friskyfitz Posted January 2, 2007 Share Posted January 2, 2007 Going to get this started here to avoid cluttering up the daily threads... Currently working on a system of +1.5 goals and Im going to list these as Sports Punter picks also. Odds are generally tight but should have a high yield so heres hoping. For all these bets, There home side AND away sides must average OVER 2.0 goals in their last 5/6 games. I will use a simple 10 pts per bet system and see what we can achieve or fail to achieve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted January 2, 2007 Author Share Posted January 2, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... Yesterdays bet (posted in Premiership thread) Reading v West Ham West Ham travel here needing a win but are in such poor form that even with tempting odds that they simply must be avoided. Instead, I think that goals will happen here and Betfair go a tempting 1.44 for the 2 or more goals Market. Reading WILL score, perhaps more than once but I really do fancy WHU to get 1 too.. All in all...1.44 is a cracking price for 2 or more Reading v West Ham 2 or more goals @ 1.44 >Betfair (£278 available) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted January 2, 2007 Author Share Posted January 2, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... Today's Bets..... Short odds I know but must certainly be a banker. Arsenal must still be smarting from their defeat to Sheff Utd and I fully expect them to come down on Charlton like a ton of bricks. Arsenal have scored 13 and conceded 7 in their last 6 games (average of 3.33 per game) and Charlton have scored 5 and conceded 14 (average of 3.16 per game). Arsenal v Charlton Over 1.5 goals @ 1.26 >Betfair Aston Villa v Chelsea Villa without Gareth Barry who is suspended look an average team. He is the main artitect when going forward and also takes their penalties. Without him I do not see Villa scoring. However to contradict this, I think that without him Villa will struggle and You simply cannot afford to give Essien, Lampard, Drogba et al any attacking space. Chelsea, in many eyes have been strugggling lately but still have a healthy 11 goals in 5 games - If only my beloved Hammers could do that!!! Chelsea have not failed to score in their last 10 games. Today will be 11 games. Chelsea have scored 11 and conceded 8 in their last 5 games (average of 3.8 per game) and Villa have scored 5 and conceded 10 (average of 3.0 per game). Aston Villa v Chelsea Over 1.5 goals @ 1.34 >Betfair (£296 available) Motherwell v Rangers Over 1.5 goals Motherwell's last 5 games have produced 17 goals (Average of 3.4 per game) Ranger's last 5 games have produced 11 goals (Average of 2.2 per game ) Motherwell v Rangers Over 1.5 goals @ 1.26 >Betfair (£682 available) Hibs v Aberdeen Over 1.5 goals Hib's last 5 games have produced 19 goals (Average of 3.8 per game) Aberdeen's last 5 games have produced 15 goals (Average of 3.0 per game ) Hibs v Aberdeen Over 1.5 goals @ 1.26 >Betfair (£500 available) Celtic v Kilmarnock Over 1.5 goals Celtic's last 5 games have produced 12 goals (Average of 2.4 per game) Kilmarnock's last 5 games have produced 16 goals (Average of 3.2 per game ) Celtic v Kilmarnock Over 1.5 goals @ 1.2 >Betfair (£300 available) [url=http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/autolink.php?id=70&script=showthread&forumid=6] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted January 3, 2007 Author Share Posted January 3, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... Shocking start but we'll keep the chin up. Amazing how Ive never had 3 losers in a day before until the first day I post it up here :lol:lol:lol Reading v West Ham win 4.4 Arsenal v Charlton win 2.6 Aston Villa v Chelsea -10.0 Motherwell v Rangers -10.0 Hibs v Aberdeen -10.0 Celtic v Kilmarnock win 2.0 Number of bets - 6 Winners - 3 Losers - 3 Strike rate - 50% Bank = -21.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted January 5, 2007 Author Share Posted January 5, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... Cup week this week so really no form to go on as such. Just 3 games interest me. so what i will do is extend the number of previous games to 8 which should give us a better view. West Ham v Brighton @ 1.3 Brighton's last 8 games have produced 24 goals (Average of 3.0 per game) WHU's last 8 games have produced 19 goals (Average of 2.37 per game ) Tamworth v Norwich @ 1.32 Tamworths last 8 games have produced 18 goals (Average of 2.25 per game) Norwich's last 8 games have produced 20 goals (Average of 2.5 per game ) Hull v Boro @ 1.38 Hull's last 8 games have produced 26 goals (Average of 3.25 per game) Boro's last 8 games have produced 20 goals (Average of 2.5 per game ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted January 6, 2007 Author Share Posted January 6, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... This is getting ridiculous :lol:lol:lol WHU and Hull games both 0-0 at the break Norwich game is home and hosed though :ok Number of settled bets - 7 Winners - 4 Losers - 3 Strike rate - 57% Bank = -17.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted January 6, 2007 Share Posted January 6, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... Hammers 1up Frisk! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted January 6, 2007 Author Share Posted January 6, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... As i speak - West Ham score :loon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted January 6, 2007 Share Posted January 6, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... Hammers 2-0 Scoring genius Carlton Cole! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted January 6, 2007 Author Share Posted January 6, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... Hammers 2-0 Scoring genius Carlton Cole! :lol:lol:lol:lol did he fall over and the ball ricochet off him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted January 6, 2007 Share Posted January 6, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... :lol:lol:lol:lol did he fall over and the ball ricochet off him More than likely!:tongue2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted January 6, 2007 Author Share Posted January 6, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... :loon Hull1-1 (0-0)Middlesbrough last i looked it was 0-0... Thankfully 3 winners today from 3 to get us back on track Number of settled bets - 9 Winners - 6 Losers - 3 Strike rate - 66.66% Bank = -11.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted January 6, 2007 Share Posted January 6, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... Never in doubt! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hodgey Posted January 6, 2007 Share Posted January 6, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... Nice one today Frisky. :clap :clap Keep it up. :ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted January 7, 2007 Author Share Posted January 7, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... 2 qualifiers today... Everton v Blackburn Everton's last 8 games have produced 20 goals (Average of 2.5 per game) Blackburn's last 8 games have produced 24 goals (Average of 3.0 per game ) Everton v Blackburn 2 or more goals @ 1.44 £232 available Sheff W v Man City Wednesday's last 8 games have produced 30 goals (Average of 3.75 per game) Man City's last 8 games have produced 18 goals (Average of 2.25 per game ) Sheff W v Man City 2 or more goals @ 1.39 £336 available Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted January 7, 2007 Author Share Posted January 7, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... 2 more selections from Spain this evening posted in "spanish thread" Deportivo v Real Madrid Another game that seems too big for the over 1.5 goals market. Real's games are rarely uneventful and boring. Last time out they lost 0-3 at home to Huelva, a shock it was but once again goals were on the menu. Deportivo have been struggling to reach heights of previous years and lie in 15th. Last time out they were thrashed 4-0 by Seville Deportivo v Real Madrid 2 or more goals @ 1.45 (£295 available) Getafe v Barcalona Surely a value bet here on the +1.5 goals @ 1.49 with Betfair. The last 4 games between these two sides have all gone over 1.5 and although much has been made of Barca's so called "depleted" side there should surely be enough quality to muster 2 goals. Getafe v Barca +1.5 goals @ 1.49 Betfair ( £654 available) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted January 7, 2007 Author Share Posted January 7, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... :nana:nana 4 out of 4 again today so getting it right at last after that horrendous start... Number of settled bets - 13 Winners - 10 Losers - 3 Strike rate - 76.92% Bank = PLUS £6.70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted January 8, 2007 Author Share Posted January 8, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... Tonight's League 2 game is a qualifier too.. MKD's last 5 games have produced 13 goals (Average of 2.6 per game) Lincoln's last 5 games have produced 12 goals (Average of 2.4 per game ) MKD v Lincoln Over 1.5 goals @ 1.32 Betfair (£382 available) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted January 9, 2007 Author Share Posted January 9, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... Tonight's League 2 game is a qualifier too.. MKD's last 5 games have produced 13 goals (Average of 2.6 per game) Lincoln's last 5 games have produced 12 goals (Average of 2.4 per game ) MKD v Lincoln Over 1.5 goals @ 1.32 Betfair (£382 available) 2-2 Draw :ok:ok Number of settled bets - 14 Winners - 11 Losers - 3 Strike rate - 78.57% Bank = PLUS £9.90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted January 9, 2007 Author Share Posted January 9, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... Liverpool v Arsenal Pool's last 8 games have produced 23 goals (Average of 2.875 per game) Arsenal's last 8 games have produced 27 goals (Average of 3.37 per game ) Over 1.5 goals @ 1.43 Betfair (£1,258 available) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-Team Posted January 10, 2007 Share Posted January 10, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... very lucky winner there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted January 10, 2007 Author Share Posted January 10, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... very lucky winner there. How true but a win is a win eh ?? :lol:lol:lol:lol Never saw the match Im afraid as I was working. Where did that come from ? Loved the bit where Liverpool are 5-2 down and they bring on a defender for Garcia :loon:loon I Mean, wtf ???? Crouch must have been annoyed. Number of settled bets - 15 Winners - 12 Losers - 3 Strike rate - 80% Bank = PLUS £14.20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted January 10, 2007 Author Share Posted January 10, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... Had these 2 a while back and they badly left me down but Im going to have another go tonight.. Aberdeen vHibs Over 1.5 goals Hib's last 5 games have produced 16 goals (Average of 3.2 per game) Aberdeen's last 5 games have produced 12 goals (Average of 2.4 per game ) Aberdeen v Hibs Over 1.5 goals @ 1.35 (£535 available) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Masterplan Posted January 10, 2007 Share Posted January 10, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... i had a look at that one for the 1 or more market fritz but decided against since their very last match together turned 0-0 iirc. best of luck with it m8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted January 10, 2007 Author Share Posted January 10, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... i had a look at that one for the 1 or more market fritz but decided against since their very last match together turned 0-0 iirc. best of luck with it m8. Im hopeful that we wont have a repeat here. :ok:ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted January 10, 2007 Author Share Posted January 10, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... 59'Aberdeen1 - 1Hibernian ;);) Number of settled bets - 16 Winners - 13 Losers - 3 Strike rate - 81.25% Bank = PLUS £17.70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted January 11, 2007 Author Share Posted January 11, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... 2 cup plays for me today Larissa v OFI Crete @ 1.59 Greek cup games are notoriously boring but do tend to throw up better prices for the TOTAL GOALS market. This morning someone is trying their hardest to lay the market as money after money keeps popping up at 1.57. Mine was matched in seconds and when half an hour later I threw another taster on at the same price it was again immediately matched... Worrying when that happens. Do somebody know something that I dont? Hope not!!! Larissa v OFI Crete @ 1.59 (£250 matched by me) Real Betis v Real Madrid @ 1.45 Total goals market is slighly better priced here than for over 1.5 and commission is less too. Real Madrid games always produce goals and this will probably no different. Madrid have fired blanks in their last too but both teams can score here and 1.45 is a great price Real Betis v Real Madrid @ 1.45 (£330 available) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted January 11, 2007 Author Share Posted January 11, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... Larissa v OFI Crete @ 1.59 Greek cup games are notoriously boring but do tend to throw up better prices for the TOTAL GOALS market. This morning someone is trying their hardest to lay the market as money after money keeps popping up at 1.57. Mine was matched in seconds and when half an hour later I threw another taster on at the same price it was again immediately matched... Worrying when that happens. Do somebody know something that I dont? Hope not!!! Larissa v OFI Crete @ 1.59 (£250 matched by me) HTLarisa2-0 (2-0)OFI Kreta Nice when they come in before half time... Somebody is going to be real pissed with that - He or it must have lost 10 or 12k with that goal :eek:eek:eek:eek All this trading was within 1 hour :loon on a dodgy cup game 1.57 £1,197 1.58 £6,721 1.59 £1,632 1.60 £3,672 1.61 £1,230 1.62 £852 1.63 £3,849 1.64 £255 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted January 11, 2007 Author Share Posted January 11, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... Sorry - should have updated earlier.. Number of settled bets - 17 Winners - 14 Losers - 3 Strike rate - 82.35% Bank = PLUS £23.60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Masterplan Posted January 11, 2007 Share Posted January 11, 2007 Re: +1.5 goals...Lets see... doing well so far then :) what are the average odds you're getting across your bets so far, with your strike rate you surely only need 1.2 per bet in order to make a small (1% in commission on total goals market) profit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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