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NZ v England - 3 Tests


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Starts in Hamilton this Wednesday (Tue night for you UKers). The 3-Test Series ought to through up a comfortable 2-0 win for England, based on player match-ups. England top 6 all average over 40; none of NZ do. NZ bowlers better suited to ODI canny containment rather than blasting through an experienced top order. But can't bring myself to get involved. Two series bets I do like are spreads on individuals. Vettori has a batting ave of 29.00 in home tests, and has 2x100 and 14x50 to his name in overall test stats. This bloke can bat and this looks pitched too low: 1pt BUY Vettori series runs @ 125 The other is also a buy, on NZ wicketkeeper performance. 5 catches a match would give 150 series points. This is optimistic, I admit, as if England fire (or rain), an England one innings test is a distinct possibility. Two stumpings in series yields 50 points. Could happen, as McCullum will likely stand up to some of the medium pace. Only 6 stumped in 29 tests, so again optimistic! But it's in the runs dept where any shortfall should be made up. Averages 30 in tests, plus huge confidence at the moment with the bat. This should go easily over: 0.5pt BUY NZ wicketkeeper series performance @ 275

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