FleetFanatic Posted October 7, 2006 Author Share Posted October 7, 2006 Re: Sw14 Sunday 8th October 5.00 BATH Kingsholm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 8, 2006 Author Share Posted October 8, 2006 Re: Sw14 Sunday 8th October 5.00 BATH Kingsholm 1st 5/1 :clap Selections 72 Wins 26 Stakes 720pts Returns 932.25pts Profit / Loss +212.25pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 8, 2006 Author Share Posted October 8, 2006 Re: Sw14 Monday 9th October 2.40 AYR Tipsy Prince Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 9, 2006 Author Share Posted October 9, 2006 Re: Sw14 Monday 9th October 2.40 AYR Tipsy Prince 1st 7/2 :clap Selections 73 Wins 27 Stakes 730pts Returns 977.25pts Profit / Loss +247.25pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 9, 2006 Author Share Posted October 9, 2006 Re: Sw14 Tuesday 10th October 3.50 NEWCASTLE Forces Sweetheart 5.25 NEWCASTLE Pee Jay's Dream Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 10, 2006 Author Share Posted October 10, 2006 Re: Sw14 Tuesday 10th October 3.50 NEWCASTLE Forces Sweetheart 1st 9/2 :clap 5.25 NEWCASTLE Pee Jay's Dream 2nd 4/1 Selections 75 Wins 28 Stakes 750pts Returns 1032.25pts Profit / Loss +282.25pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 10, 2006 Author Share Posted October 10, 2006 Re: Sw14 Wednesday 11th October 3.55 LINGFIELD Chief Operator 4.50 UTTOXETER Nabir Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 11, 2006 Author Share Posted October 11, 2006 Re: Sw14 Wednesday 11th October 3.55 LINGFIELD Chief Operator 2nd 1/2 4.50 UTTOXETER Nabir :$ Selections 77 Wins 28 Stakes 770pts Returns 1032.25pts Profit / Loss +262.25pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 11, 2006 Author Share Posted October 11, 2006 Re: Sw14 Thursday 12th October 4.55 NEWMARKET Counterpunch Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 12, 2006 Author Share Posted October 12, 2006 Re: Sw14 Thursday 12th October 4.55 NEWMARKET Counterpunch 1st 5/4 :clap Selections 78 Wins 29 Stakes 780pts Returns 1054.75pts Profit / Loss +274.75pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 12, 2006 Author Share Posted October 12, 2006 Re: Sw14 Friday 13th October 3.35 BRIGHTON Mull Of Dubai Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 13, 2006 Author Share Posted October 13, 2006 Re: Sw14 Friday 13th October 3.35 BRIGHTON Mull Of Dubai :$ Selections 79 Wins 29 Stakes 790pts Returns 1054.75pts Profit / Loss +264.75pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 13, 2006 Author Share Posted October 13, 2006 Re: Sw14 Saturday 14th October 4.10 NEWMARKET Holy Roman Emperor Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drstrange Posted October 14, 2006 Share Posted October 14, 2006 Sw14 and Sw12 Update for ya. I have been continuing to test the variant of SW14 with a cutoff at 12 days LTO (SW12) Here are the latest figures for comparison: SW14 after 51 days has scored 30/76 (39% SR) for +28.58 points at Betfair prices, ROI is 38%. SW12 after 51 days has scored 26/64 (41% SR) for +34.42 points at Betfair prices, ROI is 54%. Both are doing very well obviously, but I reckon SW12 is looking preferable on these figures. Projection shows well over 200 points per annum potentially if this keeps up! ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 14, 2006 Author Share Posted October 14, 2006 Re: Sw14 Cheers Theo - I presume your figures are at 1pts per bet? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 14, 2006 Author Share Posted October 14, 2006 Re: Sw14 Saturday 14th October 4.10 NEWMARKET Holy Roman Emperor 2nd 3/1Selections 80 Wins 29 Stakes 800pts Returns 1054.75pts Profit / Loss +254.75pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 14, 2006 Author Share Posted October 14, 2006 Re: Sw14 Sunday 15th October No Selections Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drstrange Posted October 14, 2006 Share Posted October 14, 2006 Re: Sw14 Yes, one point level stakes. I have not calculated Betfair commission though, so you should deduct a wee bit for that... I am backing SW12 now myself, as the system has remained quite consistent for over 50 days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 16, 2006 Author Share Posted October 16, 2006 Re: Sw14 Monday 16th October 3.30 WINDSOR Kingsholm 4.20 PONTEFRACT Thewhirlingdervish Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 16, 2006 Author Share Posted October 16, 2006 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 16, 2006 Author Share Posted October 16, 2006 Re: Sw14 Therefore today's target is to win £1.50. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
traf Posted October 16, 2006 Share Posted October 16, 2006 Re: Sw14 Therefore today's target is to win £1.50. Just so I've got this right, mate: It's 25p @ 6/1 on Kingsholm. If it wins, no 2nd bet today. If it loses, it would be 30p @ 6/1 on Thewhirlingdervish. Am I right so far? And if so, and both lose, you'd need to make £3.55 profit on the first selection tomorrow? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
georgej Posted October 16, 2006 Share Posted October 16, 2006 Re: Sw14 As well as the level stakes record, I am also going to adopt a slightly more aggressive approach. Starting with £50, I am going to aim to make 3% of this for 10 consecutive days. Any day that I don't, the 3% aim plus any losing stakes will be added to the next day's 3% target. In the event of a winning bet when there are further selections for the day, then no further bets are placed for this aggressive approach, as we will have already achieved the target for the day. In the event of no selections, the 3% target will be added to the next day's. After 10 days, providing the target has been achieved, we will reassess the target to 3% of the new current bank. ... Yes it's martindale-esq but with the current SR being over 36%, it's worth a go. :hope If I've missed anything then ask. OOOh me like, me like :loon how about i give you £50 now and you only need to give me £20k next year :ok Good luck with this. Hopefully you get some good results. One thing i would suggest - at the end of each week, take 3% profit from the bank. Ok, you won't win quite so much overall, but at least you'll have banked something if you run out of steam chasing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 16, 2006 Author Share Posted October 16, 2006 Re: Sw14 Just so I've got this right, mate: It's 25p @ 6/1 on Kingsholm. If it wins, no 2nd bet today. If it loses, it would be 30p @ 6/1 on Thewhirlingdervish. Am I right so far? And if so, and both lose, you'd need to make £3.55 profit on the first selection tomorrow? Yep, you got it. :ok I think, in order to try and trap a small bit of extra profit, all stakes will be rounded up to the next 10p each time. I will be using sp figures when declaring stakes as due to my shifts there's no guarantees I can take advantage of a decent early price, so I will be treating the calculations as backed just before the off. Besides, whenever I take a price it tends to drift. :spank I'm only doing this because I look at the winners I have dotted about in various threads and feel my profits are not as high as they should be. I've decided that this thread is/would be the more consistent one to use, as it always uses horses in winning form. Yes, some will declare it risky due to the martindale-esqness side to it but fortune favours the brave sometimes. Not like we're using a large starting bank anyway. Now let's hope we don't go on a long losing run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 16, 2006 Author Share Posted October 16, 2006 Re: Sw14 OOOh me like, me like :loon how about i give you £50 now and you only need to give me £20k next year :ok Good luck with this. Hopefully you get some good results. No? :lol One thing i would suggest - at the end of each week' date=' take 3% profit from the bank. Ok, you won't win quite so much overall, but at least you'll have banked something if you run out of steam chasing.[/quote']Definately worthy of consideration. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
traf Posted October 16, 2006 Share Posted October 16, 2006 Re: Sw14 Yep, you got it. :ok I will be using sp figures when declaring stakes as due to my shifts there's no guarantees I can take advantage of a decent early price, so I will be treating the calculations as backed just before the off. Besides, whenever I take a price it tends to drift. :spank I'm only doing this because I look at the winners I have dotted about in various threads and feel my profits are not as high as they should be. I've decided that this thread is/would be the more consistent one to use, as it always uses horses in winning form. Yes, some will declare it risky due to the martindale-esqness side to it but fortune favours the brave sometimes. Not like we're using a large starting bank anyway. Now let's hope we don't go on a long losing run. Thanks for verifying it for me, Fleet. I do your footy doubles, 7-folds and 15-way mass multiples, so I'll be doing this too. I love simple systems and this has been very profitable for me in recent months.!:cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 16, 2006 Author Share Posted October 16, 2006 Re: Sw14 Yeah the football hasn't taken off this season just yet - but the season has a long way to go.:ok I've edited my reply to say that all stakes will be rounded up to the next 10p - will hopefully trap a small bit of extra profit as we go along that way, which could covers a 3% withdrawal every 10 days (or just after if in the middle of a chase.) Longest losing run so far is 7 races..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
traf Posted October 16, 2006 Share Posted October 16, 2006 Re: Sw14 Right I'm in. I'm using the small amount I have sat in Betdaq, their smallest bet is 50p so I've lumped my 50p on Kingsholm! PS As for the footy, don't worry. It all came very good last season!:clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
georgej Posted October 16, 2006 Share Posted October 16, 2006 Re: Sw14 Looks like fun Fleet. Tried to put an excel spreadsheet together for this, but i'd need to do some of it as a macro - the changeover every 10 days is a bit too fiddly with formulas. I'll have another look at this thread after payday and try to catch up to you. Fortune favours the brave :ok (well it better !!!!) :lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 16, 2006 Author Share Posted October 16, 2006 Re: Sw14 Monday 16th October 3.30 WINDSOR Kingsholm 2nd 5/1 4.20 PONTEFRACT Thewhirlingdervish 11/2 nowhereSelections 82 Wins 29 Stakes 820pts Returns 1054.75pts Profit / Loss +234.75pts Aggressive plan: Today's Target: 1.50 Achieved? No Stakes lost: 0.70 Bank now: 49.30 Tomorrow's Target: £3.70 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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