Best Bet Of The Day ~ Sunday 24th

[BillyHills]

450 Fontwell : Hampton Court EW Horses are like buses, you wait ages for one and two come at once! Really like Dabaratsa in the 3.35 but in the end plumped for Hampton Court because i'm convinced he will pop up at a big price in a handicap sooner or later and dont want to miss it when it does. Finished in midfield a couple of times in novice races, running like he would improve for the experience or waiting for handicaps. On his first run in a handicap he was badly hampered and lost all chance but still ran on, the next time he didnt stay over 2m4f so was switched back to 2 miles, again made up some ground when all too late and to be honest want knocked about. Todays race is over 2m 2f which looks about right, rated just 94 which is fair enough seeing as I think he will definitely reach three figures and the trainer had a winner and a second last week so all in all looks interesting at around 14/1. Not around until after racing starts so hopefully this wont be taken out!!

[mowgli77]

Re: Best Bet Of The Day ~ Sunday 24th Casual Conquest - Curragh 3.05 Tattersalls Gold Cup Moiqen looks outclassed and is easily opposed, form comments generally read one paced, struggling and weakened at the end of its races. Lush Lashes is a very good horse but better form has been on good or firmer ground, one run on heavy saw it finish 7th of 9, I could see them pulling this out of the race as conditions are unlikely to suit. Famous Name has won over 10f at Listed Level and was 2nd in a French Group 1 but generally seems to struggle to get its head in front and has many places at group level that were not wins as the horse simply wasn't good enough on the day. It placed on heavy earlier in May behind Curtain Call but was beaten 3l and that was a Group 3 race. Thewayyouare demands respect just from seeing the words AP O'Brien next to it and he had a very impressive winner in Mastercraftsman at this track under these conditions in the Irish 2000 Guineas. It had 4 wins in a row as a 2 yr old, including a French Group 1 but it was with Andre Fabre back then and was running over 1m. It has had 2 races over a further distance in Group 1 French races and finished 10th and 4th and had no excuses apart from not being good enough. It will have come on for its seasonal reappearance but still might struggle to beat Casual Conquest. Casual Conquests form looks solid, it won over 7f on its 2yr old debut and then won a Grp 2 race over 10f by 6 lengths. It was 3rd in last years Derby at Epsom and winners from that race include New Approach, Tartan Bearer, Dr Fremantle, Curtain Call and Frozen Fire to name a few, all top class Group performers. It then turned out in the Irish Derby and was a 2l second to Frozen Fire with Tartan Bearer, Centennial and Curtain Call all behind. It's seasonal reappearance was a farce with lots of non runners leaving just a 3 horse field and that form is weak, the winner Bronze Cannon had only ever won in handicap company before that race. It travelled well for a long way and looked like it would win but I felt the ground was too firm and it needed some cut to see it at its best. 10f trip should be fine and on this ground they'll probably need to get a bit further and this horse has the proven stamina over 12f but the required pace for 10f too. Ignoring that last run I make this the clear form pick and expect it to have another 1 on its formline after this race.