Carlisle 19th August

[ken678]

Carlisle: 3:15 Ducal Regancy Duke 100/1 5f ploughing up the hill at Carlisle will take some getting today and I would NOT be backing ANY 5f specilaists in any races there today. The fav here has an obvious chance but I am attracted to the fact that this (pretty poor it must be said) horse has been running over much further. By no means a confident pick but in all the circs 100/1 in a claimer in the mud at Carlise looks over generous to me

[RussP]

Re: Carlisle 19th August 3.50 Carlisle Currently just the 1 NR, so we have 16 left for this 5f, Class 4 handicap on good/soft. This looks open and it's dangerous to discount many of these. But, I'll favour the high weighted runners and go with the chances of: Legal Eagle (12/1 Bet365 BOG) - A really consistent horse with a very good shout here. Stable has done well this term and I rate this 5lb claimer very highly so that allowance could make a difference. Has had a good season with some very decent runs, however does struggle to get his head in front so hopefully it's his turn today. Equally effective at 5f or 6f so this trip on a stiffish track on easy ground is ideal. Record over 5f this term read 2-3-3-2-17, with the disappointment in a Class 2 at Ascot off 83. Races off just 78 today with another 5lb to be claimed. This is the first time ever that the horse has raced off less than 80 in handicap company so things look good to record his first win in handicaps. Form on easy ground also read ok, 1-5-10-2, with the last run being over this trip. Entered up at Chester on Fri & Sat this week too, so looks like the stable believe he is in tip top shape. I like its EW chances & am hopeful this will stop the rot.