FleetFanatic Posted February 21, 2010 Share Posted February 21, 2010 This will involve selections around 2/1 or lower; the theory is, bookmakers are normally "in the know". So we will be looking for a selection cut to 2/1 or lower in the first hour at a bookmaker (up to 11am approx) from when prices were first offered. If I haven't posted by 11.30am, then I didn't get to my computer in time, as my cut off point will always be 11.15am. I use this site for my initial search: http://www.oddschecker.com/market-reports/racing/top-movers Although sometimes the data on this page is delayed, so I also check the races individually on the same site. There are other rules..... which are not disclosed. These rules include type of handicap, how many other runners have been cut etc. Rest assured, my posts will remain within the rules created. All bets are placed at best odds available - so something cut to 7/4 somewhere (making it qualifier if it meets my other rules), may still be available to us at 9/4 (as an example.) Best odds guaranteed will also apply, although I don't expect too many drifters. 4 races to keep an eye on in the morning: Sedgefield 3.00, 4.40 Southwell 2.50, 5.00 Edit: I will also update thread title each evening with the latest performance stats of this system. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted February 21, 2010 Author Share Posted February 21, 2010 Re: Handicap System After today's were all abandoned, a few to keep an eye on tomorrow: Monday 22nd Feb potential races: Lingfield 2.55, 3.30, 4.05, 5.10 Wolverhampton 2.40, 4.20, 4.55, 5.55 Carlisle 4.45 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted February 22, 2010 Author Share Posted February 22, 2010 Re: Handicap System (Star Choice was cut to 10/11 in the 5.10 Lingfield but 3 out of 6 runners also shown as cut so the horse was excluded under the rules above.) And the 11am selection(s): Monday 22nd Feb 4.55 WOLVERHAMPTON Granny McPhee 20pts @ 15/8 BOG Will Hill Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted February 22, 2010 Author Share Posted February 22, 2010 Re: Handicap System (Star Choice was cut to 10/11 in the 5.10 Lingfield but 3 out of 6 runners also shown as cut so the horse was excluded under the rules above.) And the 11am selection(s): Monday 22nd Feb 4.55 WOLVERHAMPTON Granny McPhee 20pts @ 15/8 BOG Will Hill :clap15/8 on an even money shot, I'll settle for that. :ok Selections: 1 Winners: 1 Stakes: 20pts Returns: 57.5pts Profit / Loss: +37.5pts Yield: 187.5% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted February 22, 2010 Author Share Posted February 22, 2010 Re: Handicap System Back with this tomorrow: Tues 23rd Feb potential races: Taunton 3.50, 5.20 Lingfield 3.40, 4.10, 4.40, 5.10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted February 23, 2010 Author Share Posted February 23, 2010 Re: Handicap System Tues 23rd Feb 4.10 LINGFIELD Lady Kent 20pts @ 9/4 Betfred 5.10 LINGFIELD Granny McPhee 20pts @ 6/4 Betfred Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted February 23, 2010 Author Share Posted February 23, 2010 Re: Handicap System Canni Thinkaar 5.20 Taunton rule out as 8 out of 15 runners listed with cut prices. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted February 23, 2010 Author Share Posted February 23, 2010 Re: Handicap System Tues 23rd Feb 4.10 LINGFIELD Lady Kent 20pts @ 9/4 Betfred:clap 1st 11/8 :clap :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted February 23, 2010 Author Share Posted February 23, 2010 Re: Handicap System Tues 23rd Feb 4.10 LINGFIELD Lady Kent 20pts @ 9/4 Betfred 1st :ok 5.10 LINGFIELD Granny McPhee 20pts @ 6/4 Betfred :$Selections: 3 Winners: 2 Stakes: 60pts Returns: 122.5pts Profit / Loss: +62.5pts Yield: 104.17% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted February 23, 2010 Author Share Posted February 23, 2010 Re: Handicap System Wed 24th potentials: Lingfield: 2.10, 3.20, 4.25 4.55 Kmepton 5.30, 7.00, 7.30, 8.00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted February 24, 2010 Author Share Posted February 24, 2010 Re: Handicap System (3.20 LINGFIELD & 7.30 KEMPTON 2 runners meet the criteria so no bet) 11am selections 7.00 KEMPTON Sutton Veny 20pts @ 11/8 Betfred 8.00 KEMPTON Niran 20pts @ 9/4 Ladbrokes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted February 24, 2010 Author Share Posted February 24, 2010 Re: Handicap System (3.20 LINGFIELD & 7.30 KEMPTON 2 runners meet the criteria so no bet) 11am selections 7.00 KEMPTON Sutton Veny 20pts @ 11/8 Betfred :clap:clap:clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted February 24, 2010 Author Share Posted February 24, 2010 Re: Handicap System (3.20 LINGFIELD & 7.30 KEMPTON 2 runners meet the criteria so no bet) 11am selections 7.00 KEMPTON Sutton Veny 20pts @ 11/8 Betfred:ok 8.00 KEMPTON Niran 20pts @ 9/4 Ladbrokes:ok:clap:clap:clap Very good day at the office :dude Selections: 5 Winners: 4 Stakes: 100pts Returns: 235pts Profit / Loss: +135pts Yield: 135.00% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted February 24, 2010 Author Share Posted February 24, 2010 Re: Handicap System Rules have been removed and replaced with a brief explaination. Edit: I have also tidied up the wording a bit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted February 24, 2010 Author Share Posted February 24, 2010 Re: Handicap System Thurs 25th potentials: HUNTINGDON 2.30, 4.10, 4.40 AYR 3.25, 4.30 SOUTHWELL 3.15, 4.20, 4.50, 5.20 KEMPTON 5.40, 6.40, 7.10, 8.10, 9.10 :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4th Posted February 24, 2010 Share Posted February 24, 2010 Re: Handicap System Hi Fleet...new here after being fairly active on other forums. Not sure if it's the done thing here but let me be the first to congratulate you on what looks to be an interesting system. I'll be following with interest. Can anyone explain why the specific rules of the system have to be removed? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted February 24, 2010 Author Share Posted February 24, 2010 Re: Handicap System Can anyone explain why the specific rules of the system have to be removed?They don't have to be removed, it's just something I choose to do..... it stops people copying it elsewhere such as flogging it on a dodgy website. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted February 25, 2010 Author Share Posted February 25, 2010 Re: Handicap System ..... we have until 11.15am but looking like no bet today at the moment. No bet. Couple of near misses, but nothing meets all the rules. Too many larger fields in some races meaning we were never gonna get a 2/1 shot. Other races with non runners that have created the price cuts. Only race that had the right sort of cut was too higher class with too much prize money. So we wait for tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4th Posted February 25, 2010 Share Posted February 25, 2010 Re: Handicap System Thanks for the explanation Fleet. I take your point. It's one of the things that brought me here in the first place to be honest....the members of the other forums I frequent do not seem to be great systems lovers! Personally, I need to work to a system to stay focused. All the best. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted February 25, 2010 Author Share Posted February 25, 2010 Re: Handicap System I'm a systems man..... although I've started many and ditched quickly. :lol This came from something I read..... and will hopefully average a strike rate around 60 to 70%..... early days but we're ahead at the moment. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted February 26, 2010 Author Share Posted February 26, 2010 Re: Handicap System Well I waited until 11.15am.... 2 races were near misses, with a runner cut to 9/4. Only race that had one cut enough, had them all cut due to a non-runner. So no bets today! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted February 26, 2010 Author Share Posted February 26, 2010 Re: Handicap System Later cuts and/or too many cut in one race (due to non-runners) mean I have posted some bets in At The Races, as they are not system qualifers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted February 27, 2010 Author Share Posted February 27, 2010 Re: Handicap System Sat 27th Feb 2.40 LINGFIELD Spruce 20pts @ 5/6 Paddy Power Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted February 27, 2010 Author Share Posted February 27, 2010 Re: Handicap System Sat 27th Feb 2.40 LINGFIELD Spruce 20pts @ 5/6 Paddy Power :clapSelections: 6 Winners: 5 Stakes: 120pts Returns: 271.67pts Profit / Loss: +151.67pts Yield: 126.39% Still looking good :dude Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4th Posted February 27, 2010 Share Posted February 27, 2010 Re: Handicap System Nice work Shadow. Well done. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted February 27, 2010 Author Share Posted February 27, 2010 Re: Handicap System Nice work Shadow. Well done.??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4th Posted February 27, 2010 Share Posted February 27, 2010 Re: Handicap System LOL Sorry Fleet. The post was in the right thread and the message was for you....but I'd just been looking at another thread previously and confused your name with his! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted February 28, 2010 Author Share Posted February 28, 2010 Re: Handicap System Sun 28th Feb 4.55 KEMPTON Pegasus Again 20pts 11/8 @ StanJames Round 1 Leg 7 stake is £1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted February 28, 2010 Author Share Posted February 28, 2010 Re: Handicap System Sun 28th Feb 4.55 KEMPTON Pegasus Again 20pts 11/8 @ StanJames 2nd :$ Round 1 Leg 7 stake is £1Selections: 7 Winners: 5 Stakes: 140pts Returns: 271.67pts Profit / Loss: +131.67pts Yield: 94.05% Guess we were due a loser. Staking plan bank: £16.59 So round 2 of the staking plan will be £1.65 for 7 bets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted March 1, 2010 Author Share Posted March 1, 2010 Re: Handicap System OK this one is early because already obvious that it's going be a selection. Whether it wins or not is another matter. :lol The price is getting cut all the time, the selection is racing without penalty for it's LTO win in an apprentice race & is actually racing off a 1lb lower mark than 3 days ago. Let's just hope the poor thing isn't tired. :unsure Monday 1st March 5.40 WOLVERHAMPTON Saddlers Bend 20pts @ 6/5 Paddy Power Round 2 Leg 1 Stake is £1.65 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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