NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st)

[Jumbo]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st)

Never seen you go below 1.8 Jumbdiddly; good luck :)

I normally dont,but I plouged 5k into the Titans last night and lost and then plouged 10k on Huddersfield to win it back with the extra 1.3k,but as far as my bet on the Eels is concerned,I actually think that the Bookies have done a very good job this week and cannot truly split the 4 points on offer for the Eels,however I have a very good feeling that the Eels will win here tonight so I had no reservations on putting the bet on,it is already on at odds of 1.65 when placed,if it wins I have won almost 4.5 on the weekend to date,so it will be very nice,and this is'nt even the bet I would perceive as being the best of the weekend,and that bet is the Sharks to beat the Bulldogs. But we will soon see if I'm correct,won't we.:hope

[blackcrow]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) Parramatta win by 13+ margin @ 3.00 Thurston is a big loss for the Cowboys as he has been excellent in recent weeks and organises most of their attacks. The Cowboys tend to struggle without him and this could be the case again as Bowen works well with Thurston rather than having to do it all himself. The Cowboys were woeful at home to the Panthers and i expect Parramatta to pile on more pressure on them. An added problem is that they without their coach Murray who coaches NSW for the State of Origin matches. Parramatta have been playing relatively well in recent weeks and even though they lose an inspirational player in Hindmarsh, they still have enough quality in the team to win this and win well. They have many more options than the Cowboys and they will look to make up for last weeks loss to get back up into the top 8 Melboune win by 1-12 margin @ 3.00 Normally you would expect the Storm to smash the Roosters but there are sebveral variables which make thus a more even contest. The Storm have lost quite a few players to rep. duty as have the Roosters. The Storm played well last week but the opposition were quite poor and handed them the victory. They haven't been playing at their maximum at all during the year and without some of their leading playmakers this could see some confusion and uncertainty. Also the fact that they are backing up from Monday night could play into the Roosters hands to make this a competitive game. The Roosters are pretty ordinary but have some players that could cause some damage. Can't see them winning but can see a Storm win but not by more than two converted tries

[Jumbo]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) Good luck bro.

[bozz]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) Only one bet for me 2nite, Billy Slater to score a try anytime 2.0. I think the kid will be extra motivated and raring to prove a point for the origin snub & roosters don't have the best defence in the world. GL everyone!

[Jumbo]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) Well done to all on the Eels pick,the Storm match holds little intrest for me,so I will bid you all goodnight,but before I go,Leyton Hewitt is playing Nadal tonight as well as the Super 14 final and the FA cup final,I have small wagers on all these things,heres the way I am going tonight... 10 on Nadal to beat Hewitt 2 - 1 at 4.50,Great odds. 25 on Sharks to beat the Bulls in the Super 14 final at 2.25 and 50 on Man United to win in 90mins at 2.50 All very good odds and only small bets,but tomorrow we have a rather large bet to make on the NRL,so untill then,well done and good luck with the Storm game guys,I also took them at 1-12.

[D3Z1R3]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) just wanted to say congrats Jumbo on the parra win

[Jumbo]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st)

just wanted to say congrats Jumbo on the parra win

Thanks mate,hows the studies going,SWEET AS!!, aye bro:ok I hope you took the Dragons like you said mate and did'nt listen to us idiots on the Titans.lol :lol

[Jumbo]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) Hello everyone,for today we will go.... Warriors vs Tigers The Warriors need to correct their last play options and I think Witt into half back is the correct option,however Ropati will need to really likt his game today as he looks anything but a standoff at present.Price is out and although only one player his 180 yards and 35 tackles will be missed. The Tigers are at full strenght for this match and would be very confident with the way they are playing at present,their form reminds you of their run to win the GF a few years ago,but in truth where the Tigers strenghts really lie is in Farrah and youth,the Tigers are still a very much young side with some good old heads thrown in,they have not been overshadowed in any games this season and I doubt they will today either. The Tiugers have lost their last 4 here,but some of those matches were in the driving rain,it looks like rain here at present,but probaly will not happen,it';s looked like rain for the last two days here. The Warriors need to find some spark in attack,the Tigers are having no problems in that department and can score from inside thier own half with ease it would seem.The Tigers and Warriors on paper look very even but as far as form is the Tigers are streaks ahead of the Warriors and really should win here today.My major concern for the Warriors today is that Ropati is at standoff as he really displayed some not very stand off type options last week,and also because it's his and Witts first time together in attack.For the Tigers they have Hodgson,Farrah,Collis and Tuiaki who are all very stron runners with the exception of Hodgson who is a great support runner,In my opinion the difference will be Farrah and his dummy half running,so for me it's the Tigers. Not to much value on this match but i'll have a couple of small excitemenbt bets... 10 on Farrah to score a try anytime @ 3.75 25 on Tigers win @ 2.35 Bulldogs vs Sharks Now if we want to make some money today,then this is the match in my eyes,The Bulldogs may hold the advantage over the Sharks at the h2h between these two,but if we go on recent form the Sharks should win by 13 + today. The Bulldogs played on Monday and got thumped by the Storm,they now face a Sharks side who with Souths are the only side to back up well afetr a MNF match.The Bulldogs look bad enough without losing Mason,O'Mely and Ryan,but what has really let the Dogs down is their effort,they are in matches and then just as quickly are completly out of matches,they look great one minutie and terrible the next,not good signs for today. Like Ricky Stuart or not,you have to give him some credit as he has this Sharks side ticking over like clockwork at present.They are 2nd in defence and 2nd in metres gained and they are at full streght for todays clash.The Sharks forward pack and this is a big call are in the top 4 forward packs in the comp,with Thompson,Gallen,Bird they are all playing very well and then with Kimmorley(how he missed out on Origin is a mystery to me) and Dykes in as the Halves and then Kearney,Anderson,Pommeroiy all in the backline,they are looking very solid today. If the Bulldogs play their usual up the middle approach they will find no joy as the Sharks in the ruck are a very tough pack to get over and even out wide the Sharks have size and strenght in their backs so the Bulldogs will not find much joy out there either. I like the Sharks today alot and if we go on form the Sharks will win here by alot,I expect the Sharks to come out and players like Thompson and Gallen to go on crusades to make the Bulldogs pack realise just how under manned they really are,look for the Sharks to really try and get nover the Dogs in the first 40 and then run away in the second half. 10 Sharks 13+ at 3.80 3k on Sharks to win @ 1.80 Good Luck everyone.

[Jumbo]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) I'm starting to find this place almost humerous now,I can't even ask a question without being told off,now i'm even silly,I have'nt heard those words in ages.lol

[Crouch Potato]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) Wasn't around yesterday which is probably a good thing as I would've been on the Roosters handicap in all likelihood. Very much agree with Jumbo that the Sharks look the best today and I think I shall be following suit, although I'm not too sure of the 13+. Gallen, Thompson, Bird and Williams have been immense in the Sharks forwards and it's quite amazing to me that neither Bird or Gallen are in the NSW side. Anyway, I am expecting the Sharks to do enough today to win. In the other game I like the look of the Tigers but it's a hard game to call. Warriors are never an easy team to call and today they could well respond and upset the tips of many punters again. I might wait to see what the majority of people are on then do the opposite, as that seems to be the way Warriors games go!

[Jumbo]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) Good Luck bro. I think I know hot to fit in here,I'll change my signature to Senior Punter,Serious Punter,Seasoned Punter,Expert Tipster or how about just plain old"I'm the greatest tipster ever" or maybe when I get a tip correct I'll quote my own bet and say underneath it "Yes,look at me,I picked that,yes,it was me,I'm the greatest".Like others on this site like to do. People seem to think I have an attitude,my attitude is simple,I don't take to much crap in real life and find these sorts of places very strange,as people seem to grow 10ft tall and bulletproof when no one can get to them,I'm the same in real life or on here,so for me there is no attitude,like me or hate me,I still make you some money though don't I?? And thats reason enough to keep me around is'nt it?? I don't like to be disrespected and I don't disrespect to many others straight off the bat either,if certain people on here can't handle me,then kick me out,it means little to me,but to those who want and think they derserve respect,then don't take crap lying down,none of us need to and none of us should.

[Crouch Potato]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) I've been a bit burried in the poker forum of late so I'm not fully aware what's been going on mate. I saw the posts in the ESL forum but that's the only thing I can remember. Either way mate it's good to have you around in the NRL thread.

[Jumbo]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) Yeah,I know what you are saying Crouch bro,I think i'll stay here and not wander to far away,as outside of here,the people are none to friendly,Igeuss life really is different down here compared to merry old England.

[Jumbo]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) Crouch mate,have you seen some of the odds for the Serie A tonight,Roma $7,Lazio $4,Inter $3,mate have a look aand drop a line on what you reckon.

[meatman]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) oh Jumbo calm down a bit mate You have produced some good write ups and good bets, a good contributer to PL. Course you can fit in here, and I'm sure you are respected by many But you have to be careful what you say sometimes. Kevshat said one comment on the other thread and this has now developed into a bit of an over-reaction IMO. I could go on about a number of things you have said but I am not that sort of person. Lets just forget this and move on, its the sensible option

[blackcrow]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) Sharks -4.5 @ 2.00 Sharks have been playing well and meet the Bulldogs at a good time where they have several players out. The Sharks forwards have been solid and with Kimmorley's kicking game, they look a good bet to win. The Sharks have a great defensive line and without their premier forwards, the Bulldogs will find it very hard to bust it. Also they are backing up from Monday's game so some fatigue may set in. Tigers win The Tigers have won their last 4 games and are playing with confidence. They go into this game with virtually a full strength side (Marshall being the main casuality). They ahve some good dummy half runners and will look to exploit their speed around the rucks to tire out the big Warriors forwards, who have shown in recent weeks to tire very badly in the last 20 minutes of a game. The loss of Price to State of origin also hurts the Warriors quite badly as he has been their best player over the course of the season. The Tigers should have all the answers for the Warriors to come out deserved victors Like your picks once again jumbo. GL :ok

[Jumbo]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st)

oh Jumbo calm down a bit mate You have produced some good write ups and good bets, a good contributer to PL. Course you can fit in here, and I'm sure you are respected by many But you have to be careful what you say sometimes. Kevshat said one comment on the other thread and this has now developed into a bit of an over-reaction IMO. I could go on about a number of things you have said but I am not that sort of person. Lets just forget this and move on, its the sensible option

Meatman,meatman,I had just calmed down to,you can quote anything I have said and i'm more than willing to take full responsibility for it,it's nothing to me. As far as the moving on part,I already had,if you will notice I attack first and then say sorry later,a character flaw on my part,but I take full responsibiliuty for my outbursts and am not ashamed of any of them. But you are correct in the moving on part and I wil do so accordingly,Good Luck to both you and Kevshat with your punting,may the gods of punting be on all our sides,good luck to the both of you.:D

[Jumbo]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st)

Sharks -4.5 @ 2.00 Sharks have been playing well and meet the Bulldogs at a good time where they have several players out. The Sharks forwards have been solid and with Kimmorley's kicking game, they look a good bet to win. The Sharks have a great defensive line and without their premier forwards, the Bulldogs will find it very hard to bust it. Also they are backing up from Monday's game so some fatigue may set in. Tigers win The Tigers have won their last 4 games and are playing with confidence. They go into this game with virtually a full strength side (Marshall being the main casuality). They ahve some good dummy half runners and will look to exploit their speed around the rucks to tire out the big Warriors forwards, who have shown in recent weeks to tire very badly in the last 20 minutes of a game. The loss of Price to State of origin also hurts the Warriors quite badly as he has been their best player over the course of the season. The Tigers should have all the answers for the Warriors to come out deserved victors Like your picks once again jumbo. GL :ok

I like yours to mate,Good Luck for today.:ok

[kevshat]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) Good luck to you too Jumbo. And everyone else betting in the NRL this week.

[Jumbo]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) I'll take that off,once agin not thinking first,soory fellas.It was meant as a joke tho. On the Warriors/Sharks match,there is a very strong chance of rain,it has clouded over here rather badly,I can't say for sure but it is looking likely.

[Jumbo]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) I've got the Sharks on my brain as thats my main bet for today,I meant the Warriors/Tigers match,sorry about that.

[Crouch Potato]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) Thought so mate, though I was slightly confused. Centrebet last time I checked offered up $1.95 for Under 41.5 and Bet365 had $1.83 for Under 42.5. Small difference I know but that extra point could be pretty important (it was last week with my overs in the Knights v Warriors game!). Actually leaning towards the Warriors too, partly because everyone is on the Tigers!

[Jumbo]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) Fair enough mate. The warriors are a chance mate and not a little chance either,thats why I have kept away from that match,punting wise.The Tigers are playing well tho,so a very hard match to call,I do know that someone just hammered the Warriors over here as the odds have lost 15cents on the Tigers to push them back out to 2.25 and the Warriors have closed from 1.75 into 1.65,so someone is confident. I'm on the total points to be 41-50 in the match mate at 3.20,I think the final will be 26 - 18 to who,I don't know,but I am leaning towards the Tigers,mainly due to the fact of Witt starting at half back and Ropati at standoff,I think it will take them a couple of games to get used to the role. Mate have you seen those Serie A odds yet,or later no rush bro.

[Crouch Potato]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) Ok, I've just gone ahead and made two little bets: Warriors to win @ $1.75 Warriors 13+ @ $3.60 I could be wrong here but anyone can win in the NRL and I just feel that the Tigers are due that loss. Also, due to the way Warriors lost firstly to the Sharks and then to the Knights I just don't think they'll make the same mistake again and that Clearly will have them in the right mind to win the game. Head to head is pretty convincing too, but being the Warriors you can never be too confident. Those Serie A odds are insane too, cannot believe that Roma are almost $7, particularly with players like Totti and Vucinic still playing. Always have to be careful with Italian football, but these things can really confuse you! Also, not in Italy, but I think that Atletico Madrid are absolutely great bet tonight. Barcelona struggle badly on the road and Atletico are their super bogey team. Don't care how much Barcelona need to win, Atletico are quality and I think they are the best value in Europe tonight.

[Jumbo]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) Good call on Atl Madrid mate,I may well follow on that one,but i'll have to back Roma and Inter in as well.

[Jumbo]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) Afetr reading the guys at Freebetting looks on those matches,I might just steer clear of the Serie A,but Ath Madrid looks very good.

[vagabund]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) Jumbo You must have known the reason for high odds for marquee soccer teams by now. I got on a few lame sportsbooks betting on end-of-season NBA games. That was fun. Folks A couple of questions about rugby / NRL: - In your experience, do you think certain sportsbooks' odds are better reflection of probabilities than others in rugby (league or union) that can provide hint to punters ? - How much does rain affect points total? Do you see totals moving on report of expected rain or the sportsbooks just don't bother ? In NFL (American football) reports of snow can affect totals. Cheers

[Crouch Potato]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) Regarding sportsbooks, Australian books react faster to news than UK books, but beyond that I don't pay too much attention, in part because some books have bigger overounds. Regarding points totals, it can have a big effect. Rain means slippery conditions which means ball control becomes considerably more important as the ball is harder to control. If there are knock ons (more common when the ball is wet), then attacking momentum is lost and scrums are formed (Scrums take a bit of a time when there are many of them). Also, the wet conditions can make the game more forward oriented which reduces ball promotion and attacking impetus. That being said though, rain is no guarantee of a low scoring game. But to answer your question, it does affect the movements in price and can have an impact in the game.

[saintg1]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) Thanks Blackcrow and Jumbo et al - two nice little pick-ups with Tigers and Sharks. Appreciate the quality advice gentlemen! :cheers

[Jumbo]

Re: NRL Rugby - Round 10 (May 18th - 21st) Well donr BlackCrow,hard luck Crouch bro. wellavery good end to the weekend for me,my balance is now up to 46.7k,so a very good 6.7k profit on the weekend,very happt. I have no opinion on tomorrows match,apart from Stewart to score a try at anytime,but the match it's self,no,but it would'nt surprise me to much if the Broncos won. I'll follow you guys tomorrow so post some tips fellas,see you all on Wedesday for State of Origin. Hang on i'll have to answer some questions first..