No Goals Please. II

[wiw4]

[wiw4]

[wiw4]

Day 2 Bets

League	Stake	Home	Away	Result	Price
WC	1.00	North Korea	Ivory Coast		13.5
WC	1.00	Portugal	Brazil		8.4
WC	1.00	Chile	Spain		13.5
WC	1.00	Switzerland	Honduras		11.5

[wiw4]

[luckydevil2010]

Re: No Goals Please. II Im liking this Ill be watching with interest :ok

[Zibbit]

Re: No Goals Please. II Yeah interesting. But why not skip North Korea-Ivory Coast? Ivory needed huge win and was never gonna be a goalless game. Want to see your stakeing plan when you start to get the inevitable misses.

[wiw4]

Re: No Goals Please. II

Yeah interesting. But why not skip North Korea-Ivory Coast? Ivory needed huge win and was never gonna be a goalless game. Want to see your stakeing plan when you start to get the inevitable misses.

Your right, why bother? The thing is, you have the benefit of hindsight in your favour. You say it was never going to be 0-0, why not tell me last night? In my experience it is the ones you least expect, that turn up trumps. Look through my last thread, there was a 30+ barcelona, many 20+ across all leagues, even celtic gave me three home 0-0's, most likely by your logic they were all no-go's. Don't get me wrong, i appreciate u have taken the time to look in. I'll even agree, my staking plan actually needs losers rather than winners, but il take them for now!

[ls1]

Re: No Goals Please. II This is interesting , many times i have layed 0-0 only to lose, Portugal v Brazil was the latest one. Is there a reason why you are only doing matches on tv ?

[Dovah]

Re: No Goals Please. II .

[wiw4]

Day 3 Bets

League	Stake	Home	Away	Result	Price
WC	1.00	Uruguay	South Korea		8.2
WC	1.00	Ghana	USA		7.6

[wiw4]

Re: Day 2 Results

Date	League	Stake	Home	Away	Result	Price	Return	Comm(5%)	Net Return	Balance
26-Jun	WC	1.00	Uruguay	South Korea	2 - 1	8.2	-1.00	0.00	-1.00	120.50
26-Jun	WC	1.00	Ghana	USA	1 - 1	7.6	-1.00	0.00	-1.00	119.50

Total Bets: 10 Bets won: 3 Bets Lost: 7 P+L: +19.50 Balance: 119.50

[WaffleMania]

Re: No Goals Please. II Great start so far :ok I personally cannot see any more 0-0's in the world cup, but thats just me being optimistic of goals. As you said, sometimes its the matches that you least expect that end up 0-0 (England/Algeria and Portugal/Brazil spring to mind) so good hunting to you sir!

[newestpunter]

Re: No Goals Please. II theres some tough looking games and i can see some grudge match 0-0s engalnd vs germany spain vs portugal chile vs brazil (yes, thats right) 2 quite even matches and 1 match where it would suit the lesser team to hold out

[wiw4]

Re: No Goals Please. II I was in two minds about starting it when i did. I was going to wait til after the world cup, but there had been 17 matches without a 0-0 when i started this. Some may say a brilliant start, but in reality it wasnt great, with this staking plan. As most in here who have tried laying 0-0, the staking plan messes you up most of the time, bet selection though becomes a problem after a few wins (you try to lay everything! Ive been there!). Hence why i only do live matches. Live matches act as my selection process, but there are also other benefits, such as odds being a bit more generous, the ability to watch/trade out (maybe used on bigger staked matches; screenshots on request) and also just being able to watch/bet on them. Anyway, my staking plan is based on non-mathematics, more gamblers fallacy. 100% systems dont exist, or are extremely rare. Also winning runs are not infinite, I have employed a variation of martingale for this reason. Martingale on its own is based on the theory of doubling after a loser, on an even money shot. The key to my whole system here is that I am backing at average odds of 10.6 (current running avg), so i do not need to raise after every bet. Technically, i could lose 9 bets on each level, and click bet 10 for 0.60pt profit. This is also the reasons the levels are not quite doubling every time, 4-6-8-12.5-16-25. I could get 90 losing bets off the staking plan, i am sticking to the 5 per level which leaves 45 losers. I am working off the stat of 92% of matches have a goal, so 1 in 12 is nil all, but i have the cushion of 45 bets (will need bank of 622.5 to go to bet 45). I am not anticipating many more in the world cup. Already 6 out 34, maybe 1 more, for me it would want to be a semi, 3rd place playoff or the final, to get some cash! Well thats enough out of me for now, i hope the bets can keep doing the talking.

[wiw4]

Day 4 Bets

League	Stake	Home	Away	Result	Price
WC	1.00	Germany	England		7.6
WC	1.00	Argentina	Mexico		10.5

[wiw4]

Day 4 Results

Date	League	Stake	Home	Away	Result	Price	Return	Comm(5%)	Net Return	Balance
27-Jun	WC	1.00	Germany	England	4 - 1	7.6	-1.00	0.00	-1.00	118.50
27-Jun	WC	1.00	Argentina	Mexico	3 - 1	10.5	-1.00	0.00	-1.00	117.50

Total Bets: 12 Bets won: 3 Bets Lost: 9 P+L: +17.50 Balance: 117.50

[wiw4]

Day 5 Bets

League	Stake	Home	Away	Result	Price
WC	1.00	Holland	Slovakia		11.0
WC	2.00	Brazil	Chile		11.0

[wiw4]

Day 5 Results

Date	League	Stake	Home	Away	Result	Price	Return	Comm(4.9%)	Net Return	Balance
28-Jun	WC	1.00	Holland	Slovakia	2 - 1	11.0	-1.00	0.00	-1.00	116.50
28-Jun	WC	2.00	Brazil	Chile	3 - 0	11.0	-2.00	0.00	-2.00	114.50

Total Bets: 14 Bets won: 3 Bets Lost: 11 P+L: +14.50 Balance: 114.50

[wiw4]

Day 6 Bets

League	Stake	Home	Away	Result	Price
WC	2.00	Paraguay	Japan		7.6
WC	2.00	Portugal	Spain		8.4

[wiw4]

Re: Day 6 Bets

League	Stake	Home	Away	Result	Price
WC	2.00	Paraguay	Japan		7.6
WC	2.00	Portugal	Spain		8.4

As Paraguay v Japan finished 0-0, the ladder starts again. Thus I have layed back the other 1 euro on Spain v Portugal @ 8.4 (it is 8.2 to lay now :()

[wiw4]

Day 6 Results

Date	League	Stake	Home	Away	Result	Price	Return	Comm(5%)	Net Return	Balance
29-Jun	WC	2.00	Paraguay	Japan	0 - 0	7.6	13.20	0.66	12.54	127.04
29-Jun	WC	1.00	Portugal	Spain	1 - 0	8.4	-1.00	0.00	-1.00	126.04

Total Bets: 16 Bets won: 4 Bets Lost: 12 P+L: +26.04 Balance: 126.04

[wiw4]

Day 7 Bets

League	Stake	Home	Away	Result	Price
WC	1.00	Holland	Brazil		9.2
WC	1.00	Uruguay	Ghana		7.6

[wiw4]

Day 7 Results

Date	League	Stake	Home	Away	Result	Price	Return	Comm(5%)	Net Return	Balance
2-Jul	WC	1.00	Holland	Brazil	2 - 1	9.2	-1.00	0.00	-1.00	125.04
2-Jul	WC	1.00	Uruguay	Ghana	1 - 1	7.6	-1.00	0.00	-1.00	124.04

Total Bets: 18 Bets won: 4 Bets Lost: 14 P+L: +24.04 Balance: 124.04

[wiw4]

Day 8 Bets

League	Stake	Home	Away	Result	Price
WC	1.00	Argentina	Germany		11.5
WC	1.00	Paraguay	Spain		9.6

[wiw4]

Day 8 Results

Date	League	Stake	Home	Away	Result	Price	Return	Comm(5%)	Net Return	Balance
3-Jul	WC	1.00	Argentina	Germany	0 - 4	11.5	-1.00	0.00	-1.00	123.04
3-Jul	WC	1.00	Paraguay	Spain	0 - 1	9.6	-1.00	0.00	-1.00	122.04

Total Bets: 20 Bets won: 4 Bets Lost: 16 P+L: +22.04 Balance: 122.04

[wiw4]

Stats (up to Day 8) (These will be updated weekly on Sunday Nights going forward!) Starting Balance: 100.00 - Current Balance: 122.04* (Balance to Industry SP: 116.30) Bets: 20 Winning Bets: 4 Losing bets: 16 Avg Price(BF): 10.05 Avg Price(Industry): 8.40 SR: 20% Level Stake Profit BF price: +18.50 To Ind Best Price: +13.00 * Balance includes commission (currently at 5%). Balance to SP includes comission at 5%. ** SP calculated to >Betfair Prices (e.g. 7/1 = 8.0)

[wiw4]

Day 9 Bets

League	Stake	Home	Away	Result	Price
WC	2.00	Uruguay	Holland		8.4

[wiw4]

Day 9 Results

Date	League	Stake	Home	Away	Result	Price	Return	Comm(5%)	Net Return	Balance
6-Jul	WC	2.00	Uruguay	Holland	1 - 3	8.4	-2.00	0.00	-2.00	120.04

Total Bets: 21 Bets won: 4 Bets Lost: 17 P+L: +20.04 Balance: 120.04

[wiw4]

Day 10 Bet

League	Stake	Home	Away	Result	Price
WC	2.00	Germany	Spain		9.2

[aldric]

Re: No Goals Please. II Good luck this time around wiw4. :ok