Villa Chris

The most important ones are can the horse win or be competitive at the distance, can the horse run its race on that particular going. Is the horse good enough to win in that class , is the horse handicapped to win or is he too high in weights. I’ve also started taking into consideration form as well.  Pretty basic stuff really and imo there’s not much else that matters. 
 
p.s I sometimes take into account courses but not often 

You’re a Sheffield Wednesday fan as well are you. 

The most important ones are can the horse win or be competitive at the distance, can the horse run its race on that particular going. Is the horse good enough to win in that class , is the horse handicapped to win or is he too high in weights. I’ve also started taking into consideration form as well.  Pretty basic stuff really and imo there’s not much else that matters. 
 
p.s I sometimes take into account courses but not often 

You’re a Sheffield Wednesday fan as well are you. 

You believe in star signs as well ?

If that’s the case start doing your own ratings. Really doesn’t have to be complicated and it isn’t anyway. Keep tinkering until you’re happy with what you have and see how it runs. It’s more fun and there’s no emotional decisions to be made regarding who’s riding for who etc . Some of the ways I was picking selections before were woeful but you live and learn. I’m still not 100% happy now but as it stands I’m confident  enough that I can make a profit with how I’m betting but we’ll see .

Finish second to the Ben Pauling horse that was good enough 🙂
P/L jump season start date 8th October 2022 +140.19

If that’s the case start doing your own ratings. Really doesn’t have to be complicated and it isn’t anyway. Keep tinkering until you’re happy with what you have and see how it runs. It’s more fun and there’s no emotional decisions to be made regarding who’s riding for who etc . Some of the ways I was picking selections before were woeful but you live and learn. I’m still not 100% happy now but as it stands I’m confident  enough that I can make a profit with how I’m betting but we’ll see .

Tbh I used to bet like this years ago ....me,and my workmate used to throw 20 or 30 quid each in kitty and we'd bet then rollover any winner minus stake ......we had a fair few big wins ....400pts + ...... yes its crap when yiu lose but you are losing nothing in effect as you were made whole by returning your stake .....
I think for me it returns the fun factor of a rollover and a shot at a known prize .....if you lose you lose .....but like today if I win and go to shop tomorrow and get a ps5....I'll look at it and smile thinking the bookies paid for most of that 😀
I think overall its a slow build up to breaking the bank ....its time to step up and go for it ......once I've got a few smaller wins under the belt I'll go for a bigger one then take a,shot at winning say a car ...my friends are convinced it is a cert I can do it .......I think it can be done if I choose the right strong races ......if I can win a car then I'll finally feel like I've arrived as a serious punter.....I have to know if I can do it 😌 only 1 way to find out ....it'll happen or it won't 
I've ran the numbers .....in big races 2 rollovers at an average 9/1 woukd pay 2 grand plus.....throw in a 16/1 and your up to 3 grand (a cheap car ) ....that's just 2 rollovers .....3 races rolled over gets you 10 grand plus ....a,decent car ....just predict 3 races after the initial win and you drive away ......its not impossible it can be done with the right races ....Good ratings and a touch of luck 
The ps5 is a good first target ...doable ....I've had one of every console my whole life ....only one I've not had is ps5 so I can cross that off then ........I think 2ndc target might be a nice 52 inch TV to go with it 🤔......then I can set my sights on something bigger once I've got that on the shelf lol 😆 

Tragedy strikes, happy gathering was "under a ride" and didn't look to be taking the going at all, and when asked for it, collapsed. Didn't look too good for horse or Hugh Bowman who was thrown towards the rail. 🤞 That they are both ok .

6.15 Tipperary Sharjah 11/8
RP forecast as him down 5/1 favourite which is miles off.  He went up at 7/4 and quickly went into 11/8.  14 runners level weights grade 3 race and he’s the class act in the field.  Easy money? We shall see, but he still retains plenty of class even at 10. 
 
5 points win 
3.48 Perth Captain Zebo 3/1 bog 
drops down into a class 4 and is in pretty good form.  The favourite will be dangerous if he can show what he’s capable of, but the selection ran a really strong race lto and remains on same mark. This is easier .
5 points win 

6.15 Tipperary Sharjah 11/8
RP forecast as him down 5/1 favourite which is miles off.  He went up at 7/4 and quickly went into 11/8.  14 runners level weights grade 3 race and he’s the class act in the field.  Easy money? We shall see, but he still retains plenty of class even at 10. 
 
5 points win 
3.48 Perth Captain Zebo 3/1 bog 
drops down into a class 4 and is in pretty good form.  The favourite will be dangerous if he can show what he’s capable of, but the selection ran a really strong race lto and remains on same mark. This is easier .
5 points win 

6.15 Tipperary Sharjah 11/8
RP forecast as him down 5/1 favourite which is miles off.  He went up at 7/4 and quickly went into 11/8.  14 runners level weights grade 3 race and he’s the class act in the field.  Easy money? We shall see, but he still retains plenty of class even at 10. 
 
5 points win 
3.48 Perth Captain Zebo 3/1 bog 
drops down into a class 4 and is in pretty good form.  The favourite will be dangerous if he can show what he’s capable of, but the selection ran a really strong race lto and remains on same mark. This is easier .
5 points win 

6.15 Tipperary Sharjah 11/8
RP forecast as him down 5/1 favourite which is miles off.  He went up at 7/4 and quickly went into 11/8.  14 runners level weights grade 3 race and he’s the class act in the field.  Easy money? We shall see, but he still retains plenty of class even at 10. 
 
5 points win 
3.48 Perth Captain Zebo 3/1 bog 
drops down into a class 4 and is in pretty good form.  The favourite will be dangerous if he can show what he’s capable of, but the selection ran a really strong race lto and remains on same mark. This is easier .
5 points win 

Found a race 
410 hay 
Significantly     8.2 11/4 55 pts 
Roundhay Park    8.0 13/2 40pts 
To return 205 or 300pts ....its a free shot using bookies money 💰 can get a ps5 for 389 so roundhay would go most of the way and I'd top up the rest so let's take a shot at that ....gotta be worth the play 

6.15 Tipperary Sharjah 11/8
RP forecast as him down 5/1 favourite which is miles off.  He went up at 7/4 and quickly went into 11/8.  14 runners level weights grade 3 race and he’s the class act in the field.  Easy money? We shall see, but he still retains plenty of class even at 10. 
 
5 points win 
3.48 Perth Captain Zebo 3/1 bog 
drops down into a class 4 and is in pretty good form.  The favourite will be dangerous if he can show what he’s capable of, but the selection ran a really strong race lto and remains on same mark. This is easier .
5 points win 

My bad, may have been Richard who I was thinking of.  Regarding the strategy I’d probably run it once then repeat. Take stake back use bookies money for second race and if that wins too just go back to your normal stake and repeat that way. 

1st and 3rd .... -20 for stakes ....so 95.00 stakes for free  rollover ....I'll keep an eye out for suitable race over coming days 

I've used before in past and had some nice big wins .....I think one-off the big tipsters used it too 🤔....it gives you a shot at big prize using bookies money and as you pocket your initial stake its a shot to nothing ......I'll be selective with the races and only use strong ratings ....if I can land 1 or 2 big prizes I might go for a 3rd race rollover and really get something big ....I think it's possible for sure ....

Can’t remember who it was on here , although @Trotter rings a bell . I think he did the same tactics regarding staking plan for a bit 

I like to think it’s there for the taking for him.  I feel Irish could play a big part, Neville’s Cross is just not at it at the moment and along with Court Master that trio are better known as chasers. Not sure the Ben Pauling runner is good enough. The race Polish just got held in lto was a stronger race I think. Second run for Fergal O’B and I’d expect him to improve again.

Can’t remember who it was on here , although @Trotter rings a bell . I think he did the same tactics regarding staking plan for a bit 

😀
 Mate, you're being too hard on yourself!  You do a great job and I'm sure the collective appreciate it - you know I certainly do!
I use this as a pointer rather than a tip and if I have other conflicting pointers, I stand aside or back them all!

Hope you're right as I'm on Polish as well. A  very interesting 7 runner race IMO. Irish prophecy (down 21lbs), Polish ( -17lbs), Nevilles Cross (-22lbs) and Court Master (-21lbs). Throw in the Ben Pauling runner (won last 2), and a Nicky Henderson runner ... quite a conundrum. 

Good morning Ken , it’s Wednesday today 🙂
 
Worcester 4.23 
Polish 9.49 9/4
Irish Prophecy 9.27 15/2
These two bit clear of the rest . Polish ran a good race beaten a head on his first run back the other week. Irish Prophecy is more known as a chaser these days and I marked him up as one of interest on his last run so not sure why they have taken him down the hurdles route. He may play a part but I think Polish is a strong bet here and should find this easier than his last race. 
 
5 points win Polish