Zilzalian

TOTAL DAY 1 + DAY 2 = 7.5 POINTS BET

Very interesting and useful stuff Harry. I always wonder how much difference it makes If you know your onions as opposed to having/backing your favourite golfers. A bit like on the horses if you apply your own knowledge/research then the stats only serve as secondary, Back in the day i remember having favourite horses and so couldn't win, once i began compiling and applying my speed figures and let them pick the gg it took any personal biases out of the equation and i won. So one would assume that the more golf you watch and rate the players accordingly then your selections become more accurate. i was just watching this latest tournament and Justin Thomas finished on -10 my notes say he wont win because he's a wobbler his odds are 14/5. Scheffler is still fav at 11/5 and he has the game to win so i can't crib him much but i still have a sneaky suspicion that his game is not quite right and is open to someone wearing him down. I like to see how accurate my various notes are on the players through each tournament.

I had one winner from 12 tournaments last year at 121/1 so well in profit to level stakes. This year i have had 90/1 & 2x45/1 winner (same player after round 1) a 3rd and a winner (not backed) So being well in credit i thought i would see what the ew produces here on in until season ends , i am not a lover of ew but 100/1 - 275/1 makes me a lover of them especially when i look at the favs and their prices. One place should knock the crap out of the first 2 in the betting considering Scheffler started fav in all 6 tournaments he's played this year and won none. Mcllroy usually 2nd Fav in fairness has won two but i don't like the prices. I will post for each tournament as i have been doing and then the full list at year end and ask you to scrutinise the results to see if we get an agreement.

We might end up agreeing that there are too many confounding variables with Speed ratings on the jumps Michael.

Yes i saw the losses and wondered how many bets you had.

No they wont let you play the win at those odds that's why i chose the first 3 (massive price differences). Hisatsune 150/1 win 275/1 3 places seems like a gift to me. I like your points about the places but it just doesn't fit with my head 😂 because i am not a safe player and i think "knowledgeable" players are generally more cautious and tend to win off narrow margins.

335 newmarket benevento 20/1 bet365

A quandary for you Michael, the 205 Cheltenham was a 2m 4 1/2F but they started almost half a furlong before the starter so in effect 2M 5F. This with rail realignments and missing obstacles makes it almost impossible to calculate with any accuracy does it not? How are the jumps speed ratings panning out for you?

Bit of an experimental new approach with the initial picks and trying the each way bit. I was going to be more selective in the EW but thought to mesen nah just chuck em all on. All are ew 1,2,3. i reasoned not to bugger about with all the options ew first 6,7,8. simply because you generally end up with Joint places which dilutes the returns more often than not but we will see how it gets on. Will look again after each round with the stick twist or raise jobby. 6 points bet so far.

£8.40 returns so £2.40 profit i maybe should have done an ew acca but didn't and sods law all got placed but it wouldn't have added up to much at these prices. Observe that the biggest price was the only winner. 😉

300 lavender hill mob 80/1 bet365

Dodgy time of year but worth a dabble

My admittedly brief research showed up a little anomaly which is interesting. In the majors the average age is 32, but if we look at all the signature events it is 27