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AFL Football - Round 18 (August 3rd - 5th)

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DeMMa

DeMMa

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Re: AFL Football - Round 18 (August 3rd - 5th)

I'm all over Collingwood (-30.5) @ 1.91 Also going with some value in a close one for the showdown (Adelaide vs Port) Either team under 15.5 @ 3.50 Anyone have thoughts on the Ross Glendinning and Showdown medal? Pretty much a lotto but can be some fun.
I go Collingwood -32.5 @ $2.10 :) Also: Coll/Carl - Over 192.5 @ $1.78 Cats/Rich - Under 203.5 @ $2.10 Good Luck!
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TazaD

TazaD

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Re: AFL Football - Round 18 (August 3rd - 5th)

Rush of money being put on Hawks. Moved into 1.70 at some bookies.
Fletcher out? Franklin confirmed in? ...Scott Lucas doubtful even apparently!...in fact as I scroll further down, Lucas confirmed out for tomorrows game. (Watch tehm win now with me holding the 1.80, only to see the Swans fold...:unsure) Under 203.5 in Brisbane tonight looks appealing...
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koi_saisei

koi_saisei

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Re: AFL Football - Round 18 (August 3rd - 5th) Mostly rumours of Lucas out on 3AW and SEN, but when are they right? They keeping moving in. I'm not convinced on a Hawks win unless Mitchell plays though, he is vital. However having Lucas out would be a massive boost as its the duo of Lloyd and Lucas that tends to win them their games.

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TazaD

TazaD

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Re: AFL Football - Round 18 (August 3rd - 5th) ...in fact taken. Kangas haven't topped 196 in their last 9!...only allowed 25+ shots in 2 of those games. And, take out the Richmond, Melbourne, Doggies games (3 pretty bad D's), they've av'd just 76.3 ppg in the other 6. Brisbane hold teams to 80 ppg at home, and just 76 in their last 5...last 4 games have allowde 19, 22, 16 and 21 shots! They've topped 100 in 4 of last 5 games, but against Carlton, Melbourne, Port, and last week's ultra-surprising smacking of Collingwood. First meeting this season was 150 @ Carrara...some bad kicking in that game, but I'll be surprised if there's more than 50 shots in this one. Will take some good kicking to get to 204!

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Ashtee

Ashtee

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Re: AFL Football - Round 18 (August 3rd - 5th) Archer out. Tough travelling month for Kangaroos but prepare well and are a little over the odds IMO. Worth a punt. Brisbane will have some weighty expectation off recent events. Sorry I didn't say anything last night about Saints/Bulldogs penchant for free flowing first quarters, however the Port/Adel showdown high second quarter scenario bobs up again tonight (3.95 Portlandbet). You all laughed at me last time but it did salute.

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stream

stream

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Re: AFL Football - Round 18 (August 3rd - 5th)

Fletcher out? Franklin confirmed in? ...Scott Lucas doubtful even apparently!...in fact as I scroll further down, Lucas confirmed out for tomorrows game. (Watch tehm win now with me holding the 1.80, only to see the Swans fold...:unsure) Under 203.5 in Brisbane tonight looks appealing...
TazzaD, enjoy reading your game previews. ;) sorry to ask, which website are you recieving these late changes from thanks stream (looking for late changes)
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TazaD

TazaD

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Re: AFL Football - Round 18 (August 3rd - 5th) Thanks stream. :ok I just look a lot at fan sites...bigfooty is probably the biggest and best. Whole lot of crap you have to slug through, but a few of the people that post are hard-core...go to training sessions etc. Can get some very good info... ...of course can get some rotten second hand crap too, but you'll soon work out which is which ;)

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Ashtee

Ashtee

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Re: AFL Football - Round 18 (August 3rd - 5th)

... however the Port/Adel showdown high second quarter scenario bobs up again tonight (3.95 Portlandbet). You all laughed at me last time but it did salute.
You laughed again, I know you did! ;) Kangaroos all to flat, which did look a fair possibility and Bris doing it very well. :\ Got to admire the coaching at that club.
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Ashtee

Ashtee

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Re: AFL Football - Round 18 (August 3rd - 5th)

... And thoughts on Freo + 22.5?
KPI game for Harvey and have not elected to go with youth (even omitting Drum), so appear very keen to make amends for last weeks effort (against a team that has shown more consistent focus this year than WCE). If they produce the same form as the Adelaide game then they are a top chance, and this what I think is the strong possibility. Looks like a genuine Derby coming up. I prefer to punt with balls, and there is a juicy 3.80 at TAB. However I'm aware that there is obviously female participants here also (and respectfully, I know many females like to look after the home front and play it safe. I prefer to maximise long term profits). So if you are a girl then by all means take the +22.5.
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Ashtee

Ashtee

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Re: AFL Football - Round 18 (August 3rd - 5th) 8.5 fourth quarters of the last 15 Perth Derby's have been highest scoring quarter (including the one earlier this season, so it would make it four from four this season for Derby's if the trend salutes today). 3.75 @ both Spotsbet and Portlandbet.

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Guest

Guest

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Re: AFL Football - Round 18 (August 3rd - 5th) Demma, I heard Roberston is out for the Demons.. I was on the same bet until I heard this news. The biggest winning margin at Canberra is 55 points and the conditions may be windy also. I still think the Swans will give that a nudge today. Swans -43.5 points

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Ashtee

Ashtee

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Re: AFL Football - Round 18 (August 3rd - 5th) Would be a very profitable weekend for anyone following this weeks thread. :clap

West Coast vs Fremantle at Subiaco on Sun Aug 05 2007 (AFL : Round 18) timepiece.gif
Bookmaker West Coast Line Fremantle Line
Pinnacle (C'Bean) 1.21 (-23.5) 1.91 5.00 (+23.5) 2.00
Thought surely Pavlich, Farmer out or something with Freo drifting from 3.6 during the week. Pinnacle were under total siege the hour leading to game time and just kept turning the West Coast price in. I can understand anyone taking the 1.36 mid-week if they were confident but quite frankly those taking one twenty something got exactly what they deserved. As a matter of fact, felt odd holding 3.60 when 5.00 available at jump, although did arb myself a bit better price and topped up with a decent piece of the girlie +19.5 @ 2.40 (net) Betfair seeing as the gooses were so sure of themselves. :eyes And, uh hum! Four from four with the 'High Scoring Quarter' Derby's trend. :ok Enough cockiness, I suppose. The Lord knows what to do with that. :D
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Ashtee

Ashtee

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Re: AFL Football - Round 18 (August 3rd - 5th)

Pos TeamPlayedWonDrawnLostForAgainst%Points
1Geelong1815032075129416060
2Kangaroos1812061672158910548
3Hawthorn1811071680146911444
4Port Adelaide1811071888167711244
5West Coast1811071688152511044
6Collingwood1811071658163610144
7Sydney1810081669140011940
8Brisbane189181669147611338
9St. Kilda18918148315659438
10Western Bulldogs18918179119259338
11Adelaide189091524140110836
12Essendon18909177318959336
13Fremantle188010178917939932
14Carlton184014177923777416
15Melbourne183015146719987312
16Richmond18111615452130726
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888

888

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Re: AFL Football - Round 18 (August 3rd - 5th)

Would be a very profitable weekend for anyone following this weeks thread. :clap
West Coast vs Fremantle at Subiaco on Sun Aug 05 2007 (AFL : Round 18) timepiece.gif
Bookmaker West Coast Line Fremantle Line
Pinnacle (C'Bean) 1.21 (-23.5) 1.91 5.00 (+23.5) 2.00
Thought surely Pavlich, Farmer out or something with Freo drifting from 3.6 during the week. Pinnacle were under total siege the hour leading to game time and just kept turning the West Coast price in. I can understand anyone taking the 1.36 mid-week if they were confident but quite frankly those taking one twenty something got exactly what they deserved. As a matter of fact, felt odd holding 3.60 when 5.00 available at jump, although did arb myself a bit better price and topped up with a decent piece of the girlie +19.5 @ 2.40 (net) Betfair seeing as the gooses were so sure of themselves. :eyes And, uh hum! Four from four with the 'High Scoring Quarter' Derby's trend. :ok Enough cockiness, I suppose. The Lord knows what to do with that. :D
Superb mate, I have some of them yesterday after seeing your tips on sports-punters website. But I wish I would of waited a bit longer. Odds @ 5 WTF !!!! :loon I grabbed mine when it is around 3.90 in Pinnacle. :clap:clap:clap:clap:clap
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