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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

Head-to Head Meetings


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Re: Head-to Head Meetings *BAYERN MUNICH v wolfsburg 2-1 BRISTOL CITY v barnsley 3-3 HEERENVEEN v nac 3-1 *AJAX v roda 3-0 CLUB BRUGGE v mechelen 1-2 [ very wary of BRUGGE now , thats 2 defeats from supposed lesser oposition and 2 games where they were down to 10 men , ] 7+ selections - BAYERN 2-1 :loon AJAX 3-0 :loon week 1 - 10pt double returned 12.08pts profit week 2 - 10pt 4-timer returned 11.08pts profit week 3 - 10pt double returned 9.20pts profit Total profit - 32.36pts :beer

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Re: Head-to Head Meetings Cheers VENOREX :ok . Quite a few games to peruse this week - Friday ------ *PANATHINAIKOS v xanthi 9-1-0 , odds = 1.28 *WILLEM II v groningen 12-0-1 , odds = 4.0 [theres a reason for those odds , see at bottom of post ] G'TEPSPOR v konyaspor 5-0-1 , odds = 1.83 Saturday -------- W BREMEN v koln 7-1-0 , odds = 1.4 SCHALKE v hannover 5-1-0 , odds = 1.33 RODA v heracles 5-0-0 , odds = 2.0 [all 5 ended OVER 2.5 goals ] NACIONAL v v.guimaraes 5-1-0 , odds = 2.2 BENFICA v v.steubal 5-1-0 , odds = 1.22 Sunday ------- *LEVERKUSEN v m'gladbach 8-1-0 , odds = 1.36 LIVERPOOL v w brom 4-0-0 , odds = 1.22 OSASUNA v almeria 4-0-0 , odds = 2.0 *GENK v lierse 8-1-0 , odds = 1.25 AC MILAN v lecce 6-0-0 , odds = 1.33 [ 7/8 have finished OVER 2.5 ] PARMA v brescia 5-1-0 , odds = 1.83 * = 7+ selection's but i'm leaving out the WILLEM game on Friday evening due to the fact they have been winless in thier last 10 league games [ 7 last season and 3 this season] hence the attractive odds on offer . So the 7+ bet is a treble on PANATHINAIKOS , LEVERKUSEN and GENK .

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Re: Head-to Head Meetings *PANATHINAIKOS v xanthi 1-1 *WILLEM II v groningen 0-3 G'TEPSPOR v konyaspor 2-2 W BREMEN v koln 4-2 :loon SCHALKE v hannover 1-2 RODA v heracles 4-2 :loon NACIONAL v v.guimaraes 1-3 BENFICA v v.steubal 3-0 :loon *LEVERKUSEN v m'gladbach 3-6 :eek LIVERPOOL v w brom 1-0 :loon OSASUNA v almeria 0-0 *GENK v lierse 4-1 :loon AC MILAN v lecce 4-0 :loon PARMA v brescia 2-0 :loon A weekend of 2 halves you might say !!!! The 7+ treble on PANATHINAIKOS , LEVERKUSEN and GENK failed :( so the totals for that system are - week 1 - 10pt double returned 12.08pts profit week 2 - 10pt 4-timer returned 11.08pts profit week 3 - 10pt double returned 9.20pts profit week 4 - 10pt treble lost Total profit - 22.36pts

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  • 2 weeks later...

Re: Head-to Head Meetings All on Saturday SPARTA PRAGUE v jablonec 9-0-1 , odds = 1.61 HAMBURG v nurnberg 7-1-0 , odds = 1.36 LINCOLN v barnet 8-1-0 , odds = 2.1 ARSENAL v bolton 4-0-0 , odds = 1.25 AJAX v willem 14-1-0 , odds = 1.08 PSV v nec 8-1-0 , odds = 1.2 STANDARD v cercle brugge 6-1-0 , odds = 1.5 REAL MADRID v osasuna 5-1-0 , odds = 1.16 BESIKTAS v ankaragucu 10-0-1 , odds = 1.44 7+ selections - No fewer than 5 this week and LINCOLN are a decent enough price to earn a single bet on them . 10pts - LINCOLN @ 2.1 10pts acca - SPARTA / AJAX / PSV / BESIKTAS :hope

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Re: Head-to Head Meetings Oh so near !!!!! *SPARTA PRAGUE v jablonec 1-0 :loon HAMBURG v nurnberg 1-1 *LINCOLN v barnet 1-0 :loon ARSENAL v bolton 4-1 :loon *AJAX v willem 2-0 :loon *PSV v nec 3-1 :loon STANDARD v cercle brugge 2-0 :loon REAL MADRID v osasuna 1-0 :loon *BESIKTAS v ankaragucu 4-0 :loon 7+ selections - No fewer than 5 this week and LINCOLN are a decent enough price to earn a single bet on them . 10pts - LINCOLN @ 2.1 :cheers Returned 11pts profit 10pts acca - SPARTA / AJAX / PSV / BESIKTAS :cheers Returned 30.05pts profit. Bet 1 - 10pt double returned 12.08pts profit Bet 2 - 10pt 4-timer returned 11.08pts profit Bet 3 - 10pt double returned 9.20pts profit Bet 4 - 10pt treble lost Bet 5 - 10pt single returned 11pts profit Bet 6 - 10pt acca returned 20.05pts profit Total running profit = 63.41pts

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Re: Head-to Head Meetings

Bit of a long shot, but do you have a strike rate and average odds of the 7+ selections? Also not sure if they were on weren't qualifiers but Luzern had 7-0-0 (?) have won 6-2 i think and lillestrom just kicked off were 8-0-0.
Sorry mate , i haven't kept track of either strike rate or average odds . As for the Luzern , the Swiss are the same as the SPL in that they play each other twice at home and away so those stats are skewed somewhat. As regards Lillestrom i've not included the Summer leagues in this thread .
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Re: Head-to Head Meetings 2 for tonight = sint truiden v GENK 0-1-5 , ODDS = 1.95 *REAL MADRID 8-1-0 , ODDS = 1.16 Well the 1st one's an away icon_frown.gif and the 2nd's a bit too short for a single bet imo , HOWEVER as it is a 7+ selection i've had a closer look and no less than 10 of the last 11 corresponding fixtures have finished OVER 2.5 GOALS . The odds for OVER 2.5 are 1.5 , so therefore stake 10pts @ 1.5 and this weekends 7+ bet [if this comes in ] will be staked with 15pts. If anyone fancies GENK then i'd advise Draw-No-Bet as the full 13 season stat for this meeting is 0-4-9 . 1.44 is available .

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Re: Head-to Head Meetings sint truiden v GENK 0-2 :loon *REAL MADRID v espanyol 3-0 :loon 7+ bets ------- Bet 1 - 10pt double returned 12.08pts profit Bet 2 - 10pt 4-timer returned 11.08pts profit Bet 3 - 10pt double returned 9.20pts profit Bet 4 - 10pt treble lost Bet 5 - 10pt single returned 11pts profit Bet 6 - 10pt acca returned 20.05pts profit Bet 7 - 10pt single [over 2.5] returns 15pts Total running profit = 68.41pts :ok

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Re: Head-to Head Meetings Sat --- *SCHALKE v m'gladbach 9-1-0 , odds = 1.53 *FULHAM v everton 8-0-1 , odds = 2.6 :D LIVERPOOL v sunderland 5-1-0 , odds = 1.44 BESIKTAS v antalyaspor 5-1-0 , odds = 1.36 *PANATHINAIKOS v panionios 10-0-0 , odds = 1.28 AZ ALKMAAR v utrecht 5-0-1 , odds = 1.83 PSV v groningen 12-1-0 , odds = 1.36 Sun ---- ANDERLECHT v mechelen 7-1-0 , odds = 1.33 SP LISBON v nacional 7-0-1 , odds = 1.45 4 games qualify for the 7+ selections . Bet 8 - 15pt win FULHAM @ 2.6 Bet 9 - 10pts acca SCHALKE / PANATHINAIKOS / PSV @ 1.53,1.28 and 1.36

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Re: Head-to Head Meetings

2 for tonight = sint truiden v GENK 0-1-5 , ODDS = 1.95 *REAL MADRID 8-1-0 , ODDS = 1.16 Well the 1st one's an away icon_frown.gif and the 2nd's a bit too short for a single bet imo , HOWEVER as it is a 7+ selection i've had a closer look and no less than 10 of the last 11 corresponding fixtures have finished OVER 2.5 GOALS . The odds for OVER 2.5 are 1.5 , so therefore stake 10pts @ 1.5 and this weekends 7+ bet [if this comes in ] will be staked with 15pts
:ok just personal choice that i went for the single and not the acca with the 15pt'r
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Re: Head-to Head Meetings *SCHALKE v m'gladbach 2-2 *FULHAM v everton 0-0 LIVERPOOL v sunderland 2-2 BESIKTAS v antalyaspor 2-1 *PANATHINAIKOS v panionios 2-1 AZ ALKMAAR v utrecht 1-0 PSV v groningen 1-1 ANDERLECHT v mechelen 5-0 SP LISBON v nacional The last game still to come , but a disappointing weekend overall with both 7+ bets failing 7+ bets ------- Bet 1 - 10pt double returned 12.08pts profit Bet 2 - 10pt 4-timer returned 11.08pts profit Bet 3 - 10pt double returned 9.20pts profit Bet 4 - 10pt treble lost Bet 5 - 10pt single returned 11pts profit Bet 6 - 10pt acca returned 20.05pts profit Bet 7 - 10pt single [over 2.5] returns 15pts Bet 8 - 15pt single lost Bet 9 - 10pt treble lost Total running profit = 43.41pts

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Re: Head-to Head Meetings HAMBURG v k'lautern 4-0-0 , odds = 1.5 PRIBRAM v c.budejovic 6-0-1 , odds = 2.2 TRANMERE v brighton 5-1-0 , odds = 3.4 TEPLICE v s.liberec 4-0-0 , odds = 2.1 *FEHNERBACHE v g'birligi 9-1-0 , odds = 1.33 SOCHAUX v lens , odds = 2.1 Sunday ------- AZ v heracles 4-0-0 , odds = 1.4 graafschap v FEYENOORD 1-0-7 , odds = 2.25 SIVASPOR v g'tepspor 4-0-0 , odds = 2.25 VILLAREAL v santander 6-1-0 , odds = 1.72 PAOK v aris 7-1-0 , odds = 1.8 *REAL MADRID v deportivo la coruna 9-0-1 , odds = 1.16 *v.guimareaes v PORTO 0-0-7 , odds = 1.61 7+ selections - Bet 10 - 10pt acca FEHNERBACHE/REAL MADRID / PORTO

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Re: Head-to Head Meetings HAMBURG v k'lautern 2-1 :loon PRIBRAM v c.budejovic 2-0 :loon TRANMERE v brighton 1-1 TEPLICE v s.liberec 1-0 :loon *FEHNERBACHE v g'birligi 3-0 :loon SOCHAUX v lens 3-0 [made a mess of this as it was LENS who had the 0-1-5 record ] AZ v heracles 2-1 :loon graafschap v FEYENOORD 1-1 SIVASPOR v g'tepspor 1-1 VILLAREAL v santander 2-0 :loon PAOK v aris 0-1 *REAL MADRID v deportivo la coruna 6-1 :loon *v.guimareaes v PORTO 7+ selections - Bet 10 - 10pt acca FEHNERBACHE/REAL MADRID / PORTO Awaiting the PORTO result

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Re: Head-to Head Meetings Hi jtw1, I have been following your thread with great interest and admiration for sometime now, and it is fitting that my 1st post should be here. I am sure I'm not the first to analyse your performance, but for what it's worth, here is my two cents worth... First, you are spot on with your aversion to aways, as they have returned -73.3pts to a level 10pt stake since the start of the thread. Second, in the current season,(as i am sure you are aware), level 10pt stakes are returning -18.8pts from 72 bets. Third, and most interestingly, if, in the current season aways are eliminated and home odds over 1.8 are replaced by away lays there is a return of 132.6pts to 10pt stakes. ( I have estimated the likely lay prices), as many of your losers are in fact draws. Hope this is of some help with future planning, keep up the great work!

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Re: Head-to Head Meetings

Hi jtw1, I have been following your thread with great interest and admiration for sometime now, and it is fitting that my 1st post should be here. I am sure I'm not the first to analyse your performance, but for what it's worth, here is my two cents worth... First, you are spot on with your aversion to aways, as they have returned -73.3pts to a level 10pt stake since the start of the thread. Second, in the current season,(as i am sure you are aware), level 10pt stakes are returning -18.8pts from 72 bets. Third, and most interestingly, if, in the current season aways are eliminated and home odds over 1.8 are replaced by away lays there is a return of 132.6pts to 10pt stakes. ( I have estimated the likely lay prices), as many of your losers are in fact draws. Hope this is of some help with future planning, keep up the great work!
:welcome GCDC Unfortunately i've learnt the hard way [ as usual ] that aways and me don't mix and i'll be dropping them from ALL BETS from now on. I'll still post the h2h's if they qualify but no more money will be risked on them to win . Very interesting 3rd point mate , i've never considered laying at all but a fellow PL'r [Happygooner i think] used to follow the selections and would LAY the aways if the odds were right . I have bet the double chance in the past [1X] , again if the odds allow . Will be having a closer look into this . Cheers mate :ok
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Re: Head-to Head Meetings Hi, jtw, Just woke up and realised my numbers were a bit squiff - forgot to downgrade the 1.80+ winners to away lays. Actual return to10pt stakes would be 58pts this season. Apologies..:$:$

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Re: Head-to Head Meetings No probs mate :lol :ok lets see what the weekend has in store for us . FREIBURG v k'lautern 5-1-0 , odds - 1.5 B MUNICH v hannover 6-0-1 , odds - 1.33 SCHALKE v stuttgart 5-0-1 , odds - 2.0 IPSWICH v coventry 5-1-0 , odds - 1.72 TRANMERE v brentford 6-0-1 , odds - 2.4 AC MILAN v chievo 5-0-0 , odds - 1.5 BESIKTAS v manisaspor 4-0-0 , odds - 1.36 *PANATHINAIKOS v paok 10-0-1 , odds - 1.66 CHARLEROI v lokeren 5-1-0 , odds - 2.5 FEYENOORD v twente 7-1-0 , odds - 3.5 Sun ---- *GALATASARAY v ankaragucu 8-1-0 , odds - 1.44 c brugge v ANDERLECHT 0-1-7 , odds - 1.75 Mon ---- konyaspor v FEHNERBACHE 1-0-5 , odds - 1.57 7+ bet = 10pt double PANATHINAIKOS / GALATASARAY :hope

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Re: Head-to Head Meetings More bad than good last week with only W BREMEN 2-1 B MUNICH 3-0 AC MILAN 3-1 PANATHINAIKOS 1-0 and FEHNERBACHE 4-1 winning from the original 13 selections . 7 actuallly lost while only 1 was a draw . This week we have another bagful to look at , hopefully more winners than losers :hope FREIBURG v w bremen 7-0-1 , odds - 2.25 COVENTRY v barnsley 5-1-0 , odds - 1.9 RENNES v montpellier 7-0-1 , odds - 1.83 ST ETIENNE v caen 7-0-1 , odds - 1.8 *REAL MADRID v r santander 8-0-1 , 1.14 Sunday ------- AZ v willem 7-1-0 , odds - 1.2 TWENTE v den haag 6-0-0 , odds - 1.3 bologna v JUVENTUS 0-0-5 , odds - 1.85 B OSTRAVA v jablonec 5-0-0 , odds - 2.6 SLAVIA PRAGUE v c.budejovic 4-0-0 , odds - 1.61 *PAOK v panionios 8-1-0 , odds - 1.57 *FEHNERBACHE v galatasaray 10-0-0 , odds - 1.8 SP LISBON v rio ave 6-1-0 , odds - 1.4 *ANDERLECHT v westerlo 7-0-0 , odds - 1.25 Monday ------- *PORTO v u.leira 11-1-0 , odds - 1.22 7+ bets -------- 10ptsTreble REAL MADRID /PAOK/ANDERLECHT 10pt Double FEHNERBACHE / PORTO

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Re: Head-to Head Meetings Hi Mate Don't know if you've ever looked at the payback links on the h2h to see how each team is doing against the bookie both home and away in the current season. I've just started looking more predominantly towards the h2h stats now rather than the payback BUT.....used in conjunction so far seems the way to go. Last week for example would have ruled out many of the losers and only a few winners by leaving aside those teams on a negative points total.

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Re: Head-to Head Meetings Slightly better this week ;) FREIBURG v w bremen 7-0-1 , odds - 2.25 2-1 :loon COVENTRY v barnsley 5-1-0 , odds - 1.9 3-0 :loon RENNES v montpellier 7-0-1 , odds - 1.83 0-1 ST ETIENNE v caen 7-0-1 , odds - 1.8 1-1 *REAL MADRID v r santander 8-0-1 , 1.14 6-1 :loon AZ v willem 7-1-0 , odds - 1.2 3-0 :loon TWENTE v den haag 6-0-0 , odds - 1.3 3-2 :loon bologna v JUVENTUS 0-0-5 , odds - 1.85 0-0 B OSTRAVA v jablonec 5-0-0 , odds - 2.6 1-3 SLAVIA PRAGUE v c.budejovic 4-0-0 , odds - 1.61 4-0 :loon *PAOK v panionios 8-1-0 , odds - 1.57 1-0 :loon *FEHNERBACHE v galatasaray 10-0-0 , odds - 1.8 0-0 SP LISBON v rio ave 6-1-0 , odds - 1.4 1-0 :loon *ANDERLECHT v westerlo 7-0-0 , odds - 1.25 2-0 :loon Monday ------- *PORTO v u.leira 11-1-0 , odds - 1.22 3-0 after 40 mins :D 7+ bets -------- 10ptsTreble REAL MADRID /PAOK/ANDERLECHT :loon Returns 23.37pts 10pt Double FEHNERBACHE / PORTO :@ loss = 10pts After 13 bets the profit has dipped to +25.78pts

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