Keep Earth Posted September 1, 2009 Share Posted September 1, 2009 August gone and September come with the end of holidays, the return to work,...at least planet-football has all his leagues running. Four years ago, in September, the mythical Maria started one of the best, if not the best, thread of patience, discipline....and profit of course that I have seen. To remember this date I want to try a similar run but betting football instead horses. Staking System Prices below 5.50 (5.50 included): lay to 1% of bank Updated from Day 26 Prices from 5.51 to 9.50: lay to 0,6% of bank Prices from 9.51 to 15.00: lay to 0,4% of bank I'll apply, the rachet system that she explain but updating the bank to calculate the stake 3 times per week and not daily. Friday 23:59 cet: to saturday bets Saturday 23:59 cet: to sunday bets Sunday 23:59 cet: to week days bets I guess that I'll do 10-15 bets saturday, sunday and weekdays for a 30-40 bets per week. Not looking for the 100,000 just have fun this year and if possible get something to pay some beers to friends :cheers Starting Bank: 1.000,00 points Feel free to post any advice or comment and wish me luck, I have shown that I'll need a lot I'll try to post in weekdays arround 16:00 cet and saturdays and sundays arround 14:00 cet. Not a fixed schedule, only an approximation. Can delay or add bets throughout the day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScottyXS Posted September 1, 2009 Share Posted September 1, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? Maria used to be part of the PL community, but was banned for being a bitch. Good luck to you anyway mate :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keep Earth Posted September 1, 2009 Author Share Posted September 1, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? 3....2....1..... DAY 1 Liability (10.00/6.00/4.00) 19:00 cet Norway - Adeccoligaen - Kongsvinger vs Alta - Lay Alta @ 5,60 to win 1.30 20:45 cet Ireland - Eircom League - Derry City vs Galway United - Lay Galway United @ 9,80 to win 0.48 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted September 1, 2009 Share Posted September 1, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? Good luck..Do you have a link to her thread? I don't remember her Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justbetter Posted September 1, 2009 Share Posted September 1, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? http://www.expertbettingadvice.co.uk/forum/thread18432.html As always good luck Keep Earth! EDIT - Just been looking through her thread and what she did was pretty amazing I hope you have similar success Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted September 1, 2009 Share Posted September 1, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? wow that is truly unbelievable 100k :o Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keep Earth Posted September 1, 2009 Author Share Posted September 1, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? 3....2....1..... DAY 1 Liability (10.00/6.00/4.00) 19:00 cet Norway - Adeccoligaen - Kongsvinger vs Alta - Lay Alta @ 5,60 to win 1.30 20:45 cet Ireland - Eircom League - Derry City vs Galway United - Lay Galway United @ 9,80 to win 0.48 Ups sorry by a mistake. I have wrote numbers from my xls and haven't change profit and liability formula :$ Backers' stakes (as she name) (10.00/6.00/4.00) Game 1 lay to win 6.00 .... well seems a 27.60 lose by halftime :cry Game 2 lay to win 4.00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted September 1, 2009 Share Posted September 1, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? it's 2-2 in that game buddy. Keep the faith. Infact 3-2 up now :D and Derry also winning 1-0 ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keep Earth Posted September 1, 2009 Author Share Posted September 1, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? Thanks all. Not looking for repeat her succes jimmah only not to lose my bank in 1 month :$ hehe Don't known her history here Scotty but seems that she didn't leave too much friends ;) Great comeback for Kongs Fader :nana just like that made by Galway :wall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keep Earth Posted September 1, 2009 Author Share Posted September 1, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? As Maria I'll updated results each day following same form. I hope nobody bothers to follow same format Results Update Day 1 19:00 cet Norway - Adeccoligaen - Kongsvinger vs Alta - Lay Alta @ 5,60 to win 6.00 pts 4:2 20:45 cet Ireland - Eircom League - Derry City vs Galway United - Lay Galway United @ 9,80 to lose 33.60 1:3 Comments: Unexpected outcome since everything seemed destined to end in the opposite way to which it has. Kongsvinger was down to 10 men and losing by halftime but they are in great form last weeks and crushed Alta in 2nd half. Derry take an early lead that couldn't keep, they are playing for Europe but I got new info a bit late and bet was made. Financial troubles has roster unhappy and that is often reflected in field. Anyway is a long run. Wasn't a great day 1 but at the moment is similar to her with a losing one. Maybe isn't the best week with only a few league matches in next days but like september 1th to start. International matches are usually much more predictable than the meetings of clubs so we could have some quiet days until the weekend as tomorrow where I have only one game clear with two teams near where I live in Spanish Cup night but I need some info of possible lineups yet Results: Weekdays' strike-rate: 1 win from 2 selections = 50.0% September strike-rate: 1 win from 2 selections = 50.0% Overall strike-rate (since 1/9/09): 1 win from 2 selections = 50.0% Profit/(loss) weekdays: (27.90) Bank increase/(loss) weekdays: (2.79%) Bank increase/(loss) month to date: (2.79%) Bank increase/(loss) since 1/9/09: (2.79%) Tomorrow's bank: 972.10 Backers' stakes for tomorrow's bets: 10.00/6.00/4.00 (*) As I have 3 groups of bets (weekdays/saturday/sunday) in weedays I'll be accumulating results from monday to friday (**) All profits with a 5% commission deducted Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted September 1, 2009 Share Posted September 1, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? It will be interesting to see if this approach can work with football as well as the horses. Whatever system you use it's all about laying thoose losers and having a good strike rate, but maybe this staking plan can maximise any profits you make. I shall keep an eye on this GH. Best Of Luck. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keep Earth Posted September 2, 2009 Author Share Posted September 2, 2009 DAY 2 Many Cup matches, worst to predict, so I just focus on those held in Spain. These early rounds are one leg only and face teams from the same league. Backers' stake (10.00/6.00/4.00) 20:30 cet Spain - Copa del Rey - Sant Andreu vs Melilla - Lay Melilla @ 3.95 - 6.00 pts 21:00 cet Spain - Copa del Rey - Ontinyent vs Conquense - Lay Conquense @ 4.40 - 6.00 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keep Earth Posted September 2, 2009 Author Share Posted September 2, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? Results Update Day 2 20:30 cet Spain - Copa del Rey - Sant Andreu vs Melilla - Lay Melilla @ 3.95 - 6.00 pts 3:1 21:00 cet Spain - Copa del Rey - Ontinyent vs Conquense - Lay Conquense @ 4.40 - 6.00 pts 2:1 Comments: We dont risk much tonight. I let out a couple of games that should have layed but I prefer to go slowly to get better pace and bounce of the first day loss. Anyway, we will not bet a lot these days, with so few games to choose from. Results: Weekdays' strike-rate: 3 win from 4 selections = 75.0% September strike-rate: 3 win from 4 selections = 75.0% Overall strike-rate (since 1/9/09): 3 win from 4 selections = 75.0% Profit/(loss) weekdays: (16.50) Bank increase/(loss) weekdays: (1.65%) Bank increase/(loss) month to date: (1.65%) Bank increase/(loss) since 1/9/09: (1.65%) Tomorrow's bank: 983.50 Backers' stakes for tomorrow's bets: 10.00/6.00/4.00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keep Earth Posted September 3, 2009 Author Share Posted September 3, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? DAY 3 No bets today. Have been tempted to lay Finland but they play at home and you never known with girls...unless Germany will win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavenecadas Posted September 4, 2009 Share Posted September 4, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? I am reading an impressive personal diary (as they call it) in a romanian forum. A guy called "easy money chess" is playing easy money (hence the username) betting on several sports in play like football or tennis. At the beginning of May started with 400 dollars and in July 20th reached 20.000 (!!!). The key in his strategy is to wait until is very clear who is likely to lose than place the bet on the winner. Very low odds but high stakes. What stands out is his discipline and will to start over after a severe loss. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmoi14 Posted September 4, 2009 Share Posted September 4, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? tu have the link ? tk Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keep Earth Posted September 4, 2009 Author Share Posted September 4, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? DAY 4 Some action finally even thought we lack classical friday leagues 2. Bundesliga and Ligue 2 Backers' stake (10.00/6.00/4.00) 15:30 cet UEFA - U21 Euro Qualification - FYR Macedonia vs England - Lay FYR Macedonia @ 11.00 - 4.00 pts 19:00 cet Denmark - Viasat Sport Divisionen - AC Horsens vs FC Fredericia - Lay FC Fredericia @ 5.60 - 6.00 pts 20:00 cet Netherlands - Jupiler League - Maastricht vs FC Emmen - Lay FC Emmen @ 6.60 - 6.00 pts 20:45 cet Ireland - Eircom League - Shamrock Rovers vs St. Patricks - Lay St. Patricks @ 6.20 - 6.00 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keep Earth Posted September 4, 2009 Author Share Posted September 4, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? I am reading an impressive personal diary (as they call it) in a romanian forum. A guy called "easy money chess" is playing easy money (hence the username) betting on several sports in play like football or tennis. At the beginning of May started with 400 dollars and in July 20th reached 20.000 (!!!). The key in his strategy is to wait until is very clear who is likely to lose than place the bet on the winner. Very low odds but high stakes. What stands out is his discipline and will to start over after a severe loss. I'm sure that it's possible. I use in play bets to make trades to win 3 or 4 ticks is an "easy" (nothing is easy) way to achieve this targets. last week started my annual Over 3.5/4.5 trades, at the moment after 35 trades in 1 week (this is my target per week) I have double my starting bank (well a few more than double, x 2.3), give me 7 more weeks and i'll have the 20 grands ;) however I never get to that amount by the lack of necessary liquidity in these markets Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavenecadas Posted September 4, 2009 Share Posted September 4, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? This is the day he started. May 9th http://www.e-pariuri.ro/forum/viewthread.php?tid=9340&page=53 This is the day he achieved his target. http://www.e-pariuri.ro/forum/viewthread.php?tid=9340&page=107 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavenecadas Posted September 4, 2009 Share Posted September 4, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? Keep Earth, can you give us some details about the Over 3.5 trades ? Thanks in advance. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keep Earth Posted September 4, 2009 Author Share Posted September 4, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? Well is only back to lay 3 ticks down dutching profit. Are games that I expect close. Until now from 35 games only 2 had a goal in those 5-10 minutes it takes to close the trade. Are games that I expect under 2.5. Oh what a goal for Macedonia!!!!! fantastic 30 mts shot but england keeper could have made something more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmoi14 Posted September 4, 2009 Share Posted September 4, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? thank you cavenecadas it's very interesting !! viva roumaniaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavenecadas Posted September 4, 2009 Share Posted September 4, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? Cheers mate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavenecadas Posted September 4, 2009 Share Posted September 4, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? Well is only back to lay 3 ticks down dutching profit. Are games that I expect close. Until now from 35 games only 2 had a goal in those 5-10 minutes it takes to close the trade. Are games that I expect under 2.5. Oh what a goal for Macedonia!!!!! fantastic 30 mts shot but england keeper could have made something more. Very interesting idea. I will try it too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keep Earth Posted September 4, 2009 Author Share Posted September 4, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? Results Update Day 4 15:30 cet UEFA - U21 Euro Qualification - FYR Macedonia vs England - Lay FYR Macedonia @ 11.00 - 4.00 pts 1:2 19:00 cet Denmark - Viasat Sport Divisionen - AC Horsens vs FC Fredericia - Lay FC Fredericia @ 5.60 - 6.00 pts 2:2 20:00 cet Netherlands - Jupiler League - Maastricht vs FC Emmen - Lay FC Emmen @ 6.60 - 6.00 pts 2:1 20:45 cet Ireland - Eircom League - Shamrock Rovers vs St. Patricks - Lay St. Patricks @ 6.20 - 6.00 pts 1:0 Comments: We have a good day to reach our first check-point in green. Was a shame not have known Derry’s financial issues before the game but can’t complain with two games won with both teams 1 down and with 10 men in 2nd half. Also with so few games to pick is to be happy. We haven’t increased greatly the bank, largely because we lost a high odds game, but we are above percentage of success that we need achieve. Anyway it just has begun but is always best start in a good way. Bank has increased 4.40 points, changing backers’ stakes for Saturday’s games (10.04/6.03/4.02) Results: Weekdays' strike-rate: 7 win from 8 selections = 87.5% September strike-rate: 7 win from 8 selections = 87.5% Overall strike-rate (since 1/9/09): 7 win from 8 selections = 87.5% Profit/(loss) weekdays: 4.40 Bank increase/(loss) weekdays: 0.44% Bank increase/(loss) month to date: 0.44% Bank increase/(loss) since 1/9/09: 0.44% Tomorrow's bank: 1004.40 Backers' stakes for tomorrow's bets: 10.04/6.03/4.02 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keep Earth Posted September 4, 2009 Author Share Posted September 4, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? Day 5 I have made bets and selections tonight as don't known if tomorrow could be at house. 16:00 cet England - League One - Charlton Athletic vs Brentford - Lay Brentford @ 6.60 16:00 cet England - Conference - Cambridge United vs Forest Green Rovers - Lay Forest Green Rovers @ 8.60 16:00 cet England - Conference - Grays Athletic vs Mansfield - Lay Grays Atheltic @ 4.70 16:00 cet Sweden - Superettan - Mjällby AIF vs Ljungskile SK - Lay Ljungskile SK @ 7.80 18:00 cet Spain - Liga Adelante - Gimnastic vs Girona - Lay Girona @ 4.90 20:00 cet FIFA - World Cup Qualification - Israel vs Latvia - Lay Latvia @ 7.20 20:30 cet FIFA - World Cup Qualification - Cyprus vs Ireland - Lay Ireland @ 2.00 21:00 cet FIFA - World Cup Qualification - France vs Romania - Lay Romania @ 9.00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keep Earth Posted September 4, 2009 Author Share Posted September 4, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? Day 5 Sorry I have added Backers' stakes for each game and updated start time for Charlton 13:15 cet England - League One - Charlton Athletic vs Brentford - Lay Brentford @ 6.60 - 6.03 pts 16:00 cet England - Conference - Cambridge United vs Forest Green Rovers - Lay Forest Green Rovers @ 8.60 - 4.02 pts 16:00 cet England - Conference - Grays Athletic vs Mansfield - Lay Grays Atheltic @ 4.70 - 6.03 pts 16:00 cet Sweden - Superettan - Mjällby AIF vs Ljungskile SK - Lay Ljungskile SK @ 7.80 - 4.02 pts 18:00 cet Spain - Liga Adelante - Gimnastic vs Girona - Lay Girona @ 4.90 - 6.03 pts 20:00 cet FIFA - World Cup Qualification - Israel vs Latvia - Lay Latvia @ 7.20 - 6.03 pts 20:30 cet FIFA - World Cup Qualification - Cyprus vs Ireland - Lay Ireland @ 2.00 - 10.04 pts 21:00 cet FIFA - World Cup Qualification - France vs Romania - Lay Romania @ 9.00 - 4.02 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Denman Posted September 4, 2009 Share Posted September 4, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? Just letting you know mate I've decided to change to a similiar staking plan for my football laying GH. I do feel strongly that this staking plan is far superior to any fixed level staking plan. Good to see you back in profits, and good luck for you future selections. :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keep Earth Posted September 4, 2009 Author Share Posted September 4, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? BOL for you too. I have been checking Maria's thread and his first 300 lays have a 6.39 odd average with 81% strike rate. She obtained 27% profit. I think that a horse layed at 7.00 has more probabilities to win than a football team with same odd. Football is less unpredictable. Really think that in long term is a great bank management to have profits with less risk. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keep Earth Posted September 5, 2009 Author Share Posted September 5, 2009 Re: Do you remember September 2005? Results Update Day 5 13:15 cet England - League One - Charlton Athletic vs Brentford - Lay Brentford @ 6.60 - 6.03 pts - 2:0 16:00 cet England - Conference - Cambridge United vs Forest Green Rovers - Lay Forest Green Rovers @ 8.60 - 4.02 pts - 7:0 16:00 cet England - Conference - Grays Athletic vs Mansfield - Lay Grays Atheltic @ 4.70 - 6.03 pts - 1:1 16:00 cet Sweden - Superettan - Mjällby AIF vs Ljungskile SK - Lay Ljungskile SK @ 7.80 - 4.02 pts - 2:1 18:00 cet Spain - Liga Adelante - Gimnastic vs Girona - Lay Girona @ 4.90 - 6.03 pts - 1:1 20:00 cet FIFA - World Cup Qualification - Israel vs Latvia - Lay Latvia @ 7.20 – 37.36 pts - 0:1 20:30 cet FIFA - World Cup Qualification - Cyprus vs Ireland - Lay Ireland @ 2.00 - 10.04 pts - 1:2 21:00 cet FIFA - World Cup Qualification - France vs Romania - Lay Romania @ 9.00 - 4.02 pts - 1:1 Comments: First Saturday with mixed feelings. We did a good job in our base games (club leagues) but the night, with national teams games, wasn’t as productive as expected, something to remember. While Irish’s win was normal, latvians shocked me winning in Israel Bank has decreased 18.78 points, backers’ stakes for Sunday’s games don’t change (10.04/6.03/4.02) Results: Saturday’s strike-rate: 6 win from 8 selections = 75.0% September strike-rate: 13 win from 16 selections = 81.25% Overall strike-rate (since 1/9/09): 13 win from 16 selections = 81.25% Profit/(loss) saturday: (14.38) Bank increase/(loss) saturday: (8.66%) Bank increase/(loss) month to date: (1.44%) Bank increase/(loss) since 1/9/09: (1.44%) Tomorrow's bank: 985.62 Backers' stakes for tomorrow's bets: 10.04/6.03/4.02 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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