Finland, 11th-13th of July

[King Theoden]

Fc Lahti - Honka ML Honka 1,88 7/10 @Ladbrokes Early bet as I think odds will be dropping more until gameday. Lahti is having a very tough schelude with Veikkausliiga and Europa League matches. They were playing EL in Albania on thursday and this will be their 4th competive game in 10 days + travelling. Bad news for Lahti is that their most important forward Rafael was injured during the trip. It's somewhat uncertain if Jari Litmanen will be playing full 90 minutes on this match as he rarely plays all games when Lahti is having tough schelude. Honka on the other hand may play the best football in Veikkausliiga right now. I've suspected their defensive efforts so far, but in game against TPS they played their best defensive effort I've ever seen. I think Honka should be priced as low as 1,75 on the moneyline in this game. I'll put more info on other games as official team news will be published.

[King Theoden]

Re: Finland, 11th-13th of July According to Veikkausliiga's site Lahti may have 8 players missing in this game. Amongst questionable players are Litmanen(best player), Rafael(best forward), Haara(regular dman) and Vanninen(team captain, midfield, one of most important players). Honka has same squad as in last game missing Weckström and Paatelainen. More team news tomorrow and maybe a couple of bets too.

[King Theoden]

Re: Finland, 11th-13th of July Inter - Mifk Inter -0,5 2,12 7/10 @Mansion88 Rops - Jaro ROPS +0,25 1,82 7/10 @Ladbrokes Haka - Tps TPS +0,25 2,00 7/10 @Mansion88 Inter has IMO been somewhat misfortunate losing games where they have been clearly better team than their opponents. Mifk is a bit cooling off after very strong start and they now seem to be the mid-table team I expected them to be. Inter comes with all players available to this, Mifk is missing Anttilainen(f) and Pronevych(d) and probably Ingves(f). That would leave them short on forwards Gashi being only regular forward available. That slightly favours Inter. Inter is playable imo with odds over 1,90 Rops is considered one of three weakest teams in Veikkausliiga, but I rate them slightly better than Kups and JJK. Jaro is considered lower mid-table team and their recent performances support that view. Rops has traditionally strong home advantage and having one resting day at hand with tough scheludes I'll rate them as favourites here. Rops +0,25 is playable with odds over 1,65 IMO. Missings go even at this game. Haka is simply overrated here because of their current rank in standings. TPS is better team and they are playing better football right now. TPS +0,25 is value with odds over 1,80 IMO. Some info for couple of games I have no intention to bet on. Kups- HJK Kups has shown some signs of life after abysmal start of season. They won Rops 3-0 and Mypa in the Cup 2-0. Before that they were really weak. They've changed back to their home stadium Magnum areena after playing on Väinölänniemi. M.Areena has artifical grass, which should slightly favour them. They are missing regulars Hartikainen and Kuparinen. HJK has won 5 out of last 6. They miss Roiha and Haapala in this game, but both are replacable. I think HJK is big favourite here, but with odds around 1,60 for away win there's simply no value for either side. VPS- TamU I would wanted to bet TamU here, but they are missing 9 players here, most of them regulars. They still manage to get fairly decent team to play with, but as their forte imo was in their midfield I don't see anything valuable on TamU's odds as they miss three very good midfielders(Petrescu, Pohja and Juska Savolainen). TamU managed 2-0 over Jaro with this squad on Cup. I consired under also but both teams are pressing the fact that only win is good result here, so I guess that would mean more attacking tactics here. I don't have a view on JJK - Mypa because JJK is planning to test 6 new players in mif-july. Might not be the best thing for team spirit.

[JackJarvis]

Re: Finland, 11th-13th of July

Sport	Football (Finland)
Event	FC Inter vs IFK Mariehamn
Selection	FC Inter (Lay)
Strength	10/10
Date	11/07/2009
Bookmaker/Price	>Betfair @ 2.18 (Lay)
Reasoning	Mariehamn come into this game unbeaten in their last 9 having conceded just 4 goals in their last 10 games. Although they have won just 3 of their last 10 (drawn 6) they have clearly been setting up in a counter attacking formation making themselves very hard to break down. Inter have won just 1 of their last 6 league games and have been a bit in and out of late. With Inter in 6th place, Mariehamn sit in 4th place 2 points ahead of their rivals. Mariehamn have won both games the teams have played this year so far and just above 11/10 for the home side seems very very short. (£241 at 2.18 to lay at 11.59am)

[Limitlezz]

Re: Finland, 11th-13th of July

Sport	Football (Finland)
Event	FC Inter vs IFK Mariehamn
Selection	FC Inter (Lay)
Strength	10/10
Date	11/07/2009
Bookmaker/Price	>Betfair @ 2.18 (Lay)
Reasoning	Mariehamn come into this game unbeaten in their last 9 having conceded just 4 goals in their last 10 games. Although they have won just 3 of their last 10 (drawn 6) they have clearly been setting up in a counter attacking formation making themselves very hard to break down. Inter have won just 1 of their last 6 league games and have been a bit in and out of late. With Inter in 6th place' date= Mariehamn sit in 4th place 2 points ahead of their rivals. Mariehamn have won both games the teams have played this year so far and just above 11/10 for the home side seems very very short. (£241 at 2.18 to lay at 11.59am)

I completely agree with you on Marienhamn mate. I'm joining that :nana

[Puntteri]

Re: Finland, 11th-13th of July Agree with the reasoning, but Inter have really found their way of creating goal chances lately and it is only a matter of time when they also find the net. I see Inter as 50 % favourite here, and the easiest way to cover a home team bet is to bet on 0-0. Mariehamn are not that scary in front of goals, and they will take this trip with only Gashi and Ingves as their strike force. And I would not call the bambi-legged Ingves a force. Somehow you succeed in finding the games where i always disagree ;) but that is the beauty of betting.

[TOTTI3]

Re: Finland, 11th-13th of July Inter T=X2(1.72) bet365 Tendency X2 Betbase Falling odds :hope:hope:hope

[JackJarvis]

Re: Finland, 11th-13th of July

I completely agree with you on Marienhamn mate. I'm joining that :nana

1-0 Marienhamn at half time. :cheers:hope

[sentimentalul]

Re: Finland, 11th-13th of July

Sport	Football (Finland)
Event	VPS Vaasa-Tampere
Selection	VPS Vaasa
Strength	10/10
Date	12/07/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Blue Square @ 2.50 (Back)
Reasoning	although at first sight this game seems to be difficult, I think, actually, is not so. Vaasa has appreciable evolutions , made 0-0 to mariehamn and lost home , 3-4 with Helsinki, in a crazy game.on own land, Vaasa has a great appetite offensive :3-4 with Helsinki like I said, 3 -2 with Jyvaskyla and 2-0 with Rovaniemi. from the other side, Tampere has not done anything in away matches. of 5 games played, they lost all. So, I think Vaasa must win the match.and the odds is very generous.

[TOTTI3]

Re: Finland, 11th-13th of July

Inter T=X2(1.72) bet365 Tendency X2 Betbase Falling odds :hope:hope:hope

Well :cow:cow:cow

[TOTTI3]

Re: Finland, 11th-13th of July Lathi=2(2.10) Bet365 Tendency 2 Betbase Falling odds :hope:hope:hope

[Limitlezz]

Re: Finland, 11th-13th of July

Sport	Football (Finland)
Event	VPS Vaasa-Tampere
Selection	VPS Vaasa
Strength	10/10
Date	12/07/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Blue Square @ 2.50 (Back)
Reasoning	although at first sight this game seems to be difficult' date= I think, actually, is not so. Vaasa has appreciable evolutions , made 0-0 to mariehamn and lost home , 3-4 with Helsinki, in a crazy game.on own land, Vaasa has a great appetite offensive :3-4 with Helsinki like I said, 3 -2 with Jyvaskyla and 2-0 with Rovaniemi. from the other side, Tampere has not done anything in away matches. of 5 games played, they lost all. So, I think Vaasa must win the match.and the odds is very generous.

Agree, VPS are in excellent form right now. They should win this one :) also took Honka to beat Lahti on away, due to player absence.

[TOTTI3]

Re: Finland, 11th-13th of July

Lathi=2(2.10) Bet365 Tendency 2 Betbase Falling odds :hope:hope:hope

Uff... I lost :wall

[JackJarvis]

Re: Finland, 11th-13th of July

Sport	Football (Finland)
Event	Haka vs TPS
Selection	Haka (Lay)
Strength	10/10
Date	13/07/2009
Bookmaker/Price	>Betfair @ 2.38 (Lay)
Reasoning	A fantastic clash in prospect between two on form sides. Haka sit 2nd in the table with TPS in 3rd. TPS are unbeaten in their last 8 competitive games whereas Haka are unbeaten in their last 4. This game for me is so tight I am siding with the value option and that is TPS. As I said I feel this could go anyway and in my opinion it will probably end in a draw, but at 2.38 I am willing to lay the home side and I think 13/8 or 7/4 would have been a 'proper' price for them.

[Jase82]

Re: Finland, 11th-13th of July

Sport	Football (Finland)
Event	Haka vs TPS
Selection	Haka (Lay)
Strength	10/10
Date	13/07/2009
Bookmaker/Price	>Betfair @ 2.38 (Lay)
Reasoning	A fantastic clash in prospect between two on form sides. Haka sit 2nd in the table with TPS in 3rd. TPS are unbeaten in their last 8 competitive games whereas Haka are unbeaten in their last 4. This game for me is so tight I am siding with the value option and that is TPS. As I said I feel this could go anyway and in my opinion it will probably end in a draw' date= but at 2.38 I am willing to lay the home side and I think 13/8 or 7/4 would have been a 'proper' price for them.

I agree with this. I was looking myself at TPS getting at least a draw. TPS are in great form. Statisticly the head to heads favour neither side, so TPS to get at least a point from this fixture seems a real possibility.

[nori]

Re: Finland, 11th-13th of July

Sport	Football (Finland)
Event	Haka vs TPS
Selection	Haka (Lay)
Strength	10/10
Date	13/07/2009
Bookmaker/Price	>Betfair @ 2.38 (Lay)
Reasoning	A fantastic clash in prospect between two on form sides. Haka sit 2nd in the table with TPS in 3rd. TPS are unbeaten in their last 8 competitive games whereas Haka are unbeaten in their last 4. This game for me is so tight I am siding with the value option and that is TPS. As I said I feel this could go anyway and in my opinion it will probably end in a draw, but at 2.38 I am willing to lay the home side and I think 13/8 or 7/4 would have been a 'proper' price for them.

great pick jackjarvis, well done :clap