in night races this year - 13 runs for 5-1-2 (W-2-3), 6 runs for 2 wins here. 5pts ew @ 8-1 Ladbrokes
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Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Kempton 6:20 Maraagel First career race at night resulted in his best career effort yet - 2nd of 11, beaten 1/2 length. That was LTO and at this course from the 5f trip, Class 7 Classified Stakes - beaten favorite at 9-4SP. The horse he lost two went on to win next time by 1 length when taken up a Class into a Class 6 Claming Stakes. Maraagel is a Godolphin cast-off and this event is likely to be where he belongs based on market support from last time. 10pts win @ 11-4 Betfred Kempton 7:50 Bertbrand Won first run of the year by 2.50 lengths, Wolverhampton 5f. He raced here one before and finished 7th of 10 - second career run. He is more experienced this time so I think he can do better today. Trainer M Botti have done well here all year - 3 wins from 8. Bottin has 3 wins, 1 second, and 3 thirds from 13 runs with 3yo's this year. 5pts ew @ 5-1 Bet365 BOG Kempton 7:50 Liberty Valance Going nicely after three career runs going 5th of 7, 3rd of 7, and 1st of 6. The latest being here from the 7f trip for a win by 1.50 lengths from the 4-5 favorite - 3rd place another 3 lengths back. He has one test from 6f and that was good enough for 3rd, beaten 3/4 lengths at Wolverhampton on Boxing Day. Trainer S Kirk is having a good year and is not one to go against right now - 5 wins from 14. 10pts win @ 9-4 Betfred Kempton 8:20 Star Strider Has some decent efforts this year - one win, third and fourth from three runs. The only run here from those three was the last, 3rd of 9 - It was identical to the race today, same Class, Distance, and Rating. The raced finished 0.18s faster than RP Standard and there should be alot of good lessons taken from that into tonight. Jockey George Baker was on board the first run this year, 1st of 7 at Wolverhampton (5f) - defeated 4-11 favorite Chivola by 1 length. Baker for trainer Miss Gay Kelleway has 3 wins from 5 all weather runs - 2 from 4 this year. Kelleway also has one of the better record in night races this year - 13 runs for 5-1-2 (W-2-3), 6 runs for 2 wins here. 5pts ew @ 8-1 Ladbrokes Kempton 9:20 Siena Star Has been able to give a good outing here despite the finishing postition not suggesting it - 4-5-2-6-10-4. He comes into today after a good run last time - only run of the year so far - when finished 5th of 14 at Lingfield, 1m2f. Trainer Stef Liddiard has done a good job for the night runners so I think this 10yo Siena Star still has a chance. Liddiard has 9 runs at night for 2-2-2 (W-2-3) this year - 3 runs for 1 win and 1 second here. Jockey Micky Fenton is having a tough time at these trips of 11f-12f (0-15) for the year but his overall record is his highest strike rate (10%, 18-185) - all weather only. 3pts ew @ 16-1 Bet365 BOG
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Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Lingfield 1:40 Green Pirate 5pts ew @ 5-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 3 of 7 [-10.00] held up towards rear, headway over 1f out, soon every chance, ran on Lingfield 1:40 Robinzal 2pts ew @ 28-1 Betterbet Unplaced: 7 of 7 [-4.00] held up in touch, ridden to challenge well over 1f out, no extra inside final furlong Lingfield 2:40 Salut Saint Cloud 10pts win @ 4-1 Betterbet 2nd of 11 [-10.00] held up in touch, pushed along over 6f out, chased leaders 4f out, stayed on strongly towards finish Lingfield 3:40 Lord Of Dreams 5pts ew @ 7-1 Sportingbet 2nd of 9 [+2.00] held up towards rear, headway halfway, every chance 1f out, kept on inside final furlong Lingfield 3:40 Lordswood 10pts win @ 9-4 Bet365 BOG 3rd of 9 [-10.00] held up mid-division, some headway well over 2f out, stayed on but never able to challenge Lingfield 4:10 Bon Ton Roulet 5pts ew @ 5-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 5 of 7 [-5.00] held up, ridden over 2f out, soon under pressure, never on terms Lingfield 4:10 Love Empire 10pts win @ 2.86 Betfair 2nd of 7 [-10.00] tracked winner, led over 2f out, headed over 1f out, kept on well Unofficial Results.. Through | 02 13 08 Total Runs | 163 Wins | 16 | 9.82% Places | 57 | 34.97% Profit | -458.32 Stakes | 1392.00 Average Back Price | 11.69 Lay Price | n/a Finish | 4.70 | Win & EW DNF | 0 | 0.00% Strike Rate | 17.79% Yield | -32.93%
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Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Lingfield 1:40 Green Pirate Been raced at Wolverhampton in 16 of the past 17 runs (since Jun07) but handling this course can be expected. He has 3 runs here for experience with the last two being from the 1m trip. The form at the C&D is a win and second - Class 7 Banded Stakes and Class 6 Handicap back in December 2006 and January 2007. He won his penultimate run last month in a seller by 3 lengths. Followed that with a 6th of 8 but against touhger competition in a Class 6 Handicap. Jockey Richard Kingscote was on board the last two and again to be on today. Kingscote has 3 wins from 5 all weather for Brisbourne this year. 5pts ew @ 5-1 Bet365 BOG Lingfield 1:40 Robinzal Finds himself alone at topweight but jockey booked is who he has the most success with. Jockey Vince Slattery has 7 runs with Robinzal, flat and national hunt - 7-2-5-2-2-6-4 is the total form. Robinzal has failed to get in the money from his last three but maybe being in Handicap races is now too much for him to do. Last four (2-6-10-5) have been in Class 5 Handicaps so this drop into a Claiming Stakes is a big step down. Even with his poor form I think he can do well here especially with Slattery on board. 2pts ew @ 28-1 Betterbet Lingfield 2:40 Salut Saint Cloud 2m trip last time at Southwell proved it is the distance where he is best at. He was beaten 5.75 lengths into 4th of 10 but it was his best run since the last time he made a 2m trip. The form from the breaks between the two 2m runs has only 4 horses it was able to defeat on the all weather. 11 of 12 (12f), 11 of 11 (10f), 9 of 9 (12f), 9 of 10 (13f), and 7 of 9 (12f). 2m is the trip today - 4-7-4-5-1-2-6 on all 2m AW runs last year. 10pts win @ 4-1 Betterbet Lingfield 3:40 Lord Of Dreams Only a 6th and 5th placed effort from the two runs this year but should still be counted on for today. Both runs was at the C&D and his other C&D runs was for a 4th of 14 and 1st of 11. The win came with the jockey on board today, Jamie Jones. Jones has 5 wins from 23 all weather runs the past 5 seasons with runners aged 4yo+ for owner N J Jones. N J Jones has this course for the most success with older runner - 3 wins from 17. Jones owned runners trained by G L Moore has 5 wins from 26 on the all weather. 5pts ew @ 7-1 Sportingbet Lingfield 3:40 Lordswood Won his last run by 1 length at this C&D two weeks ago. This race today a one Class higher but I still like his chances based on his latest effort. The run was really good with the timing being perfect in the closing stages to lead the last 75 yards. The same jockey from that run is to be on board again today so I think he will be hard to defeat if able to recproduce the same as the last. That jockey, Hayley Turner, has two of three wins that Lordswood have - came from last four runs. 10pts win @ 9-4 Bet365 BOG Lingfield 4:10 Bon Ton Roulet Not been in good racing shape but I think trainer R Hannon has her ready for today. Hannon is doing very well with 3yo's lately - he has two wins and one second from the five that was sent out - since 30Jan. His 3yo form for the year is 21 runs for 2-2-2 (W-2-3) so this time is looks good to back his 3yo's. Jockey Hadden Frost was on board one of the win and that was for 9f. Frost has been in good form lately - two wins and three seconds from the last eight runs - since 30Jan. 5pts ew @ 5-1 Bet365 BOG Lingfield 4:10 Love Empire Trainer M Johnston won two out of two runs yesterday. Both ran for 1m - Southwell. 3yo Handicappers from Johnston has 8 wins from 31 runs this year. - 1 win from 10 with others. Love Empire has made the mistake of staring slowly for his three career runs but if that has been fixed for today the rest will have plenty to do. He's also only raced between the time of 12:15 to 1:40 so maybe this later time to race will do some good for him. 10pts win @ 2.86 Betfair
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Re: PL_Crewman @ Aqueduct 2.13.08 - Race 9th Final Resolution #3 Name looks to be a good fit for this race. Other than that, nothing else was used to come up with this selection.
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Re: PL_Crewman @ Aqueduct
NYRA Press Staff | February 11, 2008
As you know NYRA is faced with the real possibility of having to suspend racing after the Wednesday, February 13th card is run. NYRA’s franchise to run thoroughbred racing at Aqueduct,
Saratoga andBelmont Park New York -
Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Southwell 1:50 Alexander Huricane 10pts win @ 9-4 Betfred 2nd of 8 [-10.00] tracked leaders, ridden to lead over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, no extra close home Southwell 1:50 Pappas Image 5pts ew @ 9-2 Bet365 BOG 3rd of 8 [-1.50] held up behind leaders, ridden over 2f out, driven and one pace final furlong Southwell 2:20 Moral Code 5pts ew @ 9-1 Ladbrokes Unplaced: 4 of 12 [-10.00] in touch, led over 5f out, headed over 4f out and remained in touch, ridden over 2f out, one pace final furlong Southwell 4:20 Exit To Luck :clap 2pts ew @ 28-1 Blue Square 1st of 9 [+67.20] held up behind leaders, ridden over 3f out, led over 1f out, driven out final furlong Southwell 4:20 Simple Jim 2pts ew @ 33-1 Blue Square Unplaced: 6 of 9 [-4.00] held up towards rear, headway over 2f out, staying on towards finish but never reached challenging position Southwell 4:50 Hawa Khana 10pts win @ 9-4 Bet365 BOG 2nd of 7 [-10.00] tracked leader, led 2f out, driven over 1f out, hung right, headed inside final furlong, no extra close home Unofficial Results.. Through | 02 12 08 Total Runs | 158 Wins | 16 | 10.13% Places | 53 | 33.54% Profit | -428.72 Stakes | 1354.00 Average Back Price | 11.70 Lay Price | n/a Finish | 4.75 | Win & EW DNF | 0 | 0.00% Strike Rate | 17.72% Yield | -31.66%
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Re: Best Bet Of The Day - 12/2/08 Southwell 2:20 Moral Code I think this can turn out to be a good maiden race with entries from trainers such as D R C Elsworht (w/Seb Sanders today, J A Osborrne (2 runners) and M Johnston. Moral Code comes from a very good team of E J O'Neill and Chris Catlin. The trainer/jockey combo has 6 wins from 10 runs this year - 5-8 w/3yo's and 1-2 w4yo+. The last two mile runs for O'Neill finished ast of 6 (Kempton) and 2nd of 7 (Southwell). Moral Code has not raced since last November but O'Neill have done a great job with runners coming off a long break this year. She's The Lady won her first run of the year (Jan04) after being out since last May. Sparton Duke won his first run of the year (Jan13) after being out since last June. Rapidity won his first race of the year (Feb03) after being out since last August. Medicine Path won his first run of the year (Feb03) after being out since last November. Georgie The Fourth finished 3rd of 14 (Jan23 after being out since last July. Three other's raced for O'Neill this year but they were making their debut - they finished 2nd, 2nd, and 1st. Only runner of the day for O'Neill. 5pts ew @ 9-1 Ladbrokes
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Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Southwell 1:50 Alexander Huricane Unbeaten two career runs including one yesterday. He is taken here today to go 1f longer than he's ever raced but that should not be a problem. He's had plenty to give at the end of his races and looked like he can last the 6f trip. Jockey N Callan takes over from Chris Catlin and it should help Alexander Huricane on his first run here. Callan does very well here, having a 16% strike rate over the past 5 seasons. Trainer K A Ryan is doing his best here for the year, 5 wins from 26 - 4 wins from 29 from the other courses. 10pts win @ 9-4 Betfred Southwell 1:50 Pappas Image Course specialist - 13 of 17 runs here, 6 at 5f for 3-7-4-3-4-3. 4 of last 8 here from trainer A J McCabe was able to be placed 1-3-3-5-3-2-5 (# of rivals are 9-9-4-8-10-9-5). 3 of those 8 raced the 6f trip finishing 1st of 9, 3rd of 9, 2nd of 9 - all in handicaps, Class 6,6,3. Jockey scheduled to be on board is Stephen Donohoe. Donohoe has 6 wins from 24 runners aged 4yo+ at this course this year. 5pts ew @ 9-2 Bet365 BOG Southwell 2:20 Moral Code I think this can turn out to be a good maiden race with entries from trainers such as D R C Elsworht (w/Seb Sanders today, J A Osborrne (2 runners) and M Johnston. Moral Code comes from a very good team of E J O'Neill and Chris Catlin. The trainer/jockey combo has 6 wins from 10 runs this year - 5-8 w/3yo's and 1-2 w4yo+. The last two mile runs for O'Neill finished ast of 6 (Kempton) and 2nd of 7 (Southwell). Moral Code has not raced since last November but O'Neill have done a great job with runners coming off a long break this year. She's The Lady won her first run of the year (Jan04) after being out since last May. Sparton Duke won his first run of the year (Jan13) after being out since last June. Rapidity won his first race of the year (Feb03) after being out since last August. Medicine Path won his first run of the year (Feb03) after being out since last November. Georgie The Fourth finished 3rd of 14 (Jan23 after being out since last July. Three other's raced for O'Neill this year but they were making their debut - they finished 2nd, 2nd, and 1st. Only runner of the day for O'Neill. 5pts ew @ 9-1 Ladbrokes Southwell 4:20 Exit To Luck Finished last of 5 runners last time but that being his first all weather after two tries over hurdles deserves to be forgotten. His lifetime all weather form has 2 seconds from 4 runs. The last all weather run before last time was here at the 1m3f trip in June last year - beaten 7 lengths and 7 lenghts ahead of 3rd. Booking of Chris Catlin could be enough to have him stay this trip and get his old all weather form. 2pts ew @ 28-1 Blue Square Southwell 4:20 Simple Jim I do not believe he was tried for his best last time out - finished last of 8. The trip was only 9f and he set a very slow pace that allowed the rest to pass him. He raced over hurdles on the last two before last time so I think he still has plenty to give if asked for his best. The other all weather run in Britain was for a 6th of 12, beaten 5.50 lengths on his British debut at Wolverhampton, 1m6f. Trainer A D Brown has two wins from six here - both by Karmest who raced the 1m3f and 1m4f trip here finishing 1st-1st-3rd - (other 11f-12f runners finished 4th and 7th). Brown does not have many runners to train for the all weather so having Simple Jim give his best British run is very possible. 2pts ew @ 33-1 BLue Square Southwell 4:50 Hawa Khana Left her competitors at least 3 lengths behind in a 1m Maiden Handicap here just a week ago. She swerved right towards the finish that day and had her share of problems in the past too but her efforts this year has been the best of her career. She gained an RPR of 63 last time and that is 4 higher than her previous career best. Jockey Kirsty Milczarek has been on board the last three (1 win, 2 seconds) and I think she can get Hawa Khana to give another good run. 10pts win @ 9-4 Bet365 BOG
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Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Wetherby 3:05 Fortunate Isle 10pts win @ 2-1 Bet365 BOG 2nd of 9 [-10.00] tracked leader, ridden approaching 3 out, kept on same pace from last, no chance with winner Wetherby 4:45 Murphys Beau 5pts ew @ 9-1 Coral Unplaced: 5 of 19 [-10.00] chased leaders, led 8f out, headed over 4f out, weakened 3f out Wolverhampton 4:35 Mozayada 2pts ew @ 33-1 Sportingbet Unplaced: 13 of 13 [-4.00] mid-division, behind final 3f Wolverhampton 5:05 John Potts 3pts ew @ 16-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 5 of 8 [-6.00] held up in rear, not clear run well over 1f out, soon switched right, stayed on same pace and edged left inside final furlong Wolverhampton 5:05 Carry On Cleo 2pts ew @ 33-1 Betfred Unplaced: 4 of 8 [-4.00] held up, headway well over 1f out, one pace Unofficial Results.. Through | 02 11 08 Total Runs | 152 Wins | 15 | 9.87% Places | 49 | 32.24% Profit | -460.42 Stakes | 1306.00 Average Back Price | 11.62 Lay Price | n/a Finish | 4.83 | Win & EW DNF | 0 | 0.00% Win bets Strike Rate | 17.76% 27 Yield | -35.25%
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Re: PL_Crewman @ Aqueduct Race# Selection # 6 Golden Win 2nd [-2.00] 7.60 SP Another 2nd..Place and Show paid 7$.00 & $5.20 ($2 stakes) but not a winner. Total 42 bets 9 wins -10.30 - 42 bets 9 wins | 10 placed | 3 Show | 21% Win 52% In The Money Thanks to a big placer the profits for WPS now looks like..-10.30 (W), +24.80 (P), and -9.25 (S). No Racing until Wednesday the 13th.
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Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Wolverhampton 5:05 John Potts Has a good chance to at least be placed. He's slowly improving and should again do so for this third run as a 3yo. He finished 1.50 lengths behind the winner last time in a race where he was running 9f for the first time (C&D). His previous best was a 2.25 lengths defeat into 4th of 11 at the end of last year. Bury Treasure was the winner that day he is currently half the price of what John Potts is offered at. Trainer B P J Baugh has one win and third from the first two runners today - both 12-1 SP. John Potts has Rapidity to worry about for the win but his progress and trainer form looks like a good bet with the price as high as 20-1. 3pts ew @ 16-1 Bet365 BOG Wolverhampton 5:05 Carry On Cleo Havinga bad year but had her closest finish to the winner last time, 7 days ago. She did well at the C&D as a 2yo last year getting 2 wins and 2 thirds from four runs. The 3yo campaign started the C&D with an 8th of 11, beaten 6.25 lengths. At the current price I think it is worth the shot for an e/w bet - as high as 33-1 and lowest is 20-1. 2pts ew @ 33-1 Betfred
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Re: Best Bet of The Day - Monday 11th Feb Wetherby 4:45 Murphys Beau Has a good price in this open looking bumpe event. The shortest price offered for anyone is 11-2 so I think Murphys Beau's chances is great here. He ran to finish just a head short to get 2nd last time (10 days ago) not getting past the 8-11 favorite that day. The effort was good an did notthing wrong to lose that day. Trainer Mrs S J Smith prepared him well for last time after not being raced since last October. This is the first time time on Good to Soft going but I think he can handle it - debut on Good (5th of 13, beaten by 9.50) and last time on Soft (2nd of 8, beaten by a head). 5pts ew @ 9-1 Coral
PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist
in At The Races - Racing Forum
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Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Lingfield 3:55 Hansinger Class 4 Handicap, 0-85 - but only only one of the 7 runners has a win at this Class (Hucking Hero). Hansinger comes in from not being raced since last September but should be fit for this after being tested at Goodwood, Newmarket, and Doncaster on his last three runs. He finished 13 of 17, 12 of 17, and 3 of 8 but they were in Class 2,2, and 3 so the task was tough. Previous three was in Class 4,5, and 5 and did better there having finishes of 3 of 12, 5 of 13 and 1st of 13. All weather debut but jockey N Callan is on board so the price is enough for me to take a shot with this. 2pts ew @ 20-1 Bet365 BOG Lingfield 4:30 Westport Finished 2nd last time out to stablemate Distinctly Game. Could improve on that with jockey N Callan on board. Callan returned February 12th from being out since Janruary 18th for a form of 2-3-4-1-3-2. Trainer K A Ryan has a couple handfull of rides with Callan in the next few day and the two has shown they are worth to follow since Callan's return. The combo has one win and two seconds from three runs since Callan returned. They have two runs as a combo today but I like Westport because his form is better and this race is more valuable. 10pts win @ 3-1 Bet365 BOG Sandown 4:20 Soixante Improving on hurdle game and has a good price offered for today. He's finished second the last two runs and had jockey Sam Thomas on board for both. Thomas is scheduled for today. Weight is down 6lb from last time and gets to go up in trip by 2 furlongs from last time will help. His penultimate run was in a 2m5f trip and did well enough to finish 2 lengths behind in 2nd to odds-on favorite Pocket Aces. His next run 18 days later was dropped one class but the trip was also dropped and finished further from the winner by 8 lengths. 5pts ew @ 9-1 totesport