cavello Posted February 17, 2008 Author Share Posted February 17, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 2nd 5/1 and 3rd 33/1 Loss on Bets today = -1.2 pts Profit to date = 247.18 pts :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 22, 2008 Author Share Posted February 22, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 1.40 Southwell Sweet World 1 pt E/W @10/1 with >BetFred:hope Dropping down in trip. With an DI of 1.8 this suggest the horse should be suited to the shorter trip of today. Weaken in previous outings over 10-12 furlongs. Could spring a surprise today Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevsul Posted February 22, 2008 Share Posted February 22, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Good result mate placed at 17/2 Nice early 10/1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 22, 2008 Author Share Posted February 22, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 1.40 Southwell Sweet World 1 pt E/W @10/1 with >BetFred:hope Dropping down in trip. With an DI of 1.8 this suggest the horse should be suited to the shorter trip of today. Weaken in previous outings over 10-12 furlongs. Could spring a surprise today 2nd profit on Bet = 1.5 pts:ok No Bets for Saturday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 24, 2008 Author Share Posted February 24, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Early Advices 2.15 Fontwell Go Aswell 2 pts E/W @4/1 with BetFred:hope Mister Pink 1 pt E/W @14/1 with BetFred:hope With an unproven favourite these 2 proven performers look to represent E/W value. Both are rated well above 100 which is usuall good enough to win novice races of this class Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 24, 2008 Author Share Posted February 24, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 2 .25 Exeter Richard's Sundance 2 pts E/W @5/2 with BetFred:hope Reasonable form in novice hurdle races and rated at a level which is usually good enough to win miaden races of class 5 standard. Distance or surface should not be a problem IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 24, 2008 Author Share Posted February 24, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 2,45 Fontwell Dr Hart 1 pt E/W @7/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope Winning pointer and did well at Ascot in a class 3 maiden hurdle. Looks a little overpriced here and may gives us some e/w value if 5 remain in the race Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 24, 2008 Author Share Posted February 24, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 I hope to put up some bets later. 2.30 to 2.45 and around 4.30 providing 8 runners remain in the races I'm interested in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 24, 2008 Author Share Posted February 24, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Add 2.15 Fontwell Noble Mintrel 1/2 pt E/W @18/1 with BetDirect(BOG):hope First run over hurdles rated around 70 on the flat and recently purchased from a claimer may be able to an impact in this race if taking to hurdles. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 24, 2008 Author Share Posted February 24, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 same race Omaley 2 pts E/W @3/1 with SportingBet. On what been acheived by the favouriite the 2nd fav looks a little overpriced at 3/1. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McG Posted February 24, 2008 Share Posted February 24, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Add 2.15 Fontwell Noble Mintrel 1/2 pt E/W @18/1 with BetDirect(BOG):hope First run over hurdles rated around 70 on the flat and recently purchased from a claimer may be able to an impact in this race if taking to hurdles. Looks like the world and his dog are on this - won't be surprised if it's down to single figures before the off. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 24, 2008 Author Share Posted February 24, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 3.10 Nass Tynne Again 2 pts E/W @4/1 with Stan James:hope Casey Jones 1 pt E/W@ 10/1 with Bet365:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 24, 2008 Author Share Posted February 24, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 O.O One a bit early and a risk wiyth only 8 runners but price looks too big Sir Bathwick 1 pt e/w @14/1 with Bet365:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevsul Posted February 24, 2008 Share Posted February 24, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 3.10 Nass Tynne Again 2 pts E/W @4/1 with Stan James:hope Casey Jones 1 pt E/W@ 10/1 with Bet365:hope Nice result there Tom:clap:clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 24, 2008 Author Share Posted February 24, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Last Bets for weekend 5.00 Exeter Rusterix 3 pts E/W @2/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope Pimbury 1 pt E/W @8/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 24, 2008 Author Share Posted February 24, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Loss on day = 0.6 pts The non runner in Dr Hart's race cost us a small profit on the day. Small profit on the week of only 0.9 pts. This week placed runners @10/1 10/1 and 20/1 But with favourites winning so many of the races we bet in a small profit is O.K. Profit to date = 247.98 pts :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 26, 2008 Author Share Posted February 26, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 2.00 Leicester Fandami 2 pts E/W @3.25 with Bet365(BOG) Rated at very similiar level to favourite Nikola over hurdles. Hopefully will jump better today compared to debut at Kempton. The favourite been running over 3 miles recently and this may help our selection Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 26, 2008 Author Share Posted February 26, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 2.00 Leicester Fandami 2 pts E/W @3.25 with Bet365(BOG) Rated at very similiar level to favourite Nikola over hurdles. Hopefully will jump better today compared to debut at Kempton. The favourite been running over 3 miles recently and this may help our selection :clap:clapWon 9/4:clap:clap Profit on Bet = 5.63 pts:ok Profit to date = 253.58 pts :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted March 1, 2008 Author Share Posted March 1, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 1.45 Kempton I Have Dreamed 3 pts E/W @11/4 with BetFred:hope Noticable 1pt E/W @28/1 with BetDirect(BOG):hope The first selection rated very close to the favourite and acts on any going. Noticeable run fairly well in a class 3 hurdles and this rpresent a drop in class for his 2nd outing. Rated around 80 on the flat may do better today on this track. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted March 1, 2008 Author Share Posted March 1, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 1.35 Newbury Aux de Bahnn 2 pts E/W @4/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope Based mainly on the figures. With in trading around 1.6 for a place while thes odds offer 2.0. So just a vlue bet based mostly on market comparsion. 1/2 pt E/W Phardanto @25/1 with BetDirect(BOG):hope Tried in a class 3 FTO over hurdles and when off at 14/1 won a poor NH Flat race but might have some hidden ability based on breding and purchase price Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted March 1, 2008 Author Share Posted March 1, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 3.25 Kempton Rodrogo Gonzales 3 pts E/W @4/1 with Bet365(BOG) Jeepster 1 pt E/W @ 6/1 with Bet365(BOG) One a solid proven hurdler and IMo closely rated to the favourite and a stayer from the flat having it's first race over hurdles for Miss Williams Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted March 1, 2008 Author Share Posted March 1, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 add Dalyan Dancer 1 pt E/W @10/1 with Paddy Power:hope Just plain value on marker comparsion trading at 2.2 for the pllace we are getting 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted March 1, 2008 Author Share Posted March 1, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 3.25 Kempton Rodrogo Gonzales 3 pts E/W @4/1 with Bet365(BOG) Jeepster 1 pt E/W @ 6/1 with Bet365(BOG) One a solid proven hurdler and IMo closely rated to the favourite and a stayer from the flat having it's first race over hurdles for Miss Williams :clap Yes another winning day in the bag:ok May be back later with another selection Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted March 1, 2008 Author Share Posted March 1, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 7.50 Wolverhampton Inside Story 2 pts E/W @5/2 with William Hill:hope Closely rated with the favourite and some collateral formlines giving us some hope of turning over the hotpot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted March 1, 2008 Author Share Posted March 1, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 O.K late Bet Circus Polka 1/2 pt E/W @8/1 with Bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted March 1, 2008 Author Share Posted March 1, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Profit on day = 12.60 pts:ok Profit to date = 266.18 pts :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted March 2, 2008 Author Share Posted March 2, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 4.10 Market Rasen Fort Amhurst 2 pts E/W @13/2 with Bet365(BOG):hope Rated 85 on the flat which would equate tp c110-115 if of equal ability over hurdles. Ran fairly well on first run over hurdles and if capable of the level 100+ over hurdles should make a bold effort. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted March 2, 2008 Author Share Posted March 2, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 3.00 Bangor I'm Dellilah 2 pts E/W @6/4 with ToteSport:hope Weaken LTO over 4 furlongs further. But her sire is a sire of milers so this trip over hurdles on a sharpish track should bring about n improvement. Her first outing at Kelso(another sharp course) was much better then anything achieved by her rivals today. Still not one to stake too heavily on. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted March 2, 2008 Author Share Posted March 2, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 2.50 Huntingdon 3 x1/2 pt E/W on the 3 below with BetFred Denise Dip @25/1:hope MattaKing @ 25/1:hope Sir Loenard @33/1:hope Profit if just one places if all 5 run:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted March 2, 2008 Author Share Posted March 2, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Right last bets for day. We are a little down on the day on advised stakes. But I hope you all helped yourself to the free money in the 2.50 Huntingdon were you could back all the runners E/W bar the favourite and were assured of a profit.:loon Well it been yet another winning week for me on all fronts.:ok 5.20 Huntingdon Sindanna 2 pts E/W @9/2 with Bet365(BOG):hope Goodwill Phil 2 pts E/W @9/2 with BetDirect(BOG):hope The first mentioned run well at this cours LTO when finishing very strongly. The second mentioned was gambled on LTO at Sandown and on breeding should find this sharper track more suitable Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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