MickyG Posted August 27, 2008 Share Posted August 27, 2008 I thought I would follow the footsteps of the likes of ScottyXS, Mr Accumulator and Winner4Me. With the footy season getting off to a good start I thought I would start a drip similar to the above where I lay the correct scores and bank half the winnings. For the purpose of the drip I shall be betting to maximum liability after half my winnings have been deducted. For the clarity of this thread I will only be using BetFair and deducting the 5% commission from the winnings. The story so far: Starting Bank: £32.12 (as of yesterday 26th Aug) Bet 1: 27th Aug, Lay Liverpool 3 - Standard 0 £4.50 @ 8 (£31.50 liability) Final score after FT 0-0 :nana Won £4.27 Banked: £2.14 New Balance for betting: £34.26 --------------------------------------------------------------------- Next bet for tommorow Bet 2: 27th Aug Aston Villa 3 - Hafnarfjordur 0 £5.52 @ 7.2 (£34.22 liability) p.s anyone posting to this forum, please be not disheartened if I do not reply until after 20:00, as I cannot access this site from work and can only get on after the kids have been put to bed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hooloovoo Posted August 27, 2008 Share Posted August 27, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! :welcome to PL....! And good luck with this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScottyXS Posted August 27, 2008 Share Posted August 27, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! Best of luck with this matey and welcome to PL, and the best section in it, the GH section :tongue2 With your initial 2 bets being of much higher probability than what Id be inclined to opt for off-hand, but the odds compensating that, it will certainly make interesting viewing!! :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickyG Posted August 27, 2008 Author Share Posted August 27, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! Thanks, I have seen how *easy* (kiss of death time :$) it seems to be. I hope that my success continues, at least if I bank half the winnings then I can resume after an inevitable big loss. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winner4Me Posted August 27, 2008 Share Posted August 27, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! :welcome mate. Best of luck with this. :ok I don't do lay bet's on footy mate. I do horse lay bets. Unless you mean laying in general? Just reads like i have done a correct score drip..but it is late...:lol All the best anyhow ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScottyXS Posted August 27, 2008 Share Posted August 27, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! Lol I may make it look easy at first glance with continuing runs of hundreds correct. But as my pal Mr A proved today, these results do happen, unfortunateley far too often, and these drips can be very unprofitable :( I applaud you on your banking strategy too, I use a similar one, and it does really help things when the inevitable loss comes along. Which hopefully wont be for a while :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickyG Posted August 27, 2008 Author Share Posted August 27, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! :welcome mate. Best of luck with this. :ok I don't do lay bet's on footy mate. I do horse lay bets. Unless you mean laying in general? Just reads like i have done a correct score drip..but it is late...:lol All the best anyhow ;) Oops, sorry for not being clear, I am coming from Laying horses as well but decided to try the correct score drip just to keep things fresh. I have been following your threads for a while to help keep my interest.The horses have started to get a bit stale though after a couple of losing streaks, just need to have a break before resuming at a later date. The last match was a doozy for me, as I work in Liverpool and was scorned upon for laying against their team (being a Manc an'all). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winner4Me Posted August 27, 2008 Share Posted August 27, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! Oops, sorry for not being clear, I am coming from Laying horses as well but decided to try the correct score drip just to keep things fresh. I have been following your threads for a while to help keep my interest.The horses have started to get a bit stale though after a couple of losing streaks, just need to have a break before resuming at a later date. The last match was a doozy for me, as I work in Liverpool and was scorned upon for laying against their team (being a Manc an'all). Ah i see mate.Yeah horses are my passion. And we all need a break now and then mate. ;) Good luck with this mate :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted August 28, 2008 Share Posted August 28, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! :welcometo the PL mate and good luck with your first thread! DC :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Accumulator Posted August 28, 2008 Share Posted August 28, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! Good luck Mr G Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickyG Posted August 28, 2008 Author Share Posted August 28, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! Bet 2: 28th Aug Aston Villa 3 - Hafnarfjordur 0 £5.52 @ 7.2 (£34.22 liability) :clap Not even half-time yet and 1-1. Won! Won £5.52 Banked: £2.76 New Balance for betting: £37.02 Total Banked: £4.90 Figures wrong above as I forgot to take off 5% Commision Won £5.24 Banked: £2.62 New Balance for betting: £36.88 Total Banked: £4.76 Not bad, time to look for the next prospective lay ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 28, 2008 Share Posted August 28, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! welcome to PL mg - good luck mate! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickyG Posted August 28, 2008 Author Share Posted August 28, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! Now for a risky one! Bet 3: 29th Aug Man Utd 3 - Zenit St Petersburg 1 £2.30 @ 16.65 (£35.99 liability) I really hate betting on Man U games as they always catch me out. But this is a glory thread so I am just going for it. My aim is for at least 5% profit per match, the above match should return at least 6.39%. Not too shabby. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickyG Posted August 29, 2008 Author Share Posted August 29, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! Just thought I would create a quick daily projection spreadsheet to keep me on target. Those tiny percentages soon add up and make a difference. :loon Note: I will update this post entry and keep the values upto date, rather than creating multiple replies with the same data. Going for Glory 1% Growth a Day 2% Growth a Day 3% Growth a Day 5% Growth a Day 6.5% Growth a Day Reality Day No. Date Day £32.12 26-Aug-2008 Tue £34.26 £34.26 £34.26 £34.26 £34.26 £34.26 1 27-Aug-2008 Wed £34.60 £34.95 £35.29 £35.97 £36.49 £36.88 2 28-Aug-2008 Thurs £34.95 £35.64 £36.35 £37.77 £38.86 £43.81 (using banked) 3 (betting ALL - Glory!!) 29-Aug-2008 Fri £35.30 £36.36 £37.44 £39.66 £41.38 Lost 4 30-Aug-2008 Sat £35.65 £37.08 £38.56 £41.64 £44.07 5 31-Aug-2008 Sun £36.01 £37.83 £39.72 £43.73 £46.94 6 1-Sep-2008 Mon £36.37 £38.58 £40.91 £45.91 £49.99 7 2-Sep-2008 Tue £36.73 £39.35 £42.14 £48.21 £53.24 8 3-Sep-2008 Wed £37.10 £40.14 £43.40 £50.62 £56.70 9 4-Sep-2008 Thurs £37.47 £40.94 £44.70 £53.15 £60.39 10 5-Sep-2008 Fri £37.84 £41.76 £46.04 £55.81 £64.31 11 6-Sep-2008 Sat £38.22 £42.60 £47.42 £58.60 £68.49 12 7-Sep-2008 Sun £38.61 £43.45 £48.85 £61.53 £72.94 13 8-Sep-2008 Mon £38.99 £44.32 £50.31 £64.60 £77.68 14 9-Sep-2008 Tue £39.38 £45.21 £51.82 £67.83 £82.73 15 10-Sep-2008 Wed £39.77 £46.11 £53.38 £71.22 £88.11 16 11-Sep-2008 Thurs £40.17 £47.03 £54.98 £74.79 £93.84 17 12-Sep-2008 Fri £40.57 £47.97 £56.63 £78.52 £99.94 18 13-Sep-2008 Sat £40.98 £48.93 £58.33 £82.45 £106.43 19 14-Sep-2008 Sun £41.39 £49.91 £60.08 £86.57 £113.35 20 15-Sep-2008 Mon £41.80 £50.91 £61.88 £90.90 £120.72 21 16-Sep-2008 Tue £42.22 £51.93 £63.73 £95.45 £128.57 22 17-Sep-2008 Wed £42.64 £52.97 £65.65 £100.22 £136.92 23 18-Sep-2008 Thurs £43.07 £54.02 £67.62 £105.23 £145.82 24 19-Sep-2008 Fri £43.50 £55.11 £69.64 £110.49 £155.30 25 20-Sep-2008 Sat £43.94 £56.21 £71.73 £116.02 £165.40 26 21-Sep-2008 Sun £44.38 £57.33 £73.88 £121.82 £176.15 27 22-Sep-2008 Mon £44.82 £58.48 £76.10 £127.91 £187.60 28 23-Sep-2008 Tue £45.27 £59.65 £78.38 £134.30 £199.79 29 24-Sep-2008 Wed £45.72 £60.84 £80.74 £141.02 £212.78 30 25-Sep-2008 Thurs £46.18 £62.06 £83.16 £148.07 £226.61 31 26-Sep-2008 Fri £46.64 £63.30 £85.65 £155.47 £241.34 32 27-Sep-2008 Sat £47.11 £64.56 £88.22 £163.25 £257.02 33 28-Sep-2008 Sun £47.58 £65.86 £90.87 £171.41 £273.73 34 29-Sep-2008 Mon £48.05 £67.17 £93.60 £179.98 £291.52 35 30-Sep-2008 Tue £48.53 £68.52 £96.40 £188.98 £310.47 36 1-Oct-2008 Wed £49.02 £69.89 £99.30 £198.43 £330.65 37 2-Oct-2008 Thurs £49.51 £71.28 £102.27 £208.35 £352.15 38 3-Oct-2008 Fri £50.00 £72.71 £105.34 £218.77 £375.04 39 4-Oct-2008 Sat £50.50 £74.16 £108.50 £229.70 £399.41 40 5-Oct-2008 Sun £51.01 £75.65 £111.76 £241.19 £425.37 41 6-Oct-2008 Mon £51.52 £77.16 £115.11 £253.25 £453.02 42 7-Oct-2008 Tue £52.03 £78.70 £118.56 £265.91 £482.47 43 8-Oct-2008 Wed £52.55 £80.28 £122.12 £279.21 £513.83 44 9-Oct-2008 Thurs £53.08 £81.88 £125.78 £293.17 £547.23 45 10-Oct-2008 Fri £53.61 £83.52 £129.56 £307.83 £582.80 46 11-Oct-2008 Sat £54.15 £85.19 £133.44 £323.22 £620.68 47 12-Oct-2008 Sun £54.69 £86.90 £137.45 £339.38 £661.03 48 13-Oct-2008 Mon £55.23 £88.63 £141.57 £356.35 £703.99 49 14-Oct-2008 Tue £55.79 £90.41 £145.82 £374.16 £749.75 50 15-Oct-2008 Wed £56.35 £92.21 £150.19 £392.87 £798.49 51 16-Oct-2008 Thurs £56.91 £94.06 £154.70 £412.52 £850.39 52 17-Oct-2008 Fri £57.48 £95.94 £159.34 £433.14 £905.66 53 18-Oct-2008 Sat £58.05 £97.86 £164.12 £454.80 £964.53 54 19-Oct-2008 Sun Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScottyXS Posted August 29, 2008 Share Posted August 29, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! Oh yes, dont I just know it :ok Thats the kind of thing that these strategies are meant for!! :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickyG Posted August 29, 2008 Author Share Posted August 29, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! I think I am going to shake this thread up a little bit once I win the Man U bet. Instead of banking half the winnings, it is all going to be compounded and used as the betting stakes untill 10 sucessfull bets. Once 10 has been reached I will take a little off for the bank and keep going for another 10 bets, then maybe bank a little more. I am going to try and get the best odds available for 3-0, 3-1, 3-2 3-3. Odds below 18 should give me a 5%+ return, odds lower than 9 should give me a 10%+ return. Most matches will be fair game, apart form the U21's and some obscure countries where high scores are a given!! Lets go for glory (or die trying :lol) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Accumulator Posted August 29, 2008 Share Posted August 29, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! gl mate , its always good putting a plan together Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickyG Posted August 29, 2008 Author Share Posted August 29, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! I know, it's not going to be completely wreckless as it sounds, there will be plenty of research before the bets are placed. After all if I do have a good winning streak the lay amounts will become quite large and even I would kick myself for losing over a silly bet. Hopefully if I put some aside over the course of 10 bets a piece, I will have enough to restart. Where else can you have this much fun for £30? Second thoughts don't answer that :lol Bet 3: 29th Aug Man Utd 3 - Zenit St Petersburg 1 WON £2.30 @ 16.65 (£35.99 liability) Won £2.18 New Balance for betting: £43.81 Total Banked: £0 (betting it all) Wiill update post as soon as I find my next lay. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 29, 2008 Share Posted August 29, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! Lets go for glory (or die trying :lol) :clap thats the spirit lad! :cheers:lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickyG Posted August 29, 2008 Author Share Posted August 29, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! To recap Bet 1: 27th Aug, Lay Liverpool 3 - Standard 0 *** Won 13.29% ROI Bet 2: 28th Aug Lay Aston Villa 3 - Hafnarfjordur 0 *** Won 15.29% ROI Bet 3: 29th Aug Lay Man Utd 3 - Zenit St Petersburg 1 *** Won 6.39% ROI Next one: Bet 4: 30th Aug Lay Arsenal 3 - Newcastle 0 £3.98 @ 12 (£43.78 liability) [8.36% ROI if win] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickyG Posted August 30, 2008 Author Share Posted August 30, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! 2-0 at half time, I think it is time to get a little worried :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickyG Posted August 30, 2008 Author Share Posted August 30, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! :crycrap 62 mins 3-0. I'll get my coat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jk Posted August 30, 2008 Share Posted August 30, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! Think we should get another one to be honest. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jk Posted August 30, 2008 Share Posted August 30, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! Two clearances off the line and some great saves by Given. Unlucky mate but to be fair, cant say that was the greatest of bets lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 30, 2008 Share Posted August 30, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! unlucky mate - arsenal had more than enough chances to make it 4 :( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickyG Posted August 30, 2008 Author Share Posted August 30, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! :lol Yup, never mind. Time to reloadthe bank and start again. To be honest I knew I would get caught out with the higher risk bets sooner or later, but I was willing to gamble them. Oh well spilt milk an all that. Time for a nice drink and contemplate tommorow.:beer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickyG Posted September 2, 2008 Author Share Posted September 2, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! Well after clearing my head after that shocking loss and reloading my account with another £30, I have been on the recovery. I have now got £22.83 profit from numerous bets, once I reach £30 profit I shall withdraw my recovery £30 and start again. Proof of bets below: Not bad for 4 days work, almost doubled my account :clap I found not posting took the pressure off. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickyG Posted October 1, 2008 Author Share Posted October 1, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! Ok time to update this thread with a new glory hunt. I apologise for posting in Aldrics post, but I will continue here. Update so far, restarted glory hunt with £30 and will be laying selective matches only trying not to get caught out. I started Friday 26th Sept and did well until St Patricks v Hertha Berlin which saw my weekends profit wiped out. Therefore I will be employing a banking strategy once I have double my bank again so that I ave a restart bank should things go pearshaped again. Updated my spreadsheet and entries thus far: Note: The target entries are for pre and post 5% commission. Total Banked £1.34 Bank Adjust Recommended Stakes Betting Balance £35.67 Ratchet Value £35.67 Total Bank £37.01 Odds Total Profit £36.89 Target pre 10% £3.57 9.0 Total Loss £29.90 Target after 10% £3.39 Profit Minus Loss £6.99 Target pre 7% £2.50 14.30 Total Bets 14 Target after 7% £2.37 Win Total 13 Target pre 5% £1.78 18.00 Loss Total 1 Target after 5% £1.69 Strike Rate 92.86% Match Date Kick-off Lay Score Odds Stake Liability Bet Outcome Profit (Less commission) Loss Banked Running Total Bet No. Weekly Profit Osnabruck v Koblenz 26/09/2008 17:00 0-0 16.5 £1.93 £29.92 Won £1.83 £0.00 1 FC Koln v Schalke 26/09/2008 19:30 0-0 15.5 £2.16 £31.32 Won £2.05 £2.05 2 Dortmund v Stuttgart 27/09/2008 14:30 0-0 16 £2.00 £30.00 Won £1.90 £3.95 3 Ipswich v C Palace 27/09/2008 17:15 0-0 13 £2.86 £34.32 Won £2.72 £6.67 4 Arsenal v Hull 27/09/2008 18:00 3-2 17.5 £2.30 £37.95 Won £2.18 £8.85 5 Paris v Grenoble 27/09/2008 20:00 0-0 10.5 £4.00 £38.00 Won £3.80 £12.65 6 Portsmouth v Tottenham 28/09/2008 13:30 0-0 13 £2.50 £30.00 Won £2.37 £15.02 7 Wigan v Man City 28/09/2008 14:00 3-2 10.5 £3.00 £28.50 Won £2.85 £17.87 8 Valencia v Deportivo 28/09/2008 3-1 15.5 £2.40 £34.80 Won £2.28 £20.15 9 Galatasary v Konyaspor 28/09/2008 3-1 5.9 £4.00 £19.60 Won £2.80 £22.95 10 Atl Madrid v Sevilla 28/09/2008 1-2 18.5 £3.00 £52.50 Won £2.85 £25.80 11 £27.63 Rushden v Altrincham 29/09/2008 19:45 0-0 17 £2.00 £32.00 Won £1.90 £27.70 12 St Patricks v Hertha Berlin 30/09/2008 17:00 0-0 14 £2.30 £29.90 Lost £29.90 -£2.20 13 Colchester v Leicester 30/09/2008 19:45 0-0 14.5 £2.10 £28.35 Won £1.99 -£0.21 14 Liverpool v PSV 01/10/2008 19:45 Any Unquoted 6.6 £5.65 £31.64 Open £5.37 £1.34 £5.16 15 £0.00 £5.16 16 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickyG Posted October 1, 2008 Author Share Posted October 1, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! I thought I would post this as it helps me keep on track! I keep a page on my spreadsheet with targets for 1%, 2% 3%, 5% and 6.5% so I can see how well I am doing. It is a real eye opener on a good run. Note: On entry 14 I adjusted the amounts to take into account the loss on the St Patricks v Hertha game, this way it keeps the entries level when rebuilding your wealth. 1% Growth a Day 2% Growth a Day 3% Growth a Day 5% Growth a Day 6.5% Growth a Day Reality Bet No Date £30.02 £30.02 £30.02 £30.02 £30.02 £30.02 26-Sep-2008 £30.32 £30.62 £30.92 £31.52 £31.97 £31.39 1 26-Sep-2008 £30.62 £31.23 £31.85 £33.10 £34.05 £33.90 2 26-Sep-2008 £30.93 £31.86 £32.80 £34.75 £36.26 £35.80 3 27-Sep-2008 £31.24 £32.49 £33.79 £36.49 £38.62 £38.52 4 27-Sep-2008 £31.55 £33.14 £34.80 £38.31 £41.13 £40.70 5 27-Sep-2008 £31.87 £33.81 £35.85 £40.23 £43.80 £44.50 6 27-Sep-2008 £32.19 £34.48 £36.92 £42.24 £46.65 £46.87 7 28-Sep-2008 £32.51 £35.17 £38.03 £44.35 £49.68 £49.72 8 28-Sep-2008 £32.83 £35.88 £39.17 £46.57 £52.91 £52.00 9 28-Sep-2008 £33.16 £36.59 £40.34 £48.90 £56.35 £54.80 10 28-Sep-2008 £33.49 £37.33 £41.55 £51.34 £60.01 £57.65 11 29-Sep-2008 £33.83 £38.07 £42.80 £53.91 £63.92 £59.55 12 29-Sep-2008 £34.17 £38.83 £44.09 £56.61 £68.07 £61.73 13 30-Sep-2008 £29.65 £29.65 £29.65 £29.65 £29.65 £29.65 14 30-Sep-2008 £29.95 £30.24 £30.54 £31.13 £31.58 £31.64 15 30-Sep-2008 £30.25 £30.85 £31.46 £32.69 £33.63 £37.01 16 1-Oct-2008 £30.55 £31.46 £32.40 £34.32 £35.82 17 2-Oct-2008 £30.85 £32.09 £33.37 £36.04 £38.14 18 3-Oct-2008 £31.16 £32.74 £34.37 £37.84 £40.62 19 4-Oct-2008 £31.47 £33.39 £35.40 £39.73 £43.26 20 5-Oct-2008 £31.79 £34.06 £36.47 £41.72 £46.08 21 6-Oct-2008 £32.11 £34.74 £37.56 £43.81 £49.07 22 7-Oct-2008 £32.43 £35.43 £38.69 £46.00 £52.26 23 8-Oct-2008 £32.75 £36.14 £39.85 £48.30 £55.66 24 9-Oct-2008 £33.08 £36.87 £41.04 £50.71 £59.27 25 10-Oct-2008 £33.41 £37.60 £42.27 £53.25 £63.13 26 11-Oct-2008 £33.74 £38.36 £43.54 £55.91 £67.23 27 12-Oct-2008 £34.08 £39.12 £44.85 £58.70 £71.60 28 13-Oct-2008 £34.42 £39.90 £46.19 £61.64 £76.26 29 14-Oct-2008 £34.77 £40.70 £47.58 £64.72 £81.21 30 15-Oct-2008 £35.11 £41.52 £49.01 £67.96 £86.49 31 16-Oct-2008 £35.47 £42.35 £50.48 £71.36 £92.11 32 17-Oct-2008 £35.82 £43.19 £51.99 £74.92 £98.10 33 18-Oct-2008 £36.18 £44.06 £53.55 £78.67 £104.48 34 19-Oct-2008 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted October 1, 2008 Share Posted October 1, 2008 Re: Not another correct score drip!!!! Lots of figures there!!! Good luck mate :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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