happygooner Posted February 2, 2008 Share Posted February 2, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. 0-0 predictions Dagenham & R. v Stockport - Under 2.5 @ 1.82 4 goal predictions Fulham v Aston V - Over 2.5 @ 2.18 Tottenham v Man U - Over 2.5 @ 1.73 Coventry v Barnsley - Over 2.5 @ 2.14 Stoke v Cardiff - Over 2.5 @ 2.06 Brighton v Crewe - Over 2.5 @ 2.08 Barnet v Morecambe - Over 2.5 @ 2.18 Chesterfield v Chester - Over 2.5 @ 1.95 5 goal predictions West Brom v Burnley - Over 2.5 @ 1.78 Bournemouth v Nottm Forest - Over 2.5 @ 1.99 L Orient v Southend - Over 2.5 @ 2.06 6 goal predictions Hartlepool v Luton - Over 2.5 @ 2.00 going over 2.5 on the 3-0 system Inter Milan v Empoli - Over 2.5 @ 1.75 Juventus v Cagliari - Over 2.5 @ 1.75 W. Bremen v Bochum - Over 2.5 @ 1.52 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 2, 2008 Author Share Posted February 2, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. .... just as a matter of interest Richard, there have been only 39 selections out of 102 total where the results have finished over 2.5 which = 38.2%, so not much of a pointer there.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted February 2, 2008 Share Posted February 2, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. 0-0 predictions Dagenham & R. v Stockport - Under 2.5 @ 1.82 0-1:cow+0.82 4 goal predictions Fulham v Aston V - Over 2.5 @ 2.18 Tottenham v Man U - Over 2.5 @ 1.73 1-1:spank-1.00 Coventry v Barnsley - Over 2.5 @ 2.14 4-0:cow+1.14 Stoke v Cardiff - Over 2.5 @ 2.06 2-1:cow+1.06 Brighton v Crewe - Over 2.5 @ 2.08 3-0:cow+1.08 Barnet v Morecambe - Over 2.5 @ 2.18 0-1:spank-1.00 Chesterfield v Chester - Over 2.5 @ 1.95 1-1:spank-1.00 5 goal predictions West Brom v Burnley - Over 2.5 @ 1.78 2-1:cow+0.78 Bournemouth v Nottm Forest - Over 2.5 @ 1.99 2-0:wall-1.00 L Orient v Southend - Over 2.5 @ 2.06 2-2:cow+1.06 6 goal predictions Hartlepool v Luton - Over 2.5 @ 2.00 4-0:cow+1.00 going over 2.5 on the 3-0 system Inter Milan v Empoli - Over 2.5 @ 1.75 Juventus v Cagliari - Over 2.5 @ 1.75 W. Bremen v Bochum - Over 2.5 @ 1.52 4 goal predictions improve but still bringing up the rear. Others go 4-1. Still a few 4 goal predictions to go tomor as well as the all important 3-0 system.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted February 2, 2008 Share Posted February 2, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. .... just as a matter of interest Richard' date=' there have been only 39 selections out of 102 total where the results have finished over 2.5 which = 38.2%, so not much of a pointer there.;)[/quote'] For which dates? Sorry, it is late so maybe i'm missing something haha! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted February 3, 2008 Share Posted February 3, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. +2's Arsenal @ 1.92 :clap Aston Villa (Sun) @ 2.32 :@ Brentford @ 2.72 :clap Normals Middlesboro (Sun) @ 4.40 :wall West Ham @ 2.72 :@ Chelsea @ 1.77 :wall Everton @ 3.25 :wall Wolves @ 3.35 :@ Charlton @ 2.18 :@ Sheff Utd @ 2.86 :wall Doncaster @ 2.60 :clap Darlington @ 2.10 :@ Grimbsy @ 3.00 :wall MK Dons @ 2.04 :clap Wycombe @ 2.44 :clap So the standings for the +2's are Total Staked195.00Total Returned192.81Yield0.989-1.12%Winners16Losers23Strike Rate41%Current Bank97.81Profit / Loss-2.19 & the normal aways Total Staked585.00Total Returned646.03Yield1.10410.43%Winners48Losers69Strike Rate41%Current Bank161.03Profit / Loss61.03 A couple for the normal aways on tuesday Lincoln @ 3.15 Barnet @4.6 & one for the +2's Stockport @ 2.4 :hope:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 3, 2008 Author Share Posted February 3, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. .... since I started recording the 3-0's for this current season Richard. I left a couple of weeks or so at the start of the season to allow for form settling down.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted February 3, 2008 Share Posted February 3, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Good to see you´re still getting positive results.... "onwards and upwards" as Merlin says. I have to admit that I did have my trusty lap-top with me on vacation and was playing around with figures (me, addicted?... never!). I tried producing probability equations for 1X2 results based on MW predictions, and then go on to identify "value" odds. The results were reasonably positive. However, I also compared these results with those obtained from a probability system based on Paul Ross´ ratings (365stats.com) and, I have to say, the results were significantly better and, what is perhaps more important, they were more "robust". There are several threads based on PR´s ratings, and all show a positive return. I have been paper trialing the system for a few weeks now and will probably "go public" on this forum soon (I am loath to do this because, in accordance with Sod´s Law, the results will nose-dive :\). I finally took the plunge today with the system based on Paul Ross´Ratings. If anyone´s interested, the thread is "Yet another Paul Ross Ratings System".... rather unimaginative, I know (sorry I´m not sophisticated enough to put in an automatic link ;)) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 3, 2008 Author Share Posted February 3, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. ..... good to see you back Grex, I'll take a look at the thread, and good luck with this.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted February 5, 2008 Share Posted February 5, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Another bad weekend for the DRAWS with 2 out of 16 selections. Update Wins136Losses312No of Bets448Strike Rate30.4%Staked482Returned481.83Yield0.0% Well i think this trial has reached its conclusion. The early good fortune which Grex found has been cancelled out over the last two months and i feel it would be pointless carrying on with this test as the results are not consistent. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted February 5, 2008 Share Posted February 5, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Thanks, Barrhead, for persevering with the DRAWS....... and I completely understand your reluctance to continue. When I was posting the X-picks, the return was incredible, even after 100+ bets.... but despite the fact that statistical principles suggest that, with such a large number of bets, there was a very high probability that you had a "winning" system, it failed :sad. To be honest draws are, and always will be, a lottery..... obviously the initial performance was simply a good old-fashioned flash-in-the-pan. Good luck to all the other MW systems - long may they show a profit :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bruce The Brew Goose Posted February 5, 2008 Share Posted February 5, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. A (hopefully) welcome return of the odds on lays this evening, after a no bet weekend. Rochdale laid at 1.92 v. Barnet (Predicted 0-1) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 5, 2008 Author Share Posted February 5, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. ..... I have to report a poor weekend for the 3-0 system.Only 1 correct from three.Selections were OK but under par performances from Werder Bremen and Juventus led to this. Total Staked 1050.00 Avg StakeTotal Returned 1088.55 10.00Yield 1.037 3.67% Winners 70 Losers 35 Strike Rate 66.67% Current Bank 138.55 Profit / Loss 38.55 Could do with a good performance this coming weekend to pull us up a bit!:notworthy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bruce The Brew Goose Posted February 5, 2008 Share Posted February 5, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. A (hopefully) welcome return of the odds on lays this evening, after a no bet weekend. Rochdale laid at 1.92 v. Barnet (Predicted 0-1) Match postponed. :zzz Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted February 6, 2008 Share Posted February 6, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. A couple for the normal aways on tuesday Lincoln @ 3.15 :clap Barnet @4.6 (Post) & one for the +2's Stockport @ 2.4 :clap +2's now look like this Total Staked200.00Total Returned204.65Yield1.0232.33%Winners17Losers23Strike Rate43%Current Bank104.65Profit / Loss4.65 & the normals Total Staked590.00Total Returned661.48Yield1.12112.12%Winners49Losers69Strike Rate42%Current Bank171.48Profit / Loss71.48 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 6, 2008 Author Share Posted February 6, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. .... Three selections for the 3-0 system for this weekend:- Aston Villa 1.95 Bradford C 1.80 Sampdoria 2.00 Hoping for a better weekend.:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted February 6, 2008 Share Posted February 6, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. And so to this weekends games, with only one +2 selection which is Swansea @ 1.79 & the normals Palace (Friday night) @ 3.25 Spurs @ 1.59 WBA @ 2.18 Watford @ 3.1 QPR @ 3.25 Stoke @ 3.4 Swindon @ 3.3 Rochdale @ 2.32 Rotherham @ 3.9 Aldershot @ 1.68 Salisbury @ 2.22 Weymouth @ 2.4 Burton @ 2.44 Crawley (Sun) @ 2.04 :hope:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted February 7, 2008 Share Posted February 7, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. going over 2.5 on the 3-0 system Aston Villa v Newcastle @ 2.18 Bradford v Bury @ 2.08 Sampdoria v Napoli @ 2.02 0-0 predictions Cheltenham v Brighton - Under 2.5 @ 1.69 Wycombe v Mansfield - Under 2.5 @ 1.86 4 goal predictions Peterborough v Wrexham - Over 2.5 @ 1.90 Droylsden v Altrincham - Over 2.5 @ 1.67 Not many this week it would seem. Gl everybody:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted February 10, 2008 Share Posted February 10, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. going over 2.5 on the 3-0 system Aston Villa v Newcastle @ 2.18:) Bradford v Bury @ 2.08:) Sampdoria v Napoli @ 2.02:( 0-0 predictions Cheltenham v Brighton - Under 2.5 @ 1.69:( Wycombe v Mansfield - Under 2.5 @ 1.86:( 4 goal predictions Peterborough v Wrexham - Over 2.5 @ 1.90:( Droylsden v Altrincham - Over 2.5 @ 1.67:wall:wall Not many this week it would seem. Gl everybody:ok Oh dear oh dear oh dear.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted February 11, 2008 Share Posted February 11, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Going over 2.5 on the 3-0 system = 5-9 -4.23pts 4 goal predictions - Over/Under 4-16 & -11.54pts 0 goal & 5+goal predictions - Over/Under 6-4 & +1.23pts Apologies that i've not been the best at updating records here but this should be 100% correct now up to the present. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted February 11, 2008 Share Posted February 11, 2008 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted February 11, 2008 Share Posted February 11, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. going over 2.5 on the 3-0 system QPR v Burnley @ 2.00 Bury v Wycombe @ 2.10 5 goal predictions Coventry v Cardiff - Over 2.5 @ 2.06 Altrincham v Farsley Celtic - Over 2.5 @ 1.87 Burton Albion v Droylsden - Over 2.5 @ 1.57 4 goal predictions Plymouth v Barnsley - Over 2.5 @ 2.18 Watford v Leicester - Over 2.5 @ 2.00 West Brom v Sheff Utd - Over 2.5 @ 1.84 Bournemouth v Doncaster - Over 2.5 @ 2.02 Hartlepool v Port Vale - Over 2.5 @ 2.00 Millwall v Southend - Over 2.5 @ 2.06 Grays Athletic v Rushdon & D. - Over 2.5 @ 2.12 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted February 12, 2008 Share Posted February 12, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. going over 2.5 on the 3-0 system QPR v Burnley @ 2.00:cow+1.00 Bury v Wycombe @ 2.10:cow+1.10 5 goal predictions Coventry v Cardiff - Over 2.5 @ 2.06:spank-1.00 Altrincham v Farsley Celtic - Over 2.5 @ 1.87:spank-1.00 Burton Albion v Droylsden - Over 2.5 @ 1.57:notworthy+0.57 4 goal predictions Plymouth v Barnsley - Over 2.5 @ 2.18:cow+1.18 Watford v Leicester - Over 2.5 @ 2.00:spank-1.00 West Brom v Sheff Utd - Over 2.5 @ 1.84:spank-1.00 Bournemouth v Doncaster - Over 2.5 @ 2.02:spank-1.00 Hartlepool v Port Vale - Over 2.5 @ 2.00:cow+1.00 Millwall v Southend - Over 2.5 @ 2.06:cow+1.06 Grays Athletic v Rushdon & D. - Over 2.5 @ 2.12 - Postponed Conclusively inconclusive to say the least:sad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 13, 2008 Author Share Posted February 13, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. .... been away, just got back and trying to catch up on things:- Latest position:- Total Staked 1090.00 Avg StakeTotal Returned 1147.53 10.00Yield 1.053 5.28% Winners 73 Losers 36 Strike Rate 66.97% Current Bank 157.53 Profit / Loss 57.53 Back later with this week's selections.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 13, 2008 Author Share Posted February 13, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. .... This weekend's selections for the 3-0 system:- Notts F 1.70 Brentford 1.78 Oxford U 1.44 Werder Bremen 1.46 Fiorentina 1.44 Here's hoping these will fly the flag!:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted February 13, 2008 Share Posted February 13, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Midweek +2's Torquay @ 1.81 :wall Brentford @ 2.82 :clap Wycombe @ 2.44 :wall Morecombe @ 2.94 :clap Normals York @ 2.66 :wall Grimsby @ 2.78 :clap Hereford @ 3.05 :clap Stockport @ 3.85 :clap MK Dons @ 2.28 :wall Northampton @ 3.25 :eyes +2's look like this Total Staked225.00Total Returned232.51Yield1.0333.34%Winners19Losers26Strike Rate42%Current Bank107.51Profit / Loss7.51 & the norms Total Staked690.00Total Returned782.86Yield1.13513.46%Winners58Losers80Strike Rate42%Current Bank192.86Profit / Loss92.86 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted February 14, 2008 Share Posted February 14, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. This weekends +2's are Norwich @ 2.98 & the Norms Palace (Sun) @ 3.45 Swansea @ 1.83 Bournemouth @ 5 Rotherham @ 3 Notts County @ 2.98 York @ 2.62 Weymouth @ 2.68 Woking @ 2.3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted February 15, 2008 Share Posted February 15, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. .... This weekend's selections for the 3-0 system:- Notts F 1.70 Brentford 1.78 Oxford U 1.44 Werder Bremen 1.46 Fiorentina 1.44 Here's hoping these will fly the flag!:ok And for going over 2.5 on the 3-0 system we have.... Nottm Forest v Swindon @ 2.14 Brentford v A. Stanley @ 1.95 Oxford Utd v Droylsden @ 1.62 Werder Bremen v Nurnberg @ 1.60 Fiorentina v Catania @ 1.88 Gl people:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted February 16, 2008 Share Posted February 16, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. 4 goal predictions Bradford v Rochdale - Over 2.5 @ 2.00 Hereford Utd v Chesterfield - Over 2.5 @ 1.95 Forest Green v Stafford Rangers - Over 2.5 @ 1.69 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted February 16, 2008 Share Posted February 16, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. 4 goal predictions Bradford v Rochdale - Over 2.5 @ 2.00:nana+1.00 Hereford Utd v Chesterfield - Over 2.5 @ 1.95:@-1.00 Forest Green v Stafford Rangers - Over 2.5 @ 1.69:nana+0.69 no great shakes today really considering how far in the red I was at the beginning of the day with these. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted February 16, 2008 Share Posted February 16, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. And for going over 2.5 on the 3-0 system we have.... Nottm Forest v Swindon @ 2.14:(-1.00 Brentford v A. Stanley @ 1.95:nana+0.95 Oxford Utd v Droylsden @ 1.62:(-1.00 Werder Bremen v Nurnberg @ 1.60:(-1.00 Fiorentina v Catania @ 1.88 - pending Gl people:ok What a w*nky waste of time this is turning out to be!!:wall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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