MCLARKE

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I'm happy enough to continue with the current thread whilst I'm still offered boosts on SBK

You are right, the 1/33 on the corners market would make more sense than the 2/13 on the cards market.

Last week was the worst week yet with a loss of £109 Total profit £ 144.39 Wolverhampton 3.55 AT VIMEIRO / 7.30 PORT ERIN 33/2 £5 Ipswich over 2.5 goals, over 2.5 cards 14/1 £5 free bet Man Utd over 2.5 goals, over 2.5 cards 23/5 +25% £10

Au contraire as Delboy would say My records show that the outsider has the best record with a ROI of -2%. The draw is -10% A £5 free bet tonight so I'll go with Ipswich over 2.5 cards at 15.00

NH selection Taunton 3.27 BALLYNAHEER 13/1 Ladbrokes

AW selection Wolverhampton 3.55 AT VIMEIRO

Wolverhampton 7.30 PORT ERIN 18/5 £20 win Ladbrokes

WOLVES 6.30 GRABAJABBA 1/2 WH

Yep that's based on BET365 As you say I am looking for something simple with some statistical evidence behind it without going into too much work I don't disagree with any of your comments, I might do a bit more analysis when I get a bit of time At least these should provide me with some interest for all of the match and provide me with shorter priced selections which will reduce the long losing runs

I've done a bit more analysis and based on the last 6 premier league seasons the win rate of the > 2.5 goals is 55% with a loss of 4% compared to the < 2.5 goals is 45% with a loss of 6%. Previous analysis showed that over the last 16 premier league seasons the home win showed the best returns with a loss of -2%. I'm tempted therefore to change my strategy to home win / over 2.5 goals and a cards option Tomorrows option is Man Utd over 2.5 cards at 5.25

An 18/1 winner helps !

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Great thread this, I hope everybody who can have accounts with these bookies is following

The nap was Urban Road in the 3.00 at Newcastle ?

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I have it as being 4th ?

NH selection Doncaster 3.22 WILLIE SHAKE HANDS BSP

Limerick 3.27 FRENCH HILL 16/1 £10 EW Ladbrokes 5 places