** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **
The Equaliser
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Posts
5,994 -
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Last visited
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Days Won
21
Reputation Activity
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The Equaliser reacted to MCLARKE in Racing Chat Sunday 28 April
AW selection
Southwell 3.40
WONDERFUL EAGLE
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The Equaliser got a reaction from kroni in DAILY LUCKY 15
Lucky15Ref: 375117677 4 Selections
3. Gabriae - 4/1Winner - 14:50 Bath 13. Cherryhawk - 12/1Winner - 15:20 Bath 3. Tortured Soul - 11/2Winner - 15:55 Bath 3. Havana Goldrush - 7/2Winner - 17:35 Bath Stake£ 1.50 Potential Returns£ 346.40 -
The Equaliser got a reaction from LEE-GRAYS in DAILY LUCKY 15
Lucky15Ref: 375117677 4 Selections
3. Gabriae - 4/1Winner - 14:50 Bath 13. Cherryhawk - 12/1Winner - 15:20 Bath 3. Tortured Soul - 11/2Winner - 15:55 Bath 3. Havana Goldrush - 7/2Winner - 17:35 Bath Stake£ 1.50 Potential Returns£ 346.40 -
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The Equaliser reacted to richard-westwood in Racing chat -saturday 27th april
Does the business ....beating the short price fav ....making a nice profit on the day
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The Equaliser reacted to Zilzalian in Racing chat -saturday 27th april
Great minds think alike my friend.
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The Equaliser reacted to LeMale in Racing chat -saturday 27th april
Sorry, somehow i didn't see this and just repeated what you said i think.
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The Equaliser reacted to richard-westwood in Racing chat -saturday 27th april
Ew 5th ....was hoping for a better run but cest la vie
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The Equaliser reacted to LeMale in Racing chat -saturday 27th april
A couple of hopefully helpful points and what i do is...if you can wait until about 5 mins before off, their prices jump up but sometimes not for long. (this only helps on single bets and long prices, the type that i pick, not sure if this happens on lower prices so might not help you) The other way i kind of get around no BOG is, half my bet on sp and half at the price, makes me feel a little better if it drifts and wins/places. But if the price is way below everybody else go with sp. Doesn't answer the question you asked, but hope this is a little helpful.
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The Equaliser reacted to Zilzalian in Racing chat -saturday 27th april
If you want to "equalise" it, the simpler solution would be to split your bet 50/50 and bet both. Or you could just man up and go for the biggie and accept the loss when there is one.
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The Equaliser reacted to harry_rag in Racing chat -saturday 27th april
Pop on live chat, I'm sure they'd share it!
Probably sometimes one, sometimes the other. Whether the price is worth taking in the first place depends on your assessment of the horse in question. The obvious thing being, if you're going to back it each way then take the best place option. When the price differs then you have to make a call. I'd tend to say pick out your horses first then see what the best price/terms you can get are. Don't let the number of places "tail" wag the dog. I suppose one measure is to calculate the % of runners you're getting in the place terms, e.g. 5 in a 16 runner race is 31.25% of the field while 7 is 43.75%. That gives you a comparative measure. Then work out the % reduced price you'd have to take.
I'm sure that might be the basis for some sort of comparison formula but I'm just spitballing; I'll leave @MCLARKE to finish the job off!
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The Equaliser got a reaction from Bedlam in Racing chat -saturday 27th april
I had to pay over £8 for a pint of Stella Lager and a small bottle of still water in a Wetherspoons up in London recently. My favourite beer was Fullers ESB when it was managed properly by bar staff. No one seems to manage beer properly any more in pubs. It puts me off buying the stuff
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The Equaliser got a reaction from azzybear in Racing chat -saturday 27th april
B/Fwd - 70.65 L15's; RC P/L -96.55 (incl L15's)
Had 3 x 0.10 L15's on the Daily = 4.50 pts staked for 12 selections
3.35 San Amirite 1 pt ew at 5/1 7 places*
= 6.50 stakes
* Has anyone got a formula for working out where the value lies in taking Sky bets extra places e.g. I took 5/1 ew for 7 places whereas I could have taken 6/1 with Bet365 for 5 places. Hopefully, Michael @MCLARKE and/or some other mathematical mastermind can come up with an easy-to-use method for me
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The Equaliser got a reaction from kroni in DAILY LUCKY 15
Lucky15Ref: 373585292 4 Selections
2. Al Mubhir - 3/1Winner - 14:05 Leicester 1. Easy Game - 5/1Winner - 14:25 Sandown 8. Earls - 4/1Winner - 14:45 Haydock 2. Frightening - 13/2Winner - 17:00 Haydock Stake£ 1.50 Potential Returns£ 178.40 -
The Equaliser got a reaction from kroni in DAILY LUCKY 15
Lucky15Ref: 373591529 4 Selections
4. Fiercely Proud - 8/1Winner - 13:50 Sandown
1. Cold Stare - 6/1Winner - 14:10 Haydock
5. Langer Dan - 4/1Winner - 16:10 Sandown 17. Mubhijah - 9/2Winner - 18:40 Doncaster Stake£ 1.50 Potential Returns£ 311.90 -
The Equaliser got a reaction from kroni in DAILY LUCKY 15
Lucky15Ref: 373597874 4 Selections
10. Amirite - 6/1Winner - 15:35 Sandown 12. Pic Roc - 4/1Winner - 17:20 Sandown 4. Sea King - 7/2Winner - 18:20 Ripon 6. Roxanne - 3/1Winner - 19:10 Doncaster Stake£ 1.50 Potential Returns£ 131.90 -
The Equaliser reacted to MCLARKE in Racing chat -saturday 27th april
It is indeed very complicated and there is no easy answer.
I did a fairly small analysis when I was allowed to bet with Sky and the conclusion I came to was that you should take the extra places but select the bet at SP because they do not offer BOG in these races.
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The Equaliser got a reaction from MCLARKE in Racing chat -saturday 27th april
I had to pay over £8 for a pint of Stella Lager and a small bottle of still water in a Wetherspoons up in London recently. My favourite beer was Fullers ESB when it was managed properly by bar staff. No one seems to manage beer properly any more in pubs. It puts me off buying the stuff
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The Equaliser reacted to harry_rag in Racing chat -saturday 27th april
A formula might be tricky given the variables (difference in price, how many extra places you're getting, any difference in the place odds fraction, how many runners there are etc.). My gut feel is that only losing a point on the price for 2 extra places isn't a bad deal (though you don't mention what the fractions were for the place elements). I remember reading an article on the subject with regard to extra places in golf outright markets and it concluded that the value was usually in taking the extra places even if the drop in price seemed steep. Admittedly we're talking bigger prices and fields there but I suppose the point is that the instinctive reaction to reject a bet because the price drop is too big might not be correct. Clarkey can probably give a more informed view based on his data stockpile!
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The Equaliser got a reaction from harry_rag in Racing chat -saturday 27th april
B/Fwd - 70.65 L15's; RC P/L -96.55 (incl L15's)
Had 3 x 0.10 L15's on the Daily = 4.50 pts staked for 12 selections
3.35 San Amirite 1 pt ew at 5/1 7 places*
= 6.50 stakes
* Has anyone got a formula for working out where the value lies in taking Sky bets extra places e.g. I took 5/1 ew for 7 places whereas I could have taken 6/1 with Bet365 for 5 places. Hopefully, Michael @MCLARKE and/or some other mathematical mastermind can come up with an easy-to-use method for me
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The Equaliser got a reaction from black rabbit in Racing chat -saturday 27th april
B/Fwd - 70.65 L15's; RC P/L -96.55 (incl L15's)
Had 3 x 0.10 L15's on the Daily = 4.50 pts staked for 12 selections
3.35 San Amirite 1 pt ew at 5/1 7 places*
= 6.50 stakes
* Has anyone got a formula for working out where the value lies in taking Sky bets extra places e.g. I took 5/1 ew for 7 places whereas I could have taken 6/1 with Bet365 for 5 places. Hopefully, Michael @MCLARKE and/or some other mathematical mastermind can come up with an easy-to-use method for me
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The Equaliser reacted to Antonio Margarettii in Racing chat -saturday 27th april
1.10 navan - distillate 28/1 ew
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The Equaliser reacted to LEE-GRAYS in Racing chat -saturday 27th april
I know rip off normally get beers larger wine from supermarkets lots cheaper now 🍺🍷