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Slapdash Systems 2007


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Re: Slapdash Systems 2007 To the end of March:

Narlen 2.50 Plumpton (2.98/3.55 17/21) 16/1 Sporting Odds placed Viper 2.30 Stratford (1.43/1.53 4.7/4.9) 4/1 Betfred lost Brave Broncho 2.30 Stratford (3.25/3.8 13.5/36) 20/1 Bet365 lost [Rosita Bay 2.50 Plumpton (1.32/1.34 3.9/4) SP] lost [saint Godegrand 2.30 Stratford (3.25/3.65 19/20) 16/1 Blue Square lost]
Bear Bottom 3.00 Wolverhampton (3.1/3.3 15/18) 14/1 Blue Square lost Wee Forbees 5.20 Sedgefield (1.22/1.26 2.94/3.05) 2/1 Sporting Odds won
Pieter Brueghel 3.50 Southwell (3.3/3.55 13/13.5) 12/1 William Hill placed Sualda 3.35 Towcester (2.5/2.66 9.8/10) 9/1 Bet365 lost Emmasflora 3.35 Towcester (4.2/4.5 21/22) 20/1 Stan James placed [Chart Oak 2.10 Southwell (2.84/3 18.5/19) SP lost] [Another Burden 3.35 Towcester (4.9/5.7 26/27) 25/1 William Hill] won
Modicum 2.20 Ascot (1.59/1.6 6.6/6.8) 5/1 Betfred placed [Globel Trucker 2.20 Ascot (2.14/2.22 10.5/11) 8/1 Bet365 placed]
Saratogane 3.40 Ascot (1.88/1.96 8.8/9) 7/1 Sporting Odds won Lady Wilde 3.40 Ascot (3/3.2 16/16.5) 14/1 Sporting Odds lost [Celtic Charisma 3.40 Ascot (1.69/1.75 7.6/7.8) 11/2 Sporting Odds lost]
Definites: Starting bank: 1000 Current bank: 946.77 P/L: -53.23 (Win -345, place +291.77) Total staked: 1880 W/P/L: 8/38/48 Yield: -2.83% [Almosts: Starting bank: 1000 Current bank: 1774.25 P/L: +774.25 (Win +426.50, place +347.75) Total staked: 1480 W/P/L: 13/20/41 Yield: +52.31%]
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Re: Slapdash Systems 2007 And up to date ..

Allegedly So 3.40 Hexham (1.59/1.62 7.6/8.6) 11/2 VCBet placed
[Kidithou 4.50 Kelso (6.2/7.2 30/32) 33/1 Ladbrokes won]
Joris de Vonnas 4.15 Wetherby (2.58/3.1 12.5/13.5) 12/1 Bet365 placed Everygrainofsand 4.05 Folkestone (2.66/2.88 26/32) 20/1 Betfred lost [Thunderbolt Jaxon 4.05 Folkestone (1.33/1.36 5.7/5.8) SP placed (4/1)] [Astrolibra 4.05 Folkestone (3.55/3.65 44/55) 33/1 Paddy Power lost]
Dana Music 4.10 Wolverhampton (1.56/1.62 5/5.3) 4/1 Betfred lost Easy Laughter 4.50 Wincanton (3.5/3.75 14.5/15) 14/1 William Hill lost Viscount Bankes 5.00 Ludlow (1.53/1.66 5.6/6) 9/2 Sporting Odds won [The Big Canadian 3.30 Ludlow (1.64/1.73 6.4/6.6) 5/1 Paddy Power placed]
Brigadore 2.50 Pontefract (3.5/3.65 15/16) 14/1 Blue Square won [Veracity 2.20 Pontefract (1.25/1.26 3.5/3.55) 9/4 Blue Square placed]
Definites: Starting bank: 1000 Current bank: 1136.77 P/L: +136.77 (Win -210, place +346.77) Total staked: 2020 W/P/L: 10/40/51 Yield: +6.77% [Almosts: Starting bank: 1000 Current bank: 2118.00 P/L: +1118.00 (Win +683.50, place +434.50) Total staked: 1580 W/P/L: 14/23/42 Yield: +70.76%]
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Re: Slapdash Systems 2007

Brigadore 2.50 Pontefract (3.5/3.65 15/16) 14/1 Blue Square [Veracity 2.20 Pontefract (1.25/1.26 3.5/3.55) 9/4 Blue Square]
Another brilliant winner today, Slapdash. You ARE a star!!! :notworthy :notworthy
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Re: Slapdash Systems 2007

Thanks for the kind words' date=' all, but I am only [b']just in profit for the year (on the "definites", anyway). Think I managed to get into the black on Sports Punter today for the first time this year.
Here's something for you, mate .. which one has better chances ... 1. The Definites to beat the almosts? 2. You to become a Sports Punter winner for 3rd time in a row? P.S. Do not wonder if you see it at the bookies these days :lol
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Re: Slapdash Systems 2007 Slapdash, still trying to put my finger on why this system of yours is working so well. I have noticed that a few of your selections which show value at 10.00am, do not do so a couple of hours later. Not because the bookies price has come in, but due to the fact that the betfair price has drifted!! Yet, many of them are still doing the business. Logic says that the stronger the market then the greater the chance of success for your system, but this does not seem to be what is happening in reality. Although I am obviously benefiting from your selections, I am still confused!!! Any thoughts as to why this may be? :wall but still very :nana

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Re: Slapdash Systems 2007

Slapdash, still trying to put my finger on why this system of yours is working so well. I have noticed that a few of your selections which show value at 10.00am, do not do so a couple of hours later. Not because the bookies price has come in, but due to the fact that the betfair price has drifted!! Yet, many of them are still doing the business. Logic says that the stronger the market then the greater the chance of success for your system, but this does not seem to be what is happening in reality. Although I am obviously benefiting from your selections, I am still confused!!! Any thoughts as to why this may be?
This is just speculation, but if there are better odds available at the bookies than on Betfair, and especially if the better odds are widely available, then anybody with a choice wanting to back the horse would take the bookies' price. So "economic forces" might be making the Betfair prices drift?
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Re: Slapdash Systems 2007

Slapdash, still trying to put my finger on why this system of yours is working so well. I have noticed that a few of your selections which show value at 10.00am, do not do so a couple of hours later. Not because the bookies price has come in, but due to the fact that the betfair price has drifted!! Yet, many of them are still doing the business. Logic says that the stronger the market then the greater the chance of success for your system, but this does not seem to be what is happening in reality. Although I am obviously benefiting from your selections, I am still confused!!! Any thoughts as to why this may be? :wall but still very :nana
Prices during the day often vary due to people trading. Often a drift or a shortening of a price is nothing to do with a horses chance. Generally when you see such an artificial movement make your lay/bet about 30 mins before the race. I have on occasions got 5/1 for a horse that I expect to be priced 3/1 or less when the racecourse market opens Traders on the exchanges tends to cause over reaction to movements and people forget this is a horserace and think they are trading in stocks.
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Re: Slapdash Systems 2007 Very true - was involved in a Tennis match yesterday (1st round match up in the WTA) and there was well over £400k traded when I got involved - wild swings in prices going on - felt like being on the trading floor at the NYSE.! If only I could have accurately have predicted the direction could have made a killing........:wall

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Re: Slapdash Systems 2007

Malapropism 5.00 Bath (3.75/4 16/17.5) 16/1 VCBet lost
Definites: Starting bank: 1000 Current bank: 1116.77 P/L: +116.77 (Win -220, place +336.77) Total staked: 2040 W/P/L: 10/40/52 Yield: +5.72% [Almosts: Starting bank: 1000 Current bank: 2118.00 P/L: +1118.00 (Win +683.50, place +434.50) Total staked: 1580 W/P/L: 14/23/42 Yield: +70.76%]
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Re: Slapdash Systems 2007

Yes to both. I don't think the 10/1 on Turn and River was available when I looked. The Betfair win odds on Kersaint are a bit higher than I'd like, but the difference in place odds is enough to compensate.
So, Turn and River-def and Kersaint-almost?
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