Offramp

130- CONSTITUTION HILL 
210- RIVIERE D'ETEL 
330- APPRECIATE IT 
410- QUEENS BROOK 
450- EBASARI 
530- RUN WILD FRED 
Good luck to all & many thanks to PL for running comp & MCLARKE for his collating over next few day , hope you've got your pro plus in ?
 

I suppose I'll have to defend my crown. ?

As in previous years we will be running a tipsters competition for Cheltenham, Tuesday 15th to Friday 18th March.
 
Rules:
1 selection per race throughout the competition Bets settled to £1 level stakes - WIN Only Bets settled at SP Highest accumulative total over the competition wins £60 cash (via PayPal) Runner Up wins £25 and the third place wins £15, all prizes via your PayPal account No edits allowed in selection posts Losses incurred for losers. Replacement selections for NRs can be posted but must be before the first race deadline All Bets must be posted prior to the first race each day (no exceptions) Not compulsory to enter everyday or every race (so if you miss the first day or two you can still take part) Leader-board posted each evening A minimum of 14 bets is required to qualify for any prizes All welcome, good luck.
Let's see if anyone can beat @Skittle's 87 point profit last year !

Aqueduct first race 1750
1)Race 1 wicked happy been knocking on the door lately good chance nap
4)Race 2'fast break easy win last time go close
5)Race 3 strong point half length 3rd last time good chance
3)Race4 profusion won easily last time should follow up
Race 5 mattys maurader good 3rd last time chance
2)Race 6 giocare won easily last time should follow-up nb
Race 7 life is great won easily last time should win
race 8 workingmans dude close 3rd last time go close
Treblerace
Race 1 wicked happy
Race 6 giocare
Race 4 profusion
Best of the rest 
R5 turf paradise vintage kitten nap
R4 turf paradise happy happy happy
R6 delta downs tapalist
 
 

Mahoming valley
Placepot
1745 le general nb stands out in this company
1812 moanas tale  2.7 length 2nd last time
1844 Hurricane nation test my form figures
1908 rederminator nap should go clos e ticks in all the right boxes
1936 Frittons said will try
2004 ninja kitten new yard
2033 what confidence
2053 double edged
turf paradise
Race i lethal storm solid form
race 2 miss kitness nb well clear on figures
race 3 check and rise
Race 4 tamarandos mine solid 3rd last time
Rsce 5 bright side of life
Race 6 freestone 
Race 7 Saved by zero nap won by 5.5 lenghts over course last time
Race 8/mercy marc they say the best horse should win plenty to spare 
 
 

dont ask me how i picked that 14/1 out the bag ?

Penn National   all Paddy Power prices 

2300 - 4 Gosignal      11/4    WON
2327 - 6 Discreetly Tough   6/1 Unplaced
2354 - 4 Combating    4/1  2nd
0049 - 3 Google It    4/1  WON

Good luck 11/15 doesnt make a winning system lets see if it wins long term. Make sure you post here not the £20 challenge page.

1st     Returns £75 

Cheltenham’s three day Paddy Power meeting begins with four races on ITV and here’s my analysis on that quartet. Ground wise I think we’ll be looking at a surface on the slow side of good with watering having taking place earlier in the week and just the possibility of a passing shower.
 
Cheltenham 1.45
An interesting 2 miles handicap chase features last years winner and today’s top weight Magic Saint. He probably needed his reappearance run at Wetherby and a 2lb drop in the weights means he can race off of the exact same mark as last year. 5lb conditional Brian Carver ride him last year  and this year it’s the turn of 5lb conditional Angus Cheleda. He must go well. Stolen Silver appeared to improve for the change of stables when winning a 3 runner handicap at Market Rasen and Sam Thomas’s latest acquisition will presumably adopt front running tactics here which were seen to great effect that day. Kap Auteuil comes here on a roll having won his last four races for rookie trainer Toby Lawes and shouldn’t be dismissed whilst the best outsider may well be Bun Dorian who’s extremely well handicapped on his back form and has had his wind tinkered with since last seen. Slight preference is for Stolen Silver over Magic Saint and he’s the selection. 
STOLEN SILVER 2 points win @ 7/2 William Hill
 
Cheltenham 2.20
A disappointing turnout of only two go to post for this 2m 4F novices’ Chase. Hot favourite is the chasing debutant of Dan Skelton’s My Drogo who was a very smart novice hurdler last season winning all 4 of his hurdles including two grade 2’s and a grade one at the Aintree National Festival. His sole opponent comes from Ireland and has plenty of fencing experience although has to carry a 8lb penalty here which isn’t going to make it easy against My Drogo. Gin On Lime has won 4 of his 5 chase starts this year on summer ground. He’s no mug and should give the favourite a stern challenge but I do feel if My Drogo jumps he should be winning this. He’ll be at prohibitive odds so it’s a no play race for me.
 
Cheltenham 2.55
A cross country handicap chase run over 3m 6F with an open look about it this year. Surprisingly there’s very little previous course form here with Potters Corner who finished 3rd last year and 2019 winner Diesel D’Allier the pick if you follow course form. The latter incidentally is having his first run for new trainer Richard J Bandey. I’ve had some success in these races over the years with the French challengers but they too are conspicuous by their absence this season. The class horse is the top weight Balko Des Flos for the Henry De Bromhead team who unseated over this course on his only spin round last March at the Festival when only a 6/1 chance. He’s had a nice pipe opener over hurdler and was a 100/1 runner up in last years Grand National to Minella Times. He’s been ridden by Rachael Blackmore and should run well. Fellow Irish challenger Freewheeling Dylan is interesting in that he won the Irish National at 150/1 last Spring and could run well also. Not a race that really inspires me this year and I’ll keep stakes low and play Balko Des Flos. 
BALKO DES FLOS 1 point win @ 4/1 William Hill
 
Cheltenham 3.30
7 go to post for this grade 2 2m 5F novices hurdle with the favourite hailing from the Paul Nicholls stable in Gelino Bello. He was mightily impressive when winning on his hurdles debut at Aintree. He looks smart but is priced accordingly and I feel there maybe better value elsewhere. The Irish send three over and the money over the last 48 hours for the Charles Byrnes trained Blazing Khal looks significant. He also impressed on his hurdles bow when winning a maiden hurdle at Galway in October and is maybe the way to go here. Gordon Elliott sends over the penalised Off Your Rocco who won a listed novice hurdle at Limerick last time out which is the best piece of form in the race but the 5lb penalty may negate that. I like Gelino Bello but at the prices it’s Blazing Khal for me. 
BLAZING KHAL 2 points win @ 5/1 William Hill
 
 

A feast of Terrestrial TV racing with something for everyone today - here’s my thoughts on the final days flat turf meeting at Doncaster (ground soft), Badger Beer day at Wincanton (ground good though apparently watered) and Aintree (ground soft).
 
Aintree 1.08
A Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle of just over 3 miles starts today’s proceedings. It doesn’t look the strongest race and the market should be watched for clues with 7 of the 11 strong field coming here on the back of a layoff. South Terrace looked good when last seen at Uttoxeter in June though has been raised 6lb for that victory whilst Pileon is now 6lb lower than his excellent short head silver medal in the 2020 Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle at the Cheltenham festival but has shown very little since. One horse who is undoubtably well handicapped back over timber is the David Pipe trained Remastered. He had an excellent first season over fences last term when winning three of his 4 starts culminating in a 5th spot in the NH Chase at the Cheltenham Festival. He’s officially rated 146 in that sphere but can race here back over the smaller obstacles off of 133 so if he’s improved for a spell over fences then he could be well handicapped today. The only issue I have with him is that Pipe has now gone 24 runners and 25 days since his last winner although he has had three second’s in his last six starts. 
REMASTERED 1 1/2 points each way @ 8/1 1/5 1234 Paddy Power
 
Doncaster 1.25
A competitive 7F handicap with last years victor Tomfre high on my list of fancies. Ralph Beckett’s 4 year old has a good record at the Yorkshire track winning twice over course and distance on soft/heavy ground (including this race) last year. He’ll surely go well but I do think  there’s one of the better bets of the day in this race in the Tim Easterby trained Boardman who has conditions to suit. A three time winner in the spring at Haydock, York and Chester he’s not really had his favoured soft conditions until his last run when finishing a decent 5th beaten 2 1/4L in a 6F York handicap when drawn on the wrong side of the track. The horses that raced with Boardman and were even further behind that day have since franked the form. Copper Knight, Magical Spirit and Mondammej were all well beaten but have come out to win decent handicaps since. I can see Boardman being well backed and suggest a decent each way bet with the firms paying enhanced place terms. 
BOARDMAN 2 points each way @ 9/1 1/5th 12345 Paddy Power
 
Wincanton 1.50
Only 6 go to post for the Rising Stars Novices’ Chase with the Paul Nicholls trained Bravemansgame a very warm favourite following a faultless win on his chasing debut at Newton Abbot when he jumped well and was a most impressive winner from subsequent lucky Charlie Hall winner Fusil Raffles. He was getting all the allowances that day mind and with his 3lb penalty today is not even the official best in here. That honour goes to his stable mate Mick Pastor. Faivoir is only 2lb behind the fav on official ratings also and although Bravemansgame will probably win he’s not at a price I’m wanting to get involved with so it’s sit and watch race for me.
 
Doncaster 2.05
This doesn’t look the strongest listed race and the only penalised runner in the race Andrew Balding’s Kings Lynn looks sure to give a good account of himself with David Probert in the saddle for Her Majesty The Queen. He’s always run well at this track with form figures of 122 with one of those silver medals when runner up to Starman no less. He handles soft ground well enough and proved that when runner up at Vadream in a Group 3 at Ascot last time with three of today’s rivals behind him. 
KINGS LYNN 2 points win @ 10/3 BetVictor
 
Aintree 215
14 go to post for the Grand Sefton Handicap Chase which is run over 2m 5F of the unique Grand National course. Hogans Heights won this in 2019 by 16L and although getting on a bit now (he rises 11 in a couple of months)should run his race whilst the Alan King trained Senior Citizen has course form to his name and is another with claims. However I like the JP McManus runner Time To Get Up here who is been trained for the Grand National and although it can be argued today’s trip will be on the short side looks to have a touch of class about him having only raced 7 times. He was last seen when winning the 4m 2F Midlands Grand National in March and is now 6lb higher in the handicap. Trainer Jonjo O’Neill has his Jackdaws Castle stable in fine form winning with 5 of his last 20 runners and his representative looks sure to go close. 
TIME TO GET UP 1 point each way @ 9/2 1/5th 12345 Paddy Power
 
Wincanton 2.25
A competitive 11 runner mares only handicap hurdle. 8 of the 11 are coming here off of a lay off with the Colin Tizzard trained Rose Of Arcadia the pick amongst them. Tizzard  fresh from winning the Colin Parker Memorial Chase at Carlisle and Haldon Gold Cup at Exeter last weekend with stable stars Fiddlerontheroof and Eldorado Allen respectively saddles this lightly raced 6 year old who’s won 3 of her 6 career starts (including her Irish point to point). She disappointed a bit when last seen when only 5th  in the EBF mares handicap hurdle at Newbury in March although Tizzard stated in a recent stable file that she hurt herself two from home and looks fantastic at present. Brendan Powell rides and may have most to fear from the Fergal O’Brien trained Une De La Seniere - a Ludlow winner a month ago and now up 6lb. 
ROSE OF ARCADIA 2 points each way @ 6/1 1/5th 123 Paddy Power 
 
Doncaster 2.40
A maximum field of 23 go to post for the final big handicap of the season and the race looks wide open. One horse who maybe ahead of his mark is the John and Thady Gosden trained First Light who’s only having his 7th career start and has shown his best form on soft ground. Gosden has farmed this race in the recent past  with no less than six victories and it would be no shock were he to be the plunge horse in the contest. At a much bigger price I wouldn’t be shocked to see the Peter Chapple-Hyam trained Deja run well. Soft ground is essential to him and he’s fallen down the handicap significantly to be of interest in first time blinkers. He’s worth a small each way saver. 
FIRST LIGHT 1 point each way @ 7/1 1/5th 1234567 Betfred
DEJA 1/2 point each way @ 33/1 ¼ 12345 Bet365
 
Wincanton 3.00
A decent field of 15 go to post for this years renewal of the Badger Beer Handicap Chase. Paul Nicholls is always the first man to go to in this race at his local course having won the race on three of the last four runnings. He saddles a pair today in top weight Truckers Lodge ( surely needs further/softer ground) and Highland Hunter who could be a player here. Last years winner El Presente and runner up Potterman are both back for another go and looks weighted to dead heat here. Christian William’s Cap Du Nord has been nibbled at in the market in the last couple of days and could have a chance also. A wide open affair where it’s wise to keep stakes small and I’ll go with the Paul Nicholls first string Highland Hunter small each way. 
HIGHLAND HUNTER 1 point each way @ 7/1 1/5th 1234 BetVictor
 
Aintree 3.20
Only 6 run here in this 2m 4F Betway hurdle with last years winner Summerville Boy back to defend his title. He goes well fresh and should be thereabouts whilst the penalised Brewin’upastorm hails from the very much in form Olly Murphy stable and has had his wind tinkered with since last seen. Rebecca Curtis is in dreadful form so her Lisnagar Oscar is very hard to fancy whilst the same can be said about If The Cap Fits who was chasing last season until two lack lustre efforts back over hurdles at the Spring festivals. Lucy Wadham’s Martello Sky is the only one of the sextet who has had a recent run, claims the mares allowance and is on the upgrade. In a race where there is plenty of question marks about the opponents it would be no shock to see her run a mighty race at juicy odds and she’s the selection. 
MARTELLO SKY 1 point win @ 10/1 Bet365
 
Wincanton 3.35
A small but select field of 7 go to post for the Elite Hurdle and maybe fought out by the top two in the market in the Alan King trained Sceau Royal who’s won this event in 2016 and 2020 and Gary Moore’s highly impressive 2020 Kingwell Hurdle winner Goshen. There’s only a pound between them on official ratings but the deciding factor to me is the ground. Sceau Royal proved his well being with a recent win at Kempton from the useful Silver Streak and loves good ground where as Goshen seems to be better when the mud’s flying. For that factor alone the bet has to be Sceau Royal. 
SCEAU ROYAL 2 points win @ 11/8 BetVictor
 
 

The end of the flat at Newbury and Doncaster cross over with the start of the jumpers today with ITV showing 5 races from the home of National Hunt Cheltenham. The ground will be testing at the two flat tracks but just on the slow side at Cheltenham. Here’s my weekly thoughts on the days races:-
 
Cheltenham 1.45
16 runners go to post for this conditional jockeys handicap hurdle with the unexposed Samarrive heading the market. Trained by Paul Nicholls he was an easy winner of a Kempton novice hurdle on his British debut in April and literally could be thrown in here. He’s been well found mind in the market at around 9/4 and with four or more places I’m looking elsewhere for a small each way bet. Fergal O’Brien has made a blistering start to the season racking up 58 winners already and saddles three here. The pick of them maybe Samba Dancer who’s on a hat trick of victories following wins at Uttoxeter and Stratford this Autumn. He’s up 6lb but has the assistance of useful stable conditional Liam Harrison who can claim 3lb. He should be competitive and can reward an each way bet.
SAMBA DANCER 1 point each way @ 7/1 ¼ 1234 Bet365
 
Newbury 2.00
The ground is going to very testing at the Berkshire track for this 7F Group 3 Horris Hill Stakes. Favourite Noble Truth is trained by Charlie Appleby who’s had such a fantastic Autumn with his juveniles and will be very hard to beat here with the best form and proven ability to act in very soft ground. He was beaten under a length on Arc De Triomphe day at ParisLongchamp by Ralph Beckett’s mud loving Angel Bleu and with James Doyle taking over from William Buick is one of the days better bets. 
NATIVE TRUTH 3 points win @ 5/4 Bet365
 
Cheltenham 2.20
A 3m 1F handicap chase with last season’s Ladbroke Trophy Handicap Chase winner Cloth Cap heading the weights. He flopped in the Grand National when last seen when he reportedly made a noise and has undergone wind surgery since. 20lb higher now than his Ladbroke Trophy victory he looks one to be against. Kerry Lee is a very capable trainer who trains in the hills of Byton in Herefordshire and has won with her last 4 runners including an easy victory for Magic Dancer at Worcester in the week. She saddles Storm Control here and he looks the one to be on. He’s won two of his three starts at the track including twice last season and can race today off of a mark of 137 which is the same as when winning in the latter of those two victories. His usual partner Richard Patrick is in the saddle and he looks worthy of a fair bet. 
STORM CONTROL 2 points each way @ 11/2 ¼ 123 Bet365
 
Newbury 2.35
The St Simon Stakes is a Group 3 contest run over 1m 4F and the favourite Siskany who did us favour last time out when winning a valuable handicap at Newmarket on good to soft ground will be tough to beat. He’s top rated on official ratings and like his stable companion Native Truth in the 2.00 is proven on very soft ground so should be hard to beat as the only three year old in the race. Ilaraab will also love the ground and is maybe more of a threat than the likes of Max Vega who’s dropping in trip whilst don’t totally dismiss rank outsider Inchicore who will love the conditions. 
SISKANY 3 points win @ EVS William Hill
SISKANY & NATIVE TRUTH 2 points win double @ 5/4 & EVS
 
Cheltenham 2.55
A small but select field of four go to post for the Masterson Holdings Hurdle run over 2m 87yds. Likely favourite will be the Alan King trained Tritonic who looked smart last year when winning at Kempton prior to a rather disappointing 5th in the Triumph Hurdle. He’s useful but has to shoulder a 8lb penalty here against two nice fellow four year olds in the Dan Skelton trained Stepney Causeway who’s chasing a five timer and has had wind surgery since we last saw him and the promising novice I Like To Move It who won well at Worcester earlier in the month. Tritonic may well win but is poor value at the current prices and I’ll chance Stepney Causeway to small stakes. 
STEPNEY CAUSEWAY 2 points win @ 7/4 Bet365
 
Doncaster 3.15
The Vertem Futurity Trophy Stakes is a Group 1 race and the last big two year old contest in the UK this year. Several big names have won this prestigious contest over the years including Reference Point, High Chaparral, Motivator, St Nicholas Abbey and Camelot. Aidan O’Brien has won the race 9 times in total and needs one more to equal the great Sir Henry Cecil’s record of ten wins. O’Brien saddles his unbeaten colt Luxembourg who’s looked pretty special in winning at Killarney and The Curragh this season. Both those victories were however gained on good ground and this will be his first experience on a racecourse of soft ground and for that reason alone I’ll look elsewhere with him being a very short price. Hopefully all 8 will run which will open the race up for a each way punt with Andrew Balding’s Imperial Fighter is the one that interests me the most as he has proven form on soft ground which none (bar rank outsider Hannibal Barca) have. A comfortable debut winner at Goodwood on soft ground he’s followed that up with silver medals at two Group 3 contests latterly behind smart juvenile Coroebus. He looks good each way value under David Probert. 
IMPERIAL FIGHTER 1 point each way @ 8/1 1/5th 123 Bet365 
 
Cheltenham 3.30
Only 9 go to post for this 2 mile handicap chase with the useful Jonjo O’Neill trained Sky Pirate heading the weights. His presence keeps the weights down for the Sam Thomas trained 8 year old Before Midnight who was last seen winning at Chepstow in April. A rise of 7lb is unlikely to halt his progression and he looks the one to be on today. 
BEFORE MIDNIGHT 2 points win @ 3/1 Bet365 
 
Doncaster 3.50
A weak listed contest for two year olds run over 6F. Tom Dascombe’s Flaming Rib is some way clear on official ratings having won three nurseries but is short enough about a horse who has yet to race on ground slower than good to soft. I’ll take a chance with the Ralph Beckett trained Deodar who won a Newbury maiden on his debut on slow ground under Rob Hornby who’s replaced here by top pilot Ryan Moore. The horse he touched off that day Witch Hunter has shown decent form in two outings since and is now rated 101 which using him as a guide would put the selection only 6lb behind Flaming Rib with plenty of improvement to come. 
DEODAR 2 points win @ 5/2 William Hills
 
Cheltenham 4.05
An open looking 3 mile handicap hurdle can go the way of Irish challenger Born Patriot trained in County Kildare by Peter Fahy who’s been amongst the winners in the last fortnight in his homeland. He ran cutest favourite Tullybeg to just under 10L last time out at Navan over 2m 6Foff of level weights and re-opposes today on 8lb better terms and with the extra distance certain to suit looks a good each way bet considering he’s twice the price of Gordon Ellott’s Tullybeg. In a tough race he’s the selection with his regular pilot Kevin Sexton in the saddle. 
BORN PATRIOT 1 1/2 points each way @ 8/1 ¼ 123 Bet365
 
Doncaster 4.20
A typical end of season 5F sprint with 15 going to post. You can make a case for many at the front of the market as you would imagine with the likes of Zargun, Illusionist and Raasel all coming into the race in good form but I’m looking at a double figure priced runner in Philip Makin’s Lahore who comes here with form figures this season of 060007 ! He shaped like he was coming back to form when 3 1/2L 7th to the aforementioned Illusionist and Zargun at York last time and is now 8lb and 7lb better off with that pair respectively. He has a very good record at the Yorkshire track with figures of 1161 and his mark today of 90 is 11lb and 6lb lower than his two victories in 2020. He’s won here on soft ground (by 4L) so conditions hold no fear and will be ridden by PJ McDonald. He looks a value each way play in an open contest. 
LAHORE 1 point each way @ 10/1 ¼ 123 Bet365
 
 

7.10am is the off time for the biggest WFA race in Australia, the Cox Plate. Just the 9 are set to line up after Gold Trip was scratched on Friday morning, but it looks a fascinating contest. You can watch the action online via Racing.com
Zaaki - G3 was the highest level he won at when trained by Sir Michael Stoute over here, but he has looked a different horse since going to Australia where he has won 5 times including 2 G1s. His most impressive victory so far came in the Doomben Cup in May where he won by a very impressive 7l in a decent time. He won his first two races this prep, but was only 3rd behind Probabeel in the Caulfield Stakes last time and she was reversing form from Sandown the time before. There has been a few reasons given as to why he disappointed at Caulfield although I don't really buy the ground being too quick as he won on good to firm in the UK. He clearly has a very good chance on most of the form he has shown in Australia, but this is the best race he has run in and coming off the back of that Caulfield run I just think he is too short in the betting to want to back.
Dalasan - Ran a hell of a race to finish 3rd to Addeybb and Verry Elleegant in the Queen Elizabeth back in April and would clearly have some sort of place chance on that form. Ran well enough when 3rd in the Epsom at Randwick last time as well, but would be a surprise winner.
Callsign Mav - Coming over from New Zealand, but looks to have a tough task on his hands.
Mo'unga - Trained, like Zaaki, by Annabel Neasham and she has been very sweat on his chances this week. He landed the Rosehill Guineas in March, but then disappointed a couple of times including when last in the Queen Elizabeth. Came back this prep and landed the Winx Stakes beating Verry Elleegant into 2nd place and then pushed Incentivise close in the Makybe Diva. He was 5th in the Epsom, but found himself too far back as he was still in 11th passing the 400m marker. I'm not sure he is quite good enough to win, but I can certainly see why his trainer think he has a good chance.
Verry Elleegant - Another one of the leading fancies who disappointed last time. She looked to be travelling really at Flemington in the Turnbull, but just didn't pick up at all to finish 4th behind Incentivise. I certainly think you can let her off that effort as it was basically too bad to be true as the rest of her form over the last couple of years has been top class. Not only has she landed WFA G1's, but she also won last year's Caulfield Cup. There is rain forecast and the prediction is there will be enough to take it into the soft ratings which will help her cause as well. I think she is a big player here.
Probabeel - Whereas Verry Elleegant would like the rain this mare wouldn't as all Probabeel's wins have been on good tracks. She was only 7th in this last year on a track rated a Soft 7 and was 12th in the All Star Mile here on a Soft 6. Although she took out the Caulfield Stakes over this trip last time, that was a slowly run race and I just wonder if 2000m is her optimum trip. Having said that if the ground was in the good range I probably would want something on her given her record on good tracks (she has only finished out of the first 2 twice in 17 starts and has won 12 of them).
State Of Rest - This time last year he was finishing a fairly well beaten 5th in the Vertem Futurity Trophy at Doncaster and Joseph O'Brien's runner has only been seen twice finish. First of he finished 3rd in a Listed contest at the Curragh in June and then went and won the Saratoga Derby in August stepping up to 1900m for the first time. Up another 100m in trip could bring about further improvement and unless they got more rain than forecast I don't see the ground being an issue. I think he does have to improve again, but you couldn't rule it and nothern-hemisphere 3yos have a great record in this race with a win, a 2nd and 2 3rds from 6 starters. He has e/w claims.
Anamoe - Was too strong in the Caulfield Guineas last time which was the fastest in the history of the race although I suspect the ground had probably rarely been as quick. That's not to diminish what he achieved because he is clearly a top class 3yo. I do think he has a very good chance, but there are a couple of things which put me off at the price he is. First of all he will likely be coming from the back as he is a held up horse who is drawn on the outside. Secondly there is that unknown about him at the trip and as much as he looks like he will stay you couldn't be certain. With those two things in mind I would want a bigger price about him as he could easily fly home into the places rather than into victory.
Captivant -  Anamoe has had his measure the last twice and unless the new trip makes a difference it is hard to fancy him. 
Verdict - Zaaki and Anamoe would not be surprise winners at all, but there prices seem on the short side to me given both have questions to answer. If there wasn't as much rain as forecast then I would want something e/w on Probabeel, but working on the fact it is going to be in the soft range I will back Verry Elleegant and State Of Rest. I can forgive Verry Elleegant her run last time and if she bounces back to her usual form then she will go very close. State Of Rest does have to improve, but he looked to thrive for the furthest trip he has raced over so far in America last time and he looks just the type who could go very well in this.
Verry Elleegant @ 9/2 with Bet365
State Of Rest e/w @ 17/2 with William Hill

Last week @fd1972uk said that he doesn't bet much on Sunday. Very wise! I'm going for two very low-price EW Lucky 15s.

Last week @fd1972uk said that he doesn't bet much on Sunday. Very wise! I'm going for two very low-price EW Lucky 15s.

Thought I was watching wrong race. Never mentioned. This has to be worst run since I started this. ☹️  Come on Lady Luck give us a break.... 

Coulda shoulda woulda, if the last horse came in... Anyway there was a return.

I'm going have a go at this Canadian, each way, especially if he doesn't come off. It's a pretty cheap bet.

A double. 
13:35 THREEUNDERTHRUFIVE 1/1
15:35 I SPIRAL 5/6
At bet365 that gives 2.66/1
£20 win double. 

An each way Lucky 15, making use of the extra places at York.

Well said! I really liked having that info from both people. From Brigadier I always learned something.

An each way Lucky 15, making use of the extra places at York.

Well said! I really liked having that info from both people. From Brigadier I always learned something.

Well said! I really liked having that info from both people. From Brigadier I always learned something.

Well said! I really liked having that info from both people. From Brigadier I always learned something.

I was out all day. This looked like a good each way punt.
16:40 Thurles
Dashing Shirocco
50/1 at Skybet, each way 4 places.
£10 each way, £20.