cavello Posted February 9, 2008 Author Share Posted February 9, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Just one E/W value bet today. 2.05 Lingfield Throne of Power 1 pt E/W @12/1 with SportingBet:hope First time out this expensive horse could spring a bit of a surprise. The trainer/owner combination have a good record with FTO horses. Simply the best....Better then everyone....Cavelloman.:clap:clap Give me poor racing:ok :clap:clap:clap:clapForza del Cavello:clap:clap:clap:clap:clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 9, 2008 Author Share Posted February 9, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Profit to date = 228.28 pts:ok :clap:clap:clap:clapForza del Cavello:clap:clap:clap:clap:clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kamo Posted February 9, 2008 Share Posted February 9, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Just one E/W value bet today. 2.05 Lingfield Throne of Power 1 pt E/W @12/1 with SportingBet:hope First time out this expensive horse could spring a bit of a surprise. The trainer/owner combination have a good record with FTO horses. :clap:clap:clap:notworthy:notworthy:notworthy Absoloutely Brilliant, youre on top form mate :notworthy:clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 9, 2008 Author Share Posted February 9, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Note to followers of my selections After the winter thread ends(March 31st) I will start my summer E/W thread in the ATR section. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 10, 2008 Author Share Posted February 10, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 4.05 Exeter Silver Sister 1 pt E/W @16/1 with SportingBet:hope Rated at 119 over hurdles. Ran pretty well on first run over the bigger obstacles and hopefully will progress. With all the alowances plus a 7lb claimer looks to have a good chance of making her present felt in this race. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aykay1 Posted February 10, 2008 Share Posted February 10, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 non runner i think mate.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 10, 2008 Author Share Posted February 10, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 2.25 Kempton Oramas Ghost. 3 pts E/W @2/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope Running over further then LTO should bring some improvement plus the fav looks to be running over a distance that may be too far. Rest of field look very moderate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 10, 2008 Author Share Posted February 10, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 4.O5 Exeter With an odds on shot and 3 of the field over 100/1 we have an ideal situtation for some E/W value based on market analysis. King Loius 2 pts E/W @ 7/2 with BetFred:hope Ruustanix 2 pts E/W @ 4/1 with SportingBet:hope Keepthe Dreamalive 1 pt E/W @ 10/1 with BetDiect(BOG):hope Brave Jo 1/2 pt E/W @66/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 10, 2008 Author Share Posted February 10, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 O.K Now for some low level E/W doubles 19 x 0.25 pts E/W Dooubles with Bet365(BOG) Outlay = 9.5 pts:hope 02/20084.35 Exeter (Win and Each Way) Connak :hope14/13 Places 1/5 Odds To Run210/02/20084.35 Exeter (Win and Each Way) Oscar Bay :hope11/23 Places 1/5 Odds To Run310/02/20084.35 Exeter (Win and Each Way) Spare Cash :hope5/23 Places 1/5 Odds To Run410/02/20084.05 Exeter (Win and Each Way) King Louis :hope3/13 Places 1/5 Odds To Run510/02/20084.05 Exeter (Win and Each Way) Rustarix :hope7/23 Places 1/5 Odds To Run610/02/20084.05 Exeter (Win and Each Way) Keepthedreamalive :hope9/13 Places 1/5 Odds To Run710/02/20084.05 Exeter (Win and Each Way) Brave Jo :hope66/13 Places 1/5 Odds To Run810/02/20082.40 Kempton (Win and Each Way) Orama's Ghost :hope2/13 Places 1/5 Odds To Run Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowles10 Posted February 10, 2008 Share Posted February 10, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 GL today, well done yesterday that was some price! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McG Posted February 10, 2008 Share Posted February 10, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Cheers Cavelloman. Just having a browse around, saw the small tip for Brave Jo, took the 50/1 at WH, very happy with the result.:cow :hope for Connak in the next - got 20/1 at Sp Bet :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 10, 2008 Author Share Posted February 10, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 2.25 Kempton Oramas Ghost. 3 pts E/W @2/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope Running over further then LTO should bring some improvement plus the fav looks to be running over a distance that may be too far. Rest of field look very moderate. 2nd loss on Bet = -1.65 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gregprowt Posted February 10, 2008 Share Posted February 10, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 great work on the EW doubles Cavelloman :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 10, 2008 Author Share Posted February 10, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 4.O5 Exeter With an odds on shot and 3 of the field over 100/1 we have an ideal situtation for some E/W value based on market analysis. King Loius 2 pts E/W @ 7/2 with BetFred:hope Ruustanix 2 pts E/W @ 4/1 with SportingBet:hope Keepthe Dreamalive 1 pt E/W @ 10/1 with BetDiect(BOG):hope Brave Jo 1/2 pt E/W @66/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope 2nd and 3rd Loss on bets = -0.3 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 10, 2008 Author Share Posted February 10, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 O.K Now for some low level E/W doubles 19 x 0.25 pts E/W Dooubles with Bet365(BOG) Outlay = 9.5 pts:hope 02/20084.35 Exeter (Win and Each Way) Connak :ok14/13 Places 1/5 Odds To Run210/02/20084.35 Exeter (Win and Each Way) Oscar Bay :ok11/23 Places 1/5 Odds To Run310/02/20084.35 Exeter (Win and Each Way) Spare Cash 5/23 Places 1/5 Odds To Run410/02/20084.05 Exeter (Win and Each Way) King Louis 3/13 Places 1/5 Odds To Run510/02/20084.05 Exeter (Win and Each Way) Rustarix :ok7/23 Places 1/5 Odds To Run610/02/20084.05 Exeter (Win and Each Way) Keepthedreamalive 9/13 Places 1/5 Odds To Run710/02/20084.05 Exeter (Win and Each Way) Brave Jo :ok66/13 Places 1/5 Odds To Run810/02/20082.40 Kempton (Win and Each Way) Orama's Ghost :hope2/1:ok3 Places 1/5 Odds To Run Profit on Bet = 24.45 pts:clap :clap:clapProfit on Day = 22.5pts:clap:clap Profit to date = 250.78:ok :clap:clap:clap:clapForza del Cavello:clap:clap:clap:clap:clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sousa Posted February 10, 2008 Share Posted February 10, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Impressive stuff Cavelloman. Great ew picks mate. :clap:clap:clap Keep them coming. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McG Posted February 10, 2008 Share Posted February 10, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Cheers Cavelloman. Just having a browse around, saw the small tip for Brave Jo, took the 50/1 at WH, very happy with the result.:cow :hope for Connak in the next - got 20/1 at Sp Bet :ok And many thanks again - no double, but 2 small winning single e/w wins - very nice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kamo Posted February 10, 2008 Share Posted February 10, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Profit on Bet = 24.45 pts:clap :clap:clapProfit on Day = 22.5pts:clap:clap Profit to date = 250.78:ok :clap:clap:clap:clapForza del Cavello:clap:clap:clap:clap:clap Brilliant stuff as usual Cavelloman :notworthy:notworthy:clap:clap:nana:nana Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 16, 2008 Author Share Posted February 16, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Some degree of value for us e/w bettor today IMO 3,00 Ascot Lyceum 2 pts E/W @5/2 with Totesport:hope Zilcash 1 pt E/W @8/1 with BetFred:hope The first named could be anything or nothing but did win at this course LTO and the fav IMO looks a bit overrated IMO. The 2nd named is just vallus based on markets comparsions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 16, 2008 Author Share Posted February 16, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 3.25 Ascot Whiteoak 2 pts E/W @5/2 with Sportingbet:hope The selection clocked a better time then Soliya on the same day at Docaster LTO, The fav is yet to race at this level and may come up short while Helen Vision looks to have gone off Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 16, 2008 Author Share Posted February 16, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 2,25 Ascot Racing Demon 1 pt E/W @15/2 with SportingBet:hope Runs better on RH courses(jumps to the right) and hopefully will do better over this shorter trip. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 16, 2008 Author Share Posted February 16, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 add 2.25 Ascot Montet's Garden 1 pt E/W @11/2 with SportingBet:hope Just plain e/w value giving an edge of c20% based on market comparsions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 16, 2008 Author Share Posted February 16, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 again Add Volka Bleu 1/2 pt e/w @25/1 with BetDirect(BOG):hope Again based on figures. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 16, 2008 Author Share Posted February 16, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Yet again Add Fair Along 1/2 pt E/W @18/1 with Bet365(BOG) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 16, 2008 Author Share Posted February 16, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 yet again Howle Hills 1/2 pt E/W @33/1 with BetDirect(BOG) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 16, 2008 Author Share Posted February 16, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Some degree of value for us e/w bettor today IMO 3,00 Ascot Lyceum 2 pts E/W @5/2 with Totesport:hope Zilcash 1 pt E/W @8/1 with BetFred:hope The first named could be anything or nothing but did win at this course LTO and the fav IMO looks a bit overrated IMO. The 2nd named is just vallus based on markets comparsions. bothy unplaced:$ loss on Bets = -6 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 16, 2008 Author Share Posted February 16, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 3.25 Ascot Whiteoak 2 pts E/W @5/2 with Sportingbet:hope The selection clocked a better time then Soliya on the same day at Docaster LTO, The fav is yet to race at this level and may come up short while Helen Vision looks to have gone off Won Profit on Bet = 6 pts:ok Loss on Kauto Star race = -2.4 pts Loss on Day = -2,4 pts Profit to date = 248.38:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 17, 2008 Author Share Posted February 17, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 4.10 Naven 2 against the odd-on favourite. Based on direct and collateral formlines they appear to be within a couple of pounds of the favourite so IMO represent good E/W value Be My Leader 1 pt E/W @16/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope Kilcrea Castle 2 pts E/W @4/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 17, 2008 Author Share Posted February 17, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 add Naven 4.10 The Halfway Bar 1 pt E/W @10/1 with Ladbrokes:hope Bet based mainly on maeket comparsions but may be an improving novice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted February 17, 2008 Author Share Posted February 17, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 add again Badgerlaw 1/2 pt E/W @33/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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