aliando Posted August 8, 2008 Share Posted August 8, 2008 nothing more than the title syas atm - just a little system I'm toying with involving data manipulation and the kelly criterion. if it shows good returns, i'll do a proper thread and put a bit more explanation behind it. EDIT: all returns will be assumed to require 5% commision - this will be taken off before being posted. First bets: Brasil Serie B Santo Andre-Ceara19.30pts on the draw @ 3.40 America-RN-Sao Caetano7.92pts on home win @ 2.20 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 8, 2008 Author Share Posted August 8, 2008 Re: Paper trial longford v kildare 14.85pts on away win @ 5.70 cobh v derry 9.44pts on draw @ 3.85 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 8, 2008 Author Share Posted August 8, 2008 Re: Paper trial Consadole Sapporo 09 : 00 Omiya Ardija5.24pts on away win @ 2.74 Oita Trinita 11 : 00 Shimizu S Pulse22.48pts on home win @ 2.23 Tokyo Verdy 11 : 00 Albirex Niigata10.28pts on home win @ 2.44 Jubilo Iwata 12 : 00 Vissel Kobe12.78pts on the draw @ 3.70 JEF United Ichihara 12 : 00 Kashima Antlers13.72pts on home win @ 5.50 Kyoto Sanga 12 : 00 Kawasaki Frontale22.78pts on home win @ 3.25 Nagoya Grampus 12 : 00 FC Tokyo15.61pts on away win @ 4.50 Yokohama F Marinos 12 : 30 Gamba Osaka8.33 pts on home win @ 3.25 Urawa RD 12 : 30 Kashiwa Reysol12.28pts on away win @ 5.10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 9, 2008 Author Share Posted August 9, 2008 Re: Paper trial Brasil Serie B Santo Andre-Ceara19.30pts on the draw @ 3.40 America-RN-Sao Caetano7.92pts on home win @ 2.20 America Natal 1 - 1 AD Sao Caetano +i Loading... EC Santo Andre 3 - 2 Ceara Fortaleza wrong way round Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 9, 2008 Author Share Posted August 9, 2008 Re: Paper trial Consadole Sapporo 09 : 00 Omiya Ardija5.24pts on away win @ 2.74 Oita Trinita 11 : 00 Shimizu S Pulse22.48pts on home win @ 2.23 Tokyo Verdy 11 : 00 Albirex Niigata10.28pts on home win @ 2.44 Jubilo Iwata 12 : 00 Vissel Kobe12.78pts on the draw @ 3.70 JEF United Ichihara 12 : 00 Kashima Antlers13.72pts on home win @ 5.50 Kyoto Sanga 12 : 00 Kawasaki Frontale22.78pts on home win @ 3.25 Nagoya Grampus 12 : 00 FC Tokyo15.61pts on away win @ 4.50 Yokohama F Marinos 12 : 30 Gamba Osaka8.33 pts on home win @ 3.25 Urawa RD 12 : 30 Kashiwa Reysol12.28pts on away win @ 5.10 Consadole Sapporo 1 - 2 Omiya Ardija +i Loading... Oita Trinita 2 - 2 Shimizu S Pulse +i Loading... Tokyo Verdy 4 - 0 Albirex Niigata +i Loading... Jubilo Iwata 0 - 1 Vissel Kobe +i Loading... Kyoto Sanga 1 - 2 Kawasaki Frontale +i Loading... JEF United Ichihara 3 - 1 Kashima Antlers +i Loading... Nagoya Grampus 0 - 1 FC Tokyo +i Loading... Urawa RD 2 - 2 Kashiwa Reysol +i Loading... Yokohama F Marinos 2 - 1 Gamba Osaka +i wins on omiya, tokyo verdy, jef united, fc tokyo, yokohama marinos Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 9, 2008 Author Share Posted August 9, 2008 Re: Paper trial returns on winning bets: omiya - 13.64pts tokyo verdy - 23.83pts jef united - 71.69pts fc tokyo - 66.73pts yokohama marinos - 25.72pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 9, 2008 Author Share Posted August 9, 2008 Re: Paper trial bets 11 won 5 lost 6 SR % 45.45 outlay 150.72 return 201.61 roi % 33.76 stats not including the 2 irish games above Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hooloovoo Posted August 9, 2008 Share Posted August 9, 2008 Re: Paper trial good luck ali! :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 9, 2008 Author Share Posted August 9, 2008 Re: Paper trial thanks HLV - would quite like the 33% roi to continue LOL! brasil serie b villa nova - corinthians bet 14.28 on the draw @ 3.25 forteleza - gremio bet 8.16 on away @ 2.60 ponte preta - parana bet 2.38 on away @ 6.00 avai - bragantino bet 15.83 on the draw @ 4.00 marillia - abc natal bet 19.30 on the draw @ 3.40 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 9, 2008 Author Share Posted August 9, 2008 Re: Paper trial brasil serie a athletico mineiro - gremio bet 3.75 on home win @ 2.58 flamengo - paranaense bet 19.35 on home win @ 1.72 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 9, 2008 Author Share Posted August 9, 2008 Re: Paper trial finland - veikkausligga jaro - mypa bet 28.50pts on the draw @ 3.5 kootoopee - mariehamn bet 6.52 on away win @ 2.34 rops - honka bet 25.41pts on home win @ 3.15 haka - inter turku bet 7.92 on the draw @ 3.40 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 9, 2008 Author Share Posted August 9, 2008 Re: Paper trial finland - ykkonen vifk vaasa - oulu bet 42.66pts on the draw @ 3.65 jjk - kpv bet 9.89pts on away win @ 4.40 grankulla - haka helsinki bet 5.36pts on home win @ 2.30 kemi kings - tampere bet 5.09 on home win @ 2.12 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 9, 2008 Author Share Posted August 9, 2008 Re: Paper trial ireland monaghan - athlone bet 11.49pts on home win @ 2.46 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 9, 2008 Author Share Posted August 9, 2008 Re: Paper trial norway - tippeligaen aalusund - stabaek bet 5.48pts on home win @ 4.90 bodo glimt - viking stavanger bet 14.77pts on home win @ 2.68 lyn oslo - lillestrom bet 38.42pts on home win @ 2.70 hamkam - valerenga bet 22.48pts on home win @ 3.80 rosenborg - molde bet 15.94pts on away win @ 5.75 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 9, 2008 Author Share Posted August 9, 2008 Re: Paper trial norway - adeccoligaen hodd - sandjeford bet 5.72pts on home win @ 5.80 bet 5.60pts on the draw @ 4.30 sogndal - sandnes bet 10.06pts on away win @ 4.75 alta - start bet 5.28pts on the draw @ 4.25 sparta sparborg - lov ham bet 3.10 on the draw @ 3.70 bet 4.62 on away win @ 2.62 kongsvinger - moss bet 31.40pts on the draw @ 3.95 honefoss - nybergsund bet 10.29 on away win @ 4.80 notodden - byrne bet 11.79 on home win @ 2.03 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 9, 2008 Author Share Posted August 9, 2008 Re: Paper trial sweden - allvenskan gais - trelleborgs bet 8.94pts on the draw @ 3.50 aik - elfsborg bet 7.92pts on the draw @ 3.40 malmo - djurgardens bet 17.20 on the draw @ 3.55 ljunskile - kalmar bet 21.24pts on home win @ 6.00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 9, 2008 Author Share Posted August 9, 2008 Re: Paper trial sweden - superettan mjallby - sirius bet 15.54pts on home win @ 1.73 assyriska - enkopings bet 6.47 on away win @ 8.60 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRock_Discipline Posted August 9, 2008 Share Posted August 9, 2008 Re: Paper trial Impressive ROI. Good luck aliando! :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 9, 2008 Author Share Posted August 9, 2008 Re: Paper trial thanks rock - very early days but :hope longford v kildare 14.85pts on away win @ 5.70 cobh v derry 9.44pts on draw @ 3.85 Cobh Ramblers0-3Derry CityLongford Town0-1Kildare County kildare win returns 80.41pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 9, 2008 Author Share Posted August 9, 2008 Re: Paper trial bets 13 won 6 lost 7 SR % 46.15 outlay 175.01 return 282.02 roi % 61.15 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 10, 2008 Author Share Posted August 10, 2008 Re: Paper trial brasil serie b villa nova - corinthians bet 14.28 on the draw @ 3.25 forteleza - gremio bet 8.16 on away @ 2.60 ponte preta - parana bet 2.38 on away @ 6.00 avai - bragantino bet 15.83 on the draw @ 4.00 marillia - abc natal bet 19.30 on the draw @ 3.40 Vila Nova Goiania 2 - 1 Corinthians Sao Pauloloss of 14.28pts Fortaleza EC 2 - 1 Gremio Barueriloss of 8.16pts Ponte Preta Campinas 3 - 1 Parana Curitibaloss of 2.38pts Avai Florianopolis 3 - 1 CA Bragantinoloss of 15.83pts Marilia AC 2 - 1 ABC Natalloss of 19.30pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 10, 2008 Author Share Posted August 10, 2008 Re: Paper trial brasil serie a athletico mineiro - gremio bet 3.75 on home win @ 2.58 flamengo - paranaense bet 19.35 on home win @ 1.72 Atletico Belo Horizonte 0 - 4 Gremio Porto Alegreloss of 3.75pts Flamengo Rio Janeiro 1 - 0 Atletico Paranaensereturns 31.62pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 10, 2008 Author Share Posted August 10, 2008 Re: Paper trial finland - veikkausligga jaro - mypa bet 28.50pts on the draw @ 3.5 kootoopee - mariehamn bet 6.52 on away win @ 2.34 rops - honka bet 25.41pts on home win @ 3.15 haka - inter turku bet 7.92 on the draw @ 3.40 RoPS Rovaniemi 0 - 2 FC Honka Espoo +i Loading... KooTeePee Kotka 1 - 0 IFK Mariehamn +i Loading... FF Jaro Pietarsaari 2 - 1 MyPa Anjalankoski +i Loading... Haka Valkeakoski 0 - 4 Inter Turku +i jaro - loss of 28.50pts kootoopee - loss of 6.52pts rops - loss of 25.41pts haka - loss of 7.92pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 10, 2008 Author Share Posted August 10, 2008 Re: Paper trial finland - ykkonen vifk vaasa - oulu bet 42.66pts on the draw @ 3.65 jjk - kpv bet 9.89pts on away win @ 4.40 grankulla - haka helsinki bet 5.36pts on home win @ 2.30 kemi kings - tampere bet 5.09 on home win @ 2.12 JJK Jyvaskyla 2 - 0 KPV Kokkola +i Loading... PS Kemi Kings 0 - 0 TPV Tampere +i Loading... GrIFK Grankulla 4 - 0 KaPa Helsinki +i Loading... VIFK Vaasa 1 - 1 AC Oulu +i vifk returns 147.92pts jjk - loss of 4.40pts grankulla returns 11.71pts kemi kings - loss of 5.09pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 10, 2008 Author Share Posted August 10, 2008 Re: Paper trial ireland monaghan - athlone bet 11.49pts on home win @ 2.46 Monaghan United 3 - 0 Athlone Townreturns 26.85pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 10, 2008 Author Share Posted August 10, 2008 Re: Paper trial norway - adeccoligaen hodd - sandjeford bet 5.72pts on home win @ 5.80 bet 5.60pts on the draw @ 4.30 sogndal - sandnes bet 10.06pts on away win @ 4.75 alta - start bet 5.28pts on the draw @ 4.25 sparta sparborg - lov ham bet 3.10 on the draw @ 3.70 bet 4.62 on away win @ 2.62 kongsvinger - moss bet 31.40pts on the draw @ 3.95 honefoss - nybergsund bet 10.29 on away win @ 4.80 notodden - byrne bet 11.79 on home win @ 2.03 Honefoss BK 6 - 1 Nybergsund IL +i Loading... Kongsvinger IL 0 - 3 Moss FK +i Loading... Notodden FK 7 - 0 Bryne FK +i Loading... Sogndal IL 1 - 1 Sandnes Ulf +i Loading... Alta IF 1 - 2 IK Start Kristiansand +i Loading... IL Hodd Ulsteinvik 0 - 2 Sandefjord Fotball +i Loading... Sparta Sarpsborg 2 - 1 Lov Ham Bergen +i hodd - loss of 11.32pts sogndal - loss of 10.06pts alta - loss of 5.28pts sparta - loss of 7.72pts konsvinger - loss of 31.40pts honefoss - loss of 10.29pts nottodden returns 22.74pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 10, 2008 Author Share Posted August 10, 2008 Re: Paper trial sweden - allvenskan gais - trelleborgs bet 8.94pts on the draw @ 3.50 aik - elfsborg bet 7.92pts on the draw @ 3.40 malmo - djurgardens bet 17.20 on the draw @ 3.55 ljunskile - kalmar bet 21.24pts on home win @ 6.00 AIK Solna 0 - 2 IF Elfsborg Boras +i Loading... GAIS Goteborg 0 - 0 Trelleborgs FF +i Loading... Ljungskile SK 2 - 4 Kalmar FF +i Loading... Malmo FF 1 - 2 Djurgardens IF +i gais returns 29.73pts aik - loss of 7.92pts malmo - loss of 17.20pts ljunskile - loss of 21.24pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 10, 2008 Author Share Posted August 10, 2008 Re: Paper trial sweden - superettan mjallby - sirius bet 15.54pts on home win @ 1.73 assyriska - enkopings bet 6.47 on away win @ 8.60 Mjallby Solvesborg 1 - 0 IK Sirius Uppsala +i Loading... Assyriska Sodertalje 4 - 3 Enkopings SK FK +i Loading... Landskrona BoIS 1 - 1 IF Brommapojkarna +i mjallby returns 26.88pts assyriska - loss of 6.47pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 10, 2008 Author Share Posted August 10, 2008 Re: Paper trial norway - tippeligaen aalusund - stabaek bet 5.48pts on home win @ 4.90 bodo glimt - viking stavanger bet 14.77pts on home win @ 2.68 lyn oslo - lillestrom bet 38.42pts on home win @ 2.70 hamkam - valerenga bet 22.48pts on home win @ 3.80 rosenborg - molde bet 15.94pts on away win @ 5.75 18:00FTAalesund1-2Stabaek IF18:00FTBodo/Glimt3-2Viking18:00FTHam-Kam1-1Valerenga18:00FTLyn Oslo1-0Lillestrom20:00FTRosenborg3-1Molde aalusund - loss of 5.48pts bodo returns 37.60pts lyn returns 98.55pts hamkam - loss of 22.48pts rosenborg - loss of 15.94pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 10, 2008 Author Share Posted August 10, 2008 Re: Paper trial bets 47 won 15 lost 32 SR % 31.91 outlay 663.16 return 715.62 roi % 7.91 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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