macbeth9 Posted December 2, 2003 Author Share Posted December 2, 2003 Split I keep the stats on a spreadsheet and for my own benefit have been keeping "homes" and "non-homes separatley. I don't intend to do this every week but this is how the split looks Homes Staked 56 units Return 61.11 units P&L +5.61 units Yield 9.1% Win/loss 18/10 Strike rate 64% Average odds 1.76 Non-homes (either 2 or X2) Staked 68 units Return 62.83 units P&L -5.17 units Yield -7.6% Win/loss 20/14 Strike rate 59% Average odds 1.65 ( I also had one double which I have not included in either half). I feel that my X2s are not making enough contribution when they are successful, or they aren't successful enough, or both. I'm reading a very good book on staking and success rates and the like. Maybe it'll help ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Norfolk Enchance Posted December 2, 2003 Share Posted December 2, 2003 Re: Split Well done on the system so far, certainly looks like theres potential - Cjamers and Muppet seem to be doing good as well. Its an interesting split - worth keeping going with the X2s, although I think value is much harder to come by in aways, particularly when your using bookie odds rather than laying the home. Good luck Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted December 6, 2003 Author Share Posted December 6, 2003 6/12/2003 Two homes, 2 units per match Hull v Bury 1.67 Victor Chandler Ipswich v Derby 1.57 Victor Chandler Away, 2 units Partick - Motherwell 2.00 Ladbrokes X2, one unit per bet, therefore two per game Wimbldeon v Rotherham X 3.3 Pinnacle; 2 2.88 Skybet Stoke v Cardiff X 3.4 Totexpress; 2 2.60 Canbet Everton v Man City X 3.4 Premier; 2 3.25 Canbet Fulham v Bolton X 3.4 Chandler; 2 4.33 Ladbrokes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted December 8, 2003 Author Share Posted December 8, 2003 Results Again okay at home, poor not at home Homes Staked 62 units Return 70.33 units P&L +8.33 units Yield 13.4% Win/loss 21/10 Strike rate 67.7% Average odds 1.74 Non-homes (either 2 or X2) Staked 80 units Return 74.59 units P&L -5.41 units Yield -6.8% Win/loss 24/18 Strike rate 57% Average odds 1.83 ( I also had one Rangers/Celtic double which I have now included in homes). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted December 10, 2003 Author Share Posted December 10, 2003 9/12/2003 Two homes Sheff Utd - Walsall 1.62 Canbet :D West Ham - Stoke 1.44 Corals :o Away Bradford - West Brom 2.0 Canbet :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted December 10, 2003 Author Share Posted December 10, 2003 Midweek Two homes Sheff Utd - Walsall 1.62 Canbet West Ham - Stoke 1.44 Corals Away Bradford - West Brom 2.0 Canbet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted December 13, 2003 Author Share Posted December 13, 2003 12/12/2003 weekend selections Two aways Leeds - Fulham 2.88 Canbet Cheltenham - Doncaster 2.5 W.Hills Homes Arsenal - Blackburn 1.44 Premierbet Newcastle - Spurs 1.7 Stanleybet West Brom - Crewe 1.53 Pinnacle QPR - Hartlepool 1.67 Bet365 Bournemouth - Grimsby 1.91 Premierbet Torquay - York 1.8 BlueSq Hearts - Killie 1.9 Pinnacle Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted December 17, 2003 Author Share Posted December 17, 2003 Re: 12/12/2003 weekend selections Two aways Leeds - Fulham 2.88 Canbet :o Cheltenham - Doncaster 2.5 W.Hills :D Homes Arsenal - Blackburn 1.44 Premierbet :D Newcastle - Spurs 1.7 Stanleybet :D West Brom - Crewe 1.53 Pinnacle :o QPR - Hartlepool 1.67 Bet365 :D Bournemouth - Grimsby 1.91 Premierbet :o Torquay - York 1.8 BlueSq :o Hearts - Killie 1.9 Pinnacle :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted December 17, 2003 Author Share Posted December 17, 2003 Re: 12/12/2003 weekend selections Homes Staked 80 units Return 86.99 units P&L +6.99 units Yield 8.7% Win/loss 26/14 Strike rate 65% Average odds 1.72 Non-homes (either 2 or X2) Staked 86 units Return 83.59 units P&L -2.41 units Yield -2.8% Win/loss 26/17 Strike rate 60% Average odds 1.80 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted December 19, 2003 Author Share Posted December 19, 2003 19/12/2003 weekend selections Two points per selection Three homes Sunderland - Wimbledon 1.53 Ladbrokes Plymouth - Notts County 1.53 Ladbrokes Dundee U - Partick 1.62 Canbet Four aways Walsall - West Ham 2.25 Canbet Charlton - Newcastle 2.5 BlueSq Oldham - QPR 2.0 VCHandler Wycombe - Bournemouth 2.5 Stanley Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted December 22, 2003 Author Share Posted December 22, 2003 Re: 19/12/2003 weekend selections Three homes Sunderland - Wimbledon 1.53 Ladbrokes :D Plymouth - Notts County 1.53 Ladbrokes Dundee U - Partick 1.62 Canbet P-P Four aways Walsall - West Ham 2.25 Canbet :rolleyes Charlton - Newcastle 2.5 BlueSq :rolleyes Oldham - QPR 2.0 VCHandler :rolleyes Wycombe - Bournemouth 2.5 Stanley :rolleyes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted December 22, 2003 Author Share Posted December 22, 2003 Re: 19/12/2003 weekend selections Homes only Staked 82 units Return 92.37 units P&L +10.27 units Yield 12.6% Win/loss 27/14 Strike rate 65.9% Average odds 1.72 Non-homes (either 2 or X2) Staked 94 units Return 83.59 units P&L -10.41 units Yield -11.1% Win/loss 26/21 Strike rate 55% Average odds 1.84 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted December 23, 2003 Author Share Posted December 23, 2003 22/12/2003 weekend selections Man City - Leeds Home 2.1 Coral Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted December 30, 2003 Author Share Posted December 30, 2003 26/12/2003 weekend selections these selections are being posted after the event as I was at in-laws and unable to stop his cookie-blocker from blocking my access to this site. I sent the selections to Joe, and he will verify if required. Can instantly add results too, sadly. Four homes, two points per selection Reading Wimbledon 1.53 Paddy :( Mansfield Rochdale 1.57 Canbet :D WBA Derby 1.57 Ladbrokes :( Sunderland Bradford 1.62 Canbet :D Aways/Asian Handicap, 2 points Southampton +0.25 at Fulham 1.95 at Ladbrokes :( Huddersfield 0 at Darlington 1.93 at Gamebookers :D Peterboro 0 at Chesterfield 2.03 at Pinnacle :( QPR 0 at Notts Co 1.5 at Canbet :D :( Wrexham 0 at Stockport 2.05 at Pinnacle :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted December 30, 2003 Author Share Posted December 30, 2003 Re: 26/12/2003 weekend selections Giving Homes only Staked 92 units Return 99.49 units P&L +7.49 units Yield 8.1% Win/loss 30/16 Strike rate 65.2% Average odds 1.70 Non-homes (either 2 or X2) Staked 104 units Return 93.55 units P&L -10.45 units Yield -10.0% Win/loss 28/24 Strike rate 53.8% Average odds 1.85 Overall Staked 196 units Return 193.04 units P&L -2.96 units Yield -1.5% Win/loss 58/40 Strike rate 59% Average odds 1.78 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted January 3, 2004 Author Share Posted January 3, 2004 3/1/04 5 homes Man City 1.91 Totexpress Lincoln 1.67 Canbet Hull 1.57 Canbet Orient 1.73 Hills Ipswich 1.65 Gamebookers Two Asians Palace (+1) at Spurs 1.8 Bet365 Luton (+0.5) at Bradford 1.9 Pinnacle Three aways Forest - WBA 2.38 Canbet Wimbledon - Stoke 2.6 Skybet Dundee - Hearts 2.38 Canbet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted January 7, 2004 Author Share Posted January 7, 2004 Re: 3/1/04 5 homes Man City 1.91 Totexpress :( Lincoln 1.67 Canbet :D Hull 1.57 Canbet :D Orient 1.73 Hills :D Ipswich 1.65 Gamebookers :D Two Asians Palace (+1) at Spurs 1.8 Bet365 :( Luton (+0.5) at Bradford 1.9 Pinnacle :D Three aways Forest - WBA 2.38 Canbet :( Wimbledon - Stoke 2.6 Skybet :( Dundee - Hearts 2.38 Canbet :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted January 7, 2004 Author Share Posted January 7, 2004 Re: 3/1/04 Giving Homes only Staked 102 units Return 112.73 units P&L +10.73 units Yield 10.5% Win/loss 34/17 Strike rate 66.6% Average odds 1.70 Non-homes (either 2 or X2) Staked 114 units Return 102.11 units P&L -11.89 units Yield -10.4% Win/loss 30/27 Strike rate 52.6% Average odds 1.88 Overall Staked 216 units Return 215.02 units P&L -0.98 units Yield -0.5% Win/loss 64/44 Strike rate 59.3% Average odds 1.81 Homes still looks the way Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted January 10, 2004 Author Share Posted January 10, 2004 10/1/2004 Homes, all on Premierbet, 2 points Norwich - Bradford 1.4 sunderland - Forest 1.73 Man u - Newcastle 1.5 One away Darlington - Hull 1.83 Four Asian Handicaps, all 2pts on Pinnacle Wrexham (+0) at Chesterfield 1.8 Tranmere (0) at Brentford 2.05 Swansea (0) at Bury 1.79 Swindon (+.25) at Sheff Wed 2.0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted January 14, 2004 Author Share Posted January 14, 2004 12/1/04 Stoke to beat Wimbledon currently 1.8 = 1.76 after commission on Betfair Two points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted January 14, 2004 Author Share Posted January 14, 2004 12/1/04 Stoke to beat Wimbledon 1.8 = 1.76 on Betfair Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted January 17, 2004 Author Share Posted January 17, 2004 17/1/2004 Five homes, two points per selection Bristol City 1.5 Ladbrokes Plymouth 1.55 Gamebookers Peterboro 2.2 VChandler Bolton 1.91 Canbet Swindon 2.0 Premierbet One Asian, 2 points Spurs - Liverpool (-0.25) 2.05 Bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted January 18, 2004 Author Share Posted January 18, 2004 Re: 17/1/2004 Bristol City 1.5 Ladbrokes :) Plymouth 1.55 Gamebookers :) Peterboro 2.2 VChandler :( Bolton 1.91 Canbet :) Swindon 2.0 Premierbet :) One Asian, 2 points Spurs - Liverpool (-0.25) 2.05 Bet365 :( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted January 18, 2004 Author Share Posted January 18, 2004 Re: 17/1/2004 Homes only Staked 120 units Return 130.11 units P&L +10.11 units Yield 8.4% Win/loss 39/21 Strike rate 65.0% Average odds 1.70 Non-homes (either 2 or X2) Staked 126 units Return 110.77 units P&L -15.23 units Yield -12.1% Win/loss 32/31 Strike rate 51% Average odds 1.88 Overall Staked 246 units Return 241.1 units P&L -4.9 units Yield -2.0% Win/loss 71/52 Strike rate 57.7% Average odds 1.81 Maybe it needs longer than this but the non-homes is so dragging this down for the homes that I'm about to stop even trying. Homes still look good though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted January 23, 2004 Author Share Posted January 23, 2004 24/1/2004 Two homes, 2 points each Coventry - Colchester 1.62 Canbet Hearts - Partick 1.50 Totalbet Three aways, 2 points each Stockport - Plmouth 1.91 Canbet Sheff Wed - Peterboro 4.5 Skybet One Asian Handicap, 2 points Palace (0) at Bradford 1.8 Ladbrokes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Norfolk Enchance Posted January 24, 2004 Share Posted January 24, 2004 Re: 24/1/2004 The homes are indeed looking very promising - hope you can keep it going :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted January 28, 2004 Author Share Posted January 28, 2004 24/1 update Two homes, 2 points each Coventry - Colchester 1.62 Canbet :rolleyes Hearts - Partick 1.50 Totalbet :p Three aways, 2 points each Stockport - Plmouth 1.91 Canbet :p Sheff Wed - Peterboro 4.5 Skybet :( One Asian Handicap, 2 points Palace (0) at Bradford 1.8 Ladbrokes :p Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted January 28, 2004 Author Share Posted January 28, 2004 24/1/04 results Homes only Staked 124 units Return 133.51 units P&L +9.51 units Yield 7.7% Win/loss 40/22 Strike rate 64.5% Average odds 1.70 Non-homes (either 2 or X2) Staked 132 units Return 119.19 units P&L -12.81 units Yield -9.7% Win/loss 34/32 Strike rate 51.5% Average odds 1.92 Overall Staked 256 units Return 252.48 units P&L -3.52 units Yield -1.4% Win/loss 74/54 Strike rate 57.8% Average odds 1.83 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macbeth9 Posted January 28, 2004 Author Share Posted January 28, 2004 27/1/04 I've been sick all day, and unable to post till now. I had one selection for today which can be seen time stamped on www.blackwood-way.com, using username test1, password test1 I'd like to include this, if not its's only 1.2 units so what the hell ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Norfolk Enchance Posted January 29, 2004 Share Posted January 29, 2004 Re: 27/1/04 I'd say you can include it macbeth, can't see anyone having any objections :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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