Perth 28th July

[ken678]

Perth 19:10- Alagon - 5/1 BetFred Made a mistake here - should have taken an earlier price - thought I could have gor better than this. Horse is obvious on form and comes from a yard (specialist here) that doesn't generally mess about in sellers. Never usually very keen on backing horses back over hurdles from fences but (famous last words!!) this seems tio me to have a lot in hand

[ken678]

Re: Perth 28th July Perth 20:45 Nudge And Nurdle 7/1 Coral This is a hot little race for the money and all bar 1 in my book have a sensible chance of some sort. The Twiston-Davies yaard enjoy their summers North of the Border though and rarely take anything absolutely hopeless. To be honest I would have rated this 5th best of the 7 but at 8/1 it is being supported and because of the T-D record I will follow the smart(?) money

[fintron]

Re: Perth 28th July with you on that one Ken. 8.45 Perth Seven are declared. The ones with winning form around the trip are Corkage (22f), Some Craic (25f), Craiglands (21f), Nudge And Nurdle (24f) and Ngong Hills (24f). Corkage dons the cheekpieces he had fitted when scoring at the track over 2m 5f last time out. That was his chase debut and in that novices event he jumped well and stayed on strongly to win. He makes his handicap debut here. Over hurdles he was a winner off 119, and he is now rated 11 lbs higher in this sphere, but he comfortably beat a 133-rated rival in that novices race and he could go well, although may have preferred firmer. Some Craic has a fair strike rate (3-13) over fences, the latest coming at Listowel last June off 19 lb lower. However, he has been knocking on the door in recent runs off marks 6 lb and 5 lb lower, including here in May. He evidently acts here, sees out the trip, but may possibly prefer the ground on top and others may be suited by the slower ground tonight. Craiglands is 2-2 in chases, both in hunters chasers, and Jim Goldie's gelding now makes the transition into handicaps. He is an unexposed chaser and at 7 is open to plenty more improvement. However, this right handed flat track is a different proposition to the undulating, stiff right handed test of Cheltenham and the undulations of Sedgefield, whilst he must also prove he acts on softish ground. Nudge And Nurdle is the mount of Paddy Brennan and the Nigel Twiston-Davies-trained gelding is a course and distance winner, having won here last April in a novices chase. Both of his chase wins have come in non-handicaps which is a slight concern, but his ability to act on soft ground may prove vital here. He was running in some competitive handicaps last term so his lack of handicap success may be due, in part, to the level of races he has contested. That said, at times his jumping has proven a problem, and he does have a little to prove off the back of recent efforts, but the trainer does well here and the horse warrants respect. Ngong Hills won over course and distance here in May and then followed up at Wetherby next time out off a 5 lb higher mark. He is only 4 lbs higher now, so is handicapped to have every chance, but double negatives against him are that his wins have come on faster ground and he was disappointing when pulling up over course and distance here 27-days ago. Suggested bet: Nudge And Nurdle 7/1 Hills, 1 pt win

[ken678]

Re: Perth 28th July Perth 21:15 - 6/1 BetFred - Don't Think Twice Hope I've picked the right one but I can't believe that the mighty Hourigan stale isnt going to pick up some pocket money over here. They have a viable option in the earlier chase but this is the one attracting some money - never a bad sign if by no means always decisive of course. Hope we should at least cover the cost with teh place money

[Tedthewolf]

Re: Perth 28th July 8.15 LODGICIAN 7/1WIN Trainer hasn't got a win out of this horse yet but he will and the step up in trip tonight may be the answer a small win bet for me. Trainer could well double up with N&N in the race after this.