Villa Chris

3.15 Haydock 
Euchen Glen 9.87 20/1
Dark Jedi 9.74 33/1
Gaassee 9.57 14/1
Maksud 9.59 8/1
Teumassias Fox 9.59 12/1
Looking at the form of the top two they tend to run well one race then not so much the next and that’s a pattern they seem to have. Both seem capable going off their recent form. 

I know, I’m thinking of stealing a horse from the local farm to get some much needed prize money 

3.15 Haydock 
Euchen Glen 9.87 20/1
Dark Jedi 9.74 33/1
Gaassee 9.57 14/1
Maksud 9.59 8/1
Teumassias Fox 9.59 12/1
Looking at the form of the top two they tend to run well one race then not so much the next and that’s a pattern they seem to have. Both seem capable going off their recent form. 

Well that one went pear shaped but it is what it is, i agree with @Villa Chris that Ocean Wind is the one to take out of this race, did very well with all of its negatives.

Good run from Ocean Wind after two years off. He’d have pissed that if match fit I reckon. 

3.15 Haydock 
Euchen Glen 9.87 20/1
Dark Jedi 9.74 33/1
Gaassee 9.57 14/1
Maksud 9.59 8/1
Teumassias Fox 9.59 12/1
Looking at the form of the top two they tend to run well one race then not so much the next and that’s a pattern they seem to have. Both seem capable going off their recent form. 

The one to beat if you could say he was definitely fit would be Ocean Wind I think.  Stays and has got some good form in the book. Just that massive lay off.  Definitely see your angle on Estacus and looking at the pace angle may take it up on the front along with Ocean Wind . Hollie Doyle’s mount is Interesting, but I’d love to know if Ocean Wind is primed .
Just read trainer said he’ll come on for run .

Yeah managed to get hold of trainer comments on him . 5/1 for a horse off for over two years is garbage. Would be my selection if fit and ready without the long lay off though.  Small fields today and some skinny prices too. 

The one to beat if you could say he was definitely fit would be Ocean Wind I think.  Stays and has got some good form in the book. Just that massive lay off.  Definitely see your angle on Estacus and looking at the pace angle may take it up on the front along with Ocean Wind . Hollie Doyle’s mount is Interesting, but I’d love to know if Ocean Wind is primed .
Just read trainer said he’ll come on for run .

Newton Abbot 3.50
Coolnaugh Haze 9.37 11/4 4th
Just The Man 9.27 14/1 3rd 
Glorious Zoff 8.87 5/2 2nd 
Throne Hall 8.83 6/1
Closer tuan the rating suggest I think, and Just The Man is a weird one. I’m pretty certain the winner will come from 1 3 or 4. I’ll stick with Coolnaugh though who’s been running well and a touch unlucky not to have got his head in front. He’s been finishing his races off very well so it’s all about timing with him I think .  He’s worse off at weights than a couple of them but hopefully he can time it right because he’ll need every yard of this trip . 
 
Newton Abbot 5.00 D’Jango 10/3
Wexford 7.23 Birchdale 2/1
5 points win each all bog 

I know, I’m thinking of stealing a horse from the local farm to get some much needed prize money 

3.15 Haydock 
Euchen Glen 9.87 20/1
Dark Jedi 9.74 33/1
Gaassee 9.57 14/1
Maksud 9.59 8/1
Teumassias Fox 9.59 12/1
Looking at the form of the top two they tend to run well one race then not so much the next and that’s a pattern they seem to have. Both seem capable going off their recent form. 

I know, I’m thinking of stealing a horse from the local farm to get some much needed prize money 

3.15 Haydock 
Euchen Glen 9.87 20/1
Dark Jedi 9.74 33/1
Gaassee 9.57 14/1
Maksud 9.59 8/1
Teumassias Fox 9.59 12/1
Looking at the form of the top two they tend to run well one race then not so much the next and that’s a pattern they seem to have. Both seem capable going off their recent form. 

I know, I’m thinking of stealing a horse from the local farm to get some much needed prize money 

The big handicap this Saturday is the Old Newton Cup at Haydock.
It is open to 4-year-olds or older and is run over 1 mile 3 furlongs and 175 yards. The off time is 15.15.
19 go to post and with most bookmakers offering 5 places it makes it a good betting proposition.
 
I have looked at the statistics over the last 9 years and these are my key conclusions.
The key stat is age. 5 and 6 year-olds have won 7 from 57 runs and have recorded a profit of 93 points at Betfair Starting Price. The remainder have 2 wins from 83 starts and have made a loss of 54 points.
It is best to avoid those horses at the top of the market but also outsiders. Horses that are forecast 8th to 11th in the betting have 5 wins from 36 attempts and have made a profit of 96 points.
A recent run is helpful. Horses that last ran more than 24 days ago have won just 2 from 64 runs.
 
This leaves just 1 selection.
GAASSEE 16/1
This is available at 16/1 with BET365. I suggest backing each way as they offer 5 places.
 

Yeah managed to get hold of trainer comments on him . 5/1 for a horse off for over two years is garbage. Would be my selection if fit and ready without the long lay off though.  Small fields today and some skinny prices too. 

Yeah managed to get hold of trainer comments on him . 5/1 for a horse off for over two years is garbage. Would be my selection if fit and ready without the long lay off though.  Small fields today and some skinny prices too. 

The one to beat if you could say he was definitely fit would be Ocean Wind I think.  Stays and has got some good form in the book. Just that massive lay off.  Definitely see your angle on Estacus and looking at the pace angle may take it up on the front along with Ocean Wind . Hollie Doyle’s mount is Interesting, but I’d love to know if Ocean Wind is primed .
Just read trainer said he’ll come on for run .

Newton Abbot 3.50
Coolnaugh Haze 9.37 11/4 4th
Just The Man 9.27 14/1 3rd 
Glorious Zoff 8.87 5/2 2nd 
Throne Hall 8.83 6/1
Closer tuan the rating suggest I think, and Just The Man is a weird one. I’m pretty certain the winner will come from 1 3 or 4. I’ll stick with Coolnaugh though who’s been running well and a touch unlucky not to have got his head in front. He’s been finishing his races off very well so it’s all about timing with him I think .  He’s worse off at weights than a couple of them but hopefully he can time it right because he’ll need every yard of this trip . 
 
Newton Abbot 5.00 D’Jango 10/3
Wexford 7.23 Birchdale 2/1
5 points win each all bog 

The one to beat if you could say he was definitely fit would be Ocean Wind I think.  Stays and has got some good form in the book. Just that massive lay off.  Definitely see your angle on Estacus and looking at the pace angle may take it up on the front along with Ocean Wind . Hollie Doyle’s mount is Interesting, but I’d love to know if Ocean Wind is primed .
Just read trainer said he’ll come on for run .

Newton Abbot 3.50
Coolnaugh Haze 9.37 11/4 4th
Just The Man 9.27 14/1 3rd 
Glorious Zoff 8.87 5/2 2nd 
Throne Hall 8.83 6/1
Closer tuan the rating suggest I think, and Just The Man is a weird one. I’m pretty certain the winner will come from 1 3 or 4. I’ll stick with Coolnaugh though who’s been running well and a touch unlucky not to have got his head in front. He’s been finishing his races off very well so it’s all about timing with him I think .  He’s worse off at weights than a couple of them but hopefully he can time it right because he’ll need every yard of this trip . 
 
Newton Abbot 5.00 D’Jango 10/3
Wexford 7.23 Birchdale 2/1
5 points win each all bog 

The one to beat if you could say he was definitely fit would be Ocean Wind I think.  Stays and has got some good form in the book. Just that massive lay off.  Definitely see your angle on Estacus and looking at the pace angle may take it up on the front along with Ocean Wind . Hollie Doyle’s mount is Interesting, but I’d love to know if Ocean Wind is primed .
Just read trainer said he’ll come on for run .

I know, I’m thinking of stealing a horse from the local farm to get some much needed prize money 

Haydock.
Single. 
9.00. La Fella     5/1           10/1         1st 
stk 5.00    rtn 30.00
Another Ralph Beckett treble.
4.50. Sand. Seahouses              11/2    unpl
5.10.. Bevl. Game Breaker         2/1    unpl
6.40. Hayd. Feud                        13/8     1st 
stk 3.50      rtn 46.63.
Good luck all.