Royal Ascot Sat 20th June

[bowles10]

Wokingham handicap 6f 4.25 Ascot (cl 2, G/F) ASSET trained by Saeed Suroor ridden by Frankie Dettori is drawn 27 so :hope for a change in fortune for the higher numbers, however most of the pace seems to be in the middle so depends on where they track across to, i would hope Frankie follows from his wide stall. This is a class 1 performer & its run behind Main Aim last time out (grp 3) was worth a second look, over 7f, held up & then made good progress late on the take 4th place 3.5L behind the impressive winner who stepped up to Group 1 class this week. Prior to that race, Asset won a listed race at Leicester over 7f on fast ground beating regal Parade 0.75L. The horse had 3 runs in Dubai all over 6f over the winter winning one of those (recent scorer Judd st in 3rd). Last seaosn the horse only ran twice in the uk coming 2nd at Great Leighs & also 2nd at Goodwodd behind Lessons in Humility who sidesteps this race for a crack at the Grp 1 sprint tomorrow. 2 seasons ago, Asset was only beaten 3.75L in the Betfred Sprint cup Group1 behind red clubs.That season the horse was 3rd in the Group 1 Golden Jubilee at R Ascot behind soldiers tale which must be its best performance only 1/2L behind Takeover Target in 2nd. That race is what i am basing this selection on as i feel the horse has all the capabilities still of winning a decent sprint race. In 2007, it also won the Abernant stakes in April. I just cant quite believe this is a 33/1 chance with bet365

[alexmac]

Re: Royal Ascot Sat 20th June 2.30 – CHESHAM STAKES BEETHOVEN looks like being the one here. Running for the pretty much unbeatable at time O’Brian yard, this 2 year old has been impeccably bred by Oratorio/Queen Titi and looks set to run a big race here. His latest run at Naas saw him finish second, but the trip that day looked to be too short for him. He appeared to be getting the hang of his racing towards the end of that 6f race, and with the extra furlong here today, that can only go down as being another positive. I think Beethoven could be a pretty smart colt, who will take this race, and then step up to being a Group 2 performer at the very least. 3.05 – HARDWICKE STAKES BRONZE CANNON is a horse whom I really like, but I never seem to get him right. However, I am confident that he has what it takes to grab a place here, so an each way bet is a good idea. He seems to run better in the better class races. This season, he has already ran respectably in the Winter Derby, although that was on the all-weather, and at Newmarket in the Jockey Club Stakes. His latest run at Newmarket saw him thrash the well regarded Casual Conquest, and if he even recreates that form then he has got to be in with a very good chance here. Of the rest – Doctor Freemantle will be popular, but I do not think that the odds will be very attractive. 3.45 – GOLDEN JUBILEE STAKES JJ THE JETPLANE will be favourite here, and I think he will win. I am lucky enough to have seen this horse very recently at Windsor – where he absolutely crushed a decent field. He has been bought over from South Africa for this, and if he is not in the money I will be amazed. He is so muscular looking, and is a real genuine speedball. The trainer is really bullish about his chances, and I think that must only be another positive. The other interesting horse is SACRED KINGDOM – whose trainer and owners have had to stump up £45,000 to get him supplemented. Clearly, they are confident of a big show from their horse, and I would be shocked if he didn’t run up to the form of his recent win in a very rich race in Singapore. 4.25 – THE WOKINGHAM Pretty much the most bet on race of the entire 5 day meet this, and that makes it very difficult to pick a winner. All the horses in this are much of a muchness in terms of form and ability. However, there are 2 that I do think could be pretty well handicapped. Clive Cox trains JIMMY STYLES, who although has had training problems, looks very well treated here. He possesses a really high cruising speed, and that is a huge bonus in a race as competitive as this one. The yard are in excellent form, and the form of his latest win at Newmrket is working out pretty well. He goes on good to firm ground, and has also ran with great respect over Ascot before. Certainly one to have an each way interest in. The second I like is HIGH STANDING. If the rain comes, then this interest gets even stronger, as he seems to act best with a little bit of cut in the ground. I believe he has won all of the races he has contested over the 6f trip, and with Ryan Moore taking this ride he is in excellent hands. 5.00 – DUKE OF EDINBURGH STAKES MARTYR can win this one for Richard Hughes and Richard Hannon. I have seen him 3 times already this season, and have been impressed with each of his runs. Saying that, his most recent run was slightly below the form he is capable of, but I believe that to be down to the fact that he did not act on the undulations at Epsom. Saying he did not act may be giving him a disservice however, as he still finished 3rd in a hot looking race. This is another one who will be in favour of a bit of rain, and I do think that he stands an excellent chance of winning here. 5.30 – QUEEN ALEXANDRA STAKES This sees a number of jumps horses contesting the final race of the meet, and CARACCIOLA can put in a bold show for Nicky Henderson. He is a classy type, who possesses loads of stamina – as he proved last time out at York where he slammed the field in a decent 1m6f race.

[WoodyTHFC]

Re: Royal Ascot Sat 20th June 2.30 Beethoven 5/1 bluesq 20 pts I actually think this one could be between the O’Brien pair and I prefer Beethoven. There is actually a line through love lockdown that suggests that moore’s ride may have it to do a bit and Beethoven looks a really nice prospect who shapes to enjoy the extra furlong here. He was third on debut a york when pretty well fancied but then stepped up on that well in only a 4 runner naas race but a good oen. Love lockdown who just beat him went onto boost the form afterwards and Beethoven looked for all the world that he would need the extra furlong that day and with it shaping to suit I can see him going close. 3.05 Tajaaweed 14/1 lad 10 pts e.w Not a race that I think is beyond the realms of possibility to throw up an upset and it could be this one. This one has always been really well thought of and looked a really smart prospect when winning the dee stakes at ches. After that he went off quiet short for the derby only to not really get the trip that day. He then went onto York and down in trip to be a beaten a couple of lengths but only a length of campanologist. Then he had an age off but his return fto this season may have been in last place but in truth it wasn’t that bad an effort in france. The ganay form has been boosted since and not just by the winner but even horses like cima de triomphe which if a line is taken through his next run again suggests there is not that much between tajaaweed and a few of these. The question here is the step up in trip which he didn’t get at 3 but a yr older there might be some hope. Plus I don’t quite know how much of a test this will be so that could help in that regard and a decent run very possible for a horse still of lots of unlocked potential. 3.45 Ialysos 8/1 bet3 bog 10 pts e.w Should be a really good race and the greek raider in the hands of international expert cumani could run a big race here. He has only run once in this country but it was a blinder. He won at biggish odds at haydock over 5f despite veering right arcoss the track from where started and despite the indication suggestions he would badly need the run. The form of that race isn’t terrible either and the kind stand third, angelzarke gave it a real boost on tue. The step up to 6f shapes to suit this big galloping horse and he could run quite well here in what is a real international race. 4.25 Prohibit 40/1 lad 7.5 pts e.w I’m concentrating lower for this race. Those high I don’t think have been really favoured this week and yesterdays race just highlighted again for especially as those high seemingly had a better lead into the race if anything. Also with the likes of trail blazers like Tamagin and Markab lower, it could favour a hold up horse who is low. Prohibit is a risky proposition in many ways and needs to bounce back after a poor run lto but on bits of his form he doesn’t look that badly handicapped. His effort fto this season in a listed race was encouraging and in the past he has shown form on the a.w and a listed placed effort here. Lto he was below par although he didn’t get a great passage. The excuse of the ground being too quick that day doesn’t wash with me as he has previously gone really well on firm ground. However in a bigger field with a decent pace to set it up, he could surprise and I don’t think is that badly handicapped. Beaver Patrol 28/1 sj 7.5 pts e.w 5 places Another one with a bit to prove after a couple of average runs after his Dubai return but he could bounce back at a track he has gone well at in the past including last year when a bit unlucky in this off only a 2 pound higher mark to be second. That run in this last year was top class as he ‘won’ his group well, only to just be denied. He has a decent lower draw today and whilst his last run was poor, he has had a bit of a break since and is fresher for this. Plus back at 6f and a strong 6f, he is a much better horse. His run 2 starts back wasn’t that bad and he is weighted to turn that asset form around. Not impossible for him to give a bold account again. 5.00 Crackentorp 6/1 boy bog 10 pts e.w Thought this one was a bit unlucky on his first run for a new stable lto. He travelled like the best horse in that 12f race that day at good to only just find one nab him very late on, with possibly a little bit of fitness telling as that was his first run for a long time. Today he should be sharper if possible as long as there is no ‘bounce’. The form of that good race hasn’t worked out so far but that shouldn’t detract from a very promising and crucially unexposed horse in a race where many are not. Previously he had shown smart form on the a.w and I think can go well in this. 5.35 Amerigo 3/1 lad 20 pts A big staying race to finish and I like Amerigo. He is still pretty lightly raced and unexposed and he thrives in major staying races which is a must for this, the longest staying race in the country? Anyway he showed good form here last year in the queens vase to stay on for second behind the now GC second Patkai. After an aborted hurdle campaign he showed up well in the chester cup where he was a bit unfortunate for me. His wide draw made it difficult for him and he stayed on well into a far from disgraced fifth. After that he was a bit below par afterwards where he just looked too slow even at 2m, ultimately could only plug on into midfield. However that race has worked out nicely so far with horses around him winning/running good races since and in this mighty stamina test he could go close.

[ken678]

Re: Best bets of the day 20th June 16:25 - Evens And Odds - 16/1 (5 places) Bet365

The usual Cavalry charge for the Wokingham and the usual bulk entry from Dandy Nicholls! Frankly anyone of twenty could win on form but this is a typical Dandy Nicholls race – and I will go with Evens And Odds (IRE) simply because his lad is riding - and he, I guess, has the pick of the quartet. I have not seen any bookie offering a price on a Dandy Nicholls winner but backing individually I make it something better than 8/ 1 at best prices which might be a bet in itself.

[bowles10]

Re: Royal Ascot Sat 20th June 2.30 Could this be the easiest race on the card to work out with those that figure high in the betting ? See stats below Last 10 years (position in betting) 1,2,J2,2,J3,1,_,1,1,2 so 4 favs have won, & 5 horses either 2nd or 3rd in the betting out of 10 races. Current betting is in our favour with prices as follows: Beethoven 11/2 (+.5pts) Emperor Claudius 6/1 (+1pt) Honor in Peace 8/1 (+3pts) Shakespearian 8/1 (+3pts) Aerodynamic 9/1 (+4pts) Backing all 5 would secure a profit off level stakes (shown in brackets) Johnston has won it 3 times in the last 10 years but Shakespearians form of its win isnt working out too well judging by the placed horses next race. I prefer Beethoven of the 2 irish horses based on performances behind the same animal Love Lockdown who has beaten both to date. This leaves the american horse who is stepping up from 5 to 7f which isnt ideal in my book. Aerodynamic from Pat Eddery stable could be interesting & the best of the home party & is bred to stay further & will be worth looking at in the future once stepped up. My final selection on the race is that Beethoven looks a touch of value at 11/2 with Skybet.

[bowles10]

Re: Royal Ascot Sat 20th June 3.05 Mixture of ages winning this, so dont discount any age groups, my overall conclusion for the race is that it suits high class middle distance runners & from the Derby last year, Doctor Freemantle's 4th palce stands out as excellent form. Its 8th in the St Leger was on unsuitable ground & it scraped out a group win at Chester in May this year on reappearance. I do like Enroller but i think the horse would need it softer to have any impact on these fast ground horses. Godolphin cant be trusted in Group races & although Campaignologist won here last year over C/D in a Group 2, I dont think it will beat the fav. Of the outsiders, only Steele Tango has any form to get in the top 5. If i had a decent wedge today to place on a horse, Doctor Freemantle would be it. 7/4 at PP (GP)

[Stevet1859]

Re: Royal Ascot Sat 20th June 2:30 Royal Ascot: Shakespearean 2pts win 8/1 William Hill & Meglio Ancora 2pts win 18/1 Sportingbet I am going for two lightly raced horses here. Mark Johnson has an excellent record in this race and his runner got going late at Haydock. But once the penny dropped ran on well. Meglio Ancora also ran with promise on his debut at Newbury and every chance he will improve over this extra furlong. 3:05 Royal Ascot: Tajaaweed 2pts win 14/1 Ladbrokes Very lightly raced over the years but is capable of winning this if every fell right. Seen as the second string but I don't like to underestimate anything Sir Michael Stoute runs. 3:45 Royal Ascot: Kings Apostle 2pts win 9/1 Ladbrokes, Lesson in Humility 2pts win 25/1 Bet 365 & Strike the Deal 1pt win 40/1 Paddy Power Going for a scattergun approach here. Kings Apostle ran well last time and likes the course and going. And William Haggis in fine form. Lesson In Humility completed a double at Leopardstown and put up a fast time. While Strike the Deal's win was on the all weather, it was also in a fast time and big priced outsiders have won this in the recent past. 4:20 Royal Ascot: Jimmy Styles 2pts win 6/1 William Hill, Striking Spirit 2pts win 33/1 Blue Square, Exclaimation 2pts win 25/1 William Hill & Kaldoun Kingdom 1pts win 28/1 Ladbrokes Jimmy Stiles is the favourite and probably justifyably with an impressive win at Newmarket. Has a plum rails draw and is trained by Clive Cox who is red hot at the moment. Striking Spirit has not done anything to write home about last two outings but first run of season puts him in with a shout and Dandy Nicholls the master trainer of sprinters will have his runner primed for this. Exclaimation ran well in a listed race last time and with a high draw will be near the pace. Finally, Kaldoun Kingdom, creeps in here of bottom weight is draw higest of all and with Richard Fahey in such cracking form worth a small investment. 5:00 Royal Ascot: Record Breaker 2pts win 16/1 William Hill, Martyr 2pts win 22/1 Stanjames Recordbreaker hails from the Mark Johnson stable and was a fine winner at Hailton last time out. That run may have been underestimated and the 16/1 looks fair. Martyr ran well at Epsom last time and creeps in the bottom of the weights here with 8st 11lb. A winner at this distance, looks to be another thats overpriced.

[bowles10]

Re: Royal Ascot Sat 20th June 3.45 Golden Jubilee A race thats has thrown up only 3 horses in last 10 years returning under 10/1 with not a favourite in sight! They say the foreign invasion are taking the sprints well, read on, only in 2003 & 2005 have they won this race with CHoisir & Cape of good hope. Characteristics of the winners are: 2008 - stepped up from 5f to 6f to win this as a 3yo (ran in Kings stand) 2007 - came back from 7f to win this (6yo) 2006 - multiple winner ran in Kings stand prior 2005 - Australian horse ran in Kings stand 2004 - 6f specialist listed class only 2003 - Australian horse ran in Kings stand 2002 - 6f horse listed class at best 2001 - Wokingham winner won 2000 - Ran in the Temple stakes over 5f at Sandown 1999 - Won the abernant at Newmarket so an array of different horses have won this race, in 2001 & previous,it was a Group 2 sprint called the Cork & Orerry. Unbeaten now in 8 races Ialysos has won 7 AW starts & won on its 1st start for Cumani in a listed event at Haydock. KIngs Apostle rarely runs a bad race these days & could be in the mix, likes big fields. KIngsgate Native would have to be something very special to repeat last years win & also without a prep race, i would rather wait for this one to land a big prize later in the season. Sacred Kingdom could be top class but 17 of its 18 runs have been at 1 track! Strike the deal is a horse i have championed thsi season & 40/1 is a bit of an insult to me, ok its group runs have resulted in 53192259549544 however it is a consistent group horse & it has had a good prep i feel for this race & we havent seen the best of it yet. Lesson in Humility is another lovely horse & very gutsy performer having finished in last 8 runs either 1st or 2nd on 7 occasions. its latest grp 3 win proved it could mix it with the big boys. So going with the poor fav stat & ignoring 2 that have travelled over. 3 horses at big prices for ew value would be Cannonball 20/1 Hills Strike the deal 40/1 PP Lessons in Humility 25/1 PP Interesting to see the amount of winners that came from a run in the Kings stand 4 days previous. The american horse Cannonball is the only one this year to try this feat & must be consdiered after a decent run on Tuesday to finish 6th.

[Tedthewolf]

Re: Royal Ascot Sat 20th June 4.25 I like the same two as Woody e/w BEAVER PATROL 28/1 who is a bit in and out. Won a good race in NAS earlier in the year has been poor in three runs since but two of them were over 7f back to best trip today and nicely drawn and PROHIBIT 40's Trainer and Jockey have been pretty quiet of late but i think this 4yo will go well here has had two poor runs this year but i think this is a decent horse and i expect a big run today. 5.00 CD winner HERNE BAY can bounce back to form today and 14/1 is a very good e/w price.

[Tedthewolf]

Re: Royal Ascot Sat 20th June 3.05 – HARDWICKE STAKES BRONZE CANNON is a horse whom I really like, but I never seem to get him right. However, I am confident that he has what it takes to grab a place here, so an each way bet is a good idea. He seems to run better in the better class races. This season, he has already ran respectably in the Winter Derby, although that was on the all-weather, and at Newmarket in the Jockey Club Stakes. His latest run at Newmarket saw him thrash the well regarded Casual Conquest, and if he even recreates that form then he has got to be in with a very good chance here. Of the rest – Doctor Freemantle will be popular, but I do not think that the odds will be very attractive. Good call Alex :clap Good to see the stable getting a winner more to come today i hope!

[puntyboy]

Re: Royal Ascot Sat 20th June

3.45 Golden Jubilee Cannonball 20/1 Hills Strike the deal 40/1 PP Lessons in Humility 25/1 PP Unlucky for the win Bowles but top stuff from you sir. :ok

[Lars]

Re: Royal Ascot Sat 20th June

Wokingham handicap 6f 4.25 Ascot (cl 2, G/F) ASSET trained by Saeed Suroor ridden by Frankie Dettori is drawn 27 so :hope for a change in fortune for the higher numbers, however most of the pace seems to be in the middle so depends on where they track across to, i would hope Frankie follows from his wide stall. This is a class 1 performer & its run behind Main Aim last time out (grp 3) was worth a second look, over 7f, held up & then made good progress late on the take 4th place 3.5L behind the impressive winner who stepped up to Group 1 class this week. Prior to that race, Asset won a listed race at Leicester over 7f on fast ground beating regal Parade 0.75L. The horse had 3 runs in Dubai all over 6f over the winter winning one of those (recent scorer Judd st in 3rd). Last seaosn the horse only ran twice in the uk coming 2nd at Great Leighs & also 2nd at Goodwodd behind Lessons in Humility who sidesteps this race for a crack at the Grp 1 sprint tomorrow. 2 seasons ago, Asset was only beaten 3.75L in the Betfred Sprint cup Group1 behind red clubs.That season the horse was 3rd in the Group 1 Golden Jubilee at R Ascot behind soldiers tale which must be its best performance only 1/2L behind Takeover Target in 2nd. That race is what i am basing this selection on as i feel the horse has all the capabilities still of winning a decent sprint race. In 2007, it also won the Abernant stakes in April. I just cant quite believe this is a 33/1 chance with bet365

Thought it had it then, had a little bit on EW. Hope you did too :hope

[bowles10]

Re: Royal Ascot Sat 20th June

Wokingham handicap 6f 4.25 Ascot (cl 2' date= G/F) ASSET trained by Saeed Suroor ridden by Frankie Dettori 2nd is drawn 27 so :hope for a change in fortune for the higher numbers, however most of the pace seems to be in the middle so depends on where they track across to, i would hope Frankie follows from his wide stall. This is a class 1 performer & its run behind Main Aim last time out (grp 3) was worth a second look, over 7f, held up & then made good progress late on the take 4th place 3.5L behind the impressive winner who stepped up to Group 1 class this week. Prior to that race, Asset won a listed race at Leicester over 7f on fast ground beating regal Parade 0.75L. The horse had 3 runs in Dubai all over 6f over the winter winning one of those (recent scorer Judd st in 3rd). Last seaosn the horse only ran twice in the uk coming 2nd at Great Leighs & also 2nd at Goodwodd behind Lessons in Humility who sidesteps this race for a crack at the Grp 1 sprint tomorrow. 2 seasons ago, Asset was only beaten 3.75L in the Betfred Sprint cup Group1 behind red clubs.That season the horse was 3rd in the Group 1 Golden Jubilee at R Ascot behind soldiers tale which must be its best performance only 1/2L behind Takeover Target in 2nd. That race is what i am basing this selection on as i feel the horse has all the capabilities still of winning a decent sprint race. In 2007, it also won the Abernant stakes in April. I just cant quite believe this is a 33/1 chance with bet365

3.45 Golden Jubilee A race thats has thrown up only 3 horses in last 10 years returning under 10/1 with not a favourite in sight! They say the foreign invasion are taking the sprints well, read on, only in 2003 & 2005 have they won this race with CHoisir & Cape of good hope. Characteristics of the winners are: 2008 - stepped up from 5f to 6f to win this as a 3yo (ran in Kings stand) 2007 - came back from 7f to win this (6yo) 2006 - multiple winner ran in Kings stand prior 2005 - Australian horse ran in Kings stand 2004 - 6f specialist listed class only 2003 - Australian horse ran in Kings stand 2002 - 6f horse listed class at best 2001 - Wokingham winner won 2000 - Ran in the Temple stakes over 5f at Sandown 1999 - Won the abernant at Newmarket so an array of different horses have won this race, in 2001 & previous,it was a Group 2 sprint called the Cork & Orerry. Unbeaten now in 8 races Ialysos has won 7 AW starts & won on its 1st start for Cumani in a listed event at Haydock. KIngs Apostle rarely runs a bad race these days & could be in the mix, likes big fields. KIngsgate Native would have to be something very special to repeat last years win & also without a prep race, i would rather wait for this one to land a big prize later in the season. Sacred Kingdom could be top class but 17 of its 18 runs have been at 1 track! Strike the deal is a horse i have championed thsi season & 40/1 is a bit of an insult to me, ok its group runs have resulted in 53192259549544 however it is a consistent group horse & it has had a good prep i feel for this race & we havent seen the best of it yet. Lesson in Humility is another lovely horse & very gutsy performer having finished in last 8 runs either 1st or 2nd on 7 occasions. its latest grp 3 win proved it could mix it with the big boys. So going with the poor fav stat & ignoring 2 that have travelled over. 3 horses at big prices for ew value would be Cannonball 20/1 Hills 2nd Strike the deal 40/1 PP Lessons in Humility 25/1 PP 3rd 33/1 Interesting to see the amount of winners that came from a run in the Kings stand 4 days previous. The american horse Cannonball is the only one this year to try this feat & must be consdiered after a decent run on Tuesday to finish 6th.

Thanks Guys, 33/1 2nd, 20/1 2nd & 33/1 3rd Thought i had it there with Asset at double SP odds :ok

[adam7982]

Re: Royal Ascot Sat 20th June Awesome work Bowles and alexmac

[bowles10]

Re: Royal Ascot Sat 20th June

3.05 – HARDWICKE STAKES BRONZE CANNON is a horse whom I really like, but I never seem to get him right. However, I am confident that he has what it takes to grab a place here, so an each way bet is a good idea. He seems to run better in the better class races. This season, he has already ran respectably in the Winter Derby, although that was on the all-weather, and at Newmarket in the Jockey Club Stakes. His latest run at Newmarket saw him thrash the well regarded Casual Conquest, and if he even recreates that form then he has got to be in with a very good chance here. Of the rest – Doctor Freemantle will be popular, but I do not think that the odds will be very attractive 4.25 – THE WOKINGHAM Pretty much the most bet on race of the entire 5 day meet this, and that makes it very difficult to pick a winner. All the horses in this are much of a muchness in terms of form and ability. However, there are 2 that I do think could be pretty well handicapped. Clive Cox trains JIMMY STYLES, who although has had training problems, looks very well treated here. He possesses a really high cruising speed, and that is a huge bonus in a race as competitive as this one. The yard are in excellent form, and the form of his latest win at Newmrket is working out pretty well. He goes on good to firm ground, and has also ran with great respect over Ascot before. Certainly one to have an each way interest in. The second I like is HIGH STANDING. If the rain comes, then this interest gets even stronger, as he seems to act best with a little bit of cut in the ground. I believe he has won all of the races he has contested over the 6f trip, and with Ryan Moore taking this ride he is in excellent hands. 5.30 – QUEEN ALEXANDRA STAKES This sees a number of jumps horses contesting the final race of the meet, and CARACCIOLA can put in a bold show for Nicky Henderson. He is a classy type, who possesses loads of stamina – as he proved last time out at York where he slammed the field in a decent 1m6f race.

well done mate, 3 winners on any ascot day is worth a :notworthy