Lemon Silk
-
Posts
30 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Posts posted by Lemon Silk
-
-
-
Exactly Nenad, Billy and the team are doing exceptional work with these tips and I can't imagine that any other tipping service even comes close to 15 back to back winning months !
Fidux was unlucky, he looked to be in with a massive shout but ultimately his jumping led to his 'downfall' (pun intended
![:\](/images/smilies/ohwell.gif ":\")
)
We had another faller afterwards but this time it went in our favour with Houblon des Obeaux getting up to win, all in all a fantastic day and well done to those who followed the PL tips
-
There have been a few forum members asking about how best to filter the data contained in the spreadsheet provided on the PL Tips page regarding the top rated selections, while SirPuntalot and BH have already answered these questions, I'd just like to add my two cents
As BH and Sir Puntalot have already said, you are missing out on a decent portion of the profits if you ignore E/W bets or only bet on them as singles, even over the week/ten days I've been following them I can confirm that this holds true !
The optimum ROI seems to be obtained by only betting on longer priced selections, according to the latest spreadsheet a £10 E/W bet on all selections with advised odds of between 14/1 and 16/1 returns a profit of £4365.40 or 218.27 pts over 741 bets - a not too shabby ROI of 29.46%. Similarly, for a greater profit and a slightly lower ROI, £6686.8 and 26.41% over 1,266 bets, odds of 12/1 and 16/1 should be considered. Below that the ROI starts dipping noticeably (while profit continues increasing of course !) Maybe this might be particularly useful for those starting off who don't feel comfortable risking a bigger bankroll ?
The easiest way to significantly maximise profit and ROI and to minimise losing runs is to use the table that BillyHills kindly posted with the P/L figures for each UK and Ireland course and filter out all the 'dead wood' courses (loss making ones) which have so far drained profit to the tune of around £4,000 - sadly my home racecourse, Listowel, is up there with the worst offenders ! There are also about 10 courses with quite low ROIs which maybe could be removed/filtered to give a small improvement in ROI for a smaller sacrifice of profit although I have left them all in so far. This is what I feel is the best mix between extracting maximum profit and reducing losses/losing runs for me.
SIr Puntalot/BillyHills/anyone who knows the stats, feel free to correct any incorrect figures or any flaws in my analysis here !
-
Hi all,
Only started following the PL tips in the last week with £7 stakes but already my bank balance is showing a very healthy profit. There has just been one losing day, which as luck had it was on the first day ! The second day with First Nation winning at 12/1, East Street Revue at 12/1, Alterno at 14/1, Kentford Heiress @ 13/2 and a few others at decent prices certainly turned things around !
I'd just like to echo what foxinexile said, actually, I'll use their exact words: a huge amount of effort must go into this and it is massively appreciated - thank you to everyone who's involved and long may the tips continue!
TRACK STATS
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
Last night Paddy Power kindly took the time to let me know how much they valued my custom:
It was thus with great pleasure that I watched Spades Are Trumps win at 10/1 to start the day, I got the bet in before they took the decision to restrict my account and was duly paid with BOG applied. Thanks Paddy !
A more sincere and absolutely massive thanks goes out once again (and again) to Billy and the team - Paddy Power and Ray Winstone will be eating baked beans this evening with the way the day is going. Absolutely bonkers stuff - 6/1 to 16/1 drifters, 10/1, 9/1 and 8/1 winners and everything in between flying in, it's hard to keep up with it all !
