seepps Posted August 29, 2008 Author Share Posted August 29, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias S. Kuznetsova vs K. Srebotnik at 1.270 @Pinnacle Sports for 30 units :drums Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted August 29, 2008 Share Posted August 29, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias Nice going Seepps 12 from 12, Patty is up to 1.50 on Betfair now, wouldn't take her as win bet but good for a trade. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seepps Posted August 30, 2008 Author Share Posted August 30, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias P. Schnyder d M. Rybarikova 76 64 :clap K. Srebotnik d S. Kuznetsova 63 67 63 :wall The first loss :-( It was awaited here it is !!! Anyway the results are still higher than expected. Start bank 100 Current bank 192,75 Total staked 413,95 Total returned 506,7041 Yield 22,41% Profit/Loss 92,75 Winners 13 Loosers 1 Strike Rate 92,86% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uberpunt Posted August 30, 2008 Share Posted August 30, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias :clap great going seepps :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seepps Posted August 30, 2008 Author Share Posted August 30, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias :clap great going seepps :ok Thansk uberpunt. Hope it will go on ... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seepps Posted August 30, 2008 Author Share Posted August 30, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias N. Petrova vs F. Pennetta at 1.417 Pinnacle Sports 30 units Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seepps Posted August 30, 2008 Author Share Posted August 30, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias F. Pennetta d. N. Petrova 21 :wall Start bank 100 Current bank 162,75 Total staked 443,95 Total returned 506,7041 Yield 14,14% Profit/Loss 62,75 Winners 13 Loosers 2 Strike Rate 86,67% Here are the figures I obtained after backtesting. So now let's stop losing ... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seepps Posted August 31, 2008 Author Share Posted August 31, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias Safina, D - Groenefeld, A-L at 1.35 Unibet 30 units Hope the bad serial (2 loss) will stop :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seepps Posted September 1, 2008 Author Share Posted September 1, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias Safina, D d. Groenefeld 75 60 Start bank 100,00 Current bank 173,25 Total staked 473,95 Total returned 547,20 Yield 15,46% Profit/Loss 73,25 Winners 14 Loosers 2 Strike Rate 87,50% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fat Jack Posted September 1, 2008 Share Posted September 1, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias Well done Seepps. Over 15% - very nice!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arantxa Posted September 2, 2008 Share Posted September 2, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias Exactly. 5% Ok, now you know everything, no more secrets !!! Just guess it will be a good start !!! Hi sweeps, i think your system is a very good idea, but how do you calculate 5% better Odds?? Do you mean absolute Odds like Avrg. 1,30 should be 1,365 available to back or do you mean 5% more net. profite calculating 0,30*1,05 which means 1,30 Avrg. has to be at least 1,315 to be backed??:unsure Or does it even mean 5% "less" chances expressed in odds wich would be 1/1,30=0,769-0,05=0,719 -->1/0,719= 1,39 MfG B. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seepps Posted September 2, 2008 Author Share Posted September 2, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias Do you mean absolute Odds like Avrg. 1' date='30 should be 1,365 available to back[/quote'] Yeah, it's exactly as simple as this; no more. Thanks for your interest ... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
max winner Posted September 4, 2008 Share Posted September 4, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias I hear alot about the WTA being very upredictable, it seems you dont and im the same. Some testing that i am doing (whether its just the selection system i use or not, i dont know) but i find the favourites are quite reliable. I need to look further but then i may start a thread. Keep up with this, its interesting to read. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seepps Posted September 5, 2008 Author Share Posted September 5, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias Nothing for the semifinals. I think I've to wait for the next tournament to be able to place more bets :-( Wait and see... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seepps Posted September 5, 2008 Author Share Posted September 5, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias I hear alot about the WTA being very upredictable, it seems you dont and im the same. Some testing that i am doing (whether its just the selection system i use or not, i dont know) but i find the favourites are quite reliable. I need to look further but then i may start a thread. Keep up with this, its interesting to read. Thank you. Which data do you use to test your systems ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seepps Posted September 8, 2008 Author Share Posted September 8, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias I was afraid not to have any more bets !!! Bali / Flavia Pennetta v Vania King / 1,237 / Pinnacle Sports / 30 units :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
max winner Posted September 8, 2008 Share Posted September 8, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias Thank you. Which data do you use to test your systems ? I focus mainly on form when making my selections. Originally i was looking for nice priced winners but the in form players seem to be winning most of the time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seepps Posted September 9, 2008 Author Share Posted September 9, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias Flavia Pennetta d. Vania King 76 62 :nana Start bank 100,00 Current bank 180,36 Total staked 503,95 Total returned 584,31 Yield 15,95% Profit/Loss 80,36 Winners 15 Loosers 2 Strike Rate 88,24% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seepps Posted September 9, 2008 Author Share Posted September 9, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias Bali / F. Schiavone vs A. Amanmuradova / 1,333 / Pinnacle Sports / 30 units :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seepps Posted September 9, 2008 Author Share Posted September 9, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias Another bet for tomorrow : Bali / Hantuchova vs O Savchuk / 1,28 / Ladbrokes / 30 units Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seepps Posted September 10, 2008 Author Share Posted September 10, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias Hantuchova d. O Savchuk 20 :clap F. Schiavone d. A. Amanmuradova 20 :cow If the next shot is a winning one, it will double the bank !!! :hope Start bank 100,00 Current bank 198,75 Total staked 563,95 Total returned 662,70 Yield 17,51% Profit/Loss 98,75 Winners 17 Loosers 2 Strike Rate 89,47% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted September 10, 2008 Share Posted September 10, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias :cowCongrats on another two winners Seepps:cow Have you thought about betting on your picks to win 2-0? You would have had 14 out of 19 so far. Cheers and all the best Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seepps Posted September 10, 2008 Author Share Posted September 10, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias :cowCongrats on another two winners Seepps:cow Have you thought about betting on your picks to win 2-0? You would have had 14 out of 19 so far. Cheers and all the best I did, but the problem is that I would not be able to backtest my strategy because I only have home/away odds :-( Thanks for your wishes ... Hope it will go on. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seepps Posted September 15, 2008 Author Share Posted September 15, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias Nothing today despite the opening of two tournaments ... Hope new bets will come soon. Waiting impatiently for the next bet that will (if it's a win) double the bank. When doubled, I will also double my stakes. That will give stakes at 60 points. :loon It seems to be nothing, but when it's real money trading, it becomes serious amounts ... Let's see... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seepps Posted September 15, 2008 Author Share Posted September 15, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias Tokyo / A. Cornet v A. Wozniak / 1,4 / Ladbrokes / 30 units Tokyo / N. Petrova v A. Rezai / 1,22 / Pinnacle Sports / 30 units :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wumpking Posted September 15, 2008 Share Posted September 15, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias Hi Seepps. Good luck with these bets and hopefully your bank being doubled. Just one question. Have you thought about using a Kelly staking system as opposed to a fixed unit stake? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seepps Posted September 16, 2008 Author Share Posted September 16, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias A. Cornet d. A. Wozniak 21 :nana Here we are, the bank is doubled !!! :loon That's cool, hope it will be the same with the next bets.:hope Start bank 100,00 Current bank 210,75 Total staked 593,95 Total returned 704,70 Yield 18,65% Profit/Loss 110,75 Winners 18 Loosers 2 Strike Rate 90,00% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seepps Posted September 16, 2008 Author Share Posted September 16, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias I wanted to bet 30 units more on Petrova but I don't find odds at the same level (1.22). Anyway, for the next bet even if the one with Petrova is a loss, I will double my stakes to 60 units. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seepps Posted September 16, 2008 Author Share Posted September 16, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias Hi Seepps. Good luck with these bets and hopefully your bank being doubled. Just one question. Have you thought about using a Kelly staking system as opposed to a fixed unit stake? In fact, I've tried several staking strategies and it seems that this one is the most powerful. Anyway, I can't use keely staking as I don't have a reference price I would have calculated. To my mind, kelly staking is much more used when you're able to detect value bets. You have computed an odd and you find a bookmaker that propose more that your price; then you could use kelly staking. Don't hesitate to explain me your idea if my answer is not clear enough or if I've not understood what you meant. Pleased to read you soon... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seepps Posted September 16, 2008 Author Share Posted September 16, 2008 Re: Tennis WTA Bias Tokyo / D.Safina-D.Cibulkova / 1,3 / Eurobet / 25 units :hope I might have stake 60 units but I had an issue with my e-wallet :@. So it will be for the next time ... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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