Wincanton 01/05/07

[Carl]

2.20 Wincanton: TARKESAR

Paul Brockleys charge failed to justify market support LTO when 2nd here last week. With the headgear on and AP in the saddle connections obviously expect a big run.

2.20 Wincanton: BROWN FOX e/w

2nd in this race last year and with similar underfoot conditions she could add to her 3 career successes in this renewal 2.50 Wincanton: JUPON VERT Sticking with AP who is an eye catching booking here. Has ridden this before and has a good record on it, although its a career high mark it would be of no surprise to see the champ jockey win on this with ground and trip to suit and with the 'fav' being burden with a penalty.

[mileni4uk]

Re: Wincanton 01/05/07

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	2.20 Wincanton
Selection	Tarkesar
Strength	10/10
Date	01/05/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Betfair @ 3.45 (Back)
Reasoning	Won on fast ground in Ireland and further improving. Was 2nd lto on C&D, but was clear of the rest of the field. Didn't impress with his jumping, but had blinkers today and the assistance of the champion jockey Tony McCoy. Price is probably a bit too short, but only got Shankly Bond to beat, who is carrying much imo.

[dontbegreat]

Re: Wincanton 01/05/07

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	2:50 WinC
Selection	Surfboard
Strength	10/10
Date	01/05/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Premierbet @ 2.75 (Back)
Reasoning	2:50 WinC Surfboard In a condition that will make it hard to stop today. Higher weight compare to last time but been able to produce a good run with much more to carry. The form of 3.1.2.1 for the year 2007 does not appear opposable and should be there to the end.

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	2:50 WinC (Bet365 BOG)
Selection	Bobiltree Bob (Each-Way)
Strength	5/10
Date	01/05/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 6.00 (Back)
Reasoning	2:50 WinC Bobiltree Bob I think this has the best chance for 2nd place and maybe a win if any unfortunate events is given to Surfboard. Last two have been a winner and a 2nd place for Bobiltree. Both were run on Good to Firm for 2m and 2m1f. Bad performances in the past at this track for the Trainer and Jockey but the horse should handle the conditions.

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	3:20 WinC (Bet 365 BOG)
Selection	Archduke Ferdinand
Strength	10/10
Date	01/05/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 3.50 (Back)
Reasoning	3:20 WinC Archduke Ferdinand In Good shape looking back to its last race when 2nd by 1/2L. Overall its been a decent hurdler for having been 2nd in three of seven entries. When it started hurdling it went 6.6.2.2 until going back to the Flat. On its return over hurdles it’s been PU.4.7.2. I think it’ll be ready for today. The trainer have been 1st, 2nd, or 3rd in 12 of his last 14 runners. The jockey ave bee n1st, 2nd, or 3rd in 7 of his last 8.

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	4:50 WinC (Bet365 BOG)
Selection	Carpet Ride (Each-Way)
Strength	5/10
Date	01/05/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 9.00 (Back)
Reasoning	4:50 WinC Carpet Ride Done its best since being paired with the jockey today - 3.5.5.3.3 since teaming up. That improvement came from being 7.UR.10.PU.11 from the previous 5. Has a good price for an e/w and there might be a chance for victory if the market leaders wore out themselves too early. At least a stone less to carry than anyone will help this and hopefully it can take advantage of it.