AFL Round 16

[ozgamer]

ESS 3.35 WB 1.33 ------- +/-20.5 -- Etihad Stadium --- Fri, 17 Jul Bullies to win but short enough. High scoring? CAR 1.20 SYD 4.60 ------ -/+28.5 --- Etihad Stadium --- Sat, 18 Jul Carlton are short. Considering H2H record, surely Sydney at the line must be a thought. GEE 1.02 MELB 14.00 ---- -/+50.5 --- Skilled Stadium -- Sat, 18 Jul Will be interested to see Geelong's announced team for this. I'm thinking some players will still be "rested" for this one (including Bartel?), a few might come back just to ensure a win (not a big win) at home which definitely pushes me towards Melb at the huge line and they couldn't be any worse than Port (away) given the same line so Melb @ +50.5 ($1.91) it is. FREO $3.17 BRIS $1.36 -- +/-18.5 --- Subiaco Oval ----- Sat, 18 Jul Brisbane to win here but geez they're short. Freo @ Subi must be an easier game than Port @ AAMI however expect Freo to perform much better than the Crows game with Sandilands and possibly Pavlich back. COLL 1.37 HAW 3.12 ----- -/+18.5 --- MCG -------------- Sat, 18 Jul Pies win easy regardless of what happened last year. Hawks should be a bit flat after their last game (+ 2 days less break) and they should be missing Franklin (knee to the head wasn't it?) Think Doggies had a similar line so I like Pies at the line here but ? on Fraser atm. PORT 1.18 WCE 4.90 ----- -/+29.5 --- AAMI Stadium ----- Sun, 19 Jul Port 6/7 @ AAMI in '09 so they win here don't they? Solid home form vs can't win away form. Line pretty high tho. RICH 1.95 NTH 1.86 ------- N/A ----- MCG -------------- Sun, 19 Jul Not sure if I want to be interested in this one. Think Nth are a bit more honest esp the last 3 but have faded out in all those games :wall The last game would've taken something out of them laying 110 tackles in the wet as well so based on that I favour the Tiges just but I don't trust either team and I don't think we'll be getting 215.5 for the total either :tongue2 STK 1.25 ADEL 4.00 ----- -/+25.5 --- Etihad Stadium ---- Sun, 19 Jul I like the Crows at the line here as it's a hell of a start. They don't mind Docklands and Saints should be a little vulnerable coming off a trip west following the Cats game. I would like to see a big total here to play at the unders as well but for now it's Crows @ +25.5 ($1.91).

[TazaD]

Re: AFL Round 16 :ok as always, oz. Same thoughts...without looking at any numbers just yet, Dogs and Pies -... ...Melbourne +50 is huge!