Bruce The Brew Goose Posted January 21, 2008 Share Posted January 21, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. ..... the Betfair commission is actually 5% Bruce, so a little adjustment is needed.;) 5% is the basic rate, but most people are nearer to 4, which is why I chose 4%. So, I'll be leaving it at 4%. :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted January 22, 2008 Share Posted January 22, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. 1 out of 2 draws last night, with Liverpool providing us with a nice profit. Results to date, Wins131Losses281No of Bets412Strike Rate31.8%Staked446Returned464.53Yield4.2% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted January 23, 2008 Author Share Posted January 23, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. .... OK back into action after a bit of Spring cleaning! Five selections for the 3-0 system, four at the weekend and one for Thursday:- Stevenage B (away) Thurs 0-0 Cambridge U 1.46 Bradford C Posponed Roma 1.48 Seville 1.62 Will be back with the odds later.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted January 24, 2008 Share Posted January 24, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Midweek +2's Aways Oldham @ 2.74 :wall Bradford @ 2.88 :wall Stevenage (Thurs) @1.62 & Normal aways Southend @ 3.15:eyes Poor so far but Stevenage still to come, update after game Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted January 24, 2008 Share Posted January 24, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. I got the new sheets merlin so thanks for that (I suggest the rest of you get in touch if you want them:)). Going to resume tracking the over/unders although tonights game doesn't qualify as such. One thing i'm going to track separately is how often the over 2.5 comes around on these 3-0 predictions that merlin has been playing so successfully. If the logic is there for a win the easier the spreadsheet suggests it will be then that same logic should also suggest you are likely to see more goals from the team expected to win easily. It may flop, who knows. Will track it for a while to see: Farsley Celtic v Stevenage B - Over 2.5 @ 1.62 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted January 24, 2008 Author Share Posted January 24, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. ..... Good for you Richard, this could be interesting, you never know just what these sheets are capable of throwing up until some experiments are done.This is exactly how I tumbled on the 3-0 system, trial and error! Good luck with this, and I will be watching with interest.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted January 25, 2008 Share Posted January 25, 2008 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bruce The Brew Goose Posted January 25, 2008 Share Posted January 25, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. merlin - thanks for the updated spreadsheets, very much appreciated. Will try and go through them later and see if there are any odds on lays and Euro aways. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted January 25, 2008 Author Share Posted January 25, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. .... OK Bruce, no problem, hope they do you justice. How about Barrhead and Clarky, are you both happy with the sheets youv'e got? Let's hope we have a promising weekend.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bruce The Brew Goose Posted January 25, 2008 Share Posted January 25, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. There are no odds on lays or European league aways for tomorrow. :zzz Looks like there are a few aways for Sunday, but I want to enter tomorrows results into the spreadsheet before I put them up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted January 25, 2008 Share Posted January 25, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Going over 2.5 on the 3-0 system Farsley Celtic v Stevenage B - Over 2.5 @ 1.62 Final score 0-0 0-1 -1point YTD Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted January 26, 2008 Share Posted January 26, 2008 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted January 26, 2008 Share Posted January 26, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Think i'm ok too Merlin. Good luck for this weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted January 26, 2008 Share Posted January 26, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Hi Merlin, Clarky, Barrhead and all others who contribute to this profitable thread. I am now back from my much-needed break in Argentina - 6 weeks without betting.... the "withdrawal" symptoms drove me crazy :loon. It´s good to see that all systems based on MW´s sheets are showing a profit... even the X-picks :clap I have to admit that I did have my trusty lap-top with me on vacation and was playing around with figures (me, addicted?... never!). I tried producing probability equations for 1X2 results based on MW predictions, and then go on to identify "value" odds. The results were reasonably positive. However, I also compared these results with those obtained from a probability system based on Paul Ross´ ratings (365stats.com) and, I have to say, the results were significantly better and, what is perhaps more important, they were more "robust". There are several threads based on PR´s ratings, and all show a positive return. I have been paper trialing the system for a few weeks now and will probably "go public" on this forum soon (I am loath to do this because, in accordance with Sod´s Law, the results will nose-dive :\). I am not being a traitor to the MW systems - they are lucrative and you should all stick with them. Good luck to everybody :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted January 26, 2008 Share Posted January 26, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Welcome back Grex, sorry the DRAW resuklts have taken a bit of a dip in your absence. I shall continue posting them up and let you get on with developing your new system. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted January 26, 2008 Share Posted January 26, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Hi, Barrhead.... I was never fully convinced with the X-system. Draws are notoriously unpredictable. However, the system showed such amazing yields, even after 150+ bets, that it just had to be followed. Even now, it is still in positive ground.... so keep following it.... and thanks for taking over the task :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted January 26, 2008 Share Posted January 26, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Going over 2.5 on the 3-0 system Cambridge U v Altrincham @ 1.72 Roma v Palermo @ 1.70 Sevilla v Osasuna @ 1.99 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted January 26, 2008 Share Posted January 26, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. 4 goal predictions Aston V v Blackburn Bristol City v Blackpool Lincoln v Dagenham & Redbridge Mk Dons v Rochdale Droylsden v Kidderminster No time to add the odds (other the missus will kill me) so if any of our researchers happen to be popping by you wouldn't mind quickly checking betfair would you...please:D? Otherwise i'll have to add them tomor. Gl people Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bruce The Brew Goose Posted January 26, 2008 Share Posted January 26, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. hg - here's the Betfair odds for those overs.............. 4 goal predictions Aston V v Blackburn 2.06 Bristol City v Blackpool 2.06 Lincoln v Dagenham & Redbridge 2.04 Mk Dons v Rochdale 2.02 Droylsden v Kidderminster 1.63 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bruce The Brew Goose Posted January 27, 2008 Share Posted January 27, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. No odds on lays for Sunday, but a job lot of Euro aways.......... Athletic Bilbao v. Barcelona 1.69 Deportivo v. Valladolid 2.92 Mallorca v. Atletico Madrid 3.1 Livorno v. Juventus 1.97 Torino v. Lazio 3.4 Udinese v. Inter 1.9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted January 27, 2008 Share Posted January 27, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. hg - here's the Betfair odds for those overs.............. 4 goal predictions Aston V v Blackburn 2.06 1-1:(-1.00 Bristol City v Blackpool 2.06 1-0:(-1.00 Lincoln v Dagenham & Redbridge 2.04 2-0:(-1.00 Mk Dons v Rochdale 2.02 0-1:( Droylsden v Kidderminster 1.63 1-0:sad-1.00 Cheers Bruce, appreciated:ok Didn't need the odds in the end as fairly easy to calculate 0-5 & -5.00. What a dreadful start:\ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted January 27, 2008 Share Posted January 27, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Going over 2.5 on the 3-0 system Cambridge U v Altrincham @ 1.72 2-1:)+.72 Roma v Palermo @ 1.70 1-0:(-1.00 Sevilla v Osasuna @ 1.99 2-1:)+.99 2-1 & +.71 on the day 2-2 & -.029 overall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted January 27, 2008 Share Posted January 27, 2008 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted January 27, 2008 Share Posted January 27, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Midweek +2's Rochdale @ 2.42 Normals Palace (mon) @ 2.76 Wigan @ 4.3 Colchester @ 3.85 Watford @ 2.68 Norwich @ 3.65 Sheff Wed @ 4.5 Bristol Rovers @ 2.78 Leeds @ 2.28 Gillingham @ 4.2 Man City (wed) @ 1.75 Woking (thurs) @ 2.5 Odds later Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted January 27, 2008 Author Share Posted January 27, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. ..... Three correct from four selections in the 3-0 system, with one posponed, so not too bad.Latest position:- Total Staked 980.00 Avg StakeTotal Returned 1047.72 10.00Yield 1.069 6.91% Winners 67 Losers 31 Strike Rate 68.37% Current Bank 167.72 Profit / Loss 67.72 Will be back with mid week selections later.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted January 28, 2008 Share Posted January 28, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. 3 out of 10 for the draws this weekend with one result to come tonight. Current DRAWS position, Wins134Losses289No of Bets423Strike Rate31.7%Staked457Returned474.83Yield3.9% Back later with midweek selections Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted January 28, 2008 Share Posted January 28, 2008 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted January 28, 2008 Author Share Posted January 28, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Four selections for Tuesday/Wednesday 3-0 system:- Arsenal 1.32 Bolton W 1.97 Walsall 2.02 Manchester U 1.28 Here's hoping for some wins!:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted January 28, 2008 Share Posted January 28, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. How many of us are singing from the same sheet for Crystal Palace away win 0-1 tonight??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted January 28, 2008 Share Posted January 28, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. 4 goal prediction Torquay v Histon - Over 2.5 @ 1.71 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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