Machine Posted September 22, 2010 Author Share Posted September 22, 2010 Re: monkeys HOME football ratings Tamworth did well to come back from 2-0 down but couldn't get that elusive winning goal :( update Bets 12 Won 8 SR 66.66% P/L 36.64 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted September 23, 2010 Author Share Posted September 23, 2010 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted September 27, 2010 Author Share Posted September 27, 2010 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted September 27, 2010 Share Posted September 27, 2010 Re: monkeys HOME football ratings I'll settle for your 3 for a profit being QPR, Peterborough & Rotherham, for obvious reasons..... :hope :dude ..... but if you could get all 5 in, as I have them in my 10-team perm too. Ta. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted September 29, 2010 Author Share Posted September 29, 2010 Re: monkeys HOME football ratings Absolute garbage last night not one team winning :$ Definitely a bookies pay day . update Bets 21 Won 9 SR 42.85% P/L -35.02 :( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted October 2, 2010 Author Share Posted October 2, 2010 Re: monkeys HOME football ratings Two 90 rated at the massive prices of 1.4 & 1.33 :rollin 20pts staked AFC Wimbledon 9.74 @ 1.4 :loon Fleetwood Town 10.26 @ 1.33 :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted October 3, 2010 Author Share Posted October 3, 2010 Re: monkeys HOME football ratings RUBBISH,RUBBISH and more RUBBISH Its a sorry state of affairs when not even 1 odds on shot to wins :sad I think im beginning to hate football :@ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lardonio Posted October 4, 2010 Share Posted October 4, 2010 Re: monkeys HOME football ratings At least you are succeeding in not finding value ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted October 8, 2010 Author Share Posted October 8, 2010 Re: monkeys HOME football ratings At least you are succeeding in not finding value ;) TA DA Value man raises his head. Great thread of yours Lardy in the invisible section Excellent tutorial on how you find value mixed with a great staking plan. And all those value winners sheeesh. You would be my hero if you wern't such a nob ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted October 9, 2010 Author Share Posted October 9, 2010 Re: monkeys HOME football ratings Only 1 90's rated today Rochdale 10pts win @ 2.15 VC Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 9, 2010 Share Posted October 9, 2010 Re: monkeys HOME football ratings Ignore Lardonio, he'll only use Elvis, George Bush & flying cows to explain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YorkshireFootyFan Posted October 9, 2010 Share Posted October 9, 2010 Re: monkeys HOME football ratings Taking Lardy's point a stage further, have you ever considered using your ratings to pinpoint value? I produce ratings - and only use them when they suggest there is value available. For instance Rochdale today - my ratings run on a scale of 60, to -60, and Rochdale are a 32, but I'd only consider backing them at odds greater than 1.94, and i'd happily lay them at odds of 1.6 or less. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted October 10, 2010 Author Share Posted October 10, 2010 Re: monkeys HOME football ratings Thanks for the input YFF The odds on Rochdale were 2.15 so therefore "value" according to your ratings. I dont really want to go down the linear regression of rating systems to find "value" discussion again as I find it tedious repeating the same things over again that has been discussed in several other threads because it simply does not work. (been there done it with ELO ratings,RPI rankings,non linear using solver in excel,AHP etc etc). If it was so easy I would have been rich over 15yrs ago. My hobby is trying to write programmes (not very good ones but I keep trying) and I find writing rating programmes helps sharpen my programming skills and by having a few quid on the output keeps me interested.(win or lose is irrelevant really). I then compare the output to the other rating systems I have done ELO etc to find out which is faring the best of a bad bunch. It doesn't take long to realise that all rating systems generally spew out the same stuff because they all input more or less the same variables. Fleet Lardy doesnt bother me, infact I find his attempt at sarcasm amusing in a sad sort of way ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted October 15, 2010 Author Share Posted October 15, 2010 Re: monkeys HOME football ratings Top rated this week Arsenal 11.23 @1.28 Cardiff 9.39 @ 1.53 QPR 8.66 @ 1.66 Brest 9.16 @ 1.57 Ajax 11.98 @ 1.2 Keyserispor 9.58 @ 1.5 60pts staked any winner pays 14.37 5 needed for profit 4 break even ish Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.