The Equaliser
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Posts posted by The Equaliser
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No time to publish my two 4 selection multiples today
Singles:
3.05 Don Manwell £3 win at 5/14.10 Don A New Siege 50p win at 66/1 (s/be 25p but made an error)
5.15 Don Clondaw Pretender £3 win at 5/1
5.15 Don Freeski £1 win at 13/2
2.10 NB Mon Palois £3 win at 5/2
2.10 Nb Eau Top £1.00p win at 18/1
4.20 Nb Forgetthesmalltalk £1 win at 9/2
4.55 Nb Eddiemsurice £3 win at 5/1
5.25 Nb Whiskey Lullaby £3 win at 4/1
5.25 Nb Southfield Lady £1 win at 8/1
5.45 Nc Heresy 50p win 80/1
Total Singles = £20.00 stakedDaily results update:
A net loss of £5.45 yesterday. YTD from 1.2.20 = - £132.58
“When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit, in the long run, the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.” Always remember that if every favourite won the bookies would go out of business so don’t be afraid to oppose them.
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No time to publish my two 4 selection multiples today
Singles:
3.05 Don Manwell £1 win at 5/14.10 Don A New Siege 50p win at 66/1 (s/be 25p but made an error)
5.15 Don Clondaw Pretender £1 win at 5/1
5.15 Don Freeski £1 win at 13/2
2.10 NB Mon Palois £1 win at 5/2
2.10 Nb Eau Top 50p win at 18/1
4.20 Nb Forgetthesmalltalk £1 win at 9/2
4.55 Nb Eddiemsurice £1 win at 5/1
5.25 Nb Whiskey Lullaby £1 win at 4/1
5.25 Nb Southfield Lady £1 win at 8/1
5.45 Nc Heresy 25p win 80/1
Total Singles = £9.25 stakedDaily results update:
Multiples:
One winner in Trixie and 2 winners in 5 selection multiple = £8.00 stake less £4.55 return = £3.45 loss on the day
£800 original bank. B/Fwd £518.49 less £3.45 = £515.04 C/Fwd
Singles:
10 bets yesterday with one winner at 4/1 (BOG) for £2.00 therefor stake £7.50 add £10.00 return = a prift of £2.50 on the day
Original bank £400.00 B/Fwd £368.33 add £2.50 = £370.83 C/Fwd“When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit, in the long run, the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.” Always remember that if every favourite won the bookies would go out of business so don’t be afraid to oppose them.
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5.45 Nc Heresy 1 point win at 100/1 with bet365
This horse is related to a one and a half mile winner so let's hope that it shows good speed over a mile
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On 2/26/2020 at 9:21 PM, roger2256 said:
Ok I'm considering waving the white flag on the all weather just cant get to grips with it . Yes the selection came from the back in its last race to win with a bit in hand , ridden the same again and its fell out the telly, lol hows that work .
I did this on the aw really just to prove a point that my way pays and even though it's been no less than disastrous I have in a way proved a point . I started with a 500 bank , betting win only I've done my nuts , my way I have a nut left lol . I'm sure the people who understand know what I'm on about . Anyway I will press on and eventually get back into the black sooner rather than later . Anyway
Lost , not even close
Win or place 23/41
Balance 260 win only (5) - stacks lol -440
Don't know if this helps but I am now ignoring market leaders in all class 6 and 7 races and placing win bets mainly on outsiders. I find that I am fairing a lot better now. I will never ever again include market leaders in class 6 or 7 races in my multiple bets. Lesson learned, money burned
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4 hours ago, Johnrobertson said:
This is a non-runner John
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One Trixie and a five selection multiple = £4.00 + £4.00 = £8.00 stakes today
A 2.15 Lud Red Risk 5/2B 3.05 Nc Persian sun 5/2
C 3.40 Nc Carwennan 2/1
£1 Trixie with potential return of £70.00
D 2.07 Muss Clondaw Rigger 3/1E 7.00 Chelm Fantastic Flyer 5/2
A – E = 10 doubles at 30p and 10 trebles at 10p = £4.00 with potential return of £36.37
Singles:
3.25 Lud Head To The stars £2 win at 7/24.45 Nc Inhale £2 win at 4/1
4.45 Nc Candelisa £2 win at 9/2
6.00 Chelm Kaisan £2 win at 7/1
6.00 Chelm Winter Snowdrop 50p at 12/1
6.30 Chelm Flying Fairy 50p win at 100/1
6.30 Chelm Socialise 50p win at 80/1
7.00 Chelm Winter Snowdrop 1.00p at 10/1
8.00 Chelm Declaration Of War 50p at 12/1
8.00 Chelm Loveheart 1.00p at 18/1
Total Singles = £12.00 staked
= £20 staked
Daily results update:
No bets yesterday so the balance remains the same at - £140.63 YTD from 1.2.20
“When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit, in the long run, the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.” Always remember that if every favourite won the bookies would go out of business so don’t be afraid to oppose them.
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One Trixie and a five selection multiple = £4.00 + £4.00 = £8.00 stakes today
A 2.15 Lud Red Risk 5/2B 3.05 Nc Persian sun 5/2
C 3.40 Nc Carwennan 2/1
£1 Trixie with potential return of £70.00
D 2.07 Muss Clondaw Rigger 3/1E 7.00 Chelm Fantastic Flyer 5/2
A – E = 10 doubles at 30p and 10 trebles at 10p = £4.00 with potential return of £36.37
Singles:
3.25 Lud Head To The stars £2 win at 7/24.45 Nc Inhale £1 win at 4/1
4.45 Nc Candelisa £1 win at 9/2
6.00 Chelm Kaisan £1 win at 7/1
6.00 Chelm Winter Snowdrop 50p at 12/1
6.30 Chelm Flying Fairy 25p win at 100/1
6.30 Chelm Socialise 25p win at 80/1
7.00 Chelm Winter Snowdrop 50p at 10/1
8.00 Chelm Declaration Of War 50p at 12/1
8.00 Chelm Loveheart 50p at 18/1
Total Singles = £7.50 stakedDaily results update:
Multiples:
No Bets yesterday so the balance remains the same
£800 original bank. B/Fwd £518.49
Singles:
No bets yesterday so balance remains the same
Original bank £400.00 B/Fwd £368.33 -
6.30 Chelm Flying Fairy one point win at 100/1 with Bet365
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3 hours ago, Trotter said:
Hope it went OK !
I've almost been living at the Dentist's for the last few months ...... eek!
All was OK thanks; I almost had to plead to have two white fillings done next week at £150 a pop. The dentist said he will give a discount of £40. I hope he does.
I hope that all your treatment is now over successfully?
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6.00 Kem Penarth Pier one point win at 10/1 with Betfair
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Been to the dentist so no time for selections today. Good luck to all players today.
Daily results update:
Multiples:
One winner so a nil return, hence a £4.00 loss on the day£800 original bank. B/Fwd £522.49 less £4.00 = £518.49 C/Fwd
Singles:
Three winners and a non runner for 50p = +£8.00+ £5.50+£6.5 +£ 0.5 = £20.50 less £9 = £11.50 profit on the day.
Original bank £400.00 B/Fwd £356.83 Add £11.50 = £368.33 C/Fwd“When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit, in the long run, the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.” Always remember that if every favourite won the bookies would go out of business so don’t be afraid to oppose them.
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Been to the dentist so no time for selections today. Good luck to all players today.
Daily results update:
Multiples:
One winner so a nil return, hence a £4.00 loss on the day£800 original bank. B/Fwd £522.49 less £4.00 = £518.49 C/Fwd
Singles:
Three winners and a non runner for 50p = +£8.00+ £5.50+£6.5 +£ 0.5 = £20.50 less £9 = £11.50 profit on the day.
Original bank £400.00 B/Fwd £356.83 Add £11.50 = £368.33 C/Fwd“When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit, in the long run, the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.” Always remember that if every favourite won the bookies would go out of business so don’t be afraid to oppose them.
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4 minutes ago, MCLARKE said:
Yes, I tend to bet the same total stake whether I back to win or each way. Some would argue that for good bank management you should bet proportional to the odds, so you would have twice as much on a 2/1 shot compared to a 4/1 shot.
I'm trying to stick to £2 stakes for 2/1 to 7/2, (33% -21%); £1 stakes for odds between 4/1 and 9/1 (20% - 10%), 50p stakes for odds between 10/1 and 20/1 (9% - 5%) and 25p for any selection above 25/1 - 100/1 (4% and less). this seems to be working out OK for me lately. I think that it would simply would not work to adjust stakes to the odds on offer. But then again I don't have any statistics to prove it otherwise.
Hope you had a good break and nice to see you back
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One Trixie today for £1 = £4.00 in total
Multiples:
A 2.30 Lin Lisbet 13/2B 3.00 Lin Maximum Effect 11/4
C 4.45 Catt Mamoo 13/2
Potential Return £323.44
Singles:
2.30 Lin Lisbet £2 win at 13/22.30 Lin Goddess Of Fire 50p win at 11/1
3.00 Lin My target £2 win at 13/2
3.30 Lin sunshineandbubbles £1.00 win at 12/1
4.30 Lin Salkeev 50p at 13/2
4.30 Lin Alveda 50p at 12/1
5.00 Lin Indian affair £1.00 win at 12/1
5.00 Lin Little Miss Kodi 50p at 14/1
2.45 Catt Talking[picturestv £2 win at 9/2
2.45 Catt Miss amelia £1.00 win at 8/1
4.15 Catt Loose Chips £2 win at 9/1
4.15 Catt Late Date £1.00p win at 33/1
4.45 Catt Mamoo £2 win at 13/2
= £16.00 total singles stakes
= £20.00 total stakes
Daily results update:
A £9.00 surplus yesterday = YTD from 1.2..20 of - £140.63
“When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit, in the long run, the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.” Always remember that if every favourite won the bookies would go out of business so don’t be afraid to oppose them.
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One Trixie today for £1 = £4.00 in total
Multiples:
A 2.30 Lin Lisbet 13/2B 3.00 Lin Maximum Effect 11/4
C 4.45 Catt Mamoo 13/2
Potential Return £323.44
Singles:
2.30 Lin Lisbet £1 win at 13/22.30 Lin Goddes Of Fire 50p win at 11/1
3.00 Lin My target £1 win at 13/2
3.30 Lin sunshineandbubbles 50p at 12/1
4.30 Lin Salkeev 50p at 13/2
4.30 Lin Alveda 50p at 12/1
5.00 Lin Indian affair 50p at 12/1
5.00 Lin Little Miss Kodi 50p at 14/1
2.45 Catt Talking[picturestv £1 win at 9/2
2.45 Catt Miss amelia 50p win at 8/1
4.15 Catt Loose Chips £1 win at 9/1
4.15 Catt Late Date 50p win at 33/1
4.45 Catt Mamoo £1 win at 13/2
= £9.00 total singles stakes
= £13.00 total stakes
Daily results update:
Multiples:
A bit unlucky with two seconds and a winner, hence a £4.00 loss on the day£800 original bank. B/Fwd £526.49 less £4.00 = £522.49 C/Fwd
Singles:
Two winners today one at 13/2 and another at 6/1 = a return of £14.50 less £8.00 = £6.50 profit
Original bank £400.00 B/Fwd £350.33 Add £6.50 = £356.83 C/Fwd“When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit, in the long run, the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.” Always remember that if every favourite won the bookies would go out of business so don’t be afraid to oppose them.
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On 2/15/2020 at 11:44 PM, MCLARKE said:
If there is an edge with the win odds then I would back the horse to win, if there was an edge with the place odds then I would back to place. I don't see any logic in an 80/20 split, why not 50/50, 60/40 etc.
Many thanks, just thought I would ask. It was something being put forward by a respected race adviser, I guess based upon the idea that the horse(s) are more likely to place. Normally I would rather place two bets to win than back one each way. Incidentally, if one normally has a one point win bet then do you think that when placing and each way bet that this should be half a point each way?
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4.15 Catt Late Date half a point EW at 33/1 with Betfair
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18 hours ago, Donnyflyer said:
This 6.30 wolves is a popular race. Good luck guys..
Aren't you going for anything in it?
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5.30 Wolv Ventura Rascal one point win at 11/1 with Coral
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Just one Trixie today for £1 = £4.00 in total
Multiples:
A 2.35 Sou Capla Spirit 11/4
B 3.40 sou National Anthem 13/8 (yuk)
C 6.30 Wolv Tabaahy 4/1
Potential Return £90.94
Singles: with shingles
2.05 Sou Kommander Kirkup £2 win at 7/1
2.35 Sou The Cola Kid £2 win at 11/2
4.10 Sou Going Native £2 win at 13/2
5.30 Wolv Ventura Rascal £2 win at 9/1
6.00 Wolv A Go GO £2 win at 11/2
6.00 Wolv Secret Identity £1.00 win at 12/1
6.00 Wolv She’s Easyonthe eye £1.00 win at 20/1
6.30 Wolv Mutahaahy £2 win at 6/1
8.00 Wolv Red Gunner £1.00 win at 20/1
8.00 Wolv Bobba Tea £1.00p win at 35/1
= £16.00 total singles stakes
= £20.00 total stakes
Daily results update:
Nice winner at 10/1 yesterday
YTD from 1.2.20 = -£149.63
“When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit, in the long run, the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.” Always remember that if every favourite won the bookies would go out of business so don’t be afraid to oppose them.
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Just one Trixie today for £1 = £4.00 in total
Multiples:
A 2.35 Sou Capla Spirit 11/4B 3.40 sou National Anthem 13/8 (yuk)
C 6.30 Wolv Tabaahy 4/1
Potential Return £90.94
Singles: with shingles
2.05 Sou Kommander Kirkup £1 win at 7/12.35 Sou The Cola Kid £1 win at 11/2
4.10 Sou Going Native £1 win at 13/2
5.30 Wolv Ventura Rascal £1 win at 9/1
6.00 Wolv A Go GO £1 win at 11/2
6.00 Wolv Secret Identity 50p win at 12/1
6.00 Wolv She’s Easyonthe eye 50p at 20/1
6.30 Wolv Mutahaahy £1 win qt 6/1
8.00 Wolv Red Gunner 50p win at 20/1
8.00 Wolv Bobba Tea 50p win at 35/1
= £8.00 total singles stakes
= £12.00 total stakesDaily results update:
Multiples:
£800 original bank. B/Fwd £534.49
Singles:
Original bank £400.00 B/Fwd £343.33“When placing a bet on a selection, never take SP and, always bear in mind that to make a profit, in the long run, the WINNERS have to pay for the LOSERS.” Always remember that if every favourite won the bookies would go out of business so don’t be afraid to oppose them.
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2 hours ago, BillyHills said:
Being serious for a minute, ask any decent punter worth their salt, what is the main reason for a selection.
To a man they will tell you, its if a price is value to the horses chances, in any particular race.
Its simple, if a horse in not value, or not at least the price you think it should be then you move on.
(and yes, even a short priced fav can be value)
Its quite ridiculous to suggest having a competition where by you don't know what price it will end up.
Just my opinion (thats not the answer to the previous question by the way) ?
I don't dispute the point that you make; all I'm saying is that if the naps were settled at SP there would be no doubt about the prices throughout the month. As I wrote earlier it doesn't matter if @kenisbusy only got 50/1 instead of 80/1 all of us could check it out and be reassured that the price was correct.
For a minute there I thought that BHG meant Billy Hill's Geegees.
Enjoy the rest of your weekend, albiet it's nearly over
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Sorry sir, what is BHG?
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46 minutes ago, BillyHills said:
Players have been taking prices the night before since the comp began over ten years ago, so nothing changes.
I can check them on oddschecker. (or you can let me know if i've made a mistake)
We WILL not be doing SP anytime soon, (think about it, try and work it out, answers on a postcard)
@The Equaliser move on mate, lets put our energy into trying to pick a winner, we both need one (or two).
Thanks for the support from the majority of members
Well, in light of the information that I have supplied then, if both you and your boss(s) feel that you will be implementing the most equitable changes to the rules for the Naps competition from the 1st March then so be it. Sorry, I didn't have a postcard available. ?
Naps - Saturday Feb 29th
in NAP of the Day Competition
Posted
3.45 Ling Vitesse Du Son one point win at 150/1 Bet365