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stay at home and get yourself layed


aliando

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slight adaption of last years thread as I wont be applying any martingale theory - i'll be laying the home side in football matches. Starting bank = 100pts Target Bank = 250pts Each bet to win 2pts thus varying liability. Will generally be the favourite although not necessarily odds on. If I hit my target, I'll bank 50pts and raise the win per bet to 4pts. Bets will be with betfair unless stated. :hope

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Re: stay at home and get yourself layed early matched picks for the weekend jan 12 lay benfica (v lexioes) matched at 1.29, liability 0.58pts jan 13 lay villareal (v deportivo) matched at 1.68, liability 1.36pts lay juve stabia (v martina) matched at 1.40, liability 0.80pts lay ac milan (v napoli) matched at 1.42, liability 0.84pts plenty more waiting to be matched and i'll look at england and scotland tonight

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Re: stay at home and get yourself layed couple more to add to the list... jan 11th lay bastia (v clemont) matched at 2.18, liability 2.36pts lay haarlem (v AGOVV) matched at 2.20, liability 2.40pts lay dordrecht (v veendam) matched at 1.80, liability 1.60pts jan 12 lay benfica (v lexioes) matched at 1.29, liability 0.58pts jan 13 lay villareal (v deportivo) matched at 1.68, liability 1.36pts lay juve stabia (v martina) matched at 1.40, liability 0.80pts lay ac milan (v napoli) matched at 1.42, liability 0.84pts lay lazio (v genoa) matched at 1.90, liability 1.80pts lay larissa (v asteras) matched at 2.04, liability 2.08pts

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Re: stay at home and get yourself layed decent enough start but could have had all 3 if agovv had kept 11 players on the pitch - nevermind, in profit.

Date lay versus liability/loss/profit won/lost/to run bank
100.00
Jan-11 bastia clermont 1.90 won 101.90
haarlem agovv -2.40 lost 99.50
dordrecht veendam 1.90 won 101.40
Jan-12 benfica lexioes -0.58 to run 100.82
Jan-13 ac milan napoli -0.84 to run 99.98
juve stabia martina -0.80 to run 99.18
villareal deportivo -1.36 to run 97.82
larissa asteras -2.08 to run 95.74
lazio genoa -1.80 to run 93.94
taranto pistoeise -1.70 to run 92.24
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Re: stay at home and get yourself layed not sure how much i'll be able to get on tomorrow so will keep updating as prices get matched - anyhting that doesnt get put on the board here wont be included in the stats here.

Date lay versus liability/loss/profit won/lost/to run bank
101.40
Jan-12 benfica lexioes -0.58 to run 100.82
charlton blackpool -1.90 to run 98.92
Jan-13 ac milan napoli -0.84 to run 98.08
juve stabia martina -0.80 to run 97.28
villareal deportivo -1.36 to run 95.92
larissa asteras -2.08 to run 93.84
lazio genoa -1.80 to run 92.04
taranto pistoeise -1.70 to run 90.34
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Re: stay at home and get yourself layed I've changed the lay out on my excel spreadsheet which should make it a little easier to read. Good start - could argue that it could've been better with some of the losses down to red cards, late goals etc, but they went in my fortune as well so not complaining. Most pleased with the benfica result - nice to have a successful lay at odds of 1.29 on your first couple of days! Hope to keep it going at this rate too.

Date Country Lay Versus Odds Liability W/L Outcome Profit/Loss Bank Won Lost Strike Rate Yield %
11-Jan France bastia clermont 2.18 2.36 won 0-0 1.90 101.90 1 0 100.00
Holland haarlem agovv 2.20 2.40 lost 2-1 -2.40 99.50 1 1 50.00
Holland dordrecht veendam 1.80 1.60 won 2-2 1.90 101.40 2 1 66.67 22.01
Date Country Lay Versus Odds Liability W/L Outcome Profit/Loss Bank Won Lost Strike Rate Yield
12-Jan Portugal benfica lexioes 1.29 0.58 won 0-0 1.90 103.30 3 1 75.00
England charlton blackpool 1.95 1.90 lost 4-1 -1.90 101.40 3 2 60.00
Italy empoli reggina 2.00 2.00 won 1-1 1.90 103.30 4 2 66.67
France strasbourg nice 2.40 2.80 won 0-1 1.90 105.20 5 2 71.43
England hampton & r thurrock 1.55 1.10 won 2-3 1.90 107.10 6 2 75.00
England oldham brighton 1.98 1.96 won 1-1 1.90 109.00 7 2 77.78 53.89
Date Country Lay Versus Odds Liability W/L Outcome Profit/Loss Bank Won Lost Strike Rate Yield
13-Jan Italy taranto pistoeise 1.85 1.70 won 0-0 1.90 110.90 8 2 80.00
Italy lazio genoa 1.90 1.80 won 1-2 1.90 112.80 9 2 81.82
Greece larissa asteras 2.04 2.08 won 1-1 1.90 114.70 10 2 83.33
Spain villareal deportivo 1.68 1.36 lost 4-3 -1.36 113.34 10 3 76.92
Italy juve stabia martina 1.40 0.80 lost 3-1 -0.80 112.54 10 4 71.43
Italy ac milan napoli 1.42 0.84 lost 5-2 -0.84 111.70 10 5 66.67 46.28
i think i'm working out the yield right - profit / total liability x 100 ?
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Re: stay at home and get yourself layed waiting to be matched on around 20 games over the weekend - put them on last night but still very little liquidity on most of the matches. Didnt overly fancy a lot and away after tonight so might not get many matched to put on here.

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Re: stay at home and get yourself layed didnt get chance to put up the matched ones for the weekend, so onto midweek - have only a few games that i fancy, one matched so far...

Date - Country - Lay - Versus - Odds - Liability
23-Jan - holland - heerenveen - vvv venlo - 1.45 - 0.90
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Re: stay at home and get yourself layed no luck here tonight

Date - Country - Lay - Versus - Odds - Liability - W/L - Outcome - Profit/Loss - Bank - Won - Lost - Strike Rate - Yield
23-Jan - holland - heerenveen - vvv venlo - 1.45 - 0.90 - lost - 5-1 - -0.90 - 110.80 - 10 - 6 - 62.50 -
- france - lille - le mans - 1.95 - 1.90 - lost - 3-1 - -1.90 - 108.90 - 10 - 7 - 58.82 - 31.70
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Re: stay at home and get yourself layed

Date - Country - Lay - Versus - Odds - Liability - W/L - Outcome - Profit/Loss - Bank - Won - Lost - Strike Rate - Yield
26-Jan - England - villa - blackburn - 1.98 - 1.96 - won - 1-1 - 1.90 - 110.80 - 11 - 7 - 61.11 -
- England - walsall - gillingham - 1.88 - 1.76 - lost - 2-1 - -1.76 - 109.04 - 11 - 8 - 57.89 -
- England - southport - worcester - 1.65 - 1.30 - won - 0-1 - 1.90 - 110.94 - 12 - 8 - 60.00 - 33.05
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Re: stay at home and get yourself layed

Date - Country - Lay - Versus - Odds - Liability - W/L - Outcome - Profit/Loss - Bank - Won - Lost - Strike Rate - Yield
29/1/08 - England - mk dons - macclesfield - 1.53 - 1.06 - w - 1-1 - 1.90 - 112.84 - 13 - 8 - 61.90 - 37.59
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Re: stay at home and get yourself layed obviously very early days in here, but have noticed that there is a strong % of draws so far (9/21 (43%) from games that are here and 5/12 (42%) of games that have been matched but without having chance to put on here) - will keep na eye on as may be more profitable if current trends continue...

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