Guest kojic2003 Posted April 21, 2003 Share Posted April 21, 2003 How can I make percentage for soccer matches(home win,draw,away win)?Can I calculate this somehow or I need some software? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest toshibakid Posted April 21, 2003 Share Posted April 21, 2003 hmm do u mean a league ? team ? teams ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest kojic2003 Posted April 21, 2003 Share Posted April 21, 2003 Re: hmm I mean how can make percentage for some match: e.g.WBA-Tottenham(1-...%,X-...%,2-...%) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest teaman20 Posted April 21, 2003 Share Posted April 21, 2003 Cal Go to www.betonsuccess.com and then arbitage and then calcualtion tools. Thats the best calculator Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest kojic2003 Posted April 21, 2003 Share Posted April 21, 2003 Re: Question? Thanks teaman20! :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest kojic2003 Posted April 21, 2003 Share Posted April 21, 2003 Re: Question? ....but this is not what I want! :( I'm not expert for english,so maybe I explain that wrong. I want to know how can I make probability(chances) for home win,draw and away win. e.g. HOME TEAM win.....54% ......draw.....................25% ......AWAY TEAM win......21% So,can I calculate this or does I need some software for that? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest raylin47 Posted April 21, 2003 Share Posted April 21, 2003 Re: Question? I have the same problem ,I wonder if it depends on the type of software you are running to establish this result. If you look at liverpool v charlton today liverpool at home results are 8h 8d 1L does this mean that they have nearly a 47 % chance of a draw or approx 5% chance of losing.Or do you take Charlton data into consideration 6h 4d 7l or does it get more complicated than that? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest OddsAgainst Posted April 21, 2003 Share Posted April 21, 2003 Re: Question? Kojic, I know exactly what you want, that's why I moved it here. You could use commercial software but it would involve a lot of testing to determine if the probabilites that it outputs are good enough to beat the odds. Chances are this is unlikely anyway. One way of doing it yourself is to estimate the expected scoring rate for each team in a game and use the poisson distribution to derive the match outcome probs. Another would be to devise a rating system and derive outcome probs. from the ratings difference between the teams. This involves a lot of backtesting over thousands of games to acquire the necessary information. No small task. No doubt there will be some other suggestions. You can then let us know if there is anything that particularly interests you. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tipstar Posted April 21, 2003 Share Posted April 21, 2003 Re: Question? Kojic Here is a simple poisson calculator which will give you a basic Home % draw % away % It is much better to set up your own spreadsheet if you intend to find out the %'s for all the leagues. poisson calculator Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest kojic2003 Posted April 21, 2003 Share Posted April 21, 2003 Re: Question? Thanks! I ask that because I saw some very unusualy percentages for some matches(e.g. Stockport in Friday) and I wonder how they make that.With that percentages Stockport is not favourit even he had better stats and better form. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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